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Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovBallarat (VIC)Change

Race 6 — Hygain Edge (Bm66) 1400m · jumps

Race preview

Ballarat hosts a tight Benchmark 66 handicap over 1400 metres on a Good 3 track Friday evening at 6:30 pm AEDT. Grifter sits shortest in the win market, followed by Untapped, Empressive Enuff, and Lunaman. The form here is competitive across the board, with several runners showing recent Australian winners' form and multiple jockey–trainer combinations firing above their career averages. Early pace will come from Wolf Twenty One and Empressive Enuff, who both map as leaders.

Grifter rates a real chance at the top of the market. Blake Shinn is outperforming his career POT by 22 per cent in the last 100 rides, and the horse broke through at Warrnambool on 21 September before running on late from the back at Geelong on soft ground. He's a firmer type fresh, and Warrnambool form over 1200 metres sits two from two. Untapped drops back to suitable class after two runs in higher grades and shapes well. Brad Rawiller is 17 per cent above his career average in L100 rides. The gelding ran third at Bendigo in a 3yo+ BM66 last time out and has two wins from four first-up attempts.

Trebilco and Patsy's Star profile solidly from the stable and rider angles. The Hawkes stable is posting a hot 90 per cent outperformance against market expectations, and Luke Currie sits on a runner with two wins from nine career starts. Patsy's Star's Neil Farley is similarly strong, up 25 per cent on his career POT. Wolf Twenty One holds early pace but the jockey–trainer combo sits at minus 100 per cent, a significant caution. Lunaman fronts up for his second campaign after 29 weeks off and impressed in a jump-out; as a first-up debutant, he won, so the profile suggests improvement.

Race notes

  • 3UP CG&E BM66 HCP,3yo+,Benchmark 66,CG&E BM66
  • GOOD3
  • Fine
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Untapped (2)

4.00

Most career wins

Patsy's Star

7-2-0 from 32 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 7Lunaman

Offmidfield

  • 1Sacramental
  • 6Bancoora
  • 9Hiney's Bar

Midfield

  • 2Untapped
  • 10Grifter

Offpace

  • 5Trebilco
  • 4Patsy's Star

Leader

  • 8Empressive Enuff
  • 3Wolf Twenty One

  • Sacramental · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 81% better than Career Avg.

  • Untapped · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 17% in Last 100 Rides

  • Wolf Twenty One · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Patsy's Star · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1SacramentalJ: Shayleigh Ingelse·T: Andrew Bobbin461kg1 1 5 5 724: 5-1-0$26.00$4.20

Career

24: 5-1-0

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 2-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Horsham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    2: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    6: 3-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    9: 2-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    15: 3-1-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Penola1400m16 Oct 2026 · BM68 · SOFT53.36L
  2. 5Ballarat1600m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.81L
  3. 5Geelong1500m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.4L
  4. 1Ballarat Synthetic1400m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-0.2
  5. 1Swan Hill1300m28 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT5-0.5
  6. 8Ballarat Synthetic1200m14 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.8L
  7. 6Seymour1400m11 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT73.6L
  8. 4Casterton1200m17 May 2026 · BM70 · SOFT62.8L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 81% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Shayleigh Ingelse 116% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 106%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Shayleigh Ingelse in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 116%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Off pace and comfortably beaten at Penola over this distance. Outside place prospect at best.

RP

C&D has proven suitable before; useful in this grade; fair effort when beaten 3½l, finishing seventh of ten at Penola 26 days ago; best of his form suggests ability; has to be respected.

2UntappedJ: Brad Rawiller·T: E & D Browne560.5kg9 5 3 3 621: 3-2-4$4.00$1.55

Career

21: 3-2-4

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 2-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    5: 2-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1013m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    8: 1-2-2

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-1-3

  • Going Good

    13: 2-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Geelong1500m21 Oct 2026 · BM 78 HCP · GOOD45.11L
  2. 3Bendigo1600m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT61.35L
  3. 3Bendigo1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.5L
  4. 5Sandown1300m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT71.8L
  5. 9Caulfield1100m15 Aug 2026 · BM74 · SOFT64.2L
  6. 3Sale1200m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT63.8L
  7. 1Sale1013m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY9-0.1
  8. 6Pakenham1200m12 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42.61L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 17% in Last 100 Rides

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Up In Weight

    Negative

    Goes up 5.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Bendigo 3yo+ (Bm66) placegetter 4 Oct. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Geelong. Drops in grade. Among the dangers.

RP

Held in sixth at Geelong over 7½f (handicap) 21 days ago; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

3Wolf Twenty OneJ: Holly Durnan·T: Shane Jackson360kg3 4 4 11 411: 3-0-2$7.50$2.40

Career

11: 3-0-2

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 2-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 2-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Bendigo1300m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.4L
  2. 11Ballarat1200m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD45.08L
  3. 4Ballarat Synthetic1000m24 June 2026 · BM66 · SYNTHETIC3.3L
  4. 4Swan Hill1200m5 June 2026 · BM78 · SOFT61.1L
  5. 3Bendigo1100m13 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD41L
  6. 1Cranbourne1000m17 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT6-1
  7. 7Cranbourne1300m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.4L
  8. 3Caulfield1200m19 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD43.5L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Midfield and worked home solidly at Bendigo when second-up. Sharper now, not out of this.

RP

Record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 3-11); respectable display to finish fourth, beaten 2½l over 6½f at Bendigo (handicap) last month; not discounted.

4Patsy's StarJ: Neil Farley·T: M Sell759.5kg1 1 1 11 732: 7-2-0$71.00$8.00

Career

32: 7-2-0

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-2-0

  • Third-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Ararat

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1862m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1887m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    20: 5-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Caulfield Heath1800m27 May 2026 · 0 - 66 · SOFT76.7L
  2. 11Pakenham2000m15 May 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT55.6L
  3. 1Donald2200m2 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD3-1
  4. 1Stawell2000m17 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD4-4
  5. 1Kyneton1864m28 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT5-0.8
  6. 4Kyneton1862m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD43.7L
  7. 7Kyneton1887m27 Feb 2026 · BM56 · SOFT69.3L
  8. 8Hanging Rock1800m26 Jan 2026 · 3UP HCP · GOOD48.3L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Neil Farley 31% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (24-weeks). Seasoned galloper best over longer these days. Won't want it too wet. Expect will need this.

RP

Proven that he knows how to get his head in front (seeking an eighth career win); held in seventh at Caulfield over 1m1f (handicap) in May; others more persuasive as absence is a concern.

5TrebilcoJ: Luke Currie·T: M, W & J Hawkes159.5kg7 4 1 8 19: 2-2-0$7.50$2.40

Career

9: 2-2-0

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Ballarat

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Morphettville1200m24 Oct 2026 · CL2 · SOFT5-0.51
  2. 8Geelong1443m1 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.8L
  3. 1Kilmore1450m18 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
  4. 4Geelong1400m1 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L
  5. 7Pakenham1200m12 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.5L
  6. 2Ballarat1200m19 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD46L
  7. 2Bendigo1100m28 Aug 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY91L
  8. 5Pakenham1200m20 Mar 2025 · Maiden · SOFT76.5L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 90%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Strong win from off the pace in the Hcp (C2) at Morphettville off extended spell as a betting firmer. Drawn to get a conservative run. Going great guns and stays as a major threat.

RP

Got the job done in a handicap by half a length at Morphettville when dropped back to 6f two weeks ago; despite that Morphettville success, easy enough to take on.

6BancooraJ: Alana Kelly·T: D J Cannon259kg2 1 7 2 425: 4-4-2$23.00$4.00

Career

25: 4-4-2

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Stawell

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Casterton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1607m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    9: 2-2-1

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    12: 1-3-1

  • Going Heavy

    7: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Warrnambool1200m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD42.11L
  2. 2Warrnambool1200m15 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD40.1L
  3. 7Kilmore1200m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.72L
  4. 1Murtoa1200m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-1.5
  5. 2Mount Gambier1200m7 Aug 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY100.5L
  6. 5Geelong1200m31 July 2026 · 2UP CG&E BM56 HCP · SOFT76.4L
  7. 6Mildura1400m17 July 2026 · BM66 · GOOD45.7L
  8. 8Bendigo1500m5 July 2026 · 0 - 66 · HEAVY98.2L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 60%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 60% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Went close at Warrnambool 15 Oct. Closed off late from the tail at Warrnambool. Effective wet. Very fit, can make his presence felt.

RP

Finished fourth but only beaten just over 2l over 6f at Warrnambool (handicap) two weeks ago; has been fairly consistent lately.

7LunamanJ: Declan Bates·T: C Maher659kg2 5 9 11 46: 1-1-0$5.50$1.95

Career

6: 1-1-0

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Te Rapa

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ellerslie

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Pukekohe

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Ellerslie2100m18 Apr 2026 · 3YO SW · SOFT52.98L
  2. 11Ellerslie2400m7 Mar 2026 · 3YO SW · SOFT59.24L
  3. 9Ellerslie2100m21 Feb 2026 · 3YO SW · SOFT57.09L
  4. 5Te Rapa2000m7 Feb 2026 · 3YO SW · SOFT54.12L
  5. 2Pukekohe1600m18 Jan 2026 · 3YO SW+P · SOFT60.32L
  6. 1Tauranga1400m2 Jan 2026 · MDN 3YO · SOFT6-1.5

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 14% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 9%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (29-weeks). First run across the ditch for the Ciaron Maher stable. 2nd in latest jump-out. Could make a positive start here.

RP

Subpar since successful in a maiden at Tauranga in January; finished fourth but only beaten just under 3l at Ellerslie over 1m2½f (Group 3) in April; returns from a break here; first start for current trainer; now drops in class but only limited appeal.

8Empressive EnuffJ: Damian Lane·T: Reece Goodwin1058kg3 3 3 3 647: 5-6-6$5.00$1.80

Career

47: 5-6-6

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    5: 1-1-2

  • Third-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    3: 0-0-2

  • Track Mornington

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    20: 2-3-3

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 2-0-0

  • Going Good

    31: 4-4-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 6Pakenham1400m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.05L
  2. 3Cranbourne1400m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.5L
  3. 3Pakenham Synthetic1200m5 Oct 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC1L
  4. 3Ballarat Synthetic1400m30 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SYNTHETIC3.8L
  5. 3Ballarat Synthetic1200m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC0.8L
  6. 4Pakenham Synthetic1200m15 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC2.6L
  7. 11Pakenham1200m15 May 2026 · 2UP BM66 HCP · SOFT55.9L
  8. 5Sandown1200m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 96%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 30%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Early pace was too much for him and weakened at Pakenham over this trip. Adverse barrier tests. Can run a drum.

RP

Not beaten that far in sixth (3l) at Pakenham 12 days ago; he can be taken on.

9Hiney's BarJ: Damien Thornton·T: Symon Wilde958kg3 4 5 6 15: 1-0-1$41.00$5.50

Career

5: 1-0-1

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ararat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hamilton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Colac

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Warrnambool1200m29 Oct 2026 · 3-5Y MDN SW · GOOD4-0.75
  2. 6Hamilton1100m10 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT54.7L
  3. 5Warrnambool1100m20 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY107.9L
  4. 4Ararat1200m3 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT72.3L
  5. 3Colac1100m6 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD41.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 59%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 36% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 18%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Wore them down late at Warrnambool. Has an adverse draw. Rise to 1400m a new challenge. Just out of his maiden and facing tougher challenge here.

RP

Not fancied in the betting (50-1) when a narrow winner (Warrnambool) last month in a maiden; stepped up on his last two starts; in with a shout given that not many of these impressed last time out.

10GrifterJ: Blake Shinn·T: C Maher856.5kg6 3 4 1 44: 1-0-1$4.60$1.75

Career

4: 1-0-1

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1247m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Geelong1247m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.2L
  2. 1Warrnambool1200m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.15
  3. 4Warrnambool1200m3 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY87.5L
  4. 3Pakenham1200m15 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT51.3L
  5. 6Caulfield Heath850m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 9%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Blake Shinn 22% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 18%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 35 days

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Broke maiden at Warrnambool 21 Sep. Ran on late from the back at Geelong. Makes strong appeal.

RP

Lightly raced (this just his fifth race); fair effort (beaten just over 2l) at Geelong over 6f (handicap) last month; this only his second start in handicap company; big chance given there's a paucity of good recent form on offer in this contest and shown he can win fairly recently.

11MickidamuzzScratched11––––

Career

16: 1-1-3

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 0-0-2

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 11Echuca1200m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.29L
  2. 11Terang1400m2 Jan 2026 · BM56 · GOOD37.2L
  3. 9Werribee1408m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD42.5L
  4. 3Pakenham1400m28 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.8L
  5. 7Wangaratta1300m23 Aug 2025 · 0 - 58 · GOOD42.7L
  6. 8Geelong1300m8 Aug 2025 · CL1 HCP · SOFT56.5L
  7. 1Bairnsdale1200m21 July 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT6-1.75
  8. 2Moe1217m1 June 2025 · 2yo+ · SOFT60.8L

Insights

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at Echuca for new trainer. Awkwardly drawn. Looking elsewhere.

RP

Been a while since he achieved his only career win; finished 11th of 12 over 6f at Echuca (handicap) last month on debut for this trainer; is passed over.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Mon 2 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Wed 30 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 18 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races