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Launceston (TAS) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Launceston (TAS), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovLaunceston (TAS)Change

Race 8 — JKB Racing – Own The Feeling Plate (C3) 1600m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Launceston for the Jkb Racing – Own The Feeling Plate (C3) over 1600m on a good4 track under fine weather conditions. Looking at the early win market order, Little El holds the mantle as the shortest runner, closely followed by Thickskinned, Genuine Lady, and Sky Eagle rounding out the leading fancies.

The numbers say the form behind these top market electives jumps off the page. Little El rates a real chance after racing in great heart, pressing on early and sticking on well when in the market this course with tidy local stats. Thickskinned brings solid course form to the table, having won a class two here before battling home in a bm76 over this journey. Genuine Lady is shooting for a hat-trick at this course following a strong win over 1200m, and the extra ground looks a positive step.

Diving deeper into the stats feed, speed groups show Genuine Lady, Last Tremble, and Little El landing forward in the leader section, which should set up an honest tempo over the mile. Sky Eagle also warrants a mention down the market order, coming off a close runner-up finish at Hobart over 1600m and looking fit from recent racing to make another play for the placings.

Race notes

  • CL3 SW,CLASS 3 SW,Class 3
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Little El (7)

1.70

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 5Sky Eagle

Midfield

  • 2Sir Jag
  • 3Thickskinned
  • 8Bella Chinkara

Onpace

  • 1I'm Chev

Leader

  • 4Genuine Lady
  • 7Little El
  • I'm Chev · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Craig Newitt current POT is 43% below Career Avg.

  • Sir Jag · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -56% POT in their L100 Races

  • Thickskinned · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%

  • Genuine Lady · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1I'm ChevJ: Craig Newitt·T: G J Stevenson859kg2 6 5 6 427: 3-2-2$26.00$6.00

Career

27: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    7: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    7: 0-0-1

  • Track Longford

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1650m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2020m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    14: 2-2-1

  • Going Good

    7: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Launceston1400m30 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD41.9L
  2. 6Launceston1400m16 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD43.87L
  3. 5Devonport Synthetic1350m9 Sept 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC2.1L
  4. 6Devonport Synthetic1150m2 Sept 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC2.3L
  5. 2Devonport Synthetic1150m26 Aug 2026 · BM64 · SYNTHETIC5L
  6. 6Devonport Synthetic1009m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC5.2L
  7. 10Devonport Synthetic1350m31 May 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC5.6L
  8. 8Devonport Synthetic1150m17 May 2026 · CL4 SW · SYNTHETIC9.4L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Craig Newitt current POT is 43% below Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Not far off them in the small field this track. Draw makes the job harder. Strikes a harder race.

ILB

Started $6.50 and had difficulty when 4th last time here and rising in weight. Should race on the speed. Not in this.

RP

Fair effort (beaten just under 2l) over 7f here (handicap) when he wasn't far behind Sky Eagle last month.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and not competitive when 4th last start at this track and goes up in weight. Has early pace and positions nicely.

2Sir JagJ: David Pires·T: J F Luttrell659kg3 5 4 5 353: 3-9-7$21.00$5.50

Career

53: 3-9-7

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Hobart

    21: 2-7-4

  • Track Launceston

    29: 1-2-3

  • Track CurrentTrack

    29: 1-2-3

  • Distance 2040m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1220m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    24: 1-3-4

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    26: 2-6-2

Last starts

  1. 3Hobart1600m3 Nov 2026 · BM60 · GOOD41.4L
  2. 5Launceston1420m23 Oct 2026 · CL3 · GOOD42.66L
  3. 4Launceston1600m9 Oct 2026 · BM68 · GOOD42.52L
  4. 5Launceston1620m25 Sept 2026 · CL3 SW · GOOD42.96L
  5. 3Launceston1400m16 Sept 2026 · BM68 · GOOD42L
  6. 3Hobart1600m5 Aug 2026 · BM60 · SOFT72.5L
  7. 2Hobart1600m19 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT51.5L
  8. 2Hobart1600m5 July 2026 · BM60 · SOFT51.3L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -56% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 52% in L100 rides

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled midfield, let down really well at Hobart over this trip. Very fit, again one for multiples.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Finished with intent when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Hobart but facing a stronger group of contenders. Cannot recommend as a betting proposition.

RP

Finished just behind Sky Eagle when third at Hobart last Tuesday in a handicap; has won at this course; others are preferred as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

On a short back up. Picked up late ground when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Hobart but up against stronger competition.

3ThickskinnedJ: Anthony Darmanin·T: M A Ganderton559kg2 2 3 1 512: 3-1-2$3.10$1.55

Career

12: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    6: 2-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    6: 2-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1620m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    4: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 5Launceston1600m30 Oct 2026 · BM76 · GOOD43.5L
  2. 1Launceston1600m9 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD4-2.25
  3. 3Launceston1400m2 Oct 2026 · CL3 · SOFT52L
  4. 2Devonport Synthetic1150m9 Sept 2026 · CL3 SW · SYNTHETIC1.8L
  5. 2Longford800m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3.8L
  6. 3Devonport Synthetic1880m9 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SYNTHETIC0.8L
  7. 1Devonport Synthetic1350m3 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC-4.5
  8. 4Hobart1600m15 Feb 2026 · CL4 SW · SOFT54.7L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Increase

    Negative

    Rises 5kg now

Comments

AAP

Won Hcp (C2) Launceston 9 Oct. Unhurried early and only battled home (Bm76) this track over this journey. Sound form this course. Makes strong appeal.

ILB

Was $4.60 and chased well when 5th last start at the track and will find this grade more suitable. Putting up notable efforts since returning from a spell. Strong contender.

RP

A winner over C&D; didn't run too badly when out of the frame here (beaten 3½l) in a handicap 12 days ago; strong claims as shown he can win fairly recently.

RSIS

Started at 7/2 and made up ground when 5th last start at the track and drops back to a suitable class. Performing impressively since coming back from a break. Hard to beat.

4Genuine LadyJ: Luke P Dempsey·T: Monica Ryan457kg1 2 2 1 113: 3-2-0$6.00$2.60

Career

13: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Hobart

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    7: 3-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    7: 3-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1420m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    4: 3-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Launceston1200m30 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD4-1
  2. 1Launceston1200m16 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-0.02
  3. 2Launceston1200m2 Oct 2026 · CL1 · SOFT50.5L
  4. 2Longford800m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.3L
  5. 1Longford800m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-3.8
  6. 9Hobart1400m12 Apr 2026 · CL1 · SOFT58.7L
  7. 1Launceston1400m20 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.5
  8. 2Devonport Synthetic1350m9 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC5L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 63%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Good Form

    Positive

    Very competitive in recent runs

Comments

AAP

Shooting for hat-trick this course. Strong win over 1200m Hcp (C2) this venue. More ground a plus. Again holds plenty of aces.

ILB

Reeled them in when winning last run around here and going up in distance. On a winning streak the last 2 runs. Should muster plenty of early toe. Place best.

RP

Got the job done by 1l last month in a handicap; knows how to win here with three course wins and on a hat-trick after last win; should be on the premises.

RSIS

Finished hard to win last start here and stepping up in distance. On a winning streak the last 2 runs. Should muster plenty of early pace.

5Sky EagleJ: Kelvin Sanderson·T: J K Blacker757kg2 4 7 1 239: 3-5-2$20.00$5.00

Career

39: 3-5-2

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Hobart

    16: 1-2-1

  • Track Launceston

    17: 2-3-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    17: 2-3-1

  • Distance 1150m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1220m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    17: 2-3-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    16: 1-2-1

Last starts

  1. 2Hobart1600m3 Nov 2026 · BM60 · GOOD40.4L
  2. 1Launceston1400m30 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD4-0.5
  3. 7Launceston1600m9 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD45.36L
  4. 4Launceston1620m25 Sept 2026 · CL3 SW · GOOD42.21L
  5. 2Launceston1400m16 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD40.75L
  6. 5Longford800m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.7L
  7. 8Devonport Synthetic1650m26 Aug 2026 · CL3 · SYNTHETIC4.4L
  8. 9Hobart1100m19 Aug 2026 · BM68 · SOFT510.3L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Kelvin Sanderson 41% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 23% Profit on Turnover

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Kelvin Sanderson in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 41%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Kept coming and just fell short at Hobart over this trip. Fit from racing, could again get into the placings.

ILB

On a quick back up. Narrowly denied victory last run at Hobart but testing ability against stronger contenders. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Marginal contender.

RP

Good effort when close up in a handicap (Hobart) in front of Sir Jag a week ago; has won here before.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Threw down a serious challenge last time at Hobart but facing stiffer opposition. Likely to get back.

6Last TrembleScratched2––––

Career

25: 1-3-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Devonport Synthetic

    4: 0-0-2

  • Track Hobart

    7: 0-1-1

  • Track Launceston

    14: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    4: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    9: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 1-3-1

Last starts

  1. 7Hobart1420m3 Nov 2026 · CL2 · GOOD41.7L
  2. 5Launceston2000m2 Oct 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT55.25L
  3. 4Launceston1600m16 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD42.75L
  4. 3Devonport Synthetic1880m2 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · SYNTHETIC1.3L
  5. 3Hobart2100m19 Aug 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT50.96L
  6. 4Hobart1600m19 July 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT55.3L
  7. 2Hobart2100m5 July 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT50.75L
  8. 5Devonport Synthetic1650m28 June 2026 · Class 1 · SYNTHETIC3.5L

Insights

  • Track And Dist

    Negative

    Has a poor record at this track and trip

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Handily placed , just outpaced when it mattered at Hobart. Drawn to get an economic trail. Deep into her campaign, not out of this.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Was $7.00 and weakened to finish 7th last run at Hobart but can find a nice position from the draw. Up in grade.

RP

Has won here previously; fair effort when close behind Bella Chinkara at Hobart (dropped to 7f) last Tuesday in a handicap; this is competitive and others make more appeal.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started 6/1 and gave away some ground when 7th last start at Hobart but can find a nice position from the draw.

7Little ElJ: Erica Byrne Burke·T: Ms L Gaffney355kg2 7 2 1 211: 2-2-0$1.70$1.24

Career

11: 2-2-0

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Devonport Synthetic

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    5: 1-2-0

  • Distance 2100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Launceston1600m30 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD41.25L
  2. 1Launceston2000m2 Oct 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT5-2.25
  3. 2Launceston1600m16 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD40.25L
  4. 7Devonport Synthetic1350m26 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC4.9L
  5. 2Devonport Synthetic800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC0.5L
  6. 3Devonport Synthetic1009m28 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC3L
  7. 2Devonport Synthetic800m14 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC0.1L
  8. 8Launceston2100m20 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD49.25L

Insights

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Consistent

    Positive

    Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Racing in great heart. Pressed on early and stuck on well when in the market this course. Stats are tidy this course. Looks a serious player.

ILB

Did well when 2nd last start around here. Likely to be well placed early. Displaying good ability this campaign. Will be there at the business end.

RP

Track has proven suitable before; ran encouragingly when just over 1l second in a handicap last month; likely to be thereabouts.

RSIS

Did well when 2nd last time here. Likely to be well placed early. Been in the money multiple times lately. Will run close.

8Bella ChinkaraJ: Chloe Wells·T: J K Blacker154kg2 7 6 8 421: 1-4-4$18.00$4.60

Career

21: 1-4-4

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-2-1

  • Track Hobart

    14: 1-3-3

  • Track Launceston

    5: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 1-2-1

  • Going Good

    7: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 0-1-3

Last starts

  1. 4Hobart1420m3 Nov 2026 · CL2 · GOOD40.85L
  2. 8Launceston1420m23 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.93L
  3. 6Launceston1400m2 Oct 2026 · CL1 · SOFT52.75L
  4. 7Launceston1600m16 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD44.75L
  5. 2Devonport Synthetic1350m2 Sept 2026 · CL2 · SYNTHETIC1.25L
  6. 3Devonport Synthetic1350m26 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC1.5L
  7. 6Hobart1200m5 Aug 2026 · CL2 · SOFT73.9L
  8. 1Devonport Synthetic800m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC-2.3

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -70% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 23% Profit on Turnover

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Put in some good work late at Hobart. Fit from racing, warrants attention.

ILB

On a short turnaround. At $4.00 inched into 4th last time at Hobart and gets the perfect draw. Competing at a higher level of competition. Can run into the placings.

RP

Fourth a week ago, only beaten less than a length,, finished ahead of Last Tremble at Hobart in a handicap; low strike-rate of 1-21; been struggling to get her head in front recently so looks opposable.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Odds of 3/1 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last time at Hobart and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 2 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races
  • Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races