Shortest win price
Southern Auroras (4)
2.10
Launceston is set to host a cracking race over the 1200m on a good4 track under fine skies at 7:10 pm AEDT, with the win market seeing Southern Auroras leading the charge ahead of Mcveigh, The Trine, and Berserker! The numbers jump off the page for this Class 3 handicap, and we are ready to dive straight into the form to find our winners. Up ya go, let us break down how this field shapes up for a massive night of racing action!
Southern Auroras heads the market order for trainer S Gandy, coming off a solid second over this exact track and trip in Class 3 company where she came home hot on their heels. Mcveigh sits right behind in the betting for Adam Trinder, jumping from barrier 1 as a proven leader who scored strongly over 1120m here last start and is aiming for a hat-trick of venue wins. Meanwhile, The Trine returns from a 36-week spell for S Gandy from barrier 2, sporting some eye-catching first-up stats and a fresh trial placing that suggests a forward showing is on the cards. Berserker brings a strong fresh record to the table for Stephen Shaw, having tuned up with a pair of solid barrier trials following a spell.
Looking deeper into the speed map and stats feed, Mcveigh maps as the lone leader and will look to dictate terms early from the inside alley, while Platinum Reggae brings early speed to the table which is always a massive advantage on this tight circuit. Southern Auroras rates a real chance with her proven distance form on the board, and any runner handling the 1200m strongly will be storming home late. The numbers say keep a close eye on the front-runners and those with solid track experience. Check the live odds on track and back your judgement in a competitive Tasmanian showdown!
Shortest win price
Southern Auroras (4)
2.10
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
The Trine · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Mcveigh · Positive
Trainer Form
In form stable, out performing market expectations 29%
Southern Auroras · Negative
Trainer SR
Stuart Gandy striking at just 10%
Berserker · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Career
12: 3-1-5
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hobart
7: 2-1-2
Track Launceston
5: 1-0-3
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-0-3
Distance 1100m
4: 1-1-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1390m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 1-1-3
Going Soft
5: 2-0-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 10%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -24%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 37% Profit on Turnover
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
AAP
Resuming (36-weeks). In the minors first-up last campaign while trialling well in the lead-up. Gets all the favours from ace draw. Stacks up well fresh.
ILB
Fresh after a 36 week spell. Came on strongly to finish 3rd last time at this track and has a positive alley. Anthony Darmanin is a bonus. Has every chance.
RP
Possesses winning form at this track; finishing third was a good effort in March upped to 1m; returns from a break here; should figure.
RSIS
First run back after a break of 36 weeks. Came on strongly to finish 3rd when beaten by 1 1/2L last run here and drawn nicely. Will be in the finish.
Career
5: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Launceston
5: 2-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 2-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1220m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1120m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 2-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 29%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Erica Byrne Burke winning at 7% POT in last 100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
AAP
Attempting hat-trick of wins at this venue. Led, responded strongly to score in small field this course off long break. Won second-up last campaign. Can deliver again.
ILB
Took charge of the race when winning by a margin of 1L last time around here and can save some energy from the barrier. Promising career start. Can measure up against these.
RP
Came out on top by 1l over 5½f here (handicap) three weeks ago; seeking a hat-trick today and has taken a step forward the last twice; just second start in this company; respected.
RSIS
Dictated terms in front when winning by 1L last run at this track and good career start. Should be going forward early. Drawn well. Not out of this.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Gave solid chase in a good effort this track when second-up when fancied. Switching to 1200m.
ILB
Started at $2.05 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last time at the track.
RSIS
Started 21/20 and ran past a few when 4th last run at this track.
Career
14: 3-3-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 2-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Hobart
12: 3-2-4
Track Launceston
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1390m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 0-3-2
Going Soft
7: 3-0-2
Trainer SR
Negative
Stuart Gandy striking at just 10%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 37% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
AAP
Came home hot on their heels to grab second Hcp (C3) this venue over this trip. Likes some juice in the track. Rates highly.
ILB
Kept chasing when 2nd beaten by 1 3/4L last start here and suited at this trip historically. Going well this preparation and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Strongly fancied.
RP
Went down by just under 2l when runner-up last month; a proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 3-14; in the mix.
RSIS
Picked up late ground when 2nd last time at the track and strong performer at the trip. Getting better in recent performances. Hard to beat.
Career
37: 3-6-7
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track Hobart
21: 1-3-4
Track Launceston
9: 1-0-2
Track CurrentTrack
9: 1-0-2
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
5: 1-2-1
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
15: 1-3-2
Going Soft
15: 1-0-4
Going Synthetic
7: 1-3-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (22-weeks). Two solid trials have brought him on nicely and has won first-up. Been competitive this level. Worth a look fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up from a break of 22 weeks and rounded them up to win first up last preparation at Devonport Synthetic. Fitter for placing in all trials. Down in trip. Not likely to be troubling the more fancied runners today.
RP
Has won at this course; finished eighth but only beaten 2l over 1m at Hobart (handicap) in June; returns from a layoff; others are preferred as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Resuming and flew home to win resuming last preparation at Devonport Synthetic. Has placed in all trials but down in distance. Up in class. Gets some weight relief.
Career
23: 2-1-4
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
10: 1-1-2
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
7: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1203m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
10: 1-1-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Performance just fair this track when second-up at $18. Could get into the placings.
ILB
Jumped at $18.00 and struggled with the pace when 7th last time at this venue. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
A winner over this C&D; has not been firing consistently; didn't run too badly when out of the frame here (beaten 3l) over 5½f (handicap) last month; easy enough to take on as has a lot on her plate here.
RSIS
Was 17/1 and faded to finish 7th last start at the track.
Career
18: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
15: 2-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
15: 2-1-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 2-0-0
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 43% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 51% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Had all before him at turn and went home tamely this course off long spell. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Odds of $16.00 and basic showing when 8th last time here. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Cannot recommend as a betting proposition.
RP
Likes this combination of C&D; recent form is unremarkable; not beaten that far last month; a lot on his plate here and not easy to fancy.
RSIS
Was 15/1 and not competitive when 8th last start around here. Prefers to settle towards the tail.