Shortest win price
Summit (2)
2.05
Welcome to Launceston for the Clint & Laura, The Jetsetters! Hcp (C1) over 1400m on a Good 4 track under fine skies, timed to jump at 9:30 pm AEDT! The win market has Summit heading the pack right at the top of the order, followed closely by Time For Snow, Sh'Bourne Hiflyer, and Northern Child rounding out the front section of the market. Let's dig straight into the numbers and see how this field shapes up for a massive finish tonight!
The numbers jump off the page for our market leader Summit, prepared by Barry Campbell and steered by Luke P Dempsey from barrier 4. Summit ran a cracking race when just edged out by a narrow margin over this course on October 23 and maps midfield with a rating of 100, suggesting a big tick for a bold showing. Time For Snow sits right alongside in the market for trainer G J Stevenson and jockey Craig Newitt from barrier 1, having run on with conviction from the back half here last time out. Stepping up in distance looks a huge plus, making this runner a serious threat for the minors.
Looking further down the speed maps and market order, Sh'Bourne Hiflyer lines up from barrier 6 for trainer S Gandy and jockey Kelvin Sanderson, bringing a fast-finishing effort after getting up in the final strides over 1420m here latest. With Northern Child also holding down a speed map spot as a leader from barrier 8 for S Gandy and Anthony Darmanin, there is plenty of early pace to keep things interesting. The numbers say keep an eye on how these midfield and off-midfield runners sort themselves out, and Sh'Bourne Hiflyer rates a real chance to play a major role in the finish.
Shortest win price
Summit (2)
2.05
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Unfiltered · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Summit · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Northern Child · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Sh'Bourne Hiflyer · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Career
10: 1-2-3
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
3: 0-0-1
Track Launceston
6: 1-2-2
Track CurrentTrack
6: 1-2-2
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1420m
2: 1-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-2-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
No threat to winner but ran on for the minors this venue when drifting in the betting. Can again fill the minors here.
ILB
Good effort to run 3rd beaten by almost 2 1/2L last run at the track. Robyn Lynch takes a large claim. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.
RP
Has winning track form; best form so far in last two starts; split a number of these rivals when on the premises, finishing third at 14-1 last month; running in a handicap for just the second time; warrants respect.
RSIS
Hit the line well when 3rd beaten by nearly 2 1/2L last start at this venue. Robyn Lynch provides some weight relief. Should go very close.
Career
17: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Doomben
4: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1240m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1420m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
AAP
Ran a cracking race when just edged out this course 23 Oct. Better for the outing. Capable of playing a key role in this.
ILB
Close up last start here and form has been improving over recent runs. Winning potential.
RP
Knocking at the door recently; narrowly beaten and favourite on debut for this trainer had four of the horses he faces behind last month.
RSIS
Was agonizingly close last time here and getting better in recent performances. Very capable of taking this out.
Career
11: 1-1-3
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
8: 1-1-2
Track Launceston
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1880m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 0-1-1
Going Soft
4: 1-0-2
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 37% Profit on Turnover
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
AAP
Hobart Plate (C1) placegetter 5 Jul. Not disgraced this track off spell. Strips fitter. Key contender if things pan out.
ILB
Jumped at $11.00 and felt the pinch late when 6th last start at this track. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Unlikely to go close.
RP
Admirably consistent; split a number of these rivals when sixth beaten just under 3l dropped down to this distance three weeks ago; this only his second handicap outing; this looks a fair heat so passed over.
RSIS
Was 10/1 and faded away late when 6th last run at this venue. Blinkers go on for the first time. Has shown early pace in races to date.
Career
3: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Launceston
3: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1420m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Key Rider
Positive
Kelvin Sanderson 41% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 37% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Kelvin Sanderson winning at 28% POT in last 100 rides
AAP
Got up in final strides this course latest outing. Can fill the minors here.
ILB
Picked up late to win last time at the track and getting better in recent performances. Showing great form since returning from a break. Will be motoring home late. Best to watch and see.
RP
Gained a first success at the third time of asking when winning by a head last month upped to this trip in a maiden; she's worth a go.
RSIS
Dashed home to win last time at this venue and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Running with confidence of late. Finishes off strongly.
Career
17: 1-7-0
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-2-0
Track Moruya
1: 1-0-0
Track Canberra
4: 0-1-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 1-4-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-3-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
AAP
Ran on with some conviction from back half this track after a market ease for new trainer. Should appreciate stepping up in distance. Right in this.
ILB
At $7.00 ran on into 4th last time at the track and has drawn the rails. Jockey Craig Newitt and trainer Glenn Stevenson form a formidable team. Capable of winning this.
RP
Not beaten too far (2½l) over 6f here (handicap) last month on debut for this trainer; others appeal more with a number of his rivals in good nick.
RSIS
Odds of 6/1 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last start at the track and has the ideal stall. Jockey Craig Newitt and trainer Glenn Stevenson work well together. Strong prospects.
Career
13: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
6: 1-1-1
Track Launceston
5: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-2-2
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Not disgraced this venue. Winner this trip. One for multiples.
ILB
At $18.00 improved when 4th last time at the track. Erica Byrne Burke and Drew Tyson are usually a competitive duo. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Split a number of these rivals last month; been a while since he managed only win; passed over as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.
RSIS
Was 17/1 and ran on into 4th last time around here. Jockey Erica Byrne Burke and trainer Drew Tyson are a strong team. Not at all out of this race.
Career
11: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
9: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
9: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1120m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 350 day break (> 300 days)
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (50-weeks). Brought to race fitness with 3 trials and proven here. Worth a look fresh in this affair.
ILB
Racing fresh today after a break of 50 weeks. Started at $20.00 and faded late when 4th last start at this venue. Unplaced in multiple barrier trials. Few more classier types in this race.
RP
Has been fairly consistent lately; track has proven suitable before; fourth, not beaten that far (18-1) last November; returns from an absence here; a few rivals look in good form so looks opposable.
RSIS
Fresh from a 50 week break. Odds of 19/1 and tired late when 4th last time at the track. Unplaced in multiple trials.
Career
15: 1-0-4
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hobart
6: 1-0-0
Track Launceston
8: 0-0-3
Track CurrentTrack
8: 0-0-3
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-2
Distance 1420m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 0-0-2
Going Soft
9: 1-0-2
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Failed to threaten at Hobart for new trainer at a mammoth price. Will be fitter second-up. Warrants attention.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Tailed off to finish 12th last start at Hobart.
RP
Finished last of 12 over 6f at Hobart (handicap) on her debut for this trainer eight days ago; regularly runs here; this looks a decent race so not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Folded up in the straight when 12th last run at Hobart.
Career
22: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Hobart
5: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
13: 1-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
13: 1-2-1
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1420m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-2-0
Going Soft
11: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
4: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Positive
Indi Bowles 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 205%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 37%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
AAP
Sound performance in small field this venue over today's trip. Meets a higher standard here.
ILB
Displayed good finishing speed when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last time here and up against a less challenging field. Expected to settle towards the tail. Large claim helps. Sharp improvement needed.
RP
Has winning form over this course and distance on the CV; went off 14-1 when good runner-up 12 days ago; if he is able to build on his most recent effort then definite chance.
RSIS
Finished with intent when 2nd last start at the track and facing less formidable opponents. Might have to make up considerable ground. The large claim from Indi Bowles helps.