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Launceston (TAS) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Launceston (TAS), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovLaunceston (TAS)Change

Race 2 — Billie Blacker Hcp (C1) 1200m · jumps

Race preview

Class 1 handicap over 1200 metres at Launceston in fine conditions on a Good 4 track at 6:35 pm AEDT. Paris Winds is shortest in the market, with Oxidize next, then Warrior Smile and Waltzing Matilda rounding out the top four in the win order. The race shapes as a genuine scramble across the classes with plenty of runners in the mix and nowhere to hide over the straight mile.

Paris Winds rates a real chance at shortest odds. The runner has freshened after 42 to 60 days out and now drops back to a suitable class after racing in BM62 company. Fresh first-up runners from this stable bring form, and the comment suggests a measured approach to getting back on track. Warrior Smile sits next at barrier eight and fought bravely to the wire last time over this trip in Class 1 here. The form suggests the run before a barrier trial has freshened the horse, and the current shape points to better things second-up for the new stable. Oxidize should not be ignored either — second at Launceston over 1200 metres in Class 2 last time, and the comment flags the runner as profiling well on the back of that recent outing.

Out Of The Sphere is worth tracking deeper in the market. The runner holds the lead role in the speed map and carries clear jockey booking data — Luke P Dempsey is outperforming his career average by 30 per cent in the last 100 rides and sits 40 per cent above market expected across that period. The numbers say the booking deserves respect. Waltzing Matilda posted an encouraging effort for the new stable and is a winner over this trip at Launceston, with the recent run flagged as warranting inclusion. Alpine Honey sits outside the placegetters but brings hot jockey-trainer combo data — winning at 40 per cent POT across the last 100 races — and rates well to the map position here.

Race notes

  • CL1,CLASS 1 HCP,Class 1
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Paris Winds (4)

3.10

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 8Nikolsky

Offpace

  • 10Alpine Honey
  • 1Gilly's Boy

Onpace

  • 3Out Of The Sphere
  • 4Paris Winds
  • 5Vabuiagi
  • 7Oxidize
  • 9Ice Crystal
  • 6Waltzing Matilda

Leader

  • 2Warrior Smile
  • Gilly's Boy · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 58%

  • Warrior Smile · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Out Of The Sphere · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides

  • Paris Winds · Positive

    Fresh

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Gilly's BoyJ: Troy Baker·T: Sarah Cotton259kg3 1 42: 1-0-0$11.00$2.90

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Launceston1120m23 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.4L
  2. 1Launceston1100m2 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.4
  3. 3Hobart800m23 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.7L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 58%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

Comments

AAP

Debut winner at Launceston 2 Oct. Out of the placings but still acquitted himself well this track at second start. Worth a look.

ILB

Started $12.00 and ran past a few when 4th last run around here and will try to take advantage of the alley. Will go close today.

RP

Just his third outing so still early days; has won at this course; close up behind Waltzing Matilda when fourth over 5½f here (handicap) last month; running in a handicap for just the second time; plenty of appeal if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

At 11/1 edged past some when finishing 4th last start at the track and will try to take advantage of the stall. Will be there at the business end.

2Warrior SmileJ: Craig Newitt·T: J K Blacker859kg8 8 2 3 310: 1-0-2$6.00$2.05

Career

10: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1243m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Launceston800m5 Nov 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.1L
  2. 3Launceston1200m16 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.77L
  3. 2Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.4L
  4. 8Geelong1243m10 July 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY812.6L
  5. 8Ballarat Synthetic1200m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC3.9L
  6. 10Seymour1200m18 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD418.4L
  7. 9Traralgon1100m30 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY911.5L
  8. 5Caulfield1200m31 May 2025 · 2Y HCP · GOOD45.4L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Fought bravely to the wire in the Hcp (C1) this venue for new trainer. Strips in better shape. Since trialled at Launceston 5 Nov. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Good effort to finish 3rd last start around here. Placed 3rd in a barrier trial here on Nov 5th. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide draw. Definitely worth considering.

RP

Ran well to finish third (beaten just under 2l) four weeks ago on debut for this trainer; encouragement to be gleaned from latest effort so one to take seriously.

RSIS

Kept chasing when 3rd last start here. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace. Gets a chance against these.

3Out Of The SphereJ: Luke P Dempsey·T: Adam Trinder957.5kg12 3 1 6 69: 1-0-1$21.00$3.80

Career

9: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Devonport Synthetic

    5: 1-0-1

  • Track Hobart

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1009m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    5: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 6Launceston1200m16 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.07L
  2. 6Launceston1120m25 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD44.6L
  3. 1Devonport Synthetic1150m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-1.3
  4. 3Devonport Synthetic1009m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.1L
  5. 12Hobart1390m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD417.2L
  6. 6Hobart1200m25 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44L
  7. 8Devonport Synthetic1150m7 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC5.5L
  8. 2Devonport Synthetic800m23 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC3.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Luke P Dempsey 40% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 590%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 29%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Luke P Dempsey in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 40%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced this track over this trip at $20. Not out of this.

ILB

Jumped at $20.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last time here and has to carry more weight this time. Has the speed to overcome the wide alley. Others much better.

RP

Not beaten too far when sixth of ten four weeks ago - split Warrior Smile and Nikolsky; passed over with several rivals in good nick.

RSIS

At 19/1 tailed off to finish 6th last time here and will have to carry extra weight. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw.

4Paris WindsJ: Codi Jordan·T: G J Stevenson756.5kg1 7 5 7 77: 1-0-1$3.10$1.34

Career

7: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1012m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 7Ballarat1200m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.42L
  2. 7Geelong1347m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT76.6L
  3. 5Seymour1100m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · SOFT72.3L
  4. 7Morphettville1000m11 July 2026 · 3Y BM66 HCP · HEAVY107.9L
  5. 1Sale1012m1 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT6-1.3
  6. 3Warrnambool1100m16 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.8L
  7. 5Kilmore1110m29 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.8L
  8. 4Caulfield800m15 May 2025 · Barrier Trial3L

Insights

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (54-days). Ex D T O'Brien in Victoria. Sent out $10 when unable to threaten at Ballarat over this trip. Keeping safe at first run for new stable.

ILB

Freshened up. Jumped at $10.00 and weakened to finish 7th last start at Ballarat. Change in trainer. Likely to be well placed early. Minor claims.

RP

Finished seventh but wasn't beaten too far (4½l, Ballarat) two months ago; starts out for new stable; capable if in the mood so ought to be of interest.

RSIS

Freshened up. Odds of 9/1 and faded to finish 7th last time at Ballarat. Coming to a new trainer. Likely to be well placed early.

5VabuiagiJ: Anthony Darmanin·T: S Gandy1055.5kg3 3 8 3 17: 1-1-3$14.00$3.40

Career

7: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-2

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    3: 0-0-2

  • Track Launceston

    4: 1-1-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    4: 1-1-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 1Launceston1120m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.5
  2. 3Launceston1200m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.21L
  3. 8Hobart1410m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT55.1L
  4. 3Hobart1200m21 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT52.4L
  5. 3Hobart1100m7 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT52.8L
  6. 5Hobart800m26 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.3L
  7. 2Hobart800m12 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.1L
  8. 9Launceston1200m10 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.7L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Stuart Gandy striking at just 10%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Strong win from just off the leaders this venue when second-up. Sharper now, can make her presence felt again if things pan out.

ILB

Ran on strongly to win last run around here and showing improvement in recent outings. Been in the money each attempt this campaign. Expect a forward showing.

RP

Shown recent signs of improvement; opened account at the seventh attempt in a maiden 19 days ago, getting the job done by 1½l; possibilities.

RSIS

Rounded them up to win last run here and showing improvement in recent outings. Has not missed the placings of late in 2 attempts. Strong prospects in this race.

6Waltzing MatildaJ: Erica Byrne Burke·T: G J Stevenson155.5kg1 5 6 9 312: 1-0-1$7.50$2.35

Career

12: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Avoca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Burrumbeet

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Launceston1120m23 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.1L
  2. 9Devonport Synthetic1350m31 May 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC10.5L
  3. 6Hobart1200m10 May 2026 · CL1 · SOFT54.5L
  4. 5Launceston1420m17 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.1L
  5. 1Launceston1200m10 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT5-2
  6. 5Avoca1100m29 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD34L
  7. 4Geelong1212m14 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.2L
  8. 6Kilmore1200m13 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD43.1L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

Comments

AAP

Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up this venue for new stable. Better for the outing. Winner this trip. Encouraging latest and warrants inclusion.

ILB

Tidy effort when 3rd last time at this track and has the ideal barrier. Has shown early pace in races to date. Possible place chance.

RP

Respectable third over 5½f here (handicap) with Gilly's Boy just behind on first run for this trainer last month; boasts winning form over C&D.

RSIS

In the money when 3rd last start around here and drawn nicely. Should race on the pace.

7OxidizeJ: Hayley Mc Carthy·T: Dylan Clark555kg10 4 5 2 29: 1-2-0$3.20$1.36

Career

9: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    5: 1-2-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Launceston1200m30 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD41L
  2. 2Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
  3. 5Hobart1200m10 May 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.2L
  4. 4Launceston1220m17 Apr 2026 · CL2 · GOOD40.8L
  5. 10Launceston1100m3 Apr 2026 · BM60 · GOOD45.9L
  6. 1Launceston1200m12 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8
  7. 2Launceston1120m24 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.3L
  8. 1Longford800m14 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial-0.3

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Came home hot on their heels to grab second Hcp (C2) this venue after lengthy absence. Better for the outing. Profiles well.

ILB

Finished with intent when 2nd beaten by 1L last start here. Should muster plenty of early speed. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Went down by 1l when second last month; a winner over C&D.

RSIS

Good run when finishing 2nd beaten by 1L last time at this track. Won't be far away during the run. Betting is the best guide.

8NikolskyJ: Kirra-Lee Lane·T: M A Ganderton654.5kg1 6 2 7 310: 1-1-1$16.00$3.60

Career

10: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Strathalbyn

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1350m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Launceston800m5 Nov 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.6L
  2. 7Launceston1200m16 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.47L
  3. 2Devonport Synthetic800m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC0.1L
  4. 6Devonport Synthetic1350m7 Jan 2026 · CL2 · SYNTHETIC12.2L
  5. 1Devonport Synthetic1350m19 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-0.4
  6. 4Launceston1200m3 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.25L
  7. 3Launceston1200m12 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.9L
  8. 5Launceston800m6 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial3L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced this track off long spell. Fitter second-up and takes a 2kg claim. Usually gets back. Distant place hope only.

ILB

Underwhelming when 7th last time at this track. Ran 3rd in a barrier trial at this venue on Nov 5th. Value play.

RP

Not beaten too far when seventh here last month; a few rivals look in good form so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.

RSIS

Not up to standard when 7th last run around here. Displays very good closing pace. Ran 3rd in a trial at the track on Nov 5th. A threat to the other main hopes.

9Ice CrystalJ: Chloe Wells·T: Adrian Duggan354kg10 3 3 1 817: 1-0-3$26.00$4.00

Career

17: 1-0-3

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    10: 0-0-3

  • Track Launceston

    6: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    6: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1390m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1430m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    10: 1-0-2

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Hobart1600m24 May 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT55L
  2. 1Hobart1430m12 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-2.3
  3. 3Hobart1600m26 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42L
  4. 3Hobart1400m12 Apr 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51L
  5. 10Hobart1100m22 Mar 2026 · CL1 · GOOD47.4L
  6. 12Hobart1390m6 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD47.8L
  7. 11Hobart1200m25 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD47.3L
  8. 8Launceston1200m9 Jan 2026 · CL1 · SOFT55.1L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Adrian Duggan striking at just 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 41% Profit on Turnover

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (24-weeks). Ex Sigrid Carr Tasmania. Hard to make a case beyond the minors fresh in this company.

ILB

Racing fresh after a break. Odds of $13.00 and didn't threaten when 8th last run at Hobart and back in trip. Racing for a new trainer. Will need to find a few more lengths.

RP

Held when eighth of 11 in a conditions race at Hobart in May; has won previously at this course; not the most consistent of horses lately; back from an absence here; representing new trainer today; this looks a decent race so has some questions to answer.

RSIS

Fresh today. At 12/1 gave away some ground when 8th last run at Hobart and dropping in distance. Change in trainer.

10Alpine HoneyJ: Lauryn Bingley·T: J F Luttrell454kg9 2 5 9 922: 1-2-2$101.00$12.00

Career

22: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track Longford

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mildura

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1420m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    13: 0-2-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 9Hobart1200m3 Nov 2026 · CL1 · GOOD47.56L
  2. 9Launceston1420m23 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.95L
  3. 5Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.6L
  4. 2Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
  5. 9Launceston1600m16 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD416.75L
  6. 8Devonport Synthetic1350m26 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC5.6L
  7. 10Hobart1400m19 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT514.1L
  8. 10Hobart1600m24 May 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT511.3L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 40% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Hasn't done much since breaking his maiden. Failed to threaten (outside alley) at Hobart over this trip at a mammoth price. Needs to recapture form.

ILB

On a short back up. Jumped at $101.00 and tailed off to finish 9th last start at Hobart. Considering others.

RP

Shown only moderate recent form and you have to go back a fair way to find his only win; ninth of 12 when dropped in distance (Hobart) last week; this is competitive and only limited appeal.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Was 100/1 and faded away to finish 9th last run at Hobart.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 2 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races
  • Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races