Ballarat (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:47 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ballarat (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovBallarat (VIC)Change

Race 8 — Ule Hoof Oil (Bm62) 1200m · jumps Wed 11 Nov, 7:30 pm AEDT

Race preview

Ballarat sets the scene for race eight on the card, featuring the Ule Hoof Oil (Bm62) over 1200m on a good3 track under fine weather conditions. Looking at the early win market order, Deadly Force holds down the shortest quote, followed closely by Lucky Single, Hook 'N' Spur, and Strong Box rounding out the top four in betting. It is a ripping 1200m battle for the 3yo+ benchmark 62 grade runners, and the numbers jump off the page right from the get-go.

Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Deadly Force is out of the A & S Freedman stable with Blake Shinn steering from barrier nine, boasting a solid last start win at Mornington over 1000m where the runner quickened from the turn and kept finding. Strong Box jumps from barrier five for trainer Dominic Sutton and jockey Lachlan King, coming off a Mornington run and having previous track form right here at Ballarat. Both rate a real chance based on recent efforts.

Digging a bit further into the pack, Hook 'N' Spur comes into this first-up after a 22-week spell for trainer Gavin Bedggood with Jett Stanley aboard from barrier two, backed by a hot trainer stat and a big maiden win at Moe last prep. Meanwhile, El Salto maps well from barrier four for L E Robertson, outperforming track expectations by eight percent. Up ya go and good luck with your selections in a competitive Ballarat closer.

Race notes

3UP BM62 HCP,3yo+,BM62,Benchmark 62
GOOD3
Fine
11 runners

Shortest win price

Lucky Single (8)

3.30

Most career wins

Les Braves and Illuminance

2 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

3Hook 'N' Spur
6Strong Box

Midfield

7Illuminance
10Sistine Express
1Les Braves
9Our Yonglee
11El Salto

Offpace

2Deadly Force
8Lucky Single

Leader

4Onlooker
5Strangethingdesire

Les Braves · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 121%
Deadly Force · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Hook 'N' Spur · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 97%
Onlooker · Negative
Jockey Booking
Cian Macredmond current POT is 28% below Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Les BravesJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: R D Griffiths162kg2 8 4 1 811: 2-3-0$9.00$2.70

Career

11: 2-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-2-0
Track Seymour
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-2-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-3-0

Last starts

8Pakenham1000m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57.8L
1Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD4-0.75
4Pakenham1100m5 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.8L
8Seymour1300m15 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD34.6L
2Seymour1300m28 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD40.1L
2Cranbourne1200m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.8L
2Cranbourne1200m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.5L
4Seymour1300m13 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 121%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Pakenham second-up as a market drifter. Sharper now, not out of this.

ILB

Was $6.00 and ran 8th last start at Pakenham. Happy to overlook that run and has minimal work to do from the draw. Strong claims.

Held in eighth over 5f at Pakenham (handicap) two weeks ago; has won here previously; makes limited appeal as this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Started at 5/1 and came in 8th last start at Pakenham. Giving another go here and drawn well. Jockey Caitlin Hollowood is in form for this stable. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

2Deadly ForceJ: Blake Shinn·T: A & S Freedman960kg1 5 12: 1-0-0$3.40$1.40

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 1-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Mornington1000m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.25
5Wangaratta1000m14 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY106.1L
1Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.3

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Quickened from turn and kept finding at Mornington at second appearance. B Shinn on again. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Rounded them up to win last start at Mornington but racing in stronger company. Blake Shinn and Anthony Freedman & Sam Freedman command respect as a team. Major chance.

Off the mark at the second time of asking in a maiden at Mornington three weeks ago; plenty of appeal.

RSIS

Charged home to win last run at Mornington but matched against tougher rivals. Jockey Blake Shinn and trainer Anthony Freedman & Sam Freedman are a strong combination. Major player who should go very close.

3Hook 'N' SpurJ: Jett Stanley·T: Gavin Bedggood259.5kg–$7.50$2.45

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 97%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Gavin Bedggood in good form, out performing market 59%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 39% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (22-weeks). Consistently around the mark last prep. Big win in Maiden company Moe last time first-up. Can challenge again fresh in this affair.

ILB

Back from a break. Good run when finishing 3rd beaten by 4 1/4L last run at Sale and has a good draw. Has a nice turn of foot. Respect the betting.

Not disgraced when third of seven over 7f at Sale (handicap) five months ago; returns from a layoff; others more appealing.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Managed to finish 3rd last time at Sale and gets a favourable draw. Will be motoring home late. Betting is the best guide.

4OnlookerJ: Cian Macredmond·T: Ms M Cunningham1159.5kg5 1 53: 1-0-0$34.00$5.00

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1218m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

5Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.25L
1Ballarat1200m10 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.75
5Geelong1212m10 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT51.5L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Cian Macredmond current POT is 28% below Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 43% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Kyneton off long spell. Building fitness. Breaks from an outside gate. One for multiples.

ILB

At $6.50 looked outclassed when 5th last time at Kyneton but gets some weight relief. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide draw. Couldn't have in this.

Out of the frame (beaten just over 4l in fifth, Kyneton) three weeks ago; brings winning C&D form to the table; this just his second run in a handicap; others more likely.

RSIS

At 11/2 weakened under pressure when 5th last time at Kyneton but goes down in weight. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw.

5StrangethingdesireJ: Luke Currie·T: M, W & J Hawkes659.5kg1 6 93: 1-0-0$31.00$4.80

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1325m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Caulfield Heath1800m27 May 2026 · 0 - 66 · SOFT729.7L
6Bendigo1600m13 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD40.9L
1Geelong1325m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.2

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 90%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (24-weeks). Leads, handy. Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up and was much too speedy in front when winning by a margin of a short half head first up last preparation at Geelong. Shows good early pace. Long shot.

Finished out the back at Caulfield over 1m1f (handicap) in May; layoff to overcome; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Resuming and went to the front and never looked back when winning by a short half head resuming last preparation at Geelong. Displays good tactical pace.

6Strong BoxJ: Lachlan King·T: Dominic Sutton559kg5 1 6 3 45: 1-0-1$15.00$3.80

Career

5: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

4Mornington1000m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34L
3Ballarat1000m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.5L
6Caulfield Heath1000m20 May 2026 · 3Y BM64 · SOFT61.9L
1Seymour1000m13 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT5-1.5
5Ballarat1200m25 May 2025 · 2UP MDN SW · SOFT56.9L
3Caulfield800m15 May 2025 · Barrier Trial1.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 42% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Key Jockey
Positive
Lachlan King winning at 28% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression at Mornington when second-up. Query wet. All the better, can play a role.

ILB

Started $2.80 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last start at Mornington and carrying less weight this time. Jockey Lachlan King is in form for this stable. Will need to elevate.

Not disgraced in fourth over 5f at Mornington (handicap) 20 days ago; not many miles on the clock; he can be taken on.

RSIS

Odds of 9/5 and pushed past some when 4th last start at Mornington and suited by the weight drop.

7IlluminanceJ: Beau Mertens·T: Julius Sandhu1058.5kg3 3 7 2 928: 2-11-4$10.00$2.90

Career

28: 2-11-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-2-0
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
4: 0-2-1
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-1
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1143m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 2-2-2
Going Good
14: 1-8-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
13: 1-2-3

Last starts

9Pakenham1200m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.47L
2Cranbourne1300m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD32L
7Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.3L
3Sale1200m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT60.8L
3Seymour1200m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT72.4L
2Cranbourne1200m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY90.1L
5Cranbourne1400m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT72.8L
2Cranbourne1300m10 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.3L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced at Pakenham over this journey at $10. Generally around the mark in this grade. Fit from racing, could get into the placings.

ILB

Was $10.00 and faded to finish 9th last run at Pakenham. Beau Mertens rates highly. Watch betting.

An infrequent winner; ninth of 12 at Pakenham last month; trainer has been going through a quiet spell; this is competitive and hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Odds of 9/1 and didn't find the line when 9th last time at Pakenham. Beau Mertens is a key booking. Not at all out of this race.

8Lucky SingleJ: Logan Bates·T: M W Walker858kg–$3.30$1.45

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (21-weeks). Placed at Ararat on debut last campaign. 2nd at most recent jump-out at Cranbourne. Look for a positive first-up performance.

ILB

First up and put in a competitive run when placing 2nd beaten by 1L first up last preparation at Ararat. Drops back to a suitable grade. Take on trust.

Respectable fifth at Sandown in June; first-time cheekpieces on; unexposed in handicaps with this her second start in this company; ought to give it a shot if duplicating the form of her most recent win.

RSIS

Resuming and made some ground late when 2nd resuming last preparation at Ararat. Has been racing in stronger company.

9Our YongleeJ: Michael Dee·T: C I Brown357kg4 1 6 5 93: 1-0-0$26.00$4.60

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

9Cranbourne1200m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.63L
5Kilmore1100m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.66L
6Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
1Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.1
4Caulfield Heath800m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Clifford I Brown striking at just 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 129%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 48% Profit on Turnover
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Never better than midfield in the 3yo+ (Bm62) at Cranbourne second-up. Query wet. Sharper now, at best, a place hope.

ILB

At $18.00 couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time at Cranbourne. Definite winning chance.

Not beaten that far at Cranbourne four weeks ago; more than capable if on song so entitled to respect.

RSIS

Started 17/1 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last time at Cranbourne. Solid chance.

10Sistine ExpressJ: Damian Lane·T: Andrew Noblet756.5kg–$9.00$2.75

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (24-weeks). 4th & 1st at latest jump-outs. Worth a look fresh.

ILB

Back after a break. Started $8.50 and folded up in the straight when 8th last start at Geelong. Knockout chance.

Not beaten too far when eighth of 13 at Geelong over 7f (handicap, close behind Hook 'N' Spur) in May; returns from a break today; capable if in the mood so could be thereabouts.

RSIS

Back from a break. At 15/2 couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last time at Geelong.

11El SaltoJ: Nathan Punch·T: L E Robertson454.5kg–$61.00$8.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

Comments

AAP

Solid finish from the tail this venue. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Tidy run when 2nd last run here. Prefer others.

Specialist here with four wins; runner-up of seven when sent off 20-1 here over 5f (handicap) last Monday.

RSIS

Finished 2nd last time at this track.

12SayaleroScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

1Echuca1200m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
5Pakenham1400m15 May 2026 · F MDN-SW · SOFT53.6L
4Geelong1225m22 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.4L
5Caulfield Heath1100m20 Dec 2025 · 2yo · GOOD45L

Insights

Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let down with a raking drive to get up in final bounds at Echuca off long spell. Profiles well.

ILB

Rocketed home when winning last time at Echuca and can save some energy from the gate. Facing formidable opponents.

Narrow success in a maiden at Echuca when registering her first success at the fourth time of asking last month; held an entry at Mornington Tuesday.

RSIS

Ran over the top of them when winning last time at Echuca and drawn by the rails. Challenged by more formidable competitors.

13Cherry HillsScratched10––––

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

10Caulfield Heath1500m27 May 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT79.6L
1Bendigo1300m13 May 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.4
1Caulfield Heath1400m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.8

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 37%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (24-weeks). Good debut at Bendigo 13 May. Can make her presence felt fresh in this company.

ILB

First up after 24 weeks and stormed home to win first up last preparation at Bendigo. Down in trip.

Last of ten over 7½f at Caulfield (handicap) in May; returns from a break here; running in a handicap for only the second time; was due to run at Mornington Tuesday.

RSIS

Resuming and flew home to win resuming last preparation at Bendigo. Back in trip.

Odds correct as at Wed 11 Nov, 7:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Mon 2 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
Wed 30 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 18 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races