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Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovBallarat (VIC)Change

Race 4 — Hygain Edge (Bm66) 1400m · jumps

Race preview

Ballarat hosts the Hygain Edge at 5:25 pm AEDT over 1400 metres on Good 4 going with fine conditions. The win market has Centenary Florin shortest, followed by Farakta, then Ladhar and Rapid Cheval. Centenary Florin rates a real chance on a 95 IRD and won at first-up previously, though the jockey–trainer combo has underperformed by 52 per cent over their last 100 races. Farakta sits next in the betting with the highest rating at 100 IRD. A Cranbourne jump-out winner fresh, she's got early speed that suits this circuit and her map position has outperformed market by 8 per cent at Ballarat.

Ladhar looms as a player at shorter odds. Blake Shinn is riding hot, outperforming market by 22 per cent in recent form, and is up 22 per cent on career average in the last 100 rides. Her latest was a dominant 3yo-plus handicap conquest at Geelong over 1147 metres on 7 October. The AAP comment flags she went home tamely at Flemington when sent off at $26, and the added trip here should bring her on nicely. Ladhar records 2–0–0 second-up, a strong pattern. Over the odds sits Set Me Free. The Hayes stable is firing, outperforming market by 36 per cent with a 26 per cent return on turnover in their last 100 runners. Set Me Free has hit the board in four of her last seven and will race on pace from barrier six.

Rapid Cheval posted a pleasing late warm-up at Pakenham over 1200 metres on soft going and is worth a look at third-up. She's been freshened for this shift to the Hayes yard, and the extra 200 metres suits her profile. She prefers it dry, which works in her favour on Good 4. Tauri's jockey–trainer combination is a standout, outperforming market by 406 per cent—an eye-catching edge that deserves respect despite her longer odds. The speedgroups show Set Me Free and Ladhar fighting for the pace, with Centenary Florin aiming to lead from barrier eight. That setup could see genuine tempo early, which may work for runners closer to the speed.

Race notes

  • 3UP F&M BM66 HCP,3yo+,Benchmark 66,F&M BM66
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Centenary Florin (4) and Farakta (6)

3.00

Most career wins

Tauri

4-1-1 from 23 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 8Koolatah Queen

Midfield

  • 3Rapid Cheval

Offpace

  • 5Tauri
  • 6Farakta
  • 7She's A Jett

Onpace

  • 1Set Me Free
  • 2Ladhar

Leader

  • 4Centenary Florin

  • Set Me Free · Positive

    Trainer Form

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 36%

  • Ladhar · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides

  • Rapid Cheval · Positive

    Draw Suits

    Well drawn inside

  • Centenary Florin · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -52% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Set Me FreeJ: Luke Currie·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes659kg2 1 4 5 156: 1-2-0$9.00$2.35

Career

6: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2546m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1435m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 15Flemington2000m20 June 2026 · 3Y-QLTY HCP · SOFT742.3L
  2. 5Flemington2000m6 June 2026 · 3Y HCP · HEAVY84.9L
  3. 4Morphettville2546m9 May 2026 · 3yo · SOFT62.3L
  4. 1Moe2050m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.8
  5. 2Cranbourne1600m10 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61L
  6. 2Geelong1435m22 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.3L
  7. 2Kilmore1000m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.8L
  8. 5Caulfield Heath800m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 36%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (20-weeks). In the minors at Geelong on debut last campaign. Best on top of the ground. Has had a couple of tick over jump-outs. Can play a role fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up and ran home into 2nd first up last preparation at Geelong. Competing at a lower grade. Down in trip. Bit of extra work to do with more weight. Prefer in an easier race.

RP

Beaten a long way over 1m2f at Flemington (handicap) five months ago; back from an absence here; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Resuming and flashed home late into 2nd beaten by 3 1/4L resuming last preparation at Geelong. Up against weaker rivals. Coming back in trip. Carrying more weight than last time.

2LadharJ: Blake Shinn·T: A & S Freedman758.5kg6 1 4 1 76: 2-0-0$5.00$1.55

Career

6: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1147m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Flemington1200m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo · GOOD44.42L
  2. 1Geelong1147m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-1.25
  3. 4Mornington1000m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.4L
  4. 1Pakenham1000m23 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN SW · GOOD4-0.5
  5. 6Flemington1000m28 Feb 2026 · 2yo · GOOD47.5L
  6. 8Caulfield1000m15 Oct 2025 · 2yo · GOOD45.3L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Blake Shinn in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 22%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Latest conquest 3yo+ Hcp (C1) at Geelong 7 Oct. Went home tamely at Flemington at $26. Added trip should bring her on. Expecting better here.

ILB

Faded to finish 7th last start at Flemington but dropping in grade. Blake Shinn has a good track record with the Anthony Freedman & Sam Freedman stable. Watch early betting.

RP

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Flemington (beaten 4½l) two weeks ago in a Listed race; has strong claims now down in grade and she knows how to win.

RSIS

Faded away to finish 7th last start at Flemington but facing a weaker group of contenders. Jockey Blake Shinn and trainer Anthony Freedman & Sam Freedman form a proven partnership. Significant value and can go close.

3Rapid ChevalJ: Damien Thornton·T: Richard Laming258.5kg6 5 3 6 515: 2-1-2$11.00$2.65

Career

15: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    3: 1-0-2

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 2-1-2

Last starts

  1. 5Pakenham1200m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.2L
  2. 6Sandown1600m31 May 2026 · 0-66 · SOFT76.8L
  3. 3Caulfield Heath1400m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2L
  4. 5Caulfield Heath950m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6L
  5. 6Sandown1600m11 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD415.5L
  6. 6Cranbourne1600m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42L
  7. 1Gold Coast1800m4 Oct 2025 · CL1 · GOOD4-0.2
  8. 3Gold Coast1800m20 Sept 2025 · BM70 · GOOD41.4L

Insights

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Warmed up nicely late at Pakenham for new trainer at longer odds. Will be fitter second-up and rise in trip a plus. Seems to prefer it dry. Worth a look.

ILB

Outpaced some runners late when 5th last time at Pakenham and will try to take advantage of the draw. Very capable of taking this out.

RP

Wasn't beaten that far when fifth (beaten just over 2l) over 6f at Pakenham (handicap) on her first start for this trainer 12 days ago.

RSIS

Made some ground when 5th last time at Pakenham and drawn nicely. Has a credible chance.

4Centenary FlorinJ: Declan Bates·T: Shane Jackson857.5kg1 3 2 44: 1-1-1$3.00$1.28

Career

4: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

95

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Bendigo1300m28 Oct 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD41.56L
  2. 2Mornington1200m8 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT72L
  3. 3Flemington1400m16 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD42L
  4. 1Warrnambool1200m6 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY10-1.8

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -52% POT in their L100 Races

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Trimmed her margin late in the small field at Bendigo. Better conditioned. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Jumped at $4.20 and was making up some late ground when 4th last run at Bendigo and promising career start. Likely to be well placed early. Tough competitor.

RP

Lightly raced (this just her fifth race); finished fourth last month albeit only beaten 1½l at Bendigo over 6½f (handicap); should be thereabouts as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest and shown she can get her head in front.

RSIS

Odds of 10/3 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last time at Bendigo and solid career start. Shows good early pace. Will be competitive.

5TauriJ: Tom Madden·T: Q J Scott457.5kg4 2 1 8 123: 4-1-1$31.00$4.00

Career

23: 4-1-1

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 3-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    6: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1147m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Warrnambool1400m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD4-0.06
  2. 8Warrnambool1200m15 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD410.66L
  3. 1Mount Gambier900m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-6.8
  4. 2Ballarat Synthetic1400m30 June 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC4L
  5. 4Hamilton1600m26 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY108L
  6. 9Warrnambool1400m7 May 2026 · 2UP F&M BM70 HCP · HEAVY103.4L
  7. 3Hamilton1400m7 Apr 2026 · 0-62 · HEAVY81.8L
  8. 7Warrnambool1200m26 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT610.8L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 406%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ridden cold and let down powerfully at Warrnambool second-up. One for exotics.

ILB

Ran on strongly to win last time at Warrnambool. Hard to warm to at present.

RP

Snapped losing streak when springing a 100-1 surprise (Warrnambool) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Finished with purpose when winning last run at Warrnambool.

6FaraktaJ: Damian Lane·T: R D Griffiths557kg1 7 9 3 56: 1-0-2$3.00$1.28

Career

6: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.31L
  2. 3Bendigo1100m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.35L
  3. 9Morphettville1600m2 May 2026 · 3yo · SOFT77.1L
  4. 7Morphettville1400m18 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD43.9L
  5. 1Geelong1200m1 Apr 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8
  6. 3Pakenham1100m19 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT52L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 37 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Raced midfield, couldn't match it but not disgraced at Pakenham Synthetic when second-up. Cranbourne jump-out winner since. Looks suitably placed in this line-up.

ILB

Odds of $4.40 and advanced late into 5th last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Strong claims.

RP

Beaten 5½l (Pakenham) upped to this distance last month; needs considering given that not many of these impressed last time out and shown she can get her head in front.

RSIS

At 10/3 made up ground when 5th last time at Pakenham Synthetic. Strong competitor.

7She's A JettJ: Michael Dee·T: Henry Dwyer157kg4 1 2 6 75: 1-1-0$15.00$3.20

Career

5: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Echuca1400m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT713.2L
  2. 6Bendigo800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)6.9L
  3. 2Seymour1400m13 Apr 2026 · BM56 · SOFT51L
  4. 1Warrnambool1400m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-0.4
  5. 4Warrnambool1400m9 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.9L
  6. 12Ballarat1000m19 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.7L
  7. 10Horsham800m27 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial6.5L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 35% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 35% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 41% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

Comments

AAP

Let-up (73-days). Finished out the back at Echuca first run back. Geelong jump-out winner since. Not out of this fresh.

ILB

First up from a spell. At $7.00 below standard effort when 7th last start at Echuca but has a nice advantage with a good alley. Challenged by a tougher grade. Prefer in a much weaker race.

RP

Came home seventh, beaten 13l, at Echuca in August; others are preferred.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Started 6/1 and just average when 7th last time at Echuca but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.

8Koolatah QueenJ: Holly Durnan·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin356kg5 2 13 4 613: 1-1-1$13.00$3.00

Career

13: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Doomben

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1350m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.33L
  2. 4Wodonga1200m15 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.61L
  3. 13Ballarat1200m24 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD49.6L
  4. 2Mornington1200m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L
  5. 5Eagle Farm1820m14 Feb 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT73.3L
  6. 1Sunshine Coast1600m1 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.6
  7. 3Gold Coast1400m23 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.1L
  8. 15Gold Coast1400m10 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD47.2L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 87%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 37 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Went home just tamely at Pakenham Synthetic at $7.50. Back on turf. Can challenge.

ILB

Odds of $7.50 and finished 6th last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Likely to settle back in the field. This won't be easy.

RP

Close up behind Farakta when sixth at Pakenham five weeks ago; she can be taken on.

RSIS

Started at 13/2 and came in 6th last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Might be ridden for luck.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Mon 2 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Wed 30 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 18 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races