Ballarat (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 3:57 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ballarat (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovBallarat (VIC)Change

Race 3 — Manhari (Bm64) 1100m · jumps Wed 11 Nov, 4:50 pm AEDT

Race preview

Ballarat hosts a three-year-old benchmark 64 handicap over 1100 metres on a good track in fine conditions at 4:50 pm AEDT. Pocketfullofcash is the shortest-priced runner, with Strength Within, Running Rich, and Harry Met Sally following. The win market is compact — a sign the field is relatively even across the board. Pocketfullofcash draws barrier 8 as a natural leader, while Running Rich sits in barrier 9 and also figures to take a position up front. Strength Within, drawn barrier 2, sits on pace and will be in the action early. The backmarkers — Harry Met Sally, Mountjoy, and Daynes Dahwun — face the task of working their way through traffic on the straight.

Pocketfullofcash has the credentials that jump off the page. Trained by Reece Goodwin and ridden by Damian Lane, that jockey-trainer combo is outperforming market expectations by 96 per cent. Last start at Caulfield, the runner led but dropped away under pressure over 1200 metres; coming back to 1100 should suit. The form suggests a natural leader with upside, and the IRD rating of 100 sits well above rivals. Running Rich, from barrier 9 with Brad Rawiller, posted a hard-fought win at Bendigo 1000m off spell and carries first-up credentials — one win and one second from two first-up attempts. That maps well for this track, and Rawiller is outperforming his career average return on turnover by 17 per cent over his last 100 rides. Strength Within broke through at Horsham second-up over 1100 metres, jumping to the front and winning decisively. Drawn barrier 2 on pace, the runner has a soft run ahead and ought to be competitive again.

Harry Met Sally is highly fancied for a winning return after 31 weeks out, resuming off a soft barrier trial at Caulfield. Blake Shinn, the jockey, is riding at 22 per cent above market expectation in recent rides, and his career return on turnover is outperforming average by the same margin. The form reads as promising, though resumers carry inherent risk. In terms of early mover advantage, Pocketfullofcash and Running Rich will fight for the lead and set the fractions, while Strength Within is primed to slot in behind them. Our view: Pocketfullofcash rates a real chance at the head of the market, but Running Rich and Strength Within offer genuine value with form that stacks up.

Race notes

3Y BM64,3Y BM64 HCP,3yo,Benchmark 64
GOOD4
Fine
9 runners

Shortest win price

Pocketfullofcash (3)

1.80

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

1Harry Met Sally
2Mountjoy
5Daynes Dahwun

Offpace

6Pretty Panther
7Lady Of Pompeii
8Southern Sway

Onpace

9Strength Within

Leader

3Pocketfullofcash
4Running Rich

Harry Met Sally · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Mountjoy · Negative
Trainer SR
Henry Dwyer striking at just 8%
Pocketfullofcash · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Running Rich · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 17% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Harry Met SallyJ: Blake Shinn·T: M W Walker659.5kg3 4 1 2 55: 1-1-1$14.00$2.80

Career

5: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-1

Last starts

5Caulfield Heath1000m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.5L
2Sandown1400m6 Apr 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD42.3L
1Ballarat1200m10 Mar 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD3-1.8
4Flemington1000m28 Feb 2026 · 2yo · GOOD45.5L
3Pakenham1000m12 Feb 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.7L
9Flemington1000m4 Oct 2025 · 2yo · GOOD36L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Blake Shinn 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (31-weeks). Consistently around the mark last prep. In the minors at Pakenham first-up last campaign. Unplaced in most recent jump-out. Highly fancied for a winning return.

ILB

Resuming after a break of 31 weeks. Produced an eye catching run when 2nd last start at Sandown and promising career start. Will be trying to topple them late. Knockout chance.

Has taken a step forward the last twice; has winning form at this track; solid effort when beaten just over 2l to finish runner-up at Sandown over 7f (handicap) in April; this just his second run in a handicap; returns from an absence here.

RSIS

Back from a break of 31 weeks. Ran on strongly when 2nd last run at Sandown and promising career start. Has very good finishing pace. Coming back in distance.

2MountjoyJ: Declan Bates·T: Henry Dwyer359.5kg3 1 73: 1-0-1$13.00$2.70

Career

3: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

7Morphettville1400m27 June 2026 · 2yo · SOFT65.2L
1Swan Hill1300m5 June 2026 · 2yo · SOFT6-0.3
3Ballarat1000m24 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.6L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Henry Dwyer striking at just 8%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (19-weeks). Placed at Ballarat on debut last campaign. 3rd at most recent Geelong jump-out. Among the dangers fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up after 19 weeks and picked up late ground when 3rd beaten by 1/2L first up last preparation around here. Has good closing speed. Dropping in grade. Can win.

Beaten a fair way when seventh at Morphettville in June in a Listed race; returns from a layoff; no surprise to see her go well despite defeat last time as she was successful two runs ago and down in class.

RSIS

Resuming and was strong late when 3rd beaten by 1/2L resuming last preparation at this venue. Will be motoring home late. Competing in a less challenging grade. Solid career start. Genuine claims.

3PocketfullofcashJ: Damian Lane·T: Reece Goodwin859.5kg1 1 9 83: 1-0-0$1.80$1.07

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

8Caulfield1200m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo · GOOD45.63L
9Flemington1100m3 Oct 2026 · GROUP 2 3Y SWP · HEAVY95.25L
1Pakenham Synthetic1000m20 July 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC-2.5
1Pakenham Synthetic1000m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC-3

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 96%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Led, soon under pressure and dropped off at Caulfield last start. Can lead or take a sit. Coming back slightly in distance. Can challenge.

ILB

Looked outclassed when 8th last start at Caulfield. Expecting improvement and taking on easier opposition. Should muster plenty of early speed. Expect support.

No impression when eighth of 11 at Caulfield over 6f (Group 3) last month; passed over despite this looking a little easier than last time.

RSIS

Didn't attack the line when 8th last run at Caulfield. Expected to rebound and competing at a lower level of competition. Displays good tactical pace. Very tidy performer.

4Running RichJ: Brad Rawiller·T: Jarrod Robinson959.5kg2 3 3 13 15: 1-1-2$7.50$2.00

Career

5: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Bendigo
2: 1-0-1
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-1
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 1-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

1Bendigo1000m28 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.75
13Flemington1420m20 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT712.32L
3Swan Hill1300m5 June 2026 · 2yo · SOFT61.5L
3Bendigo1100m2 May 2026 · 2Y SW · GOOD31.8L
2Echuca1100m16 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD32L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 17% in Last 100 Rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Posted a hard fought win at Bendigo off spell. Should be prominent. Warrants attention.

ILB

Gave them all something to chase to win by 3/4L last time at Bendigo and showing consistent performance in races. Has shown early pace in races to date. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; registered first success at the fifth time of asking when landing a maiden over 5f by three-quarters of a length at Bendigo last month; others more likely despite that win at Bendigo.

RSIS

Controlled the pace to win by 3/4L last run at Bendigo and good career start. Brad Rawiller and Jarrod Robinson link well together. Expecting to settle positively.

5Daynes DahwunJ: Jye Mcneil·T: T Fitzsimmons559kg4 10 13: 1-0-0$41.00$4.60

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Echuca1000m19 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.35
10Sandown1400m25 Mar 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT512.4L
4Ballarat1200m10 Mar 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD34.6L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Timothy Fitzsimmons striking at just 7%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 118%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Just held on after leading at Echuca off long break. Can make his presence felt again.

ILB

Led and controlled the pace to win by a long neck last run at Echuca but competing in a higher grade. Likely to get back in the run. Questions at this level.

Scored narrowly in a maiden dropped back in distance (Echuca) when opening his account at the third time of asking 23 days ago; despite that Echuca success, is passed over.

RSIS

Showed a clean pair of heels when winning by a long neck last time at Echuca but up against a more competitive field. Expected to settle towards the tail.

6Pretty PantherJ: Jake Duffy·T: Olivia Osborne159kg1 22: 1-1-0$51.00$5.00

Career

2: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Tatura
1: 1-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0

Last starts

2Corowa1000m2 Nov 2026 · BM66 · SOFT61.01L
1Tatura1000m7 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN · SOFT7-0.4

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 103%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 38%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 50% Profit on Turnover
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Handy, knuckled down with purpose at Corowa. Sharper now, has some claims.

ILB

Placed 2nd last start at Corowa and has drawn to do little work. Has not missed the money this preparation in 2 attempts. Expecting a strong showing.

Finished a decent runner-up of nine over 5f at Corowa (handicap) nine days ago; this only his second handicap outing.

RSIS

Was competitive when 2nd last time at Corowa and has the ideal stall. In the top three at every start of late. Definitely worth considering.

7Lady Of PompeiiJ: Luke Currie·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes457.5kg3 4 12: 1-0-0$12.00$2.65

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Geelong1212m4 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY10-0.2
4Pakenham1200m15 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT51.6L
3Caulfield Heath800m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.7L

Insights

Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 36%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Set for second campaign (22-weeks). Pleasing debut effort then confirmed her ability with a win at at Geelong. 2nd & 1st at recent jump-outs. Warrants plenty of attention fresh.

ILB

Back from a break. Reeled them in to win last run at Geelong but challenged by more formidable competitors. Needs a lot of luck.

Landed a narrow success in a maiden at Geelong when opening her account at the second time of asking five months ago; returns from a break here; can be on the premises.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Was eating up the ground late when winning last start at Geelong but competing in a higher grade.

8Southern SwayJ: Lachlan King·T: Dominic Sutton757.5kg11: 1-0-0$20.00$3.60

Career

1: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Ballarat1000m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.75

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 42% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Lachlan King 53% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Lachlan King in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 53%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Mid-field and impressed in her first outing running on in good style to score when supported. Can again play a role.

ILB

Ran on strongly to win last time at the track and having second career run. Up against a higher level of opposition. Could not recommend in this.

Successful introduction scoring narrowly over 5f here at 11-4 three weeks ago; strong claims.

RSIS

Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last run here and was on debut last time. Challenged by more formidable competitors.

9Strength WithinJ: Linda Meech·T: Tom Dabernig257kg10 12: 1-0-0$5.00$1.50

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Horsham
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Horsham1100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-4
10Ballarat1000m24 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.3L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Linda Meech current POT is 28% below Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 33% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Jumped to the front and simply too good taking out the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Horsham at second appearance. Drawn to get a soft run. Has claims.

ILB

Controlled the pace when winning by 4L last run at Horsham and drawn nicely. Likely to be well placed early. Up against a more competitive field. Others are better.

Had something to spare at the finish when winning three weeks ago at Horsham in a maiden; trainer is ticking along nicely; could go close.

RSIS

Took charge of the race to win by a margin of 4L last start at Horsham and can find a nice position from the draw. Shows good early pace.

Odds correct as at Wed 11 Nov, 4:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Mon 2 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
Wed 30 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 18 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races