Ballarat (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 3:58 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ballarat (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovBallarat (VIC)Change

Race 1 — Power FM Mdn Plate 1400m · jumps Wed 11 Nov, 3:40 pm AEDT

Race preview

Ballarat on a soft track is hosting the Power FM Maiden Plate over 1400m at 3:40 pm AEDT. The Goodness holds the shortest quote in the win market, with Royal Maximus and Gun City sitting next. This is classic maiden territory where form can shift quickly, and the soft going adds another variable. The field splits across five distinct racing lanes, from early leaders through to backmarkers, which shapes how this one could be run.

Goodness rates highly in this affair according to the rating (100, IRD). That runner has form that jumps off the page: a brave effort to the wire at Sale first-up back in the 4-up maiden, then a tighter outing at Wangaratta. Michael Dee is in the saddle from barrier three, and the combo sits onpace. Royal Maximus, trained by C J Waller and piloted by Damian Lane, comes in as the leader type from barrier two and looks set to play a leading role fresh. That runner hasn't been beaten far in maiden company at Geelong and the stable is currently going at 21% POT across the last 100 runners. The form suggests Goodness has the more compelling narrative, though Royal Maximus holds genuine claims with a lead role likely.

Gun City, drawn barrier one, is second-up and better for race exposure after a drift at the career opener on the Ballarat Synthetic. The Mcevoy stable is struggling with just 8% strike rate lately, and the jockey–trainer combo has been losing 27% POT, so hope for exotics only. Dorchester, a 3yo filly on debut out of a 3-time winning mare, is attracting attention—the Hawkes stable is out-performing expectations by 90% and rates a real chance as a first-starter with quality breeding behind her. Stomping Ground goes hard early according to sectional data and sits onpace, with jockey Brad Rawiller running 17% better than career average of late.

Race notes

3UP MDN SW,3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT5
Fine
7 runners

Shortest win price

Goodness (8)

2.00

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

9Dorchester
10Loyalty

Backmarker

2Release The Fox

Midfield

6Gun City

Onpace

7Stomping Ground
8Goodness

Leader

3Royal Maximus

Release The Fox · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.
Royal Maximus · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Gun City · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Stomping Ground · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Iron StupaScratched3––––

Career

10: 0-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1390m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-2-0

Last starts

2Mortlake1300m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51L
3Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.25L
3Warrnambool1200m1 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · HEAVY92.75L
2Tatura1000m7 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT70.5L
6Echuca1400m16 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD37.8L
5Warracknabeal1200m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.2L
6Edenhope1450m7 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.4L
2Hobart1390m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.5L

Insights

Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Rarely far away. Really good run coming from the back in 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Mortlake. Not out of it.

ILB

Finished with intent when 2nd last run at Mortlake. Has run into the money 4 from 4 attempts this preparation.

Has taken a step forward the last twice but still winless and defeats stacking up (ten on the bounce); finishing runner-up was a good effort last month over 6½f (maiden, Mortlake).

RSIS

Finished well when 2nd beaten by 1L last time at Mortlake. Has run into the money 4 from 4 attempts lately.

2Release The FoxJ: Dean Yendall·T: Joanne Agius659.5kg1 01: 0-0-0$81.00$15.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Moe1200m28 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY1016.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dean Yendall 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Dean Yendall in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 19%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (23-weeks). Ex Paul & Tracey Templeton in Victoria. A long way off them at Moe on debut as an outsider. Would need to improve from there and hard to entertain without a market push.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. Started at $61.00 and lacklustre showing when 10th last time at Moe but was on debut last time. Racing for a new trainer. Has ability but this is challenging.

Beaten on his debut in May at Moe (in cheekpieces) seeming green; improvement certainly not ruled out; back from an absence here; now running for a new stable.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Was 60/1 and just average when 10th last time at Moe but was a debutant last start. First race for a new trainer.

3Royal MaximusJ: Damian Lane·T: C J Waller259.5kg5 3 4 24: 0-1-1$3.10$1.55

Career

4: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1717m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Sale1717m10 June 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY80.4L
4Caulfield Heath1500m27 May 2026 · MDN · SOFT74.8L
3Ballarat1600m10 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT62.2L
5Geelong1325m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.4L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (22-weeks). Not beaten far Maiden company at Geelong first-up last preparation. 4ths at past couple of jump-outs. Set to play a leading role fresh.

ILB

Fresh after a break. Competed in a tight contest last start at Sale on a heavy rated track and gets a favourable alley. Should come to hand quickly. Will be there at the business end.

Good effort when close up over 1m½f at Sale (maiden) five months ago; returns from a break today.

RSIS

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Competed in a tight contest last run at Sale and will try to take advantage of the stall. Major chance.

4Bogey FreeScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Key Rider
Positive
Blake Shinn 22% above market expected in L100 Rides

Comments

AAP

Bold debut effort when just shaded by winner at Warrnambool 29 Oct at $3.40. Better for experience. Key player if he gets the breaks.

ILB

Threw down a serious challenge last run at Warrnambool and having second race start.

RSIS

Narrowly beaten last time at Warrnambool and was on debut last time.

5CipheredScratched6––––

Career

2: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1218m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.4L
7Pakenham1200m8 May 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY810.7L
3Caulfield Heath850m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 97%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 59%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 39% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Odds of $6 when made the frame at Kyneton 20 Oct. Can challenge again.

ILB

Produced an eye catching run when 3rd beaten by almost 3 1/2L last run at Kyneton.

Ran a solid race finishing third at Kyneton over 6f (maiden) three weeks ago; should be on the premises now that he knows his job.

RSIS

Nice effort when placing 3rd last start at Kyneton.

6Gun CityJ: Jye Mcneil·T: T & C Mcevoy158kg51: 0-0-0$6.00$2.60

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Ballarat Synthetic1200m18 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 50%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 54% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (12-weeks). Not disgraced at Ballarat Synthetic as a market drifter at career opener 18 Aug. Better for race exposure. Hope for exotics only.

ILB

Back after break. Jumped at $9.00 and got going late when 5th last time Ballarat Synthetic and having second career run. Has the ideal alley. Do not dismiss entirely.

Not disgraced (beaten 3½l) on his debut in course maiden over 6f at 8-1 in August; couldn't rule out improvement although wouldn't get too carried away.

RSIS

First run back after a break. At 8/1 moved ahead of some to finish 5th last start Ballarat Synthetic and fitter for debut run. Drawn by the rails.

7Stomping GroundJ: Brad Rawiller·T: E & D Browne458kg5 6 4 8 45: 0-0-0$19.00$4.60

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Warrnambool1300m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.31L
8Hamilton1100m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT66.1L
4Warracknabeal1000m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L
6Sandown1300m25 Feb 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT512.8L
5Pakenham1200m5 Feb 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD412.3L
3Caulfield800m2 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial3L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early

Comments

AAP

Battled home okay at Warrnambool. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Odds of $26.00 and ran 4th last run at Warrnambool. Has shown early pace in races to date. Will need its best to find a place.

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Warrnambool (beaten 3½l) over 6½f (maiden) last month; others more appealing.

RSIS

Started 25/1 and finished 4th last run at Warrnambool. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.

8GoodnessJ: Michael Dee·T: A & S Freedman357.5kg3 2 5 34: 0-1-2$2.00$1.30

Career

4: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-2
Track Sale
1: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-1
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

3Sale1400m25 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · HEAVY101.6L
5Wangaratta1590m14 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY107.4L
2Caulfield Heath1500m27 May 2026 · MDN · SOFT70.3L
3Bendigo1300m13 May 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD40.9L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential

Comments

AAP

Strong SP profile. Fought bravely to the wire in the 4yo+ Mdn Plate at Sale first run back. Will be fitter second-up. Rates highly in this affair.

ILB

Came on strongly when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Sale and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Likely to be well placed early. Good chance today.

Some promise; closest she has come to winning after four starts was a second; not beaten far when third at Sale two weeks ago.

RSIS

Made some ground late when 3rd last time at Sale on a heavy rated track and promising career start. Will be positive in the run early. Like to be on it today.

9DorchesterJ: Luke Currie·T: M, W & J Hawkes556kg6$11.00$3.80

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

6Rosehill900m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)6.7L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 90%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). 3yo filly making her debut out of a 3-time winning mare Our Sea Goddess. Recent 4th in a Flemington 800m jump-out. Follow any betting leads.

ILB

3yo by Almanzor having first race start for trainer Michael, Wayne And John Hawkes. Watch betting.

Sire capable of getting smart offspring; newcomers from this trainer are often capable of winning; New Zealander bred; can make her presence felt with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

3yo by Almanzor having first start for trainer Michael, Wayne And John Hawkes.

10LoyaltyJ: Cian Macredmond·T: C Maher756kg–$12.00$3.90

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Cian MacRedmond current POT is 28% below Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 43% in L100 rides
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

3yo filly having her first start today, out of an unraced mare. 4th at most recent jump-out. Awkward alley but watch for any market push.

ILB

Ciaron Maher trained 3yo by Kingman having first race start. Market as guide.

This daughter of Kingman looks the part on breeding; stable can prepare one to win first time out; looks like a player.

RSIS

Debutant 3yo by Kingman for trainer Ciaron Maher.

Odds correct as at Wed 11 Nov, 3:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Mon 2 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
Wed 30 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 18 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races