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Belmont (WA) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Belmont (WA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovBelmont (WA)Change

Race 7 — Swan Draught Hcp (C3) 1400m · jumps

Race preview

It's the Swan Draught Hcp at Belmont over 1400 metres on Good 3 going, set down for 8:37 pm AEDT. Barron Bill is shortest in the market, with Run Pattie Run and Super Sentai next in line. Rising Fame and Fearless Talk round out the top five. Four runners will contest the leader's position — King Brew, Fearless Talk, Rising Fame, and Sky River all map there, so early pressure is locked in. Barron Bill sits offpace from barrier 3, which gives the fourth pick some real estate to work with down the straight.

Barron Bill shapes as the angle play. Lucy F Fiore's ride has just one run for rating — an eight-length defeat at 1200 metres last time — but the comment flags a long spell and a return to fitness. AAP rates the map position as a tick, outperforming market expectations by 8 per cent at Belmont. Best of all, the record shows two career starts and one win at the track. Run Pattie Run won't be far away either. Holly Watson is 22 per cent above expected in her last 100 rides, and the jockey's recent POT is 25 per cent better than her career average. From barrier 2, the midfield map is clean, and Darren Taylor's runner struck at 2 from 5 first-up. Rising Fame brings a win and a tick at York to her last two starts. Steven Parnham's booking is a negative here, but the outer draw is offset by gate speed, and AAP rates her right in the mix.

Super Sentai rates a real chance from the wide barrier. Chris Parnham sticks with the ride, and the last-start comment notes minor spoils at 1200 metres — still competitive at this distance and trip. The fastest finishing sectionals last start jumps off the page, and a pilot with Parnham's record will know how to use it. King Brew and the leader group will set a solid pace, which suits a finisher. Fearless Talk has the jockey edge — Zephen Johnston-Porter is 54 per cent better than his career average of late — but the j/t combo is struggling at minus 48 per cent POT in the last 100.

Race notes

  • 3UP CL3 54+ HCP,3yo+,CL3,Class 3
  • GOOD3
  • Fine
  • 12 runners

Shortest win price

Barron Bill (3)

3.60

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 9Apparatus

Offmidfield

  • 8Slick

Midfield

  • 10Mavis Myrtle
  • 2Queen Aria
  • 6Run Pattie Run

Offpace

  • 3Barron Bill
  • 7Zouconi
  • 4Super Sentai

Leader

  • 1King Brew
  • 12Sky River
  • 5Fearless Talk
  • 11Rising Fame

  • King Brew · Positive

    Trainer Career

    Proven stable with a S/R of 33%

  • Queen Aria · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Adam Durrant striking at just 6%

  • Barron Bill · Positive

    Maps Well

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Super Sentai · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1King BrewJ: Laqdar Ramoly·T: Chad Caporn560.5kg9 2 9 5 88: 2-3-0$9.00$2.90

Career

8: 2-3-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    4: 2-2-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-3-0

  • Going Good

    5: 2-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Belmont1000m28 Oct 2026 · 3UP CLASS 3 HCP · GOOD48.86L
  2. 5Belmont1000m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
  3. 9Bunbury1100m30 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · SOFT56.1L
  4. 2Pinjarra1200m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY81.5L
  5. 9Belmont1000m4 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 66+ HCP · SOFT69.4L
  6. 1Pinjarra1200m8 Apr 2026 · 2UP CLASS 1 50+ HCP · GOOD4-2
  7. 1Pinjarra1300m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · GOOD4-3.4
  8. 2Pinjarra1200m12 Mar 2026 · 2UP SW MDN · GOOD40.6L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Positive

    Proven stable with a S/R of 33%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 32% POT in their L100 Races

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 51%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten this track off spell. Better conditioned. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Jumped at $11.00 and didn't find the line when 8th last time around here but stepping up in distance. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Last of eight here over 5f (handicap) last month; knows how to win so has a chance.

RSIS

Started at 10/1 and faded away to finish 8th last start here but racing over more ground. Jockey Laqdar Ramoly usually performs well for this stable. Watch for a sign in the market.

2Queen AriaJ: Natasha Faithfull·T: A G Durrant758.5kg7 2 3 4 1018: 2-5-2$14.00$3.80

Career

18: 2-5-2

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Pinjarra Scarpside

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Northam

    4: 1-2-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    6: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    16: 2-4-1

Last starts

  1. 10Northam1400m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL5 HCP 60+ · GOOD46.93L
  2. 4Bunbury1100m7 Oct 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD42.62L
  3. 3Ascot1600m29 Apr 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT52L
  4. 2Pinjarra1600m15 Apr 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD41L
  5. 7Ascot1400m4 Apr 2026 · 2UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · GOOD43.5L
  6. 4Ascot1500m21 Mar 2026 · 2UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · GOOD42.5L
  7. 3Pinjarra1300m14 Feb 2026 · 2UP GRAD 1MW HCP 60+ · GOOD42.1L
  8. 2Ascot1200m4 Feb 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD41.2L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Adam Durrant striking at just 6%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Natasha Faithfull 25% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 51%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure when second-up in the 3yo+ Hcp (C5) at Northam. Can step up from latest.

ILB

At $3.60 folded up in the straight when 10th last run at Northam. Has some claims.

RP

Had been doing well before disappointing effort latest; well held tenth when second favourite for 11-runner event at Northam last month upped to this distance; this is competitive and others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Odds of 13/5 and weakened to finish 10th last time at Northam. Not without a chance.

3Barron BillJ: Lucy F Fiore·T: D L Morton358kg2 2 1 9 84: 1-2-0$3.60$1.60

Career

4: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Belmont

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    2: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 8Belmont1200m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD38.23L
  2. 9Belmont1000m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
  3. 1Belmont1200m16 May 2026 · 2Y SWP · SOFT5-0.6
  4. 2Ascot1000m29 Apr 2026 · 2Y SW MDN · SOFT51.74L
  5. 2Ascot1000m11 Apr 2026 · 2Y SWP · GOOD43.2L
  6. 1Belmont1000m30 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.2
  7. 5Lark Hill950m23 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.6L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    1 time winner here at Belmont

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ridden back and never a factor this course off long spell. Strips fitter. Looking to bounce back.

ILB

Started at $3.60 and below par performance when 8th last run at this track. Likely to bounce back and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Commands serious respect.

RP

A course winner; few miles on the clock with this his fifth race; finished eighth, beaten 8l, over 6f here (handicap) 21 days ago; this just his second run in a handicap; very interesting despite defeat last time as he was successful two runs ago.

RSIS

Started 13/5 and average performance when 8th last start at this venue. Giving another chance here and good career start. Will take a stack of beating.

4Super SentaiJ: Chris Parnham·T: S & J Casey1258kg6 1 10 3 35: 1-0-1$6.00$2.25

Career

5: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Northam

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Belmont1200m28 Oct 2026 · 3UP C&G CLASS 1 HCP · GOOD46.65L
  2. 3Belmont1200m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.4L
  3. 10Northam1300m27 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · HEAVY1.8L
  4. 1Northam1100m23 July 2026 · 2UP SW MDN · GOOD4-0.1
  5. 6Pinjarra1400m21 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD46.1L
  6. 5Ascot1200m10 Dec 2025 · 3Y 0MWLY SC 52+ HCP · GOOD43.5L
  7. 3Belmont1000m24 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial3L
  8. 4Belmont400m10 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial2.3L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

In the minor spoils but still well held this course. Has an adverse draw but C Parnham sticks.

ILB

Finished strongly when 3rd beaten by just short of 7L last start here. Likely to get back in the run. This won't be easy.

RP

Third of seven beaten 7l here over 6f (handicap) last month; others more likely.

RSIS

Hit the line well when 3rd beaten by nearly 7L last start at the track. Likely to get back.

5Fearless TalkJ: Zephen Johnston-Porter·T: Ms A King857kg1 11 3 14 925: 3-3-6$9.00$2.90

Career

25: 3-3-6

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Northam

    5: 1-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    6: 2-0-2

  • Track Ascot

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    8: 0-0-3

  • Distance 1300m

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    17: 3-1-4

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-2-2

Last starts

  1. 9Ascot1200m24 Oct 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY SC 58+ · GOOD46.29L
  2. 14Belmont1300m13 June 2026 · 4UP 58+ · SOFT66.9L
  3. 3Belmont1400m23 May 2026 · 4UP NMWLY 55+ HCP · GOOD41.1L
  4. 11Northam1300m3 May 2026 · 2UP CL5 60+ HCP · SOFT59.1L
  5. 1Pinjarra1400m8 Apr 2026 · 2UP CLASS 3 54+ HCP · GOOD4-0.4
  6. 1Pinjarra1400m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD4-0.1
  7. 3Belmont1200m4 Mar 2026 · 2UP CLASS 1 HCP · GOOD41.8L
  8. 5Belmont1200m11 Feb 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP 50+ · GOOD33.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 54% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Zephen Johnston-Porter in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 44%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Started $81 when safely held at Ascot for new trainer. Fitter and capable of better second-up.

ILB

Odds of $81.00 and didn't attack the line when 9th last run at Ascot. Should come to hand quickly. Prefer in a much weaker race.

RP

Finished ninth of 12 over 6f at Ascot (handicap) two weeks ago on debut for this trainer; this looks a decent race so others more appealing.

RSIS

At 80/1 didn't threaten when 9th last start at Ascot. Should come to hand quickly.

6Run Pattie RunJ: Holly Watson·T: Darren Taylor256.5kg7 2 4 5 729: 3-3-4$5.50$2.15

Career

29: 3-3-4

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 2-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    6: 0-1-0

  • Track Albany

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bunbury

    9: 3-1-2

  • Distance 1108m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    13: 2-2-2

  • Distance 1230m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    23: 2-3-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 7Northam1300m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL3 F&M 54+ HCP · GOOD41.51L
  2. 5Ascot1200m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.72L
  3. 4Bunbury1200m28 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD43.88L
  4. 2Bunbury1200m10 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD40.6L
  5. 7Northam1300m27 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · HEAVY1.8L
  6. 7Bunbury1100m30 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · SOFT55.7L
  7. 5Belmont1600m25 Mar 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD43.2L
  8. 5Pinjarra1500m12 Mar 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD44.9L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Holly Watson 22% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran on with some conviction from back half at Northam at double-figure odds. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Started $26.00 and finished 7th last time at Northam but drawn nicely. Rough chance today.

RP

Creditable seventh, beaten 1½l, of 15 over 6½f at Northam (handicap) two weeks ago; all her winning form has come at Bunbury (three successes); not been able to get her head in front lately so others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Started 25/1 and ran 7th last start at Northam but will try to take advantage of the stall.

7ZouconiJ: Chanel Cooper·T: G & A Williams1156kg12 3 2 9 1012: 2-0-3$34.00$5.50

Career

12: 2-0-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Northam

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    9: 2-0-2

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 10Northam1300m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL3 F&M 54+ HCP · GOOD43.58L
  2. 9Bunbury1100m7 Oct 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD48.98L
  3. 2Lark Hill950m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.4L
  4. 3Lark Hill950m7 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L
  5. 12Belmont1300m6 Aug 2025 · 3UP CL3 F&M 54+ HCP · SOFT59.2L
  6. 6Bunbury1400m19 July 2025 · 3Y HCP 59+ · SOFT63.18L
  7. 1Northam1400m2 July 2025 · 2UP CLASS 1 HCP · GOOD4-0.57
  8. 3Bunbury1200m11 June 2025 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · SOFT51.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 31% better than Career Avg.

  • Top Stable

    Positive

    G & A Williams performing 31% above market expectation

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Chanel Cooper 27% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Battled home okay at Northam when second-up. Happy to watch.

ILB

Started at $91.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last run at Northam. Coming to a new trainer. Needs a mighty effort to win this.

RP

This is her level; close up behind Run Pattie Run when tenth over 6½f at Northam (handicap) 17 days ago; first start for stable; more than capable if on song so has to be considered.

RSIS

Started 90/1 and didn't find the line when 10th last run at Northam. Racing for a new trainer.

8SlickJ: Brandon Louis·T: Ms J Erkelens155.5kg4 5 8 10 1011: 2-0-0$23.00$4.40

Career

11: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    5: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 0-0-0

  • Track Northam

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Belmont1200m28 Oct 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD46.41L
  2. 10Belmont1650m26 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT611.7L
  3. 8Belmont1300m15 Aug 2026 · 4UP 58+ 0MWLY SPEC COND HT 1 · GOOD45.5L
  4. 5Belmont1200m1 Aug 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY HCP 58+ · SOFT52.7L
  5. 4Belmont1000m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)4.3L
  6. 9Belmont1400m11 Feb 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · GOOD34.5L
  7. 1Ascot1400m28 Jan 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD4-0.5
  8. 1Pinjarra1200m15 Jan 2026 · 2UP F&M MDN SW · GOOD4-0.3

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 32% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • 2nd Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when second up

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure in the 3yo+ (Rs0ly) this track. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Started $17.00 and tailed off to finish 10th last run at this venue but has the ideal gate. Likely to get back. Best to watch and see.

RP

Held in tenth here over 6f (handicap) last month; by no means ruled out if replicating the best of her form.

RSIS

Started at 16/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 10th last start at this venue but has a nice advantage with a good stall. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

9ApparatusJ: Shaun O'Donnell·T: Dylan Bairstow655kg6 15 9 8 532: 3-3-3$10.00$3.20

Career

32: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Flemington

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    9: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1406m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-1-1

  • Going Good

    25: 2-2-2

Last starts

  1. 5York1300m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD44.33L
  2. 8Pinjarra1300m22 July 2026 · 2UP CL5 60+ HCP · GOOD44.4L
  3. 9Pinjarra1400m2 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · SOFT54.8L
  4. 15Belmont1600m20 June 2026 · 2UP GRAD HCP 60+ · GOOD46.3L
  5. 6Belmont1400m10 June 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD43.8L
  6. 9Belmont1400m3 June 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT52.6L
  7. 3Belmont1400m23 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 60+ · GOOD41.4L
  8. 4Pinjarra1200m13 May 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD41L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Dylan Bairstow striking at just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 58% Profit on Turnover

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 34 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Last win was 1 Feb. Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at York. Steep class rise.

ILB

On a short back up. Failed to threaten last run at York but showing improvement in recent outings. Does take a while to get into stride. Few more classier types in this race.

RP

Was behind Rising Fame at York five weeks ago when not disgraced over 6½f (handicap); meeting some horses in good form and not one to rely on.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Towards the rear last run at York and challenged by more formidable competitors. Might be ridden for luck. Showing improvement in recent outings.

10Mavis MyrtleJ: Jefferson Tsang·T: C G Willis954kg8 6 12 8 134: 3-1-3$31.00$5.50

Career

34: 3-1-3

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    6: 1-1-0

  • Track Albany

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    12: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    9: 3-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    22: 2-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-0-3

Last starts

  1. 1Collie1400m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ · GOOD-0.93
  2. 8Bunbury1400m7 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD47.18L
  3. 12Belmont1600m26 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.22L
  4. 6Bunbury1685m17 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 53+ HCP · GOOD44.99L
  5. 8Belmont1700m9 Sept 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD45.8L
  6. 8Belmont1300m29 Aug 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY 57+ · GOOD44.2L
  7. 13Belmont1400m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP 1MW GRAD HCP 60+ · HEAVY913.8L
  8. 1Bunbury1400m30 July 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP 50+ · SOFT5-2.6

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 277%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

All honours in the small field at Collie over this trip. ackling stronger now but can't discount.

ILB

Led all the way when winning by a margin of 1L last run at Collie but up against a more competitive field. Large claim helps. Chances are slim.

RP

Gained narrow success in a handicap at Collie two weeks ago; despite that Collie success, others more appealing.

RSIS

Led throughout when winning by a margin of 1L last time at Collie but competing in a higher grade. The large claim from Jefferson Tsang should help.

11Rising FameJ: Steven Parnham·T: N D Parnham1054kg6 5 8 1 319: 2-3-4$9.00$3.00

Career

19: 2-3-4

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Bunbury

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    8: 0-1-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    8: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-2-2

  • Distance 1300m

    6: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    15: 2-3-3

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Ascot1400m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP CL3 53+ HCP · SOFT51.07L
  2. 1York1300m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD4-3.14
  3. 8Belmont1400m9 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD43.7L
  4. 5Belmont1400m26 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · SOFT65.4L
  5. 6Belmont1400m19 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 F&M 54+ HCP · SOFT51.1L
  6. 4Northam1300m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD47.2L
  7. 5Pinjarra1300m22 July 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD41.1L
  8. 8Belmont1000m22 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)11.4L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Steven Parnham current POT is 12% below Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -26%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Outer barrier but has good gate speed. A few runs under her belt this campaign, right in the mix again.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Claimed late when 3rd last time at Ascot. Should be rolling forward early from the wide alley. Will be facing a challenge.

RP

Solid effort in defeat to finish third after going off 14-1 at Ascot last Tuesday.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Claimed late when 3rd last run at Ascot. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace.

12Sky RiverJ: Jason Li·T: N D Parnham454kg9 11 7 2 324: 2-4-2$26.00$4.80

Career

24: 2-4-2

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Bunbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    7: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    7: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    5: 0-2-1

  • Distance 1619m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1650m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    22: 2-4-2

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Geraldton1619m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.04L
  2. 2York1500m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD40.07L
  3. 7Northam1400m23 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL5 59+ HCP · GOOD410.67L
  4. 11Belmont1400m16 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 F&M 54+ HCP · GOOD49.41L
  5. 9Belmont1400m2 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD46.2L
  6. 7Belmont1000m3 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.1L
  7. 6Belmont1000m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)10.6L
  8. 6York1500m6 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG 52+ HCP · GOOD46.3L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Racing Solidly

    Positive

    In peak form

Comments

AAP

Sent forward, outgunned late but boxed on at Geraldton. On pacer. Can again fill the minors here.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Towards the tail last start at York and competing at a higher level of competition. Has early speed and positions nicely. Others preferred.

RP

Finishing third was a good effort last month over 1m (handicap) at Geraldton; not been able to get her head in front lately so others are preferred.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Failed to threaten last start at York and up against a more competitive field. Should muster plenty of early toe. Jason Li provides some weight relief.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 5 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
  • Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Wed 9 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races