Shortest win price
De Lago's Rock (5)
2.40
We're at Belmont on a fine night, 1650m Class 1 for the three-year-olds and up. De Lago's Rock sits shortest in the market, followed by Joyoh, then Costa Del Darlo and Final Call. The track is rated Good 3. De Lago's Rock grabbed our eye with a dominant Northam maiden win last time, and the combo of jockey William Pike and trainer Josh Brown is running hot, outperforming market expectations by 69 per cent. Pike's recent form is humming too — 36 per cent better than his career average. That's the stat that jumps off the page.
Joyoh profiles well on the numbers. Rating 100 at IRD, the horse dictated at Ascot two starts back before only getting nailed late, and that's the kind of run that frames up nicely for a 1650m scrap. Natasha Faithfull's in the saddle from barrier 3. Costa Del Darlo comes in third favourite and rates a real chance — the jockey and trainer combo are out performing market by 46 per cent, and Laqdar Ramoly's stable is in form, up 34 per cent. He's been campaigning deep but still sits in the mix. Final Call, the leader on pace, opened at 81 IRD and can have a major say if things pan out. He's building fitness after that small field outing at Northam and carries 58.5kg from barrier 8.
Speed shapes as Costa Del Darlo and Espinho lead the charge on pace, with Final Call aiming to get across and lead. Joyoh and De Lago's Rock sit back offpace — that's where the bottom weight could work home late. Pike's record reads sharp, and a horse that won by over two lengths at his last start, fresh, rates a genuine contender for the win here.
Shortest win price
De Lago's Rock (5)
2.40
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Costa Del Darlo · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%
Major Magnus · Negative
Trainer SR
Brad Graham striking at just 3%
Final Call · Negative
Trainer SR
Donna Riordan striking at just 6%
Joyoh · Negative
Trainer SR
Ted Martinovich striking at just 2%
Career
9: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-1-1
Going Good
8: 1-1-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 34%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
AAP
Run down in the shadows after a giving a kick from on pace at Northam. Deep into his campaign, right in the mix again.
ILB
Just missed last run at Northam. Keep safe.
RP
Has found improvement of late; went close when third (Northam) two weeks ago.
RSIS
Right up there last start at Northam.
Career
18: 1-2-3
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
4: 0-1-1
Track Pinjarra
5: 0-1-1
Track Bunbury
7: 1-0-1
Distance 2013m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
14: 1-1-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Brad Graham striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -25%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Restrained, ran into the minors late at Northam. Place best.
ILB
Managed to run into 3rd last run at Northam. Would not recommend.
RP
Third, not beaten that far (28-1) over 7f at Northam (handicap) when little between him and Final Call (last) 13 days ago.
RSIS
Displayed good finishing pace when 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L last time at Northam.
Career
13: 1-1-4
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-1-4
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Donna Riordan striking at just 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Form 3rd Up
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when third up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Battled home into last in the small field at Northam after a market ease. Building fitness. Can have a major say if things pan out.
ILB
Was $13.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 5th last time at Northam. Has early speed and positions nicely. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Struggled a bit since winning a maiden at Ascot last December; finished last of five over 7f at Northam (handicap) when dropped in distance (close behind Major Magnus) 13 days ago; a few rivals look in good form so looks an unlikely winner.
RSIS
At 12/1 tailed off to finish 5th last start at Northam. Should jump out and bowl along. Could be in the mix.
Career
17: 1-4-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-2
Track CurrentTrack
6: 1-1-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
7: 0-2-3
Distance 1000m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 1-3-3
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Ted Martinovich striking at just 2%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 74%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 80% Profit on Turnover
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4.5kg now
AAP
Only nailed late after dictating at Ascot. Profiles well.
ILB
Put together a strong on-speed performance when 2nd beaten by 1L last time at Ascot and up against a less competitive field. Likely to be well placed early. Beautifully placed.
RP
Went down by just over 1l when runner-up over 7f at Ascot (handicap) last month; a previous winner here.
RSIS
Displayed a strong effort throughout the race when 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Ascot and facing weaker opposition. Expecting to settle positively. Going up in weight. Solid chance to come away with the spoils.
Career
5: 1-0-3
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track Kalgoorlie
1: 0-0-1
Track Northam
3: 1-0-2
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1600m
2: 1-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 1-0-2
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 36% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 69%
Key Jockey
Positive
William Pike winning at 27% POT in last 100 rides
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
Disposed of them easily at Northam. W Pike on again. Worth a look.
ILB
Charged home to win last run at Northam and promising career start. Should race on the speed. William Pike is a suitable booking but facing a stronger group of contenders. Can measure up against these.
RP
Came out on top by 2l in a maiden when opening his account at the fifth time of asking at Northam 13 days ago; seems to be improving based on last two runs; should not be far away.
RSIS
Flew home to win last run at Northam and showing consistent performance in races. Should muster plenty of early toe. Been in the top three each attempt lately. Good prospects.
Career
4: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Northam
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-0
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Delivered a steely performance to score at Northam. Regular rider Noske jumps off. In the mix.
ILB
Ran on hard when winning last run at Northam but rising in class. Getting better in recent performances.
RP
Came out on top by 1½l at Northam when registering her first success at the fourth time of asking two weeks ago in a maiden; major player.
RSIS
Dashed home to win last start at Northam and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Testing ability against stronger contenders.
Career
9: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
3: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1677m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Adam Durrant striking at just 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 51%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Northam second-up. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Odds of $41.00 and picked up some late ground when 5th last run at Northam. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Looking at others.
RP
Not far behind Costa Del Darlo when fifth (Northam) last month; not discounted if finding her best form.
RSIS
Started 40/1 and overtook some late when 5th last time at Northam. Might have to make up considerable ground.
Career
7: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Track York
1: 1-0-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ridden back and never a factor at Northam. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
At $15.00 ordinary performance when 8th last time at Northam. Might be ridden for luck. Needs too much luck.
RP
Beaten 10l at Northam two weeks ago; seems to be improving based on last two runs; meeting some horses in good form and has questions to answer.
RSIS
At 14/1 below standard effort when 8th last time at Northam. Likely to get back in the field.
Career
16: 1-1-3
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-1
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-1-1
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-1
Going Good
11: 0-0-2
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Largely struggled in his post maiden runs. Hard to recommend on current vein of form.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Lacklustre showing when 7th last start at Bunbury but has the ideal draw. Blinkers go off for the first time and stepping up in trip. Can lift in this event.
RP
Held in seventh over 6f at Bunbury (handicap) last week; he meets the required standard ability wise; shouldn't be far away.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Subpar when 7th last run at Bunbury but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Win will not surprise.
Career
32: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Roebourne
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
6: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
8: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 1-0-2
Going Soft
14: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 29% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Jarrad Humphries striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 47% in L100 rides
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
On a short back-up. Last win was 23 May 2024. Finished well held this venue. Distant place hope only.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Was $71.00 and didn't threaten when 6th last run around here but has a positive gate. Needs significant improvement.
RP
Managed just one success in her career to date; held in sixth over 7f here (handicap) on Thursday; a few rivals look in good form so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Started 70/1 and faded to finish 6th last time at this venue but has a good draw.