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Pakenham (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 13 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 13 NovPakenham (VIC)Change

Race 7 — Ranvet (Bm66) 1200m · jumps

Race preview

Pakenham hosts a competitive 1200m benchmark 66 handicap on a soft 5 surface under showers for race seven at 9:15 pm AEDT. The win market order has Ten Warriors sitting at the head of affairs, closely followed by Cattle Camp, Bardia's Dream, and Blankfield shaping up as the key fancies in an open contest.

Ten Warriors brings strong metro form, having broken maiden rank three back before a closing second at Geelong over 1100m, and should appreciate stripping fitter second-up. Cattle Camp also rates a real chance after launching with the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start when just missing over this exact course and distance. Blankfield is another who knows how to win at this track and distance, and the numbers say Alexander Rae's stable runner is right in the mix after stripping in better shape following a run at Sale.

Looking further down the market, Bardia's Dream caught the eye fighting on bravely to win over this track and trip previously, though Simon Zahra's runner cops an awkward gate this time around. With speed groups showing runners like Overactive and Sussex Duchess applying early pressure from their respective maps, this clash has all the ingredients for a terrific finish. Check the live odds on track before diving in.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM66,BM66 HCP,Benchmark 66
  • SOFT5
  • Showers
  • 11 runners

Shortest win price

Ten Warriors (5)

5.00

Most career wins

Blondeau

5-5-7 from 60 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 6Yum

Offmidfield

  • 10Efferato
  • 12Blondeau
  • 2Overactive
  • 11Cattle Camp

Midfield

  • 5Ten Warriors
  • 7Blankfield
  • 8Sussex Duchess

Offpace

  • 3Some People Callme
  • 9Bardia's Dream
  • 13Fatty Finn

  • Overactive · Positive

    Profitable Trainer

    Stable runners going at 32% POT in L100 Runners

  • Some People Callme · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ten Warriors · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 10%

  • Yum · Positive

    Fast Early

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Nation StateScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

On speed, had enough in the tank for the minors 3yo+ (Bm70) at Cranbourne off spell. Draw makes the job harder. Strikes a stronger field.

ILB

Was found wanting late when 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Cranbourne.

RSIS

Honest run on the pace before fading to finish 2nd last run at Cranbourne.

2OveractiveJ: Beau Mertens·T: Gavin Bedggood761.5kg4 1 9 13 829: 3-4-4$12.00$3.40

Career

29: 3-4-4

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-2-1

  • Second-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Kempton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1441m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    18: 3-3-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 8Caulfield Heath1500m27 May 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT73.4L
  2. 13Warrnambool1700m7 May 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY1016.6L
  3. 9Caulfield1800m4 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD311L
  4. 1Cranbourne1600m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD4-0.5
  5. 4Sandown1300m25 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT52.8L
  6. 9Caulfield1700m11 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM80 GRAND HCP · GOOD46.9L
  7. 3Sandown1500m24 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.8L
  8. 2Bendigo1400m17 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT51L

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 32% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (24-weeks). Ex A & S Freedman in Victoria. Has performed well previously first-up without winning. 1st & 2nd at the jump-outs. Can play a role fresh.

ILB

Back from a break. Was $17.00 and basic showing when 8th last run at Caulfield Heath and coming back in distance. Coming to a new trainer. Slim hope.

RP

Not disgraced in eighth over 7½f at Caulfield (handicap) in May; representing new stable today; back from an absence here; a lot on his plate here and others more likely.

RSIS

Fresh today after a break. Started 16/1 and appeared lacklustre when 8th last start at Caulfield Heath and coming back in distance. Coming to a new trainer.

3Some People CallmeJ: Damian Lane·T: Scott Cameron561kg5 1 4 3 417: 3-3-2$7.00$2.45

Career

17: 3-3-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-2-1

  • Second-up

    4: 2-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 1-1-1

  • Going Good

    13: 3-2-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-2

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Ballarat Synthetic1200m30 June 2026 · BM70 · SYNTHETIC4L
  2. 3Swan Hill1300m7 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT51.3L
  3. 4Bendigo1100m13 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD41.2L
  4. 1Seymour1300m28 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD4-0.1
  5. 5Geelong1307m14 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD2.66L
  6. 3Sandown1200m13 Aug 2025 · 4yo+ · SOFT53L
  7. 7Flemington1620m22 June 2024 · 3Y HCP · GOOD49.2L
  8. 4Flemington1600m8 June 2024 · 3Y QUALITY · GOOD45L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (19-weeks). Close in Benchmark 66 company at Bendigo first-up last campaign. 5th & 2nd from latest jump-outs. Could challenge fresh.

ILB

Fresh from a break. Was $11.00 and picked up some ground to run 4th last start Ballarat Synthetic. Shows good early pace. Should go close.

RP

Has largely been consistent of late; not beaten too far when fourth at Ballarat four months ago; returns from a break here; this looks a fair heat so may have to settle for supporting role at best.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Started 10/1 and edged past some when finishing 4th last time Ballarat Synthetic. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Strong chance.

4King WestScratched9––––

Career

14: 3-4-2

Rating · IRD

95

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    5: 2-1-0

  • Track Hamilton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 955m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1017m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Warrnambool1200m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD40.15L
  2. 3Warrnambool1200m15 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD40.16L
  3. 2Pakenham Synthetic1200m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SYNTHETIC1L
  4. 1Moe1208m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-2
  5. 4Sale1000m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.8L
  6. 3Sale1200m8 Jan 2026 · BM62 · GOOD31.5L
  7. 4Cranbourne1000m19 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD42.2L
  8. 2Cranbourne955m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD31L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Enver Jusufovic striking at just 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Honest

    Positive

    Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Racing consistently. Not beaten far here two back over 1200m. Raced on the pace and went down in a thrilling stoush at Warrnambool. Been competitive this level. Respecting.

ILB

Competed in a tight contest last start at Warrnambool. Putting up notable efforts this preparation.

RP

Record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 3-14) and no reward for a string of creditable efforts of late; beaten narrowly (Warrnambool) last month.

RSIS

Was agonizingly close last time at Warrnambool. In a purple patch of form recently.

5Ten WarriorsJ: Jamie Melham·T: T Rogers960kg5 3 1 2 217: 1-8-4$5.00$2.00

Career

17: 1-8-4

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-4-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-2

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    3: 0-2-0

  • Track Sale

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-3-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 1-5-2

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-3-2

Last starts

  1. 2Geelong1100m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD40.5L
  2. 2Caulfield1400m11 Apr 2026 · CL3-SW · SOFT70.8L
  3. 1Caulfield Heath1200m18 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.4
  4. 3Sandown1300m11 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
  5. 5Pakenham1400m26 Feb 2026 · 3UP CLASS 3 SW · GOOD42L
  6. 2Pakenham1400m5 Feb 2026 · 3-5yo · GOOD40.25L
  7. 2Pakenham1200m16 Jan 2026 · 3-5yo · GOOD40.5L
  8. 4Ballarat1400m6 Dec 2025 · 3-5yo · SOFT60.7L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 10%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Consistent

    Positive

    Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Broke maiden in metro company three back. Out the back, closed with raking strides in the 3yo+ (Bm66) at Geelong after lengthy absence. Will be fitter second-up. Not out of this.

ILB

Good effort to run 2nd beaten by 1/2L last time at Geelong. Will be fighting out the finish.

RP

Consistent lately; not beaten far over 5½f at Geelong (handicap) last month; just second start in this company.

RSIS

Ran home into 2nd beaten by 1/2L last run at Geelong. Attracts support.

6YumJ: Zac Spain·T: John Mcardle1060kg9 5 7 7 413: 2-0-1$9.00$2.80

Career

13: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Geelong1300m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD43.6L
  2. 7Mornington1200m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT52.38L
  3. 7Sandown1400m23 May 2026 · 3Y FILLIES BM78 HCP · SOFT74.85L
  4. 5Flemington1400m25 Apr 2026 · 3Y FILLIES BM 70 HCP · GOOD39.5L
  5. 9Flemington1400m28 Mar 2026 · 3Y HCP · HEAVY85.02L
  6. 7Caulfield1400m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.4L
  7. 4Flemington1100m28 Feb 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD42.5L
  8. 9Caulfield2000m18 Oct 2025 · 3yo · GOOD47.2L

Insights

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Form 3rd Up

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when third up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fair performance without threatening at Geelong when second-up at $8.50. Fitter for those two runs and ready to show best. Among the dangers.

ILB

Odds of $8.50 and made up ground when 4th last start at Geelong. Should be swooping on the field late. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Not beaten too far when fourth of eight over 6½f at Geelong (handicap) 23 days ago; leading contender.

RSIS

Started 15/2 and moved through the field into 4th last time at Geelong. Has very good closing pace. Could be in the mix.

7BlankfieldJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: Alexander Rae659.5kg1 1 7 9 49: 2-2-2$7.00$2.45

Career

9: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    3: 0-1-2

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 2-1-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Sale1200m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · HEAVY104.05L
  2. 9Caulfield1400m25 July 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT66.2L
  3. 7Flemington1200m4 July 2026 · 3yo · SOFT73.1L
  4. 1Caulfield Heath1200m27 May 2026 · 3Y BM64 · SOFT7-0.1
  5. 1Pakenham1200m16 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY8-1.5
  6. 3Cranbourne1400m22 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD31.3L
  7. 2Pakenham1400m9 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD30.8L
  8. 3Cranbourne1300m19 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.2L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 137%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 36% POT in L100 Runners

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Well back and made limited headway at Sale first run back. Strips in better shape. Winner at track and distance. Right in the mix.

ILB

Jumped at $9.00 and pushed past some when 4th last start at Sale and strong performer at the trip. Daniel Stackhouse and Alex Rae deserve serious attention when combined. One of the punters top hopes.

RP

Has scored over C&D; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; not beaten that far in fourth (4l, Sale) three weeks ago; knows how to win so looks like a player.

RSIS

Started at 8/1 and crept into 4th last start at Sale on a heavy rated track and have to respect the form at this distance. Definitely worth considering.

8Sussex DuchessJ: Thomas Stockdale·T: Andrew Noblet859.5kg1 4 1 6 513: 3-2-3$15.00$3.70

Career

13: 3-2-3

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Geelong

    5: 2-1-1

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1221m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    8: 3-1-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-2

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Bendigo1100m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.77L
  2. 6Sandown1400m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.6L
  3. 1Geelong1300m1 Apr 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD4-0.1
  4. 4Caulfield Heath1200m4 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.7L
  5. 1Seymour1200m20 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.2
  6. 2Pakenham1100m5 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD40.5L
  7. 1Geelong1112m14 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-2
  8. 3Bendigo1300m14 Aug 2025 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT60.9L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Snagged back and last at 400m before letting down late to just miss the minors at Bendigo off extended spell. Looks up against it.

ILB

Was $81.00 and got going late when 5th last time at Bendigo. This field likely to be too good.

RP

Finished fifth beaten three-quarters of a length at Bendigo over 5½f (handicap) two weeks ago; resume shows that she is a proven winner (seeking a fourth career win); in with a shout.

RSIS

Started at 80/1 and made some ground when 5th last run at Bendigo.

9Bardia's DreamJ: Jye Mcneil·T: Simon Zahra1159kg1 2 12 2 117: 4-2-1$6.50$2.40

Career

17: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    12: 4-1-1

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 3-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Pakenham1200m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.3
  2. 2Bendigo1100m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT60.35L
  3. 12Ballarat1200m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD49.08L
  4. 2Seymour1200m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY80.3L
  5. 1Seymour1200m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT7-0.1
  6. 4Seymour1300m19 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY93.8L
  7. 9Pakenham Synthetic1200m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.5L
  8. 9Sandown1300m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 66%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 44% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

In touch and fought on dauntlessly this track over this trip. Awkwardly drawn this time. A few runs under her belt this campaign, has claims for a repeat.

ILB

Ran on strongly to win last run at the track. Proven performer on a soft surface. Has the speed to overcome the wide gate. This looks a tough assignment.

RP

Claimed a second C&D win two weeks ago when successful by a neck; must go on the shortlist.

RSIS

Strong effort to the line to win last start at the track. Has won 3 from 7 runs on soft ground.

10EfferatoJ: Luke Cartwright·T: Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor358.5kg81: 0-0-0$15.00$3.70

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Pakenham1200m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.17L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 62% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Luke Cartwright 52% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Luke Cartwright in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 52%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Steps out for second Aust start after racing in HK. Raced in back half and failed to issue a serious challenge here at first run back from a year off. Look for further improvement here.

ILB

Jumped at $11.00 and ran 8th last time around here but having second career run. Others preferred.

RP

Could not compete with Bardia's Dream when eighth, beaten just over 3l (10-1) 14 days ago over C&D; scored one in three outings overseas; passed over.

RSIS

Started at 10/1 and ran 8th last start around here but having second career run.

11Cattle CampJ: Luke Nolen·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman258kg3 6 4 7 26: 1-1-1$5.50$2.10

Career

6: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1006m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 2Pakenham1200m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.3L
  2. 7Cranbourne1200m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.13L
  3. 4Kilmore1100m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.66L
  4. 6Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT54.8L
  5. 3Caulfield Heath1200m29 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD40.96L
  6. 1Sale1006m8 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD3-0.5

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Luke Nolen current POT is 46% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 49%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 55% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 55% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

Comments

AAP

Displayed a fine change of gears running home to just miss in the 3yo+ (Bm62) this venue over this distance. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Missed by a narrow margin last time at this venue and has a positive barrier. Has good closing speed. Good chance and definitely has claims.

RP

Producing consistent form; went down by a neck behind Bardia's Dream 14 days ago.

RSIS

Just missed last run around here and will try to take advantage of the stall. Always seems to find the line well. Has a good chance.

12BlondeauJ: Liana Wood·T: Ms N Shelton157.5kg9 2 2 4 660: 5-5-7$21.00$4.20

Career

60: 5-5-7

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    10: 2-1-1

  • Second-up

    9: 2-0-2

  • Third-up

    8: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    8: 1-1-2

  • Track Caulfield

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    5: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1350m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    22: 1-2-3

  • Going Good

    29: 1-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    4: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    22: 2-2-4

Last starts

  1. 6Pakenham Synthetic1400m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC4.2L
  2. 4Pakenham Synthetic1400m3 Aug 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC1.9L
  3. 2Pakenham Synthetic1400m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.8L
  4. 2Pakenham Synthetic1400m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC0.5L
  5. 9Pakenham Synthetic1200m15 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC4.3L
  6. 6Bendigo1400m29 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD42.5L
  7. 6Sale1208m17 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD42.7L
  8. 7Geelong1443m1 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.6L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Noni Shelton striking at just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (12-weeks). Recent 3rd at a Cranbourne jump-out. First time around Pakenham. Needs his best.

ILB

Fresh today. Started $16.00 and came in 6th last run at Pakenham Synthetic but has minimal work to do from the barrier. Large claim helps. Unlikely to feature.

RP

Not seen the winners' enclosure for a while now (last win in 2022) and form lately has been a mixed bag; not disgraced in sixth over 7f here (handicap) in August; not hard to turn elsewhere as this is a fairly competitive event.

RSIS

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Odds of 15/1 and came in 6th last start at Pakenham Synthetic but drawn well. Liana Wood provides some weight relief.

13Fatty FinnJ: Jett Stanley·T: Charlotte Littlefield456.5kg7 2 1 6 115: 1-1-0$15.00$3.80

Career

5: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1415m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Morphettville1600m30 May 2026 · 3Y BM68 HCP · SOFT710.4L
  2. 6Sale1419m17 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD45.1L
  3. 1Sale1415m8 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD3-1.5
  4. 2Pakenham1400m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY92.5L
  5. 7Pakenham1200m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.3L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (23-weeks). Lone career win was over 1415m at Sale in last campaign. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Resuming after a break. At $17.00 didn't threaten when 11th last start at Morphettville and down in trip. Should jump out and bowl along. Needs significant improvement.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 14 at Morphettville over 1m (handicap) in May; returns from an absence here.

RSIS

Resumes from a break. At 16/1 lost ground in the run home when 11th last time at Morphettville and dropping in distance. Should be going forward early.

14Deliberate PloyScratched4––––

Career

6: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 13Flemington2000m16 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD48.2L
  2. 6Caulfield Heath1800m29 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM70 · GOOD43L
  3. 6Sandown1400m15 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM74 · SOFT54.5L
  4. 4Ballarat1400m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35L
  5. 3Pakenham1200m19 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.6L
  6. 1Pakenham1200m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (25-weeks). Held form well last time in. Won past couple of Cranbourne jump-outs. Watch for any market support.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Got the upper hand late when winning by a long neck last start at Seymour.

RP

C&D has proven suitable before; scored by a slim margin in a handicap at Seymour yesterday when dropped down to this trip, getting off the mark at the seventh attempt; was due to run at Seymour Thursday.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Secured the win by a slim margin last run at Seymour.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races