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Pakenham (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 13 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 13 NovPakenham (VIC)Change

Race 4 — Drummond Golf (Bm66) 2500m · jumps

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM66,BM66 HCP,Benchmark 66
  • GOOD4
  • Showers
  • 11 runners

Shortest win price

Melek (1)

2.60

Most career wins

Superstock

6-3-5 from 42 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 8Corona Lad

Offmidfield

  • 6Celtic Park
  • 2So Brave
  • 10Verifier
  • 11Opus

Midfield

  • 5Foix
  • 1Melek
  • 4Port Philip
  • 9Amawasha

Offpace

  • 3Superstock

Leader

  • 7Chocolate Royal
  • Melek · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • So Brave · Positive

    Trainer Form

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 26%

  • Superstock · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Reece Goodwin striking at just 9%

  • Port Philip · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1MelekJ: Jabez Johnstone·T: C Maher1161kg1 6 2 3 15: 2-1-1$2.60$1.30

Career

5: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2000m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 2400m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Bendigo2400m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.1
  2. 3Seymour2000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.6L
  3. 2Ballarat2000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD40.1L
  4. 6Sandown1500m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.4L
  5. 1Caulfield Heath1600m3 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
  6. 9Donald850m18 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial3L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 9%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Racing Strongly

    Positive

    Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Recent form sound this level. Just got the nod in at Bendigo. Poised to deliver another big performance.

ILB

Put the head down when winning last run at Bendigo and showing consistent performance in races. Exhibiting good form this preparation. Highly respected.

RP

Got home in front by a short head over 1m4f at Bendigo (handicap) when beating Celtic Park (third) and Amawasha (last) last month; every chance.

RSIS

Secured the win by a slim margin last time at Bendigo and good career start. Producing consistent results since coming back from a break. Should go well.

2So BraveJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: Andrea Leek161kg2 8 9 11 414: 3-1-1$8.50$2.60

Career

14: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2460m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 2-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Sale2200m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY101.71L
  2. 11Ballarat1600m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD465.85L
  3. 9Bendigo2400m27 Mar 2026 · BM70 · GOOD45.6L
  4. 8Pakenham2500m19 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT54.2L
  5. 2Hamilton2800m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)20L
  6. 5Pakenham1600m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD45L
  7. 1Pakenham2500m14 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT7-2.3
  8. 6Moonee Valley2040m24 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD33.5L

Insights

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 26%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced on a soft deck at Sale when second-up. All the better, can play a role.

ILB

Odds of $11.00 and pushed past some when 4th last time at Sale on a heavy surface and drawn beautifully. Might have to make up considerable ground. Would be more keen on the chance of others.

RP

Far from disgraced (beaten just under 2l) over 1m3f at Sale (handicap) last month; boasts winning form over C&D; deserves respect if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

Was 10/1 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last start at Sale and has a nice advantage with a good stall.

3SuperstockJ: Damian Lane·T: Reece Goodwin1060.5kg10 3 5 3 142: 6-3-5$4.40$1.65

Career

42: 6-3-5

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    5: 2-0-1

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1525m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1765m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    20: 6-1-2

  • Going Good

    18: 0-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 1Kilmore2012m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-1.25
  2. 3Cranbourne2025m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.5L
  3. 5Geelong1765m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.21L
  4. 3Geelong1525m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.25L
  5. 10Sandown2100m31 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT716.7L
  6. 8Caulfield Heath1800m20 May 2026 · BM70 · SOFT63.1L
  7. 10Flemington1800m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD36.4L
  8. 11Caulfield1600m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76.6L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Reece Goodwin striking at just 9%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 81%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Won in decisive fashion at Kilmore. Added journey should assist. Plenty of weight but right in this.

ILB

Finished with purpose when winning last start at Kilmore and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Jockey Damian Lane and trainer Reece Goodwin command respect as a team. Entitled to be big odds.

RP

Successful by just over 1l at Kilmore over 1m2f (handicap) last month, ending losing run; others more persuasive stepping into the unknown over new trip.

RSIS

Finished with purpose when winning last start at Kilmore and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Jockey Damian Lane and trainer Reece Goodwin are a combination worth following.

4Port PhilipJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: Julius Sandhu460kg9 10 7 9 838: 5-2-2$26.00$4.40

Career

38: 5-2-2

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    7: 2-0-1

  • Third-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2514m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2011m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2025m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    21: 1-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    8: 3-1-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 8Mornington2000m1 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.09L
  2. 9Cranbourne2025m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.83L
  3. 7Seymour2000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT59.87L
  4. 10Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.42L
  5. 9Sandown2400m16 July 2025 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT510.11L
  6. 6Sandown2400m18 June 2025 · 4UP BM74 HCP · GOOD42.2L
  7. 5Caulfield2000m31 May 2025 · BM84 HCP · GOOD42.4L
  8. 10Caulfield2000m10 May 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD46.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 2%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced at Mornington at $21. New to Pakenham. Others carry more punch.

ILB

At $21.00 didn't find the line when 8th last run at Mornington. Rough chance.

RP

Finished just behind Foix when eighth over 1m2f at Mornington (handicap) two weeks ago; warrants respect.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and was well beaten when 8th last time at Mornington.

5FoixJ: Thomas Stockdale·T: C Maher859kg5 1 3 7 412: 2-1-2$12.00$3.30

Career

12: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-2

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    4: 1-1-1

  • Track Bendigo

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-0-2

Last starts

  1. 4Mornington2000m1 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.22L
  2. 7Cranbourne2580m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.35L
  3. 3Cranbourne2500m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD41.05L
  4. 1Mornington2030m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT5-0.2
  5. 5Sale1717m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT63.3L
  6. 9Bendigo1300m30 July 2026 · 2UP CLASS 1 HCP · SOFT66.3L
  7. 8Bendigo1600m7 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY913.5L
  8. 3Bendigo2400m30 Oct 2024 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD42.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 9%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Midfield, picked up solidly at Mornington. Well into preparation now, warrants attention.

ILB

At $7.00 made up ground when 4th last start at Mornington. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Has proven competitive in a race of this nature; fair effort over 1m2f at Mornington (handicap) finished just ahead of Port Philip 12 days ago; knows how to win so a possible player.

RSIS

At 6/1 showed some merit late when 4th last run at Mornington. Watch the betting.

6Celtic ParkJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: P Kearney757.5kg5 14 10 2 36: 1-1-1$9.00$2.70

Career

6: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2580m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-1-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Bendigo2400m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.6L
  2. 2Cranbourne2580m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.15L
  3. 10Ballarat2000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD43.82L
  4. 14Morphettville2250m5 Sept 2026 · 0-64 · SOFT650.4L
  5. 5Bendigo1300m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)5.1L
  6. 1Swan Hill2400m21 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-1.3
  7. 5Warracknabeal2000m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.4L
  8. 4Caulfield Heath1500m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 45% lower than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 46% in L100 rides

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Went close at Cranbourne 16 Oct. Reserved midfield and picked up intently at Bendigo. Not out of this.

ILB

Ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Bendigo. Likely to get back in the run. A long shot.

RP

Has been fairly consistent lately; 1½l third to Melek over 1m4f at Bendigo (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Picked up late ground when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Bendigo. Gets back and needs luck.

7Chocolate RoyalJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker957.5kg2 4 7 2 633: 3-6-3$12.00$3.30

Career

33: 3-6-3

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-2-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Flemington

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Stony Creek

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2400m

    5: 0-2-0

  • Distance 2447m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    20: 1-3-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Sale2200m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY104.31L
  2. 2Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.5L
  3. 7Geelong1500m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.7L
  4. 4Sandown2400m13 June 2026 · BM84 · HEAVY83L
  5. 2Geelong2400m22 May 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT50.8L
  6. 8Morphettville2518m2 May 2026 · LISTED QUALITY · SOFT78.6L
  7. 3Morphettville2535m11 Apr 2026 · 0-66 · SOFT60.4L
  8. 2Bendigo2400m27 Mar 2026 · BM70 · GOOD40.3L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 46% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 29% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 60%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 63% Profit on Turnover

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels winning at 44% POT in last 100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

Comments

AAP

Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Sale. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Started at $8.00 and struggled with the pace when 6th last start at Sale. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. Do not dismiss entirely.

RP

Not disgraced in sixth when close behind So Brave last month (Sale) upped to 1m3f; form has been a mixed bag of late; makes limited appeal as running in what looks to be a hot race.

RSIS

Started 7/1 and faded to finish 6th last time at Sale. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace.

8Corona LadJ: Jett Stanley·T: Nathan Dunn556kg7 13 2 5 447: 5-6-5$23.00$4.20

Career

47: 5-6-5

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    4: 0-2-1

  • Track Murray Bridge

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1625m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1887m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1590m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    29: 3-1-4

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    14: 2-3-1

Last starts

  1. 4Kyneton1887m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.71L
  2. 5Bendigo1600m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT62.3L
  3. 2Sale1732m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
  4. 13Seymour1414m27 Aug 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY814.3L
  5. 7Pakenham2000m1 May 2026 · 3UP BM66 · GOOD414.1L
  6. 6Pakenham2000m16 Apr 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY89L
  7. 2Sale1717m29 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT60.1L
  8. 5Ballarat1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD42.5L

Insights

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 2%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran on late from the back at Kyneton. Has his first look at 2500m here. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Odds of $7.00 and inched into 4th last start at Kyneton and going over more ground. Expected to be flashing home. Low-key chance.

RP

Fair effort at Kyneton over 1m1½f (handicap) three weeks ago; not been able to get his head in front lately so is passed over.

RSIS

Started 6/1 and crept into 4th last time at Kyneton and facing a rise in trip. Can go through the gears.

9AmawashaJ: Luke Cartwright·T: Mitchell Leek355.5kg2 2 2 4 1231: 2-4-4$23.00$4.20

Career

31: 2-4-4

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Horsham

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2350m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2400m

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    22: 2-3-3

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 12Bendigo2400m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD412L
  2. 4Cranbourne2580m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.05L
  3. 2Cranbourne2500m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD40.3L
  4. 2Mornington3080m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
  5. 2Warrnambool2350m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY80.5L
  6. 6Geelong2435m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY810.5L
  7. 3Moe2447m21 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY94L
  8. 4Bairnsdale2200m13 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 62% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Luke Cartwright 52% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 3%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Last win was 17 Dec. Good effort here two back over 2580m. Dropped out to last and never sighted at Bendigo. Can show more here.

ILB

Started $18.00 and performed below standard when 12th last start at Bendigo. Has to have a lot go its way.

RP

In good form before possible blip last time; has winning form at this track; no threat to winner, Melek, at Bendigo last month (finished last) over 1m4f (handicap); hard enough to fancy as this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Odds of 17/1 and was ordinary when 12th last run at Bendigo.

10VerifierJ: Jamie Melham·T: N A Blackiston655kg2 5 5 2 240: 2-7-3$8.50$2.65

Career

40: 2-7-3

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-2-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2218m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 2400m

    4: 1-3-0

  • Distance 2800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    17: 1-3-1

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    17: 1-3-1

Last starts

  1. 2Swan Hill2400m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD40.46L
  2. 2Swan Hill2400m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.35L
  3. 5Donald2200m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.2L
  4. 5Seymour2021m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82.4L
  5. 2Swan Hill2400m28 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.4L
  6. 3Donald2218m11 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY80.9L
  7. 2Echuca2100m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY106L
  8. 6Seymour1600m21 May 2026 · 0-62 · SOFT64.4L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Nigel Blackiston striking at just 7%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 2%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Capable stayer. Great run at Swan Hill 22 Sep. Got back and hit line with a full head of steam at Swan Hill. Well placed to make an impact here.

ILB

Just short of the win last run at Swan Hill. Will be hitting the line strongly. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Beaten half a length when runner-up over 1m4f at Swan Hill (handicap) two weeks ago; a while since he's been in the winners' enclosure (last win in 2024); unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Narrowly denied victory last start at Swan Hill. Will be hitting the line strongly. Respect the betting.

11OpusJ: Zac Spain·T: Simone Manne255kg4 1 10 9 323: 2-0-3$101.00$12.00

Career

23: 2-0-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1750m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1968m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2018m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    7: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    7: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-0-2

Last starts

  1. 3Wangaratta2000m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP BM52 HCP · SOFT50.5L
  2. 9Yarra Valley1968m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT517.31L
  3. 10Wodonga2050m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT612.6L
  4. 1Bairnsdale2200m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.4
  5. 4Wodonga2050m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY94.8L
  6. 5Wodonga2050m27 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY82.9L
  7. 11Mornington2030m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT69.5L
  8. 3Moe1600m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Got back and hit line with a full head of steam at Wangaratta. New to Pakenham. Strikes a harder race.

ILB

Did well to run 3rd beaten by 1/2L last start at Wangaratta and gets a favourable gate. Likely to get back in the field. Matched against tougher rivals. Not ready for this level.

RP

Welcome return to form over 1m2f at Wangaratta (handicap) when going close (sent off 14-1) last Tuesday.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd last start at Wangaratta and can find a nice position from the draw. Expected to settle towards the rear.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races