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Pakenham (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 13 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 13 NovPakenham (VIC)Change

Race 6 — MSC Signs (Bm62) 1000m · jumps

Race preview

Pakenham hosts the Msc Signs Benchmark 62 over 1000m at 8:45 pm AEDT on a SOFT5 track with showers about. Mad About Magnus is shortest in the win market, with Bel Lupa and Hello Romeo next. Mr Tickles and Bifrost follow. The race shapes as a genuine sprint battle across a soft surface where early position will matter.

Mad About Magnus brings serious credentials. Back for a second campaign after 19 weeks, the four-year-old has won two of four starts to date and was a recent jump-out winner. Damian Lane takes the ride from barrier 1, and the formDetail points to a dominant win at Sale over this exact trip on debut last campaign, when the track was HEAVY8. The rating of 100 and map position suited at this venue jumps off the page. Mr Tickles is striving for a hat-trick. The combination of Hayley Spitse and Mitchell Leek is outperforming market expectations by 102 per cent, a hot pairing. Two straight wins — a solid effort at Bairnsdale at 61kg on 12 October, then a strong finishing run from just off the leaders at Sale over today's trip — frame this runner as a real chance. Hello Romeo and jockey Nadia Daniels also form a red-hot combo, up 141 per cent. After melting under pressure at Sale off a long spell, the comment suggests fitter second-up will help, and a 2kg concession sweetens the case from barrier 4.

The speedGroups reveal four runners intent on leading: Mad About Magnus, Mr Tickles, Hello Romeo, and Abovethefrostline. That early logjam could create genuine tempo, and early sectional data points to a slow pace emerging, which may open the door for runners out the back. Bel Lupa, despite a poor strike rate in camp, sits 26 per cent win POT in this very partnership and rates among the dangers. The ratings suggest a bunched field; three runners are rated between 99 and 100, so plenty is there to separate them at journey's end.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM62,BM62 HCP,Benchmark 62
  • SOFT5
  • Showers
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Mad About Magnus (6)

2.30

Most career wins

Mr Tickles

8-12-5 from 48 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 10Bel Lupa

Midfield

  • 4Favour The Bold
  • 11Laura's Gold

Offpace

  • 5Bifrost
  • 8Affirmative Lad

Leader

  • 7Abovethefrostline
  • 1Mr Tickles
  • 2Hello Romeo
  • 6Mad About Magnus
  • Mr Tickles · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 102%

  • Hello Romeo · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 46% in Last 100 Rides

  • Favour The Bold · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%

  • Bifrost · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Mr TicklesJ: Hayley Spitse·T: Mitchell Leek964.5kg4 11 6 1 148: 8-12-5$9.00$2.40

Career

48: 8-12-5

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-2-1

  • Second-up

    4: 2-1-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Track Sandown

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    5: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    8: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    32: 6-9-3

  • Going Good

    17: 2-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    10: 2-2-2

  • Going Soft

    14: 3-5-1

Last starts

  1. 1Sale1000m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY10-1
  2. 1Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT7-0.75
  3. 6Pakenham Synthetic1000m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SYNTHETIC3.65L
  4. 11Caulfield Heath1100m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT612.9L
  5. 4Moe1017m21 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY90.6L
  6. 1Cranbourne1000m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY9-1.8
  7. 3Bendigo1000m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY90.6L
  8. 4Wangaratta1000m22 Dec 2025 · BM56 · SOFT51.8L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 102%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Striving for hat-trick. Solid 61kg winner at Bairnsdale 12 Oct. Strong win from just off the leaders at Sale over today's trip. Again holds plenty of aces.

ILB

Flew home to win last time at Sale. Unbeaten last 2 starts. Should come to hand quickly. The large claim from Hayley Spitse should help. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Aiming to complete a hat-trick; has won previously at this course; belied odds of 20-1 when winning by 1l at Sale 19 days ago; his victims included Laura's Gold, Hello Romeo and Inside Man; despite that Sale success, may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Reeled them in when winning last run at Sale. Maintaining a perfect record the last 2 attempts. Should race on the pace. Large claim helps. Could feature here.

2Hello RomeoJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes462.5kg1 5 10 11 616: 3-2-1$7.50$2.20

Career

16: 3-2-1

Rating · IRD

99

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ellerslie

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 955m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    12: 3-1-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 3-2-0

Last starts

  1. 6Sale1000m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY105L
  2. 11Sandown1000m23 May 2026 · BM78 · SOFT72.8L
  3. 10Warrnambool1000m6 May 2026 · 2UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY106.8L
  4. 5Sandown1000m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41L
  5. 1Albury1000m20 Mar 2026 · CL2 · SOFT6-0.4
  6. 6Cranbourne955m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD42.7L
  7. 6Pakenham1000m23 Jan 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD37.7L
  8. 3Flemington1000m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM70 · GOOD34.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 46% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 141%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels winning at 44% POT in last 100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Led them up but melted under pressure at Sale off long spell. Will be fitter second-up and receives a 2kg concession. Leads, handy. Can challenge.

ILB

Started at $6.50 and came in 6th last start at Sale. Is capable of a resurgence. Jockey Nadia Daniels is in top form for this stable. Should put in a decent effort.

RP

Not disgraced in sixth (Sale) 19 days ago; fully effective over this distance with all three wins over this trip and grade looks suitable; can be in the mix if finding his best form.

RSIS

Was 11/2 and finished 6th last start at Sale. Overlooking the last run. Will be positive in the run early. Major chance.

3Inside ManScratched6––––

Career

8: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    2: 2-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    2: 2-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 12Sale1000m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY1013.7L
  2. 8Eagle Farm1000m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.3L
  3. 2Beaudesert1050m19 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
  4. 9Randwick1400m11 June 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.4L
  5. 1Canterbury1250m28 May 2025 · 3Y BM64 HCP · HEAVY8-0.2
  6. 4Kembla Grange1200m6 May 2025 · BM64 HCP · HEAVY81.1L
  7. 8Randwick1600m4 Jan 2025 · BenchMark 72 · GOOD47.66L
  8. 6Randwick1300m21 Dec 2024 · BenchMark 72 · GOOD42.64L

Insights

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

Comments

AAP

Finished out the back at Sale for new stable at wide odds. Not fancied.

ILB

Didn't find the line when 12th last time at Sale on a heavy track. Large claim helps.

RP

Finished last of 12 at Sale three weeks ago on debut for this trainer; has to be considered if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

Couldn't stay in touch when 12th last run at Sale on a heavy surface. Stephanie Hateley takes a large claim.

4Favour The BoldJ: Jett Stanley·T: Charlotte Littlefield261.5kg8 7 1 6 1410: 3-2-0$14.00$3.10

Career

10: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-2-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    5: 2-2-0

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 3-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 14Scone1600m16 May 2026 · 3UP C3 HCP · GOOD48.6L
  2. 6Randwick Kensington1300m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.4L
  3. 1Orange1300m17 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD4-0.5
  4. 7Muswellbrook1450m27 Mar 2026 · CL3 HCP · SOFT53.2L
  5. 8Muswellbrook1280m8 Mar 2026 · CTRY CL2 · GOOD44.6L
  6. 2Scone1200m24 Feb 2026 · CL4 PREV · SOFT53.5L
  7. 4Tamworth1000m13 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial1L
  8. 8Rosehill1200m8 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.4L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (25-weeks). Ex R P Northam in NSW. Placed at Scone first-up last campaign. Big challenge off the long break.

ILB

First up and nice effort when placing 2nd first up last preparation at Scone. Jockey Jett Stanley and trainer Charlotte Littlefield work well together. Lining up against easier rivals. Can show up in this at odds.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 16 at Scone six months ago upped to 1m; has managed three wins from ten career runs; first start for current trainer; returns from a layoff; facing a testing assignment and looks opposable.

RSIS

Resuming and claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd beaten by 3 1/2L resuming last preparation at Scone. Jett Stanley and Charlotte Littlefield are usually competitive together.

5BifrostJ: Brad Rawiller·T: E & D Browne859.5kg4 2 2 3 354: 6-8-6$11.00$2.70

Career

54: 6-8-6

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    10: 2-2-0

  • Second-up

    9: 1-2-1

  • Third-up

    7: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    4: 0-2-1

  • Track Stawell

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    29: 2-8-3

  • Distance 1100m

    7: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1107m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    17: 2-4-3

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    32: 3-4-3

Last starts

  1. 3Pakenham1000m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.35L
  2. 3Mornington1000m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33L
  3. 2Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD40.75L
  4. 2Warrnambool1000m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.5L
  5. 4Murtoa1200m25 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT76.4L
  6. 6Sale1013m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.1L
  7. 6Pakenham Synthetic1000m22 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC1.9L
  8. 2Donald1000m9 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT70.1L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Racing Solidly

    Positive

    In peak form

Comments

AAP

Long losing streak but recent efforts sound. No match but kept working home to finish among the placings this venue over this trip. Super fit from racing, can play a role with even luck.

ILB

Made some ground late when 3rd last time around here. Good chance at a nice price.

RP

Finished in front of several of these when a respectable third last month; a previous winner here; been struggling to get his head in front recently so makes little appeal.

RSIS

Finished strongly when 3rd beaten by nearly 2 1/2L last run around here. Expecting a solid performance.

6Mad About MagnusJ: Damian Lane·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes159.5kg3 1 1 134: 2-0-1$2.30$1.22

Career

4: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    3: 2-0-1

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1008m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1006m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 13Caulfield1000m27 June 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT714L
  2. 1Sale1000m10 June 2026 · 0 - 66 · HEAVY8-1.5
  3. 1Sale1008m17 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8
  4. 3Sale1006m8 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD30.9L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (19-weeks). Won 2 of 4 starts in first campaign. In the minors at Sale on debut last campaign. Recent jump-out winner. Must be considered.

ILB

First up and faded in the late stages of the race when 3rd first up last preparation at Sale. Should be going forward early. Going down in grade. Strong chance to be considered.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 14 at Caulfield in June; winner of two of her four career starts; returns from a break here; leading claims despite defeat last time as she was successful two runs ago.

RSIS

Resuming and maintained a solid pace but eventually weakened to finish 3rd resuming last preparation at Sale. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Goes down in grade. Will go close today.

7AbovethefrostlineJ: Luke Nolen·T: J D Sadler1059kg5 1 8 9 1115: 3-2-0$23.00$3.70

Career

15: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-2-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    13: 2-2-0

  • Distance 1009m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    6: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 11Pakenham1000m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT511.41L
  2. 9Seymour1000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.96L
  3. 8Mornington1000m25 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.5L
  4. 1Mornington1000m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
  5. 5Mornington1000m5 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD34.4L
  6. 9Mornington1000m23 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT57L
  7. 6Seymour1000m12 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
  8. 2Mornington1000m18 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.8L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Luke Nolen current POT is 46% below Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 55% in L100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Led, compounded this venue second-up at $20. Will be fitter but third-up form isn't great. Has an adverse draw. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

At $20.00 didn't threaten when 11th last time at this venue. Won't be far away during the run. Facing a difficult task.

RP

11th of 12 with blinkers tried 14 days ago; more than capable if on song so a possible player.

RSIS

At 19/1 weakened to finish 11th last start at the track. Should be going forward early.

8Affirmative LadJ: Teodore Nugent·T: J F Moloney758kg1 9 5 12 321: 3-0-4$18.00$3.50

Career

21: 3-0-4

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Bairnsdale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1214m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 2-0-2

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 3Pakenham Synthetic1200m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.6L
  2. 12Pakenham Synthetic1000m15 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC11.9L
  3. 5Mornington1000m25 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.7L
  4. 9Moe1214m12 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT79.1L
  5. 1Moe1100m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-0.1
  6. 7Mornington1000m5 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD35.4L
  7. 4Ballarat1000m20 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD32.7L
  8. 10Ballarat1200m20 Nov 2025 · 0 - 62 · GOOD39.5L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    John Moloney striking at just 6%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (18-weeks). Has win fresh in the past. Unplaced at most recent jump-out. Keep safe on return.

ILB

First up. Was amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Pakenham Synthetic. Will need to elevate.

RP

Produced a good effort to finish third over 6f here (handicap) four months ago; back from an absence here.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Nice effort to run into 3rd last run at Pakenham Synthetic.

9Eureka RoseScratched9––––

Career

4: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Pakenham1000m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58.66L
  2. 1Pakenham1000m1 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.5
  3. 5Pakenham1000m2 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD45.4L
  4. 8Pakenham Synthetic1100m28 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC8.1L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Brian McGrath striking at just 8%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 102%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never likely this course after lengthy absence. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Just average when 10th last time at this track.

RP

Lightly raced (running for just the fifth time); has won over C&D; finished tenth of 12 last month; running in a handicap for just the second time; she can be taken on.

RSIS

Fairly underwhelming when 10th last run at this venue.

10Bel LupaJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: G Eurell556.5kg11 5 8 6 410: 1-2-0$3.70$1.36

Career

10: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

99

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Pakenham1000m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.55L
  2. 6Seymour1000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.15L
  3. 8Caulfield Heath1000m20 May 2026 · 3Y BM64 · SOFT62.3L
  4. 5Caulfield Heath1200m29 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD43.46L
  5. 11Caulfield1200m4 Apr 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD35.7L
  6. 1Pakenham1000m12 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-2.8
  7. 1Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1
  8. 5Seymour1200m12 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD49.1L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

Comments

AAP

Latest attempt this journey when ran on okay without troubling this venue. Usually gets back. Among the dangers.

ILB

At $4.40 ran on into 4th last run at this track. Can go through the gears. Great chance.

RP

Can boast winning form over this C&D; a few throw outs since her success in a maiden at Pakenham in March; respectable effort (beaten 2½l) last month; meeting some horses in good form and looks risky.

RSIS

Started at 10/3 and improved when 4th last start around here. Might take a while to wind up but should be hitting top gear in the straight. Has claims.

11Laura's GoldJ: Zac Spain·T: Mitchell Leek355kg9 5 2 4 623: 2-2-1$34.00$4.40

Career

23: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Casterton

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1013m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1014m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    7: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 6Echuca1000m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT52.91L
  2. 4Sale1000m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY103.65L
  3. 2Moe1000m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.5L
  4. 5Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD41.9L
  5. 9Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD36.08L
  6. 6Casterton1000m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT53.67L
  7. 11Wangaratta1000m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY97.2L
  8. 5Bairnsdale1000m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT72.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Long time since last saluted. Okay at latest when settled back. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Odds of $15.00 and finished 6th last time at Echuca and facing stiffer opposition. Unlikely to go close.

RP

Finished sixth but only beaten 3l (Echuca) last week; shown all winning form at Casterton (two successes); meeting some horses in good form and one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Started 14/1 and came in 6th last time at Echuca and competing in a higher grade.

12Free To PlayScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 62% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Luke Cartwright 52% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 60%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 32 days

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Went home tamely in rain affected going at Bairnsdale second-up at $9. Decent alley. Among the dangers.

ILB

Odds of $9.00 and was well beaten when 9th last run at Bairnsdale and matched against a stronger field.

RSIS

Started 8/1 and didn't threaten when 9th last run at Bairnsdale and racing against tougher rivals.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races