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Pakenham (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 13 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 13 NovPakenham (VIC)Change

Race 5 — Mittys Hcp (C1) 1400m · jumps

Race preview

Pakenham hosts a Class 1 three-year-old-plus handicap over 1400 metres on a Soft 5 track with showers forecast. The 8:15 pm jump is set up for Jarbardar as the shortest-priced runner, with Gazerati next up, followed by Brass In Pocket and Lomu. The leader's group includes three runners — Jarbardar, In A Tizzy, and Brass In Pocket — who will battle for early position, while Gazerati and Diggers Aim sit in midfield and Balance shapes as a backmarker.

Jarbardar runs first-up in the market but comes with alarm bells. The trainer T & C Mcevoy is striking at just 8 per cent, and this jockey-trainer combo is losing 28 per cent of profit on turnover across their last 100 runs. Form-wise, Jarbardar wasn't beaten far over 1100 metres at Caulfield two back but flatted when the pressure went on second-up at the same track. Gazerati offers more intrigue: she posted the fastest finishing sectionals at Bendigo last start when run down for second by two lengths, and she has a Pakenham record of 1–0–0 from two attempts. A negative rider change is flagged, though, which clouds the picture. Brass In Pocket maps well at this venue, outperforming market expectations, and comes fresh off a Geelong attempt where she found a forward spot but delivered a very lacklustre finish off a long spell.

Lomu jumped off as fourth favourite and demands respect. The import won at Pakenham over 1200 metres on Soft 5 in a three-year-old maiden-sweepstakes, emerging from midfield to get up in the final strides. Brad Rawiller is back in the saddle and rates 16 per cent better than his career average of late. The added 200 metres should suit, and Lomu's form thread — winning, then running second at Seymour by just over two lengths — frames him as a key player in this line-up. Balance deserves a look further back: the stable is overperforming the market by 29 per cent and has struck at 12 per cent profit on turnover in their last 100 runners.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,CL1,CL1 HCP,Class 1
  • SOFT5
  • Showers
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Jarbardar (1)

4.00

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 3Balance

Offmidfield

  • 10Autumn Rainbow

Midfield

  • 2Gazerati
  • 5Diggers Aim

Offpace

  • 4Cool Savanna
  • 7Lomu

Onpace

  • 9King Maywin

Leader

  • 1Jarbardar
  • 8Brass In Pocket
  • 6In A Tizzy
  • Jarbardar · Negative

    Trainer SR

    T & C McEvoy striking at just 8%

  • Gazerati · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Balance · Positive

    Stable In Form

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 29%

  • Cool Savanna · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1JarbardarJ: Jye Mcneil·T: T & C Mcevoy959.5kg1 1 2 2 104: 1-2-0$4.00$1.50

Career

4: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wagga

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    3: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 10Caulfield1200m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo · GOOD46.48L
  2. 2Caulfield1100m27 Sept 2026 · 3Y QLTY HCP · GOOD40.75L
  3. 2Caulfield1100m9 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT73L
  4. 1Wagga1000m19 Apr 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD4-3.6
  5. 1Corowa900m7 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-3.9

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    T & C McEvoy striking at just 8%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 50%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 5%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Not beaten far here two back over 1100m. Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Caulfield second-up. Worth another look.

ILB

Was $8.50 and folded up in the straight when 10th last time at Caulfield. Should improve from the last run and competing at a lower class. Promising career start. Has strong claims.

RP

Finished tenth, beaten 6l, last month at Caulfield in a Group 3; lightly raced with this just his fifth appearance; is passed over despite dropping in class.

RSIS

Started at 15/2 and didn't threaten when 10th last run at Caulfield. Capable of a strong comeback and up against weaker rivals. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

2GazeratiJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Charlotte Littlefield859kg6 2 4 6 27: 1-2-0$5.00$1.80

Career

7: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Bendigo1300m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32L
  2. 6Caulfield Heath1000m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.7L
  3. 4Sandown1600m23 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT72.2L
  4. 2Werribee1400m14 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD40.8L
  5. 6Pakenham1200m23 Apr 2026 · 3UP CLASS 1 HCP · GOOD43.6L
  6. 1Pakenham1200m2 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.4
  7. 5Sale1212m1 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT67.3L
  8. 9Moe1100m14 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.3L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Knuckled down for second at Bendigo first run back when supported. Strips in better shape. Can play a role with even breaks.

ILB

Finished with intent when 2nd last start at Bendigo. Modest contender.

RP

Produced a string of consistent efforts; has won previously at this course; solid effort when beaten 2l to finish runner-up over 6½f at Bendigo (handicap) dropped back in distance four weeks ago.

RSIS

Managed to run into 2nd last run at Bendigo.

3BalanceJ: Beau Mertens·T: C W Mcdonald757.5kg6 5 1 2 85: 1-1-0$15.00$3.50

Career

5: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 8Sale1200m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · HEAVY1012.9L
  2. 2Pakenham Synthetic1200m5 Oct 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC0.25L
  3. 1Geelong1100m11 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD4-0.4
  4. 5Cranbourne1200m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD45.9L
  5. 6Caulfield1100m7 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD43.9L

Insights

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 29%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 12% POT in L100 Runners

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Just missed at Pakenham Synthetic 5 Oct. Forwardly placed, retreated at Sale. Drops in grade. Can show more here.

ILB

Started $8.50 and didn't attack the line when 8th last time at Sale on a heavy surface. Should improve here. Displaying good ability this campaign. Good chance in this.

RP

Last of eight over 6f at Sale (handicap) despite first-time blinkers last month; more than capable if on song so could go well.

RSIS

Was 15/2 and weakened to finish 8th last start at Sale. Capable of bouncing back. Producing consistent results lately. Will be motoring home late. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

4Cool SavannaJ: Jamie Melham·T: Peter Gelagotis457.5kg6 1 6 7 75: 1-0-0$34.00$4.60

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1312m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1343m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Ballarat1400m2 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY815.25L
  2. 7Bendigo1300m13 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD47.6L
  3. 6Geelong1343m1 May 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP · GOOD47.7L
  4. 1Geelong1312m10 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-1.8
  5. 6Bendigo1300m27 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.87L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -35% POT in their L100 Races

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field in testing conditions at Ballarat off long spell. Better conditioned. Fringe place hope at best.

ILB

Was $8.50 and unsatisfactory performance when 7th last time at Ballarat. Hard to see this being competitive today.

RP

Last of seven at Ballarat last week; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

At 15/2 subpar when 7th last run at Ballarat.

5Diggers AimJ: Liana Wood·T: T Rogers1057.5kg8 1 2 8 310: 1-2-2$101.00$11.00

Career

10: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Pakenham

    5: 1-2-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 1-2-0

  • Track Sale

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2580m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 3000m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 1-2-2

Last starts

  1. 3Sandown3000m11 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.5L
  2. 8Pakenham2500m5 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD45.6L
  3. 2Pakenham2000m19 Feb 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD41.8L
  4. 1Pakenham2500m5 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-4.8
  5. 8Sale1717m1 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.6L
  6. 7Pakenham1400m16 Jan 2026 · 3-5yo · GOOD47.2L
  7. 5Cranbourne2580m9 May 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.6L
  8. 10Caulfield2000m3 May 2025 · 3Y HCP · GOOD411.4L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 10%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (35-weeks). Lone career win was over 2500m at Pakenham in last campaign. Has an adverse draw and rising in weight for return. Big challenge off the long break.

ILB

Resuming after a 35 week break. Was competitive when 3rd last start at Sandown but back in trip. Large claim helps. Difficult to warm to at present.

RP

Missed the frame (beaten 7l into third) at Sandown over 1m7f (handicap) in March; a previous winner here; returns from a layoff; he can be taken on.

RSIS

First run back after a break of 35 weeks. Looked good when 3rd last start at Sandown but back to a shorter trip. Liana Wood provides some weight relief.

6In A TizzyJ: Damian Lane·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr657.5kg3 2 4 1 36: 1-1-2$7.00$2.30

Career

6: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Rosehill

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 3Pakenham1200m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.05L
  2. 1Cranbourne1200m9 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-1.5
  3. 4Canterbury1250m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD41.6L
  4. 2Rosehill1400m6 Apr 2026 · 3Y+MDN-SW · SOFT63.7L
  5. 3Hawkesbury1300m17 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD41.2L
  6. 5Rosehill1200m25 Feb 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD43.5L
  7. 3Rosehill900m12 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial5.9L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -54% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Broke maiden at Cranbourne 9 Oct. Settled off pace, rallied well but couldn't match winner this track second-up. Suited by the longer assignment now. Stripping fitter, highly rated in this line-up.

ILB

Claimed late when 3rd last start at this track. Has plenty of early speed. Placed at every start this preparation. Possible place chance.

RP

Has shown some recent improvement; minor honours when 11-5 over 6f here (handicap) two weeks ago; needs considering.

RSIS

Set a strong tempo before fading at the finish to place 3rd last start at this venue. Should be going forward early.

7LomuJ: Brad Rawiller·T: E & D Browne157.5kg2 2 3 2 16: 1-3-1$6.50$2.25

Career

6: 1-3-1

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-2-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 1Pakenham1200m30 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.2
  2. 2Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT52.25L
  3. 3Caulfield Heath1100m16 Sept 2026 · 3YC&G MDN-SW · GOOD43.15L
  4. 2Mornington1000m4 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT52L
  5. 2Pakenham1200m2 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.5L
  6. 9Caulfield1200m14 Mar 2026 · 2Y SW · GOOD48.8L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Brad Rawiller winning at 8% POT in last 100 rides

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    1 time winner here at Pakenham

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Racing Strongly

    Positive

    Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Emerged from midfield to get up in final strides this venue. B Rawiller on again. Added journey should assist. Key player.

ILB

Picked up nicely to win last time at this venue and has drawn to do little work. Has run into the money 4 from 4 attempts this preparation. Will need to elevate.

RP

Best form so far in last two starts; scored narrowly in a maiden, breaking his duck at the sixth time of asking last month; capable of going well.

RSIS

Strong effort to the line to win last time at this venue and drawn well. Has run into the placings at every start in recent runs. Rising in grade.

8Brass In PocketJ: Jett Stanley·T: Nathan Dunn557kg3 1 3 8 65: 1-0-2$5.50$2.00

Career

5: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Sale

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1213m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 6Geelong1400m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD45.75L
  2. 8Sandown1400m23 May 2026 · 3Y FILLIES BM78 HCP · SOFT75.6L
  3. 3Caulfield1440m9 May 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · SOFT71.1L
  4. 1Sale1213m19 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-2.3
  5. 3Pakenham1200m9 Apr 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT52.8L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Rider found a forward spot at Geelong but she put in a very lacklustre finish off long spell. Better conditioned. Can make her presence felt.

ILB

At $3.50 came in 6th last time at Geelong. Capable of a strong comeback and putting a tidy record together. Should race on the speed. Strong prospects.

RP

Ran below market expectations (favourite) when sixth at Geelong last month; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Odds of 5/2 and finished 6th last time at Geelong. Capable of bouncing back and showing consistent performance in races. Has early pace and positions nicely. Good prospects.

9King MaywinJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: G Eurell257kg4 3 1 11 611: 1-0-3$14.00$3.50

Career

11: 1-0-3

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    3: 0-0-2

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1530m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 6Pakenham Synthetic1400m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.7L
  2. 11Pakenham Synthetic1400m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC8.6L
  3. 1Pakenham Synthetic1400m15 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC-3.8
  4. 3Geelong1300m22 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT50.61L
  5. 4Geelong1530m12 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD33.2L
  6. 3Geelong1314m26 Nov 2025 · 3-5yo · GOOD32.5L
  7. 11Pakenham1200m7 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY811.2L
  8. 8Bendigo1500m17 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT59.7L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (13-weeks). Placed at Geelong first-up last campaign. Not out of this fresh.

ILB

First up after 13 weeks and placed 3rd first up last preparation at Geelong. Has shown early pace in races to date. Can find a nice position from the draw. Will be a difficult test.

RP

Winning form over C&D; didn't live up to market expectations at 11-4 when sixth in August; this looks a decent race so easy to oppose.

RSIS

Resuming and claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd resuming last preparation at Geelong. Should race on the pace. Can find a nice position from the draw.

10Autumn RainbowJ: Luke Nolen·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman355.5kg5 1 63: 1-0-0$7.00$2.35

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Morphettville1800m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo · GOOD33.93L
  2. 1Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC-0.2
  3. 5Caulfield1200m30 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY83.2L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 46% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 49%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 55% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 55% in L100 rides

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

Comments

AAP

Broke maiden at Pakenham Synthetic 5 Oct. Not disgraced at Morphettville second-up at $1.60. Coming back in distance should suit. Watch closely.

ILB

Started $1.60 and was well beaten when 6th last start at Morphettville. Can make a comeback and matched against a less competitive field. Finishes off strongly. Down in distance. Rates as one of the key chances.

RP

Failed to live up to market expectations when sixth last month at Morphettville upped to 1m1f in a Listed race; boasts winning form over C&D; lightly raced (this just her fourth race); Luke Nolen a noteworthy booking; much respected as shown she can win fairly recently and dropping in class.

RSIS

Odds of 8/13 and folded up in the straight when 6th last run at Morphettville. Should improve and up against a less competitive field. Shows good closing pace. Will go close.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races