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Pakenham (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 13 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 13 NovPakenham (VIC)Change

Race 3 — EDSA Group Mdn Plate 1200m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Pakenham for the Edsa Group Mdn Plate over 1200m on a Good 4 track with showers about for the meeting. The win market has Kokeshi heading the early lists, closely followed by Percipient, Heavy Is The Head, and Iftihar rounding out the top end of betting. It is shaping up as a fascinating maiden contest where the numbers and early trends will dictate the play, so let us dive straight into the data and see what jumps off the page for this 7:15 pm AEDT jump.

Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Kokeshi comes into calculations following a sound runner-up effort at Ballarat over 1000m where the runner put in some big strides late off a long break. With better conditioning and barrier 2 to suit, Jye McNeil takes the ride and the mare rates a real chance to go one better. Heavy Is The Head has placed on nine career starts, including a strong second at Sale over 1200m on a Heavy 10 where the runner kept coming and just fell short, suggesting this trip suits nicely. Meanwhile, Iftihar brings consistent form this campaign with four minor placings from six starts, including a solid third at Kyneton two back, though the runner found little at the business end after racing on the pace at Mornington.

For those chasing further angles from the speed maps and stable statistics, Cruise On Bye represents Gavin Bedggood's stable which boasts a profitable 32 percentage point POT in the last 100 runners alongside a hot jockey-trainer combination. Percipient catches the eye on debut as a high-priced purchase out of a stakes-winning mare with seconds at the past couple of jump-outs, despite drawing barrier 11. Smart Step adds another dimension with blinkers going on for trainer C W McDonald, who has stable runners going at 12 percentage points of POT in the last 100. There are plenty of intriguing form lines to unpack across the field as the runners ready themselves.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Showers
  • 12 runners

Shortest win price

Kokeshi (9)

2.80

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

  • 2Percipient
  • 5Snow Cabin

Backmarker

  • 1Shipping Steel

Midfield

  • 4Smart Step
  • 7Hill Of Olives

Offpace

  • 6Heavy Is The Head
  • 10Reelness
  • 11Cruise On Bye
  • 13Calexpo

Onpace

  • 12Miss Home Body
  • 9Kokeshi

Leader

  • 8Iftihar
  • Shipping Steel · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Percipient · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 9%

  • Smart Step · Positive

    Trainer ROI

    Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners

  • Snow Cabin · Negative

    Trainer A2E

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Shipping SteelJ: Thomas Stockdale·T: Michael Trotter1059.5kg71: 0-0-0$51.00$6.50

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Pakenham1000m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.77L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 56%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 35% POT in L100 Runners

Comments

AAP

Offered little to catch the eye on debut this venue as an outsider 30 Oct. Experience gained. Place preferred option.

ILB

Jumped at $81.00 and came in 7th last start here but was a debutant last start. Expected to settle towards the rear. Sharp improvement needed.

RP

Beaten on his debut (over 5f here) at 80-1 last month; not dismissed as his experience should be an asset.

RSIS

Started 80/1 and came in 7th last time at the track but having second race start. Likely to get back in the run.

2PercipientJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes1158kg–$6.00$2.20

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 9%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%

  • First Starter

    Positive

    Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). $180k purchase. Out of a stakes-winning mare. 2nds at past couple of jump-outs. Draw could be an issue but shouldn't be overlooked on debut.

ILB

3yo by New Bay having first race appearance for trainer Phillip Stokes & Tommy Stokes. Market as guide.

RP

This son of New Bay is having his first start under rules; strong contender as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

New Bay 3yo trained by Phillip Stokes & Tommy Stokes having first start. Keep your eye on the market.

3SluggerScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Stepping out for only the second time after battling home this course 30 Oct. Took valuable lessons. Only for exotics.

ILB

Started at $11.00 and made ground when closing off to finish 5th last run here and was on debut last time.

RSIS

Started 10/1 and closed off nicely when 5th last start around here and was a debutant last start.

4Smart StepJ: Beau Mertens·T: C W Mcdonald458kg41: 0-0-0$16.00$3.70

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Moe1100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.3L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Debut effort fair in spread-out finish at Moe 18 Oct. Better for the run. Can play a role.

ILB

Started $9.50 and ran past a few when 4th last run at Moe and having second race start. Could feature here.

RP

Fair debut effort at Moe at 17-2 last month; might be better for the experience although not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Odds of 17/2 and ran past a few when 4th last run at Moe and was on debut last time. Could feature here.

5Snow CabinJ: Damien Thornton·T: A & S Freedman958kg5$15.00$3.80

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 5Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.5L

Insights

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Watch Betting

    Negative

    If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). 3yo gelding having his first run today. Out of a Wanted mare Cubby. Recent 2nd at a Hillside jump-out. Creates interest on debut.

ILB

Vancouver 3yo having first race start for Anthony Freedman & Sam Freedman. Watch the market.

RP

Yard gets plenty of debutant winners; already gelded; rates a likely contender as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

3yo debutant sired by Vancouver for Anthony Freedman & Sam Freedman.

6Heavy Is The HeadJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: Paul & Tracey Templeton1257.5kg7 4 3 4 29: 0-1-2$5.50$2.15

Career

9: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Donald

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1209m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 2Sale1200m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY100.75L
  2. 4Pakenham Synthetic1200m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.6L
  3. 3Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.5L
  4. 4Donald1350m14 Apr 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD47.5L
  5. 7Geelong1200m1 Apr 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD45.5L
  6. 4Pakenham1000m19 Mar 2026 · 3Y FILLIES MDN-SW · SOFT51.4L
  7. 7Pakenham1200m9 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD33L
  8. 3Yarra Valley1209m19 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD32.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 57%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 60% Profit on Turnover

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

Comments

AAP

Kept coming and just fell short at Sale over this distance. Not out of it.

ILB

Ran home into 2nd last time at Sale on a heavy track. Racing consistently this preparation. Can win this.

RP

Missed out by three-quarters of a length at Sale three weeks ago; has taken a step forward the last twice but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at nine.

RSIS

Did well to place 2nd last start at Sale on a heavy surface. Tracking very well of late. Strong prospects.

7Hill Of OlivesJ: Zac Spain·T: J D Sadler857.5kg91: 0-0-0$31.00$5.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Pakenham1000m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58.02L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -35% POT in their L100 Races

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

A very soft debut performance this venue as an outsider 30 Oct. Much to learn and others carry more punch.

ILB

Started at $61.00 and faded to finish 9th last run at the track but having second career run. Would not recommend.

RP

Could not finish better than ninth on her debut (close behind Shipping Steel) over 5f (wore cheekpieces) at 66-1 two weeks ago; could improve from first run although a leap forward required to win this.

RSIS

Started at 60/1 and didn't threaten when 9th last start at the track but fitter for debut run.

8IftiharJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: Julius Sandhu357.5kg3 3 6 3 46: 0-0-4$8.00$2.65

Career

6: 0-0-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    3: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-2

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 4Mornington1200m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.25L
  2. 3Kyneton1203m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · SOFT50.21L
  3. 6Cranbourne1300m17 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT66.5L
  4. 3Cranbourne1400m27 Mar 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT64.4L
  5. 3Cranbourne1400m13 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.9L
  6. 3Moe1200m22 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.31L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Form sound so far this campaign. Good effort here two back over 1203m. On pace but found little at the business end at Mornington second-up. Stripping fitter, highly rated in this line-up.

ILB

Started at $11.00 and outmatched towards the finish when 4th last start at Mornington. Should race on the speed. Will be in the finish.

RP

Fair effort when beaten just over 4l, finishing fourth of nine at Mornington last month; has arguably shown improved form the last twice; trainer has been going through a quiet spell; this line-up contains some strong opposition so others make more appeal.

RSIS

Started at 10/1 and was found wanting late when 4th last time at Mornington. Should be going forward early. Will run close.

9KokeshiJ: Jye Mcneil·T: J F Moloney257.5kg2 4 4 7 27: 0-2-0$2.80$1.36

Career

7: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Ballarat1000m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.75L
  2. 7Sandown1400m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.25L
  3. 4Geelong1200m1 Apr 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD42L
  4. 4Pakenham1000m19 Mar 2026 · 3Y FILLIES MDN-SW · SOFT51.4L
  5. 2Pakenham1100m5 Mar 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD40.5L
  6. 5Moe1217m23 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT75.8L
  7. 6Mornington1000m5 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT510L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    John Moloney striking at just 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Put in some big strides late at Ballarat off long break. Better conditioned. Drawn to effect. Can play a role.

ILB

Managed to place 2nd last start at Ballarat and has a good draw. Should come to hand quickly. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Stepped up on her last two starts; good effort when close up at Ballarat over 5f (maiden) last month.

RSIS

Strong run when placing 2nd last time at Ballarat and will try to take advantage of the draw. Expecting to settle positively. Not at all out of this race.

10ReelnessJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Paul Worthington157.5kg9 5 12 3 1011: 0-1-1$126.00$15.00

Career

11: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 10Traralgon1100m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT712.51L
  2. 3Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT72L
  3. 12Sale1400m1 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD413.4L
  4. 5Cranbourne1200m22 Jan 2026 · 3-5Y MDN-SW · GOOD36L
  5. 9Stony Creek1100m18 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT54.7L
  6. 2Woolamai1008m3 Jan 2026 · Maiden2L
  7. 7Sale1200m26 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT711.8L
  8. 7Moe1100m19 Oct 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD47.7L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Well back and never sighted at Traralgon second-up at cricket score odds. New to Pakenham. Keener on others.

ILB

Started $101.00 and well beaten when 10th last start at Traralgon but has drawn the rails. Yet to break maiden status after 11 runs. Not interested.

RP

Finished tenth of 12 over 5½f at Traralgon (maiden) last month; form has been a bit mixed lately and still winless and defeats stacking up (11 on the bounce); this line-up contains some strong opposition so others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Started at 100/1 and subpar when 10th last start at Traralgon but drawn beautifully. Trying to win after 11 runs.

11Cruise On ByeJ: Jett Stanley·T: Gavin Bedggood656kg71: 0-0-0$11.00$3.30

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Bendigo1100m25 June 2026 · 2yo · SOFT65.6L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 73%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 32% POT in L100 Runners

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (20-weeks). Well held but far from disgraced on debut on a soft deck at Bendigo as an outsider 25 Jun. Experience a positive. Sound claims fresh.

ILB

Back from a spell. Started at $71.00 and ran 7th last time at Bendigo but having second race start. Will require a bold run.

RP

Could not finish better than seventh on her debut (Bendigo, 5½f) at 66-1 five months ago; returns from an absence here; could improve from first run although a leap forward required to win this.

RSIS

Back after a break. At 70/1 ran 7th last time at Bendigo but was on debut last time.

12Miss Home BodyJ: Luke Nolen·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman556kg6 32: 0-0-1$18.00$3.90

Career

2: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Avoca

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Avoca1200m17 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD37.25L
  2. 6Pakenham Synthetic1000m2 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC4.6L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Luke Nolen current POT is 46% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    P & K Moody & Coleman striking at just 7%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 49%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 55% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Solid change of gears running into the minors at Avoca at second start. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Good performance to run into 3rd last start at Avoca. Should be going forward early. Good chance in this.

RP

Well beaten third at Avoca last month; entitled to be a bit more streetwise this time and one to take seriously.

RSIS

Improved to place when 3rd last run at Avoca. Likely to be well placed early. Rates as one of the key chances.

13CalexpoJ: Brad Rawiller·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes759.5kg61: 0-0-0$9.00$2.80

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1225m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Geelong1225m19 June 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY98.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Brad Rawiller winning at 8% POT in last 100 rides

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (21-weeks). Had no answers when the pressure went on at Geelong debut 19 Jun. 1st & 3rd at latest jump-outs. Watch closely on return.

ILB

First run back from spell. Started $4.00 and didn't threaten when 6th last run at Geelong. Has the potential to improve sharply and having second career run. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

RP

Finished sixth and beaten 9l first time out at Geelong at 3-1 five months ago; returns from a layoff.

RSIS

Resuming after break. Started 3/1 and weakened to finish 6th last run at Geelong. Looking for an improved run and was a debutant last start. Will go close.

14ActivatingScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 1%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -52% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 50%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (61-days). Ex T Busuttin & N Young in Victoria. Dropped out to last and never sighted at Sale at second start. Happy to watch.

ILB

First up from a spell. Didn't attack the line when 10th last start at Sale. Racing for a new trainer.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Lost ground in the run home when 10th last time at Sale. First race for a new trainer.

15Amber SmileScratched11––––

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Ballarat Synthetic1200m2 July 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC5.6L
  2. 6Mornington1200m8 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT76.5L
  3. 3Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.2L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (19-weeks). Placed at both recent Flemington jump-outs. Sound claims fresh.

ILB

Resumes from a break. Was $8.00 and ran 5th last run Ballarat Synthetic.

RP

Held when fifth of nine at Ballarat four months ago; returns from a layoff here.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Was 7/1 and ran 5th last run Ballarat Synthetic.

16ScentriqueScratched5––––

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Sandown1500m3 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD34.8L
  2. 8Sandown1200m20 Aug 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.7L

Insights

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

Comments

AAP

Resuming (62-weeks). Modest form in stronger company last campaign. 3rd & 5th from latest jump-out efforts. Wiser for those runs and should have more to offer.

ILB

Fresh from a spell of 62 weeks. Gave away some ground when 11th last start at Sandown and coming back in trip.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 13 over 7½f at Sandown (maiden) last September; long absence to overcome.

RSIS

Resuming after a 62 week break. Weakened under pressure when 11th last time at Sandown and down in trip.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races