Shortest win price
Star Je Taime (10)
1.45
Pakenham hosts an intriguing 1600m Maiden Plate on a Good 4 surface with showers about for the evening. Looking at the early win market order, Star Je Taime commands attention at the top of the market, followed closely by Ambition In Bloom, Via Theresa, Kuheylan, Zapatch, Roll With It, Fulham Fox, and Lady Of Alsace rounding out the pack. The speed map suggests an active early tempo with Kuheylan, Ambition In Bloom, and Star Je Taime pushing forward from their barriers, while Roll With It takes up the running as the solo leader.
The form behind the market leaders jumps off the page for Star Je Taime, who is prepared by D T O'Brien and gets the services of Damian Lane from barrier 1. Star Je Taime comes here following a narrow minor placing when finishing second over 1600m at Mornington, preceded by a solid third over 1454m at Kyneton, earning a strong 100 rating that suggests a win is near. Ambition In Bloom sits right next in the market for M M Laurie, coming off a sound third over 1600m at Mornington following a fourth at Kilmore. The stable is firing with runners going at 21% POT in their last 100, and this improving sort rates a real chance to figure again.
Shortest win price
Star Je Taime (10)
1.45
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Fulham Fox · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Kuheylan · Negative
Trainer SR
Julius Sandhu striking at just 6%
Lady Of Alsace · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Roll With It · Negative
Jockey Booking
Sally Wynne current POT is 63% below Career Avg.
Career
6: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bombala
1: 0-1-0
Track Sale
3: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1113m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1519m
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 100%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 35%
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5kg weight here
AAP
Sent out $5 when battled home to finish 4th at Moruya. Has a tricky draw and up in weight. Significantly up in distance. Keener on others.
ILB
Started $3.70 and came in 4th last start at Moruya but back to a longer distance. Has to carry more weight this time. Facing a difficult task.
RP
Could not manage better than fourth over 6f at Moruya (maiden) last week; has found improvement of late; she can be taken on.
RSIS
Odds of 11/4 and finished 4th last time at Moruya but back to a longer distance. Up in weight.
Career
7: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1856m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Julius Sandhu striking at just 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
AAP
Solid showing here two back over 1600m. Modest performance at Mornington when drifting in the betting over this journey. Super fit from racing, hope for exotics only.
ILB
Started $9.50 and moved through the field into 4th last time at Mornington. Rough chance.
RP
Improved form the last twice; far from disgraced (beaten just under 3l, Mornington) two weeks ago; stable has been going through a quiet spell; been struggling to get her head in front recently so looks risky.
RSIS
Was 17/2 and ran past a few when 4th last start at Mornington.
Career
9: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
4: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 9 starts
AAP
Has generally struggled to make an impression. Safely held but not totally disgraced at Echuca as a market drifter. Switching to 1600m. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Started $10.00 and finished 5th last start at Echuca and dropping in distance. Hasn't fired a shot in 9 runs. Appears tested.
RP
Beaten 9l (fifth) at Echuca three weeks ago upped to 1m2½f; still winless and defeats stacking up (nine on the bounce); others appeal more.
RSIS
Was 9/1 and finished 5th last start at Echuca and back to a shorter distance. Yet to make an impression in 9 runs.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Freshened since return. Raced in back half and never landed a blow at Cranbourne off long break. Building fitness and gets a handy claim. Only for the minors here.
ILB
Weakened to finish 8th last start at Cranbourne but drawn the rails. Large claim helps.
RP
Beaten 13l in eighth over 7f at Cranbourne (maiden) last month; could be hard to beat.
RSIS
Looked outclassed when 8th last start at Cranbourne but drawn by the rails. Liana Wood provides some weight relief.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Competitive at times without placing. Handy and boxed on solidly at Wangaratta. Drawn to get a soft run. Worth a look.
ILB
Jumped at $6.50 and peaked on the run when 4th last run at Wangaratta and gets a favourable draw.
RP
Finished fourth last month albeit only beaten 1l at Wangaratta; recent effort was creditable so could have a say.
RSIS
At 11/2 was outsprinted when 4th last time at Wangaratta and has a positive draw.
Career
11: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
2: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Sally Wynne current POT is 63% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 75% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a short back-up. Record's hard to endorse. Well back and made some minor headway but passing mainly tired rivals at Ararat. Others carry more punch.
ILB
On a quick back up. Jumped at $101.00 and ran 4th last start at Ararat. Should race on the speed. Yet to place in 11 attempts. Needs significant improvement.
RP
Could not manage better than fourth (Ararat) at the weekend; still winless and defeats stacking up (11 on the bounce); unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Started 100/1 and ran 4th last start at Ararat. Should be going forward early. Hasn't fired a shot in 11 runs.
Career
2: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1457m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 31%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Damien Thornton in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 3%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
AAP
Form to date sound and been in the market each outing. Stuck to her guns to fill the minors when firmed from $5.50 into $4 at Mornington at second start. Improving sort who shapes well here.
ILB
Was outmatched at the end of the race when 3rd last run at Mornington. Likely to be well placed early. Has to be in the finish.
RP
Third, beaten half a length, at Mornington (split Star Je Taime and Kuheylan) 12 days ago; entitled to respect.
RSIS
Peaked on the run when 3rd beaten by 1/2L last start at Mornington. Shows good early pace. Highly respected.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
AAP
Well back and made limited headway this track first run back. Strips fitter. The stretch in trip could work in her favour. Sound claims.
ILB
Was $15.00 and finished 6th last run at this track.
RP
Best she's managed so far is fourth from three career starts; missed the frame (beaten just over 5l into sixth) over 7f here (maiden) last month; others are preferred.
RSIS
Started at 14/1 and finished 6th last run here.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Form sound so far this campaign. A vastly improved performance when the Exceedance 3year-old ran into the minors at Mortlake second-up. More a minor money chance here.
ILB
Amongst the placegetters when 3rd last run at Mortlake and form has been improving over recent runs.
RSIS
Looked good when 3rd last start at Mortlake and showing improvement in recent outings.
Career
5: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1454m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 41%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
Close to landing one. Solid showing here two back over 1454m. Narrowly beaten in the small field at Mornington over this journey. Take beating.
ILB
Narrowly denied victory last start at Mornington and drawn well. Will be positive in the run early. Exhibiting good form this campaign and showing improvement in recent outings. Strong winning chance.
RP
Near miss at 4-6 when ahead of a couple of these (Mornington) 12 days ago.
RSIS
Narrowly beaten last time at Mornington and will appreciate a good draw. Has shown early pace in races to date. Producing consistent results since coming back from a break. Entitled to prove too strong for most of these.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Unable to make an impression in soft going this course second-up. Sharper now, not out of it.
ILB
Started at $6.00 and didn't find the line when 5th last run here but has a good draw. Daniel Stackhouse has a good track record with the Grahame Begg stable. Potential to run into a place.
RP
Didn't run too badly when out of the frame here (beaten 5l) last month; first-time blinkers; can be in the thick of things with a bit more luck as excuses last time (hampered).
RSIS
At 5/1 faded to finish 5th last run around here but drawn nicely. Daniel Stackhouse and Grahame Begg are consistently competitive when paired.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Had no answers when the pressure went on this venue debut at wide odds 30 Oct. Much to learn and others carry more punch.
ILB
Odds of $51.00 and performed below standard when 10th last time here but fitter for debut run. Expected to settle towards the tail. Others preferred.
RP
Close up behind Helizangel last month when tenth (here, 7f, wearing blinkers); might be better for the experience although not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Was 50/1 and just average when 10th last run here but having second career run. Prefers to settle towards the tail.