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Pakenham (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 13 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 13 NovPakenham (VIC)Change

Race 2 — Ladbrokes More On Tote Win Mdn Plate 1400m · jumps

Race preview

Pakenham in showers, 1400 metres, 6:45 pm AEDT — a maiden plate for three-year-olds and over. The win market backs Mongolian Hero as the short-price favourite, with Royal Canvas and Capital Affair next in order. Galivad and Tecknoking complete the closer-priced runners. The track is rated GOOD4 and the field is spread across nine barriers to twelve.

Mongolian Hero rates a real chance here. The form reads three starts for a third placing, and last time out at Pakenham over 1200 metres the gelding knuckled down with purpose after a market ease. Added journey to 1400 metres should assist, and the rating of 98 jumps off the page. Royal Canvas arrives unraced but has impressed at jump-outs here — second and first — and draws well inside in barrier two on debut. Capital Affair set the pace last start at this track over this distance on a soft surface and was caught late, yet the form suggests merit. With repeat performance possible, the runner remains right in contention.

Galivad deserves mention despite sitting further back in the market. The four-year-old is on his second campaign after 28 weeks away and debuted at Ballarat at double-figure odds, finishing fourth at 1400 metres — not far from the action. The jockey and trainer pairing is performing 73 per cent better than market expectations, and the stable itself is outperforming by 50 per cent. That's a positive signal. Mongolian Hero and Royal Canvas look the primary chances, but Galivad's form trend and stable timing suggest he'll make his presence felt fresh.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Showers
  • 12 runners

Shortest win price

Mongolian Hero (8)

1.30

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offmidfield

  • 10Shamakita
  • 14Foxalation
  • 13Symphony Royale

Firststart

  • 1Asparagus
  • 9Royal Canvas

Backmarker

  • 2Barossa Bourbon
  • 6Blue And Gold

Midfield

  • 12Capital Affair

Offpace

  • 5Tecknoking
  • 8Mongolian Hero

Onpace

  • 3Dempsey

Leader

  • 4Galivad
  • Asparagus · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Barossa Bourbon · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.

  • Dempsey · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 63% lower than Career Avg.

  • Galivad · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 73%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1AsparagusJ: Nathan Punch·T: Jaymee Cockram959.5kg–$126.00$8.00

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Market Watch

    Negative

    Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

$12k purchase. 4yo lining up for his first official race start. 1st & 4th at latest jump-outs. Needs betting confidence.

ILB

Jaymee Cockram 4yo by Rich Enuff on debut. Respect the betting.

RP

Gelded already; first start under rules for this four-year-old; should prove competitive as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

First time at the races 4yo by Rich Enuff for Jaymee Cockram.

2Barossa BourbonJ: Brad Rawiller·T: Ms S Trolove359.5kg6 5 3 9 104: 0-0-1$91.00$7.00

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Moe

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1208m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Moe1100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD314.21L
  2. 9Moe1208m18 June 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY915.2L
  3. 3Sale1208m17 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.8L
  4. 5Sale1100m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD36.25L
  5. 6Traralgon950m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)12.8L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Lightly raced 4-year-old who has only managed a 3rd from 4 runs to date. Dropped out to last and never sighted at Moe off spell. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Started $151.00 and mediocre display when 10th last time at Moe. Gets back and needs luck. Cannot have.

RP

Last of ten at Moe over 5½f (maiden) last month; winless in four starts but has shown promise with third his top showing; stepping up in trip and has some questions to answer.

RSIS

Was 150/1 and fairly underwhelming when 10th last start at Moe. Likely to get back in the run.

3DempseyJ: Sally Wynne·T: E P Francese1059.5kg3 4 3 10 1012: 0-0-3$91.00$7.00

Career

12: 0-0-3

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    3: 0-0-2

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1429m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1462m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Kilmore1462m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT521.3L
  2. 10Cranbourne1400m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD320.31L
  3. 3Ballarat Synthetic1500m24 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC0.3L
  4. 4Bairnsdale1600m12 June 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY83.8L
  5. 3Kilmore1607m1 June 2026 · MDN SW · HEAVY94.3L
  6. 3Kilmore1612m15 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT61.5L
  7. 4Sale1717m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD37.5L
  8. 8Sale1429m19 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.7L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 63% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 1%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 80%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 77% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 75% in L100 rides

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Kilmore second-up at longer odds. Keener on others.

ILB

Odds of $31.00 and looked outclassed when 10th last time at Kilmore. A 12 start maiden. Very unlikely.

RP

Still winless and defeats stacking up (12 on the bounce); finished out the back over 7½f at Kilmore (maiden) two weeks ago; passed over.

RSIS

At 30/1 couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last run at Kilmore. Yet to break through after 12 starts.

4GalivadJ: Jett Stanley·T: Gavin Bedggood459.5kg5 41: 0-0-0$18.00$3.20

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Ballarat1400m30 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.9L
  2. 5Caulfield Heath1000m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 73%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 50%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 32% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (28-weeks). Wasn't all that far from the action on debut at Ballarat at double-figure odds 30 Apr. Wiser for it. Can make his presence felt fresh.

ILB

First up after a break of 28 weeks. Jumped at $19.00 and finished 4th last time at Ballarat but having second career run. Watch the betting.

RP

Not beaten too far (3l) on his debut at Ballarat over this trip at 18-1 in April; layoff to overcome; one to consider if building on initial performance.

RSIS

Fresh today after a break of 28 weeks. Was 18/1 and finished 4th last run at Ballarat but was on debut last time. Shows good early pace. Could feature here.

5TecknokingJ: Damien Thornton·T: C I Brown759.5kg4 6 33: 0-0-1$21.00$3.50

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1447m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Cranbourne1400m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.25L
  2. 6Geelong1447m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58.5L
  3. 4Seymour1200m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Off pace, left in tearaway winner's wake but ran on doggedly at Cranbourne over today's trip. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Finished amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by more than 7L last time at Cranbourne. Tough ask.

RP

First-time blinkers had no impact (Cranbourne) when well held third four weeks ago.

RSIS

Rattled home nicely into 3rd last time at Cranbourne.

6Blue And GoldJ: Jye Mcneil·T: Ms C Alderson1158kg3 5 9 74: 0-0-1$14.00$2.70

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Cranbourne1400m6 Nov 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD410.75L
  2. 9Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT59.65L
  3. 5Geelong1100m11 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.2L
  4. 3Caulfield1200m21 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD42.2L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 23% POT in L100 Runners

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Just fair in small field at Cranbourne over this distance. Awkwardly drawn. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Was $7.00 and moderate showing when 7th last time at Cranbourne. Can make a comeback. Can go through the gears. Attracts support.

RP

Some promise; closest he has come to winning after four starts was a third; last of seven at Cranbourne last week; he can be taken on.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Odds of 6/1 and disappointing effort when 7th last time at Cranbourne. Likely to bounce back. Should be swooping on the field late. Winning potential.

7King CampaniaScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

First-up (34-weeks). Better for the spell and readied via a Wyong trial. Last campaign was safely held against better opposition. Wasn't up to it in first two campaigns but benefitted by a good break.

ILB

Fresh from a spell of 34 weeks. Weakened under pressure when 9th last time at Wyong.

RSIS

First run back from a 34 week break. Struggled with the pace when 9th last time at Wyong.

8Mongolian HeroJ: Jamie Melham·T: Peter Gelagotis658kg3 11 4 43: 0-0-0$1.30$1.02

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Pakenham1200m30 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT50.97L
  2. 4Moe1200m18 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD32L
  3. 11Flemington1400m16 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD410.9L
  4. 3Caulfield Heath1000m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.2L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -35% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Form to date fair. Knuckled down with purpose this venue after a market ease. Added journey should assist. Stripping fitter, will take stopping in this company.

ILB

Odds of $7.50 and showed some merit late when 4th last start around here. Winning chance.

RP

Fourth here but only beaten less than a length over 6f (maiden) last month.

RSIS

At 13/2 got going late when 4th last time here. Strong chance to be considered.

9Royal CanvasJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: Dean Williams258kg–$10.00$2.30

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Watch Betting

    Negative

    If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

3yo gelding making debut out of a Show Of Heart mare Another Rosie. 2nd & 1st from recent jump-outs here. Big watch on debut.

ILB

First appearance at the races 3yo by Royal Meeting for trainer Dean Williams and drawn nicely. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

First time on the track; related to multiple race winner Hurricane Rosie (1m-1m3f); every chance as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

First race appearance 3yo by Royal Meeting for Dean Williams and gets a favourable stall.

10ShamakitaJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes858kg10 142: 0-0-0$18.00$3.20

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 14Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT526.15L
  2. 10Bendigo1100m2 May 2026 · 2Y SW · GOOD37.8L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Phillip & Tommy Stokes striking at just 8%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened after returning. Failed to threaten at Seymour for new trainer after easing in betting. Place preferred option.

ILB

Odds of $18.00 and tailed off to finish 14th last run at Seymour. Happy to overlook that run. Will be motoring home late. Definite winning chance.

RP

Finished out the back over 6f at Seymour (maiden) five weeks ago on debut for this trainer; first-time blinkers; capable of making an impact.

RSIS

Was 17/1 and looked outclassed when 14th last start at Seymour. Likely to bounce back. Shows good finishing pace. Expecting a strong showing.

11DextroseScratched14––––

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Wangaratta1300m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.4L
  2. 10Ballarat1200m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD49.47L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 62% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 5%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Luke Cartwright 52% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 96%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Luke Cartwright winning at 42% POT in last 100 rides

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

Comments

AAP

Ran on okay without troubling at Wangaratta. More ground could help. All the better, sound claims.

ILB

Jumped at $14.00 and made up ground when 4th last time at Wangaratta.

RP

Respectable effort over 6½f at Wangaratta (maiden) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Started 13/1 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last time at Wangaratta.

12Capital AffairJ: Luke Nolen·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman1256kg8 5 11 6 35: 0-0-1$11.00$2.40

Career

5: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Pakenham1400m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.15L
  2. 6Cranbourne1000m16 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD36.55L
  3. 11Caulfield Heath1100m16 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD414.61L
  4. 5Bendigo1000m13 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.2L
  5. 8Pakenham1000m23 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN SW · GOOD44L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 49%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Good signs last start. Set pace and caught late this course over this distance. Remains at 1400m. Fully primed. Sound latest offering and a chance with repeat.

ILB

Couldn't shake them off when 3rd last start here. Needs significant improvement.

RP

Appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; not beaten far when third at 20-1 two weeks ago upped to this trip.

RSIS

Outgunned at the finish when 3rd beaten by 1L last start around here.

13Symphony RoyaleJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker157.5kg10 92: 0-0-0$91.00$7.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Mornington1200m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD316.41L
  2. 10Geelong1212m4 June 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1022.6L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 46% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    P & H Carey & Walker striking at just 3%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels 62% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 29% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 60%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 62%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Two runs to date have been lacklustre. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Jumped at $101.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at Mornington but has minimal work to do from the alley. Has to have a lot go its way.

RP

Last of nine at Mornington over 6f (maiden) three weeks ago; wears first-time blinkers; also engaged in race 4 at Geelong.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and tailed off to finish 9th last time at Mornington but has the ideal stall. Likely to settle back in the field.

14FoxalationJ: Beau Mertens·T: Angus Townley559.5kg7 82: 0-0-0$41.00$4.20

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1462m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Kilmore1462m15 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT69L
  2. 7Pakenham1200m1 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.9L

Insights

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (26-weeks). More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a 26 week break. Started $11.00 and lacklustre showing when 8th last start at Kilmore. Expected to settle towards the rear. Won't find this easy.

RP

Beaten 9l when eighth of ten over 7½f at Kilmore (maiden) in May; returns from a layoff.

RSIS

Back from a break of 26 weeks. Odds of 10/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 8th last run at Kilmore. Might be ridden for luck.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races