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Warwick Farm (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Warwick Farm (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovWarwick Farm (NSW)Change

Race 6 — Asahi Super Dry (Bm72) 1600m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Warwick Farm for the Asahi Super Dry Benchmark 72 over 1600m on a good four surface with fine weather overhead. The win market order has Chilli Margs sitting shortest, closely followed by Naina, Leica Storm, and Burn The Sky rounding out the early fancies in what shapes as a fascinating contest.

Taking a look at the form behind those shorter prices, Leica Storm for trainer Matthew Smith jumps off the page with Tommy Berry in the saddle from barrier seven. This runner went close as favourite at Randwick-Kensington before finding the 1900m at Newcastle a bit tough over the concluding stages, and the drop back in trip plus proven track and trip credentials suggest another bold showing rates a real chance. Naina for C J Waller and James McDonald lines up from barrier five, bringing consistent form after closing off late from the tail at this venue last time out.

Further down the market, Chilli Margs starts from barrier one for Bjorn Baker and Jason Collett, boasting a hot jockey and trainer combination that outperforms market expectations by a significant margin alongside a map position well suited to this track. Burn The Sky brings a freshen-up and a recent Rosehill trial for trainer John O'Shea and Tom Charlton, while Kirkuk catches the eye further down the order as the fastest overall finishing sectional earner last start with Regan Bayliss steering for J and G Lee.

Race notes

  • BM72,BM72 HCP,Benchmark 72
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Chilli Margs (7)

2.10

Most career wins

Sharp Shock

6-8-2 from 39 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 5Sharp Shock

Offmidfield

  • 12Kirkuk

Midfield

  • 3Naina
  • 11Sneaky Choice

Offpace

  • 4Bondi Blossom
  • 7Chilli Margs
  • 6Burn The Sky

Onpace

  • 1Autumn Winter

Leader

  • 2Leica Storm

  • Autumn Winter · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

  • Leica Storm · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 36% in Last 100 Rides

  • Naina · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Bondi Blossom · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 32% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Autumn WinterJ: Mollie Fitzgerald·T: Matthew Smith261.5kg1 1 9 8 1011: 3-1-1$41.00$4.40

Career

11: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

96

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Wyong

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1625m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 2-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Warwick Farm1207m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)9.5L
  2. 8Warwick Farm1200m28 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.8L
  3. 9Eagle Farm2200m2 May 2026 · BM78 · HEAVY825.5L
  4. 1Warwick Farm2400m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-2.2
  5. 1Wyong2100m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.8
  6. 6Hawkesbury1800m7 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · SOFT51.9L
  7. 4Wyong1625m21 Feb 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.7L
  8. 10Leopardstown2414m20 Oct 2024 · Premier Handicap · HEAVY13.7L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Mollie Fitzgerald 47% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Mollie Fitzgerald in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 47%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Import returning for second Australian campaign (27-weeks). Not beaten far Benchmark 64 company at Wyong first-up last preparation. Won over 2400m here last time in. Had three quiet trials. Prefer to see.

ILB

First up from a break of 27 weeks. Was $2.60 and gave away some ground when 9th last start at Eagle Farm. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Should go very close.

RP

Has won here before; beaten a long way despite being fancied over 1m3f at Eagle Farm (handicap) in May; returns from a layoff; passed over.

RSIS

First run back from a 27 week break. Started 8/5 and was well beaten when 9th last time at Eagle Farm. Happy to forgive that run. Should go close.

2Leica StormJ: Tommy Berry·T: Matthew Smith758kg4 2 5 2 720: 4-5-5$9.00$2.25

Career

20: 4-5-5

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-3

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-2

  • Third-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Muswellbrook

    3: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1280m

    2: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 2-1-2

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    9: 3-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 1-4-2

Last starts

  1. 7Newcastle1900m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.28L
  2. 2Randwick Kensington1800m7 Oct 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · SOFT60.45L
  3. 5Warwick Farm1600m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51L
  4. 2Warwick Farm1208m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.3L
  5. 4Warwick Farm1600m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.2L
  6. 3Newcastle1500m22 Aug 2026 · 5UP BM64 HCP · GOOD40.4L
  7. 3Kembla Grange1400m8 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD41.7L
  8. 1Randwick1200m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.2

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 36% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Tommy Berry 38% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Went close as fav at Randwick-Kensington 7 Oct. Prominent but just felt the pinch over concluding stages at Newcastle over longer assignment. Pace influence. Proven this track and trip. Can atone.

ILB

Was $2.70 and didn't threaten when 7th last run at Newcastle. Looking for an improved run and will be well suited at the distance. Likely to be well placed early. Strong prospects.

RP

Brings winning C&D form to the table; last of seven over 1m1½f at Newcastle (handicap) three weeks ago; this is competitive and he can be taken on.

RSIS

Started 7/4 and didn't attack the line when 7th last run at Newcastle. Likely to bounce back and suited at this trip historically. Won't be far away during the run. Very tidy performer.

3NainaJ: James Mc Donald·T: C J Waller558kg4 2 3 4 417: 3-3-2$3.00$1.24

Career

17: 3-3-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 2-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1715m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    12: 3-3-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Warwick Farm1400m28 Oct 2026 · 5UP BM78 HCP · SOFT52.88L
  2. 4Caulfield1440m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.56L
  3. 3Mornington1500m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · SOFT57.75L
  4. 2Caulfield Heath1600m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.3L
  5. 4Caulfield1400m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · SOFT60.75L
  6. 7Sandown1400m22 July 2026 · BM70 · SOFT64.3L
  7. 1Flemington1400m16 May 2026 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · GOOD4-0.1
  8. 6Caulfield Heath1600m3 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.7L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Racing consistently. Closed off late from the tail this venue. Well into preparation now, has some claims.

ILB

Jumped at $7.00 and closed off nicely when 4th last time here but rises in weight. James Mcdonald rates highly aboard. Competitive type.

RP

Creditable fourth over 7f here (handicap) last month; James McDonald a notable booking; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Started 6/1 and ran past a few when 4th last start around here but has to cope with a weight increase. James Mcdonald is a smart booking. Capable of winning this.

4Bondi BlossomJ: Rachel King·T: Brad Widdup657.5kg4 5 4 7 114: 3-4-0$23.00$3.60

Career

14: 3-4-0

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 2-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Bathurst

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    13: 3-4-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Kembla Grange1500m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP PROV BM64 HCP · GOOD4-0.2
  2. 7Randwick Kensington1400m7 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · SOFT68.1L
  3. 4Newcastle1300m19 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD43.35L
  4. 5Rosehill1030m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.2L
  5. 4Hawkesbury800m24 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.9L
  6. 4Gold Coast1800m9 May 2026 · 3yo · GOOD42.7L
  7. 2Gosford1600m25 Apr 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.3L
  8. 1Newcastle1500m11 Apr 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD4-0.1

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 32% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Rachel King 25% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On pace and stuck on grittily for narrow 3yo+ Provincial (Bm64) win at Kembla Grange. Can lead or take a sit. First time around Warwick Farm. Looks up against it.

ILB

Fought on gamely when winning by a short half head last time at Kembla Grange but stepping up to a higher level. This won't be easy.

RP

A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 3-14; scored by a slim margin in a handicap (Kembla Grange) last month; Rachel King booked; should go well.

RSIS

Brave effort to win narrowly by a short half head last run at Kembla Grange but up in class.

5Sharp ShockJ: Tyler Schiller·T: R P Northam957.5kg4 3 8 3 139: 6-8-2$23.00$3.60

Career

39: 6-8-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-2-0

  • Second-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick Kensington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    7: 1-1-0

  • Distance 900m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    21: 4-5-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    14: 1-3-1

Last starts

  1. 1Newcastle1500m31 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD4-0.19
  2. 3Newcastle1500m18 Sept 2026 · 5UP BM64 HCP · GOOD31.58L
  3. 8Wyong1350m4 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD47.2L
  4. 3Newcastle1350m25 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT62L
  5. 4Newcastle1250m13 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42.2L
  6. 11Randwick Kensington1300m29 July 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · SOFT56.12L
  7. 7Canterbury1100m8 July 2026 · 4UP BM72 HCP · HEAVY86.8L
  8. 10Newcastle1600m15 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD44.9L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Defied betting drift to break a a long run of outs when winning at Newcastle. First time around Warwick Farm. Repeat would surprise.

ILB

Finished hard to win last run at Newcastle but facing formidable opponents. Likely to get back in the run. Showing improvement in recent outings. Slim hope.

RP

Big price (16-1) when winning Newcastle handicap last month; is passed over despite that win at Newcastle.

RSIS

Reeled them in to win last start at Newcastle and getting better in recent performances. Does take a while to get into stride. Matched against a stronger field.

6Burn The SkyJ: Dylan Gibbons·T: John O'Shea & Tom Charlton857kg1 6 4 8 511: 2-1-0$14.00$2.80

Career

11: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Rosehill1030m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L
  2. 8Warwick Farm1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM72 · SOFT617.84L
  3. 4Warwick Farm1600m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.29L
  4. 6Warwick Farm1400m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.2L
  5. 1Randwick1045m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1.4
  6. 6Eagle Farm1600m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo · HEAVY82L
  7. 8Randwick2000m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT79.2L
  8. 2Kembla Grange1600m13 Mar 2026 · 3yo · SOFT60.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Dylan Gibbons 39% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 37 days

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Fav but rider concerned with her action and eased down in 1600m 3yo+ F&M (Bm72) this course. Since trialled at Rosehill 19 Oct. Can bounce bounce back.

ILB

Odds of $2.60 and folded up in the straight when 8th last run around here. Tongue tie go off for the first time. Knockout chance.

RP

A few throw outs since her success in a handicap at Goulburn in February; favourite when last of eight last month; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as this looks a fair heat.

RSIS

Odds of 8/5 and folded up in the straight when 8th last start at this track. Tongue strap go off for the first time.

7Chilli MargsJ: Jason Collett·T: Bjorn Baker156.5kg5 4 1 3 78: 2-0-1$2.10$1.10

Career

8: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Phar Lap Raceway

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Riccarton Park

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 7Warwick Farm1400m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.52L
  2. 3Rosehill1200m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.92L
  3. 1Rosehill1030m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.4
  4. 4Gosford1600m9 May 2026 · 3&4Y BM72 · GOOD41.9L
  5. 5Randwick1400m25 Apr 2026 · 3&4Y BM72 · GOOD42.2L
  6. 1Hawkesbury1400m14 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD4-0.2
  7. 6Hawkesbury1300m26 Mar 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.6L
  8. 1Riccarton Park1400m25 Oct 2025 · MDN · GOOD4-2

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely this course when second-up at $10. Sharper now, capable of making an impact.

ILB

At $10.00 struggled with the pace when 7th last run at this venue but gets the perfect barrier. Keep safe.

RP

Beaten 6l in seventh over 7f here (handicap) 14 days ago; wasn't at her best last time out following some good runs; meeting some horses in good form and looks risky.

RSIS

Was 9/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last run at this track but gets a favourable draw. Betting is the best guide.

8Pappa BlueScratched12––––

Career

9: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 2-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-2-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Warwick Farm1600m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD40.69L
  2. 6Canterbury1550m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.51L
  3. 3Kembla Grange1400m29 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD41L
  4. 6Warwick Farm819m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.1L
  5. 6Warwick Farm792m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3L
  6. 7Kembla Grange1500m18 Apr 2026 · BM64 · SOFT53L
  7. 10Randwick1600m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT74.5L
  8. 1Kembla Grange1400m13 Mar 2026 · BM64 · SOFT6-1.3

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 29% Profit on Turnover

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

Comments

AAP

Out the back, closed with raking strides in the 3yo+ (Bm72) this venue over today's trip. Not out of this with repeat.

ILB

Came on strongly when 2nd last run here. Putting up notable efforts since returning from a break.

RP

Went off 28-1 when good runner-up last month; one to consider.

RSIS

Made some ground late when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at the track. Very competitive lately.

9DjapanaScratched6––––

Career

33: 4-3-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    20: 3-2-3

Last starts

  1. 3Warwick Farm1400m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD41.79L
  2. 9Illawarra Grange1450m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.9L
  3. 5Warwick Farm1208m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.1L
  4. 9Warwick Farm795m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.4L
  5. 6Warwick Farm1600m7 Jan 2026 · 4UP MARES BM72 HCP · GOOD41.1L
  6. 11Randwick1600m20 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.8L
  7. 6Rosehill2000m29 Nov 2025 · Benchmark 72 · GOOD43.8L
  8. 1Newcastle1600m15 Nov 2025 · Benchmark 72 · GOOD4-0.5

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Snagged back to the tail, gave late chase this course second-up. Usually gets back. Drops back in grade seeking a return to form. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Finished strongly when 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last start at this venue but hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Andrew Adkins is a suitable booking.

RP

All four wins have come over this trip; ran well enough to finish third at 80-1 here over 7f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Picked up late ground when 3rd last start here but goes up in weight. Andrew Adkins is a key engagement.

10Emerald HillsScratched10––––

Career

5: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Taree

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Newcastle

    2: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1850m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 2-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Hawkesbury1400m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM64 HCP · GOOD43.74L
  2. 7Randwick1050m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)4.3L
  3. 9Newcastle1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)16L
  4. 7Gosford800m31 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.1L
  5. 1Newcastle1850m23 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · SOFT5-2.48
  6. 6Gosford1000m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.9L
  7. 5Hawkesbury1600m26 Mar 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD48.2L
  8. 1Newcastle1600m28 Feb 2026 · MDN · SOFT5-0.6

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 26% lower than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 26% in L100 rides

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Taken back and safely held in shallow field at Hawkesbury off extended spell. Has a tricky draw. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Was $15.00 and making up some late ground when 5th last time at Hawkesbury and good career start. Racing against tougher rivals. Gets a reduction in weight.

RP

Fair effort when beaten just under 4l, finishing fifth of seven over 7f at Hawkesbury (handicap) last month; much respected based on the pick of her form.

RSIS

At 14/1 picked up some late ground when 5th last start at Hawkesbury and solid career start. Facing a stronger group of contenders. Suited by the weight drop.

11Sneaky ChoiceJ: Kerrin Mc Evoy·T: Brad Widdup355kg8 2 5 6 314: 3-1-2$14.00$2.80

Career

14: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Illawarra Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 2-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Kembla Grange1600m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP COND BM68 HCP · GOOD43.2L
  2. 6Randwick Kensington1800m7 Oct 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · SOFT63.88L
  3. 5Warwick Farm1600m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.45L
  4. 2Warwick Farm1600m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
  5. 8Rosehill1400m15 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.7L
  6. 4Illawarra Grange1200m30 July 2026 · BM68 HCP · GOOD43.4L
  7. 4Rosehill1030m10 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.7L
  8. 2Hawkesbury1000m29 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)2.1L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

No threat to winner but ran on for the minors at Kembla Grange over today's trip. Can make her presence felt.

ILB

Good performance to run into 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last time at Kembla Grange. Should get going late. Good chance and definitely has claims.

RP

A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 3-14; third, beaten just over 3l, (Kembla Grange) two weeks ago; poses a threat.

RSIS

Solid effort when placing 3rd last time at Kembla Grange. Possesses very good finishing pace. Strong prospects.

12KirkukJ: Regan Bayliss·T: J & G Lee455kg2 9 6 3 133: 4-4-4$31.00$4.00

Career

33: 4-4-4

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Illawarra Grange

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    15: 1-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    12: 2-2-1

Last starts

  1. 1Illawarra Grange2000m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.4
  2. 3Hawkesbury1800m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.15L
  3. 6Kembla Grange1600m12 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.5L
  4. 9Kembla Grange1400m29 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD46.4L
  5. 2Kembla Grange2000m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.1L
  6. 3Gosford1600m18 July 2026 · Benchmark 68 · HEAVY95.1L
  7. 6Randwick Kensington1550m1 July 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · HEAVY84.8L
  8. 5Hawkesbury1500m23 June 2026 · BM64 · SOFT50.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 190%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 40%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Recaptured winning form with a strong victory at Illawarra Grange over longer assignment. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Brave effort to win narrowly by a long neck last start at Illawarra Grange and getting better in recent performances. Might be ridden for luck. Coming back in trip. Very hard to have.

RP

Scored narrowly in a handicap at Illawarra Grange last month; others more likely despite the last time out success.

RSIS

Was fighting out the finish when winning last start at Illawarra Grange and showing improvement in recent outings. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
  • Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Mon 5 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Wed 23 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
  • Wed 2 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races