Warwick Farm (NSW) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 3:25 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Warwick Farm (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovWarwick Farm (NSW)Change

Race 2 — Racing And Sports Mdn Plate 1200m · jumps Wed 11 Nov, 2:55 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Warwick Farm for race two on the card, the Racing And Sports Mdn Plate over 1200m on a good four track with fine weather overhead. The win market order has Rishaka sitting right at the top of the betting as the shortest priced runner, closely followed by Single Ladies, Tuscan Charm, and Miss Supernova rounding out the leading fancies in the market. Up ya go, let us dive right into the numbers that jump off the page for this fillies and mares maiden showdown.

The early market leader Rishaka is a notable first starter from the C J Waller stable with James McDonald in the saddle, backed by a stable operating at a strong twenty-one percent profit on turnover over their last hundred runners, though the trial form has been mixed. Miss Supernova brings race experience to the table starting from barrier six for G Ryan and S Alexiou with Kerrin Mc Evoy steering, boasting a sound track record at Randwick Kensington and coming off a twenty-one week break following solid earlier trial work. Single Ladies for G Waterhouse and A Bott starts from gate four with Tim Clark aboard, returning from a twenty-four week spell after showing promise in two subsequent trials and stepping up to 1200m on a firmer track surface which could suit.

Looking at the speed map and deeper stats, Miss Supernova is listed as a leader with early speed which will be a handy advantage on this circuit, while Testamapatience maps on-pace under Tommy Berry who is flying high above market expectations. Oakfield Virginia is another runner to keep tabs on coming off a nice run where it ran on hard last start. The numbers say keep an open mind in a tricky maiden, but those key runners definitely rate a real chance to figure in the finish.

Race notes

F&M MDN SW HCP,F&M MDN-SW,Maiden
GOOD4
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

Rishaka (4)

3.70

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

7The Weapon

Midfield

1Legsliketwiggy
5Single Ladies

Offpace

3Oakfield Virginia

Onpace

6Testamapatience

Firststart

4Rishaka
8Tuscan Charm

Leader

2Miss Supernova

Legsliketwiggy · Negative
Jockey Booking
Reece Jones current POT is 26% below Career Avg.
Miss Supernova · Positive
Early Splits
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Oakfield Virginia · Negative
Trainer A2E
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Rishaka · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1LegsliketwiggyJ: Reece Jones·T: Robert Quinn158kg11 2 6 5 134: 0-1-0$126.00$11.00

Career

4: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0

Last starts

13Hawkesbury1400m7 Nov 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD412.24L
5Canberra1200m23 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD41.59L
6Warwick Farm1207m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)11.3L
2Canberra1280m24 July 2026 · MDN · GOOD30.9L
11Canberra1280m8 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD310.9L
1Warwick Farm1209m26 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)-0.3

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Reece Jones current POT is 26% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Dropped out to last and never sighted at Hawkesbury when second-up. Drops to shorter trip. Wants it a bit easier.

ILB

On a short back up. At $101.00 was nothing special when 13th last run at Hawkesbury but will appreciate a good gate. Needs too much luck.

Four-race maiden though does have a second place to her name; finished last of 13 over 7f at Hawkesbury (maiden) on Saturday; others are preferred.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Odds of 100/1 and below par when 13th last run at Hawkesbury but drawn well.

2Miss SupernovaJ: Kerrin Mc Evoy·T: G Ryan & S Alexiou658kg3 2 3 6 86: 0-2-1$5.50$1.70

Career

6: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Canterbury
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-2-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

8Rosehill900m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.8L
6Canterbury1250m17 June 2026 · 3yo · SOFT65.3L
3Hawkesbury1100m14 May 2026 · Maiden · SOFT72L
2Randwick Kensington1100m27 Apr 2026 · 2&3YF MDN-SW · GOOD43.4L
3Rosehill900m17 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.5L
4Warwick Farm1200m7 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD42.7L
2Randwick1200m26 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.06L
5Canterbury1100m2 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial1.9L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (21-weeks). In the minors at Randwick-Kensington first-up last campaign while trialling 2 times ahead of return. Worth a look fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up from a break of 21 weeks and finished amongst the placegetters when 2nd beaten by almost 3 1/2L first up last preparation at Randwick Kensington. Major chance.

Beaten 5½l in sixth at Canterbury in June; best form so far in last two starts; returns from a break here; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Resuming and came on strongly when 2nd resuming last preparation at Randwick Kensington. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Will be in the finish.

3Oakfield VirginiaJ: Jason Collett·T: K A Lees758kg3 1 1 2 22: 0-1-1$5.00$1.55

Career

2: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Scone
1: 0-1-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Scone1200m23 Oct 2026 · Maiden · SOFT51.11L
2Newcastle800m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.7L
1Beaumont1000m12 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial-1.3
1Wyong845m28 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial-0.3
3Scone900m19 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial0.2L
3Tamworth1200m15 Aug 2025 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD41.8L
3Gosford1000m23 July 2025 · Barrier Trial2.3L
5Beaumont800m9 July 2025 · Barrier Trial6.4L

Insights

Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Shown early promise. Keen but showed a nice turn of foot from the back at Scone at second start. Respect stable when they come to town.

ILB

Made considerable ground when 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Scone. Should give plenty of sight.

Was on the premises (runner-up, beaten just over 1l) at Scone last month in a handicap.

RSIS

Ran on strongly when 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Scone. Solid chance.

4RishakaJ: James Mc Donald·T: C J Waller556.5kg–$3.70$1.34

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-1). $360k purchase. First foal to race. Trial form mixed and may want longer but check markets.

ILB

3yo runner on debut by Frankel for Christian Frederick Waller. Fitter for a barrier trial at Royal Randwick on Oct 23rd. James Mcdonald adds value. Watch the betting.

Trainer gets plenty of winning newcomers at this trip; should be involved as some good aspects to her profile.

RSIS

Initial appearance 3yo by Frankel for Christian Frederick Waller. Ran 3rd in a trial at Royal Randwick on Oct 23rd. James Mcdonald is a strong choice aboard. Watch betting.

5Single LadiesJ: Tim Clark·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott456.5kg3 7 42: 0-0-0$4.40$1.45

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Canterbury1100m27 May 2026 · 2Y FILLIES MDN HCP · SOFT72.3L
7Warwick Farm1000m6 May 2026 · 2Y FILLIES MDN-SW · GOOD43L
3Canterbury898m10 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 30% in L100 rides
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (24-weeks). More mature now. Had two subsequent trials, latest at Randwick 23 Oct. Could improve out to 1200m on a firmer trakl. Can play a role fresh in this affair.

ILB

Back after a break. Jumped at $13.00 and got going late when 4th last start at Canterbury. Yet to place in multiple trials. Could not recommend.

Solid effort at Canterbury in May in a handicap; returns from a break today.

RSIS

Fresh today. Started 12/1 and moved through the field into 4th last run at Canterbury. Has not placed in all trials.

6TestamapatienceJ: Tommy Berry·T: Peter Snowden856.5kg6 5 3 2 41: 0-0-0$8.50$2.35

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Rosehill1100m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.25L
2Randwick1050m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.2L
3Randwick740m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.6L
5Rosehill1030m19 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.3L
6Rosehill900m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)4L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 36% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Tommy Berry 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Tommy Berry winning at 27% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 28 days
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Modest debut performance at Rosehill 14 Oct. Better for it. Has scope and the extra 100m may help.

ILB

Started at $4.60 and ran 4th last time at Rosehill. Likely to bounce back and having second race start. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Holds a major chance.

Respectable debut effort (beaten just over 4l, Rosehill, 5½f) at 7-2 28 days ago; progress needed on this second career run.

RSIS

Started 7/2 and finished 4th last time at Rosehill. Expecting improvement and having second career run. Blinkers go on for the first time. Should muster plenty of early toe. Suited against these.

7The WeaponJ: Molly Bourke·T: G R Nickson356.5kg6 3 9 8 103: 0-0-0$126.00$12.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Newcastle1300m31 Oct 2026 · F&M MDN · GOOD410.45L
8Newcastle1250m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.08L
9Canterbury1100m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD411.32L
3Warwick Farm817m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.4L
6Warwick Farm795m20 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 80%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 42%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 30% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Ridden back and never a factor at Newcastle latest outing. Comes back in trip a touch but has finished down the track in three runs. More needed.

ILB

Started at $81.00 and below expectations when 10th last run at Newcastle. Might be ridden for luck. Seems unlikely.

Finished last of ten at Newcastle last month in a handicap; yet to finish better than eighth in her three races; she can be taken on.

RSIS

At 80/1 disappointing outing when 10th last time at Newcastle. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

8Tuscan CharmJ: Tyler Schiller·T: Danielle Seib256.5kg1 2 3$4.80$1.55

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

3Hawkesbury1000m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.4L
2Illawarra Grange800m3 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.3L
1Moruya920m19 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.2

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (3:1-1-1). $80k purchase. Out of a winning mare. Signalled ability with an earlier trial win at Moruya. Benefit of decent alley. Tough initiation but market may offer more insight.

ILB

Castelvecchio 3yo having first start for trainer Danielle Seib and drawn nicely. Success in a trial at Moruya on June 19th. Watch early betting.

This daughter of Castelvecchio makes first rules appearance; one to consider with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

First start at the races 3yo by Castelvecchio for Danielle Seib and has a good draw. Won a trial at Moruya on June 19th.

9Water CityScratched9––––

Career

2: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-2

Last starts

3Hawkesbury1100m27 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.69L
3Hawkesbury1000m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.55L
4Rosehill900m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
7Randwick737m15 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)4.4L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 42% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Promising 3yo from a leading stable. Kept coming and just fell short at Hawkesbury at second start. Progressive type. Sharper now, hard to toss.

ILB

Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd last start at Hawkesbury. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts this campaign.

Beaten narrowly at Hawkesbury over 5½f (handicap) last month; ought to be competitive.

RSIS

Showed a good turn of foot when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last time at Hawkesbury. Has run into the placings at every start in recent runs.

Odds correct as at Wed 11 Nov, 3:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Mon 5 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Wed 23 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Wed 2 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races