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Warwick Farm (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Warwick Farm (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovWarwick Farm (NSW)Change

Race 5 — Ranvet (Bm72) 1300m · jumps

Race preview

The Ranvet Benchmark 72 handicap at Warwick Farm over 1300 metres jumped at 4:40 pm AEDT on a Good 4 track in fine conditions. Shady Road and Bryant lead the market, with Duvana and Big Tiger next in line. This is a competitive 3yo+ field where form across the class and track is tight—three runners have rated between 77 and 82 on IRD, and one sits at 100.

Shady Road looks a genuine contender after running full of running to just miss at this track over 1100 metres off spell, backed by the fastest finishing sectionals last start. The claim of 1.5kg helps, and form at this level has been sound without the wins. Bryant bravely went down by just over a length at Warwick Farm over this exact trip in the same class, and with Sam Clipperton riding him 23 per cent better than his career average lately, he rates a real chance to go one better. Duvana is resuming after 20 weeks and comes into the race with a 82 IRD rating, while Nash Rawiller has been booking 22 per cent above market expectations in his last 100 rides, adding positive momentum to that pairing.

Big Tiger dominates the market fresh after a strong first campaign, though he's drawn awkwardly in barrier 9 and Tim Clark has underperformed market expectations by 30 per cent in recent rides. The midfield group—Crossbow, Duvana, Bryant, Shady Road, and Silencio Porfavor—will set the early tempo. Worth noting: Silencio Porfavor has Tommy Berry booked 38 per cent above market expected in his last 100 rides, while the Bjorn Baker and Jason Collett combination behind him has outperformed market expectations by 47 per cent this preparation.

Race notes

  • 3UP BM72 HCP,3yo+,BM72,Benchmark 72
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Shady Road (4)

2.80

Most career wins

Duvana and Silencio Porfavor

3 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 10Viva Mauricio

Offmidfield

  • 1Crossbow
  • 2Duvana
  • 3Bryant

Midfield

  • 4Shady Road

Offpace

  • 8Silencio Porfavor
  • 9Stealthfire

Leader

  • 5Big Tiger
  • 7Senjutsu

  • Crossbow · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Duvana · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 8% in Last 100 Rides

  • Bryant · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Shady Road · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1CrossbowJ: William A Stanley·T: C J Waller861.5kg5 2 8 4 614: 2-4-0$26.00$3.90

Career

14: 2-4-0

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Randwick

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Randwick Kensington

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-2-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 6Rosehill1300m4 July 2026 · 3Y BM72 · SOFT66.3L
  2. 4Randwick1400m20 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51L
  3. 8Randwick1400m6 June 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT51.7L
  4. 2Randwick Kensington1400m13 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.3L
  5. 5Randwick1600m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD40.9L
  6. 5Rosehill900m17 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)10.4L
  7. 1Randwick Kensington1400m25 Mar 2026 · 3Y BM72 · SOFT7-0.8
  8. 5Warwick Farm1400m11 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 31%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). Effective at this level last campaign. Tuned up with a couple of quiet trials but has placed first-up. Can play a role fresh in this affair if things pan out.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Started at $13.00 and didn't find the line when 6th last run in a chase at Rosehill. Has not placed in multiple trials. Best to watch only.

RP

Despite a poor last run, he had been running well previously; missed the frame (beaten 6l into sixth) at Rosehill four months ago; returns from a break here; a few rivals look in good form so easy to oppose.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Odds of 12/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last start in a chase at Rosehill. Unplaced in multiple trials.

2DuvanaJ: Nash Rawiller·T: Nathan Doyle461kg3 4 10 10 618: 3-0-3$5.00$1.75

Career

18: 3-0-3

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    8: 2-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 6Newcastle800m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.4L
  2. 10Randwick1600m20 June 2026 · 3&4Y BM72 · SOFT512L
  3. 10Rosehill1500m30 May 2026 · 3&4Y BM72 · HEAVY97.6L
  4. 4Scone1300m16 May 2026 · 3&4Y BM72 · GOOD41L
  5. 3Gosford800m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2L
  6. 3Randwick1400m14 Feb 2026 · BM78 · GOOD41.6L
  7. 1Warwick Farm1400m26 Jan 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM72 HCP · GOOD4-3.5
  8. 6Randwick1400m27 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD43.1L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 8% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Nash Rawiller 22% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (20-weeks). Not beaten far Benchmark 72 company at the Scone carnival first-up last preparation. Had two quiet trials. Betting.

ILB

First run back from a break. Started at $17.00 and weakened to finish 10th last time at Randwick and back in trip. Yet to place in multiple trials. Watch betting.

RP

Finished last of ten over 1m at Randwick (handicap) in June; a course winner; has had some time off; makes limited appeal with several rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Odds of 16/1 and didn't threaten when 10th last start at Randwick and coming back in trip. Expected to be flashing home. Can't leave out of your calculations.

3BryantJ: Sam Clipperton·T: R J Quinton258.5kg9 3 8 6 211: 2-2-0$4.60$1.65

Career

11: 2-2-0

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    5: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    7: 2-1-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Warwick Farm1300m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD41.18L
  2. 6Warwick Farm1100m5 Oct 2026 · 4UP BM72 HCP · SOFT63.57L
  3. 8Canterbury1100m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.23L
  4. 3Randwick1045m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.8L
  5. 9Warwick Farm1200m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.3L
  6. 7Warwick Farm1200m1 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53L
  7. 1Randwick1100m28 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · SOFT5-0.6
  8. 5Canterbury1250m13 Feb 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD41.7L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

Comments

AAP

Brave in defeat 3yo+ (Bm72) this track over this trip. Not out of this.

ILB

Came on strongly to finish 2nd last start at the track and drawn nicely. Gets back and needs luck. Outside chance.

RP

Track has proven suitable before; didn't run badly when 28-1 runner-up last month; he can make a bold bid.

RSIS

Ran on strongly when 2nd last time around here and has a positive stall. Does take a while to get into stride.

4Shady RoadJ: Braith Nock·T: Annabel & Rob Archibald358.5kg3 11 3 3 29: 1-2-2$2.80$1.30

Career

9: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-1-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 2Warwick Farm1100m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.02L
  2. 3Muswellbrook1000m21 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
  3. 3Randwick1300m20 June 2026 · 3Y BM72 · SOFT50.5L
  4. 11Eagle Farm1200m6 June 2026 · 3yo · GOOD43.5L
  5. 3Scone1100m16 May 2026 · 3yo · GOOD40.1L
  6. 4Randwick Kensington1100m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.7L
  7. 3Canterbury898m10 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.5L
  8. 5Eagle Farm1300m3 Jan 2026 · 3yo · GOOD46.4L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -59% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 29% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Finished full of running and just shaded 3yo+ F&M (Bm72) this course off spell. Will be fitter second-up and takes a 1.5kg claim here. Form sound this level without winning. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Right in contention last start here. Strong chance.

RP

Beaten narrowly over 5½f here (handicap) just ahead of Kujenga last month; may have to settle for supporting role as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

Narrowly beaten last start at this venue. Solid chance.

5Big TigerJ: Tim Clark·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott958kg1 2 8 5 63: 1-1-1$9.00$2.60

Career

3: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 6Warwick Farm1200m30 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.2L
  2. 5Rosehill1030m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.7L
  3. 8Rosehill900m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.8L
  4. 2Canterbury1550m19 Nov 2025 · 3&4Y BM68 · GOOD40.9L
  5. 1Rosehill1400m12 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN HCP · GOOD3-0.8
  6. 3Warwick Farm1300m22 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
  7. 1Randwick1050m7 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial-0.2

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 30% in L100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Long Break

    Negative

    Resumes from a 357 day break (> 300 days)

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (51-weeks). Did a terrific job in his first preparation. In the minors at Warwick Farm on debut last campaign while trialling 3 times ahead of return. Dominates the market fresh.

ILB

Back from a 51 week spell. Big effort to finish 2nd last start at Canterbury and putting a tidy record together so far. Should jump out and bowl along. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Went down by less than a length at Canterbury over 7½f (handicap) last November; lightly raced (this just his fourth race); returns from a layoff; strong contender.

RSIS

First run back from a break of 51 weeks. Ran out of steam towards the end when 2nd last time at Canterbury and good career start.

6KujengaScratched9––––

Career

16: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    5: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 0-1-2

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Warwick Farm1100m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.72L
  2. 6Rosehill1100m10 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD42.49L
  3. 3Tamworth1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.9L
  4. 5Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.9L
  5. 12Scone1300m16 May 2026 · 3&4Y BM72 · GOOD45.4L
  6. 6Randwick1200m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · GOOD41.4L
  7. 16Randwick1200m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT713.4L
  8. 7Randwick1050m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)7.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 29% Profit on Turnover

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Mollie Fitzgerald in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 47%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Long winless run. Gave solid chase in a good effort this course second-up. Stripping fitter, could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Was $17.00 and overtook some late when 4th last run at the track.

RP

Has maintained her consistent level of form; close up behind Shady Road when fourth over 5½f here (handicap) posting a respectable effort two weeks ago; possibilities as latest run was an encouraging one.

RSIS

Started 16/1 and moved through the field into 4th last time at this track.

7SenjutsuJ: Jason Collett·T: Bjorn Baker757kg4 2 7 3 16: 2-1-0$11.00$2.80

Career

6: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 2-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Wyong1200m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP CG&E CL1 HCP · GOOD4-0.15
  2. 3Rosehill1030m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.3L
  3. 7Randwick740m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)3.7L
  4. 2Goulburn1300m22 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT72.4L
  5. 4Hawkesbury1300m7 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.4L
  6. 3Rosehill900m12 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial1.3L
  7. 10Flemington1800m21 Sept 2025 · 3Y C&G-SWP · GOOD48.8L
  8. 1Hawkesbury1400m6 Sept 2025 · CG&E MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.6

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 22% lower than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Brave display holding on at Wyong off long spell. Leads, handy. Capable of figuring again.

ILB

Stormed home to win last time at Wyong but facing a stronger grade. Expecting to settle positively. Demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Minor claims.

RP

Narrow winner of a handicap at Wyong last month; likely to be in contention.

RSIS

Rounded them up to win last time at Wyong and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Has shown early pace in races to date. Up in grade.

8Silencio PorfavorJ: Tommy Berry·T: Matthew Smith157kg3 2 3 7 1019: 3-1-6$10.00$2.70

Career

19: 3-1-6

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gosford

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Randwick Kensington

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Kembla Grange

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-0-2

  • Going Good

    12: 2-1-4

Last starts

  1. 10Randwick1300m31 Oct 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM78 HCP · GOOD410.32L
  2. 7Warwick Farm821m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.5L
  3. 3Newcastle1300m19 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD42.24L
  4. 2Wyong1200m4 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD40.5L
  5. 3Warwick Farm1200m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.6L
  6. 3Canterbury1250m5 Aug 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · GOOD42.2L
  7. 5Rosehill1200m18 July 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM78 HCP · HEAVY91.6L
  8. 1Newcastle1200m27 June 2026 · BM64 · SOFT7-3.6

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 36% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Tommy Berry 38% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 14%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never likely at Randwick over this trip. Can put last run behind him.

ILB

Was $18.00 and lost ground in the run home when 10th last start at Randwick. Capable of bouncing back and will find this grade more suitable. Drawn the rails. Expect a forward showing.

RP

Finished last of ten (Randwick) last month; in good form before making a backwards step last time out; others appeal more as a few rivals look in good form.

RSIS

Was 17/1 and tailed off to finish 10th last start at Randwick. Has the talent to rebound quickly and matched against less formidable competition. Drawn nicely. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

9StealthfireJ: James Mc Donald·T: C J Waller557kg3 5 2 6 93: 0-1-1$10.00$2.70

Career

3: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 9Warwick Farm805m30 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.4L
  2. 6Rosehill900m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.3L
  3. 2Newcastle1500m2 May 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.1L
  4. 5Hawkesbury1500m8 Apr 2026 · 3&4Y BM72 · GOOD43.1L
  5. 3Kembla Grange1300m21 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT72.6L
  6. 3Rosehill1030m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)11.6L
  7. 10Rosehill900m23 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)11.8L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 31%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Resuming (27-weeks). Form honest through last campaign. In the minors at Kembla Grange first-up last campaign while brought on by 2 trials. Can play a role fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Fresh after a 27 week break. Was competitive when 2nd last time at Newcastle and showing consistent performance in races. Winkers go on for the first time. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Minor honours when 12-5 over 7½f at Newcastle (handicap) in May; James McDonald a good booking; returning from a layoff here.

RSIS

Resumes from a break of 27 weeks. Ran 2nd last time at Newcastle and showing consistent performance in races. Interesting to see the cheekpieces go on for the first time. Watch for a sign in the market.

10Viva MauricioJ: Kerrin Mc Evoy·T: C J Waller654kg7 6 6 4 313: 1-2-1$34.00$4.60

Career

13: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick Kensington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Geelong1400m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD43.35L
  2. 4Bendigo1400m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT61.15L
  3. 6Sandown1400m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.9L
  4. 6Canterbury1550m5 Aug 2026 · 3&4Y BM64 · GOOD49.4L
  5. 7Rosehill1500m18 July 2026 · 3Y BM72 · HEAVY910.8L
  6. 1Hawkesbury1300m2 July 2026 · Maiden · SOFT7-0.3
  7. 1Rosehill1030m19 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1
  8. 7Warwick Farm786m9 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 31%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Reserved at back and gave late chase into third at Geelong. First time around Warwick Farm. This looks more demanding.

ILB

Finished amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by nearly 3 1/2L last start at Geelong and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Likely to get back in the field. Looks optimistic.

RP

Displayed a fair level of form when 3½l third over 7f at Geelong (handicap) 21 days ago.

RSIS

Finished with intent when 3rd beaten by just short of 3 1/2L last start at Geelong but competing in a more challenging class. Displaying improvement over the past few runs.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
  • Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Mon 5 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Wed 23 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
  • Wed 2 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races