UpYaGo logo

Illawarra Grange (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Illawarra Grange (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 14 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 14 NovIllawarra Grange (NSW)Change

Race 7 — Ruth Crouch Diamond Jubilee Hcp (C1) 1200m · jumps

Race preview

Get ready for an exciting afternoon of racing at Illawarra Grange for the Ruth Crouch Diamond Jubilee Hcp, a Class 1 test over 1200m on a Soft 5 track under overcast skies. Looking at the win market order, Queen's Rhapsody holds the shortest price, closely followed by Firepop, Sacrosanct, and Wild Courage. The numbers say this is an open race with plenty of chances right across the board, so let us dive straight into the form and find some value for our selections.

The market leader Queen's Rhapsody jumps off the page with some strong backing data, carrying 60.5kg from barrier one for trainer David Pfieffer and jockey Louise Day. Last start she kept on for a distant second in a 3yo plus benchmark race at Kembla Grange off an extended spell and strips fitter here. Another key runner near the top of betting is Sacrosanct from the G Ryan and S Alexiou yard, who broke maiden status at Gosford and placed in a small field at Hawkesbury when resuming. The form suggests these runners have conditions to suit, and they certainly rate a real chance in this company.

Deeper down in the market, Firepop catches the eye drawn nicely in barrier two for trainer G Ryan and S Alexiou with Keagan Latham in the saddle. The numbers say this runner has early speed which is a massive advantage on this circuit, and the sole career win to date came over this exact 1200m distance. Meanwhile, Wild Courage represents the Ciaron Maher stable and comes off a solid win at Wyong from just off the pace-setters. Overall, this shapes as a fascinating clash where the speed map and recent performances will play a huge role in deciding the winner.

Race notes

  • Class 1,F&M CL1,F&M CL1 HCP
  • SOFT5
  • Overcast
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Queen's Rhapsody (1)

3.00

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 2Sacrosanct

Midfield

  • 1Queen's Rhapsody
  • 6Wild Courage
  • 9Cuban Rain

Offpace

  • 3Seductra
  • 8Firepop

Leader

  • 5Divine Timing
  • 7Absolutist

  • Queen's Rhapsody · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Sacrosanct · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Seductra · Negative

    Trainer SR

    R & W Freedman striking at just 8%

  • Divine Timing · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Queen's RhapsodyJ: Louise Day·T: David Pfieffer160.5kg6 3 7 4 29: 1-6-0$3.00$1.26

Career

9: 1-6-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-4-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Randwick

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 1-3-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-3-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-3-0

Last starts

  1. 2Kembla Grange1000m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD44.3L
  2. 4Warwick Farm821m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.9L
  3. 7Warwick Farm795m28 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.8L
  4. 3Rosehill900m10 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)8.3L
  5. 6Gosford1200m9 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.6L
  6. 2Kembla Grange1000m18 Apr 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT50.8L
  7. 9Rosehill900m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)11.3L
  8. 5Hawkesbury1300m17 June 2025 · Class 1 · SOFT54.2L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Louise Day current POT is 45% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 52% in L100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Career generally well spaced. Gave good sight at Gosford 9 May. No match but kept on for a distant second in the 3yo+ (Bm64) at Kembla Grange off extended spell. Strips fitter.

ILB

Made considerable ground when 2nd last start at Kembla Grange and drawn the rails. Strong competitor.

RP

Respectable effort to finish second over 5f at Kembla Grange (handicap) 21 days ago.

RSIS

Ran on strongly when 2nd beaten by 4 1/4L last time at Kembla Grange and drawn by the rails. Should go well.

2SacrosanctJ: Mitchell Bell·T: G Ryan & S Alexiou659kg2 7 1 5 24: 1-1-0$4.60$1.45

Career

4: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Gosford

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Hawkesbury1100m27 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD40.39L
  2. 5Rosehill900m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.9L
  3. 1Gosford1100m9 Jan 2026 · Maiden · GOOD4-0.3
  4. 7Canterbury1100m12 Dec 2025 · 3YF MDN · GOOD43.8L
  5. 2Canterbury890m2 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial0.6L
  6. 1Rosehill900m18 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial-0.2
  7. 4Newcastle1200m7 June 2025 · 2yo · HEAVY811.7L
  8. 4Rosehill900m29 May 2025 · Barrier Trial1.7L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Has done plenty right in short career. Broke maiden at Gosford 9 Jan. Found enough to place in small field at Hawkesbury off long spell. Fitter second-up.

ILB

Just short of the win last start at Hawkesbury. Expected to be flashing home. Could be in the mix.

RP

Beaten narrowly over 5½f at Hawkesbury (handicap) two weeks ago; rates a likely contender.

RSIS

Missed by a narrow margin last run at Hawkesbury. Will be hitting the line strongly. Has some claims.

3SeductraJ: Lee Magorrian·T: Richard & Will Freedman759kg4 2 5 6 57: 1-1-0$13.00$2.80

Career

7: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Gosford

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 5Newcastle1150m26 Oct 2026 · CL1 · SOFT56.26L
  2. 6Kembla Grange1000m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L
  3. 5Rosehill900m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
  4. 2Randwick1100m6 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT50.3L
  5. 4Hawkesbury1100m21 May 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY83.9L
  6. 1Gosford1100m25 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.1
  7. 2Rosehill900m17 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.7L
  8. 4Rosehill900m2 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.1L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    R & W Freedman striking at just 8%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Beaumont second-up. All the better, capable of making an impact.

ILB

Was $2.30 and didn't threaten when 5th last time at Newcastle. Blinkers go on for the first time. Betting is the best guide.

RP

A poor result at a short price when fifth (Beaumont) three weeks ago; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Started 13/10 and gave away some ground when 5th last start at Newcastle. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Can't leave out of your calculations.

4NicolosiScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer50%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed50%

Comments

AAP

Led and in control from go to whoa at Nowra second-up. On pacer who stays under strong notice.

ILB

Controlled the speed to win by 3 1/4L last time at Nowra and showing consistent performance in races. Has not missed the placings this campaign in 2 attempts.

RSIS

Was much too pacey in front to win by a margin of 3 1/4L last time at Nowra and showing consistent performance in races.

5Divine TimingJ: Andrew Calder·T: R D Collett357kg3 3 1 6 45: 1-1-2$10.00$2.45

Career

5: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    4: 0-1-2

  • Going Soft

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Warwick Farm805m30 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.6L
  2. 6Scone1000m31 July 2026 · BM58 · GOOD45.2L
  3. 1Goulburn1100m22 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.2
  4. 3Newcastle1300m31 Jan 2026 · MID MDN · GOOD43.3L
  5. 3Kembla Grange1300m10 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.6L
  6. 2Goulburn1100m19 Dec 2025 · MDN · GOOD30.6L
  7. 2Canterbury890m2 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial0.2L
  8. 1Warwick Farm796m13 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial-0.8

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -50%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 35%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • 1st Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when resuming

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (15-weeks). Fresh winner at Goulburn last campaign while returning off a Warwick Farm trial. Can play a role fresh.

ILB

First up and finished hard to win first up last preparation at Goulburn. Should come to hand quickly. Ran 4th in a trial at Warwick Farm on Oct 30th. Can win.

RP

Beaten just over 5l into sixth over 5f at Scone (handicap) in July; seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Resuming and romped home to win resuming last preparation at Goulburn. Likely to be well placed early. Finished 4th in a trial at Warwick Farm on Oct 30th. Rates as one of the key chances.

6Wild CourageJ: Jean Van Overmeire·T: C Maher557kg3 4 4 4 14: 1-0-1$6.50$1.90

Career

4: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Wyong

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Wyong1100m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.22
  2. 4Newcastle900m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN HCP · GOOD41.63L
  3. 4Rosehill900m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
  4. 4Hawkesbury1100m21 May 2026 · Maiden · HEAVY84.24L
  5. 3Newcastle900m23 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN SW · SOFT51.8L
  6. 2Hawkesbury800m23 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.2L
  7. 9Rosehill900m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)10L
  8. 4Warwick Farm818m31 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial1L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Ciaron Maher striking at just 9%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 30%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 45% Profit on Turnover

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Won from just off the pace-setters at Wyong. Stripping fitter, capable of figuring again.

ILB

Reeled them in when winning last start at Wyong. Watch the betting.

RP

Narrow scorer in a maiden (Wyong) when getting off the mark at the fourth time of asking 16 days ago; strong contender.

RSIS

Stormed home to win last start at Wyong. Betting is the best guide.

7AbsolutistJ: Matt Kirk·T: Mark Sues856kg1 7 10 2 13: 1-0-0$51.00$5.50

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Gosford

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Canberra1000m9 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD4-0.33
  2. 2Hawkesbury800m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L
  3. 10Gosford1000m6 Aug 2026 · Maiden · GOOD414.2L
  4. 7Gosford1000m18 July 2026 · Maiden · HEAVY910.3L
  5. 1Wyong845m17 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-2.8

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 9155%

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Mark Sues in good form, out performing market 63%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 48% POT in L100 Runners

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Now 5 weeks between runs. Just held on after leading at Canberra last start. Encouraging latest but needs to progress further here.

ILB

Went to the front and never looked back when winning by a long neck last start at Canberra. Should race on the speed. The large claim from Matt Kirk helps. Cannot recommend as a betting proposition.

RP

Shock 25-1 winner at Canberra over 5f (handicap) when registering her first success at the third time of asking last month; this only her second start in handicap company; likely to be a threat.

RSIS

Controlled the pace when winning by a margin of a long neck last time at Canberra. Will be positive in the run early.

8FirepopJ: Keagan Latham·T: G Ryan & S Alexiou256kg2 3 4 9 39: 1-1-1$3.60$1.34

Career

9: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Nowra

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 3Rosehill900m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.8L
  2. 9Illawarra Grange1400m30 May 2026 · CL1 · SOFT65.1L
  3. 4Kembla Grange1200m16 May 2026 · CL1 · SOFT54.6L
  4. 3Goulburn1100m27 Apr 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD42.7L
  5. 2Rosehill900m17 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.6L
  6. 1Nowra1200m22 Feb 2026 · Maiden · SOFT5-0.5
  7. 4Warwick Farm1100m26 Jan 2026 · 3Y FILLIES MDN SW · GOOD41.8L
  8. 7Canterbury1200m1 Jan 2026 · 3Y FILLIES MDN-SW · GOOD43.6L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (24-weeks). In the minors first-up last campaign while warmed up with 2 trials. Only win to date was this distance and could give some cheek at odds fresh.

ILB

First up and good effort to place 3rd first up last preparation at Goulburn. Interesting to see the tongue tie go off for the first time and drawn nicely. Place at best.

RP

Finished last of nine over 7f here (handicap) in May; layoff to overcome; meeting some horses in good form and there are better alternatives here.

RSIS

Resuming and showed a good turn of foot when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L resuming last preparation at Goulburn. Tongue strap go off for the first time.

9Cuban RainJ: Brock Ryan·T: R & L Price455kg2 7 5 10 418: 1-2-2$41.00$4.80

Career

18: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Moruya

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    10: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1010m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-1-2

  • Going Good

    7: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Nowra1200m1 Nov 2026 · CL1 · GOOD32.9L
  2. 10Kembla Grange1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.9L
  3. 5Moruya1010m4 Apr 2026 · CL1 · SOFT64.9L
  4. 7Kembla Grange1400m21 Mar 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT711.2L
  5. 2Nowra1100m22 Feb 2026 · CL1 · SOFT54.8L
  6. 7Kembla Grange1200m28 Jan 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD46.2L
  7. 4Kembla Grange1400m10 Jan 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD41.8L
  8. 3Moruya1010m21 Dec 2025 · CL1 · SOFT50.3L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    R & L Price striking at just 7%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Brock Ryan winning at 3% POT in last 100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Made late rally from the back at Nowra second-up. New to Illawarra Grange and leaning towards others here.

ILB

Odds of $26.00 and made up ground when 4th last run at Nowra. Highly unlikely to feature here.

RP

Wasn't beaten that far when fourth (beaten just under 3l, Nowra) 13 days ago; you have to go back a fair way to find her only win; others more appealing as has a lot on her plate here.

RSIS

Started at 25/1 and closed off nicely when 4th last start at Nowra.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 1 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races