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Sandown (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Sandown (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 14 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 14 NovSandown (VIC)Change

Race 10 — Henley Homes Summoned Stakes 1500m · jumps

Race preview

Sandown's soft 7 track under showers sets up this Group 3 Summoned Stakes for 4yo+ mares at 1500m, and the win market is tight at the top. Concord Connie heads the order, with Superfabulistic, Savitri, and Tomato Toastie all within striking range. The shape of the race stacks leaders on speed — Bossy Benita, Superfabulistic, and Naraghi will contest the front — with Concord Connie as the sole backmarker and Terilee occupying midfield. That positioning matters on this track.

Concord Connie rates a real chance despite the backmarker map that typically underperforms by 9 per cent at Sandown. Craig Williams has her in the saddle, and the form is sharp: three wins and three placings from seven starts, and her last two efforts show a 2nd at Flemington and 3rd at Caulfield. The key is her finishing sectionals — fastest overall last start. Savitri, third up in the market, was a dominant winner at Mornington over 1500m on soft going five weeks back and holds a 4-2-0 record. Her barrier 3 puts her on pace with early gallop, and the form reads as a runner trying to bounce back after being run down by Surfin Bird at Caulfield. Tomato Toastie offers value further down. Blake Shinn is 23 per cent above market expectations in his last 100 rides, and the gelding ran 2nd at Flemington second-up, suggesting she can fill the minors again.

Terilee, from barrier 7 in midfield, stands out for Billy Egan's recent form — the jockey is running 41 per cent better than his career average and sits 48 per cent above market expectation across his last 100 rides. Superfabulistic is backing up quickly after a Flemington win and maps well for this track, outperforming by 9 per cent from her position as a leader. The soft 7 will test staying power, but Savitri's recent win on soft 5 at the same distance proves she handles the conditions.

Race notes

  • 4yo+,GROUP 3 4UP MARES SW+P,Group 3,Open,SUMMONED
  • SOFT7
  • Showers
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Concord Connie (4)

1.60

Most career wins

Bossy Benita

5-2-3 from 20 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 4Concord Connie

Offmidfield

  • 7Terilee

Offpace

  • 11Tomato Toastie

Onpace

  • 10Savitri

Leader

  • 2Bossy Benita
  • 13Naraghi
  • 12Superfabulistic

  • Bossy Benita · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -50%

  • Concord Connie · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Terilee · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.

  • Savitri · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    John Allen current POT is 48% below Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1CilacapScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never likely at Flemington second-up. Drops in grade here. Place claims third-up.

ILB

Ran 7th last start at Flemington but facing a weaker group of contenders. Jordan Childs is a plus and has a positive draw.

RSIS

Ran 7th last run at Flemington but has been racing in stronger company. Jordan Childs is a bonus and can find a nice position from the draw.

2Bossy BenitaJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: M J Mehegan558kg9 11 1 4 420: 5-2-3$26.00$5.00

Career

20: 5-2-3

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 3-0-1

  • Track Flemington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    8: 1-1-3

  • Going Good

    14: 3-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Cranbourne1400m23 Oct 2026 · HCP · GOOD33.77L
  2. 4Caulfield1200m10 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD31.85L
  3. 1Caulfield Heath1000m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1.5
  4. 11Caulfield1200m29 Aug 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT68.2L
  5. 9Morphettville1200m25 Apr 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD43.1L
  6. 6Caulfield1400m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.4L
  7. 4Caulfield1400m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.6L
  8. 1Caulfield1400m21 Feb 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -50%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 35%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 22% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Effort tapered late after showing pace in the small field at Cranbourne. Can lead or take a sit. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Jumped at $2.15 and couldn't maintain the pace when 4th last start at Cranbourne. Giving another chance here. Has plenty of early speed. Proven performer on a soft surface. Can measure up against these.

RP

Three wins from five runs here; not beaten too far when fourth at Cranbourne in a handicap last month; has to be taken seriously despite moving up in class and she has posted some fair efforts in defeat in the past.

RSIS

At 6/5 didn't attack the line when 4th last time at Cranbourne. Should improve from the last run. Expecting to settle positively. Proven performer on a soft surface. Good potential.

3MerrigoldScratched8––––

Career

36: 9-6-2

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    5: 3-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-2-0

  • Track Moe

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Flemington

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1103m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1312m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    29: 7-5-2

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Caulfield1400m17 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD45.06L
  2. 10Caulfield1200m10 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD35.06L
  3. 6Flemington1400m12 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD31.48L
  4. 7Bendigo1400m2 May 2026 · 4UP MARES SWP · GOOD31.6L
  5. 4Flemington1400m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · GOOD32.7L
  6. 1Caulfield1400m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1.3
  7. 2Caulfield1400m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L
  8. 2Caulfield1700m24 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · GOOD31L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled back and passed a few late in the Tristarc Stakes at Caulfield. Can run into the money if conditions suit.

ILB

At $7.50 showed some merit late when 5th last start at Caulfield.

RP

Split a number of these rivals in a Group 2 (Caulfield) when beaten 5l 28 days ago; not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Caulfield in April and has gained all her wins at a lower level; passed over despite dropping in class.

RSIS

Odds of 13/2 and picked up some ground to run 5th last time at Caulfield.

4Concord ConnieJ: Craig Williams·T: Charlotte Littlefield656kg1 1 2 3 27: 3-3-1$1.60$1.12

Career

7: 3-3-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-2-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Flemington

    3: 2-1-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 2-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    5: 2-2-1

Last starts

  1. 2Flemington1600m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
  2. 3Caulfield1400m17 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD42.81L
  3. 2Mornington1200m26 Sept 2026 · 4UP MARES BM78 HCP · SOFT50.1L
  4. 1Flemington1400m16 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD4-1.3
  5. 1Flemington1400m25 Apr 2026 · 3Y FILLIES BM 70 HCP · GOOD3-6
  6. 1Pakenham1200m9 Apr 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT5-2
  7. 2Ballarat1200m20 Nov 2025 · 3-5Y MDN-SW · GOOD30.1L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Racing Strongly

    Positive

    Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Knocking on the door. Fought bravely to the wire to finish 2nd to Lady Shenandoah in the G1 Empire Rose Stakes at Flemington. Looks the one to beat.

ILB

Caught the eye when 2nd last time at Flemington and up against a less challenging field. Jockey Craig Williams and trainer Charlotte Littlefield command respect as a team. Winning hope.

RP

In decent heart at present; ran well to finish second in the Empire Rose Stakes at Flemington last month; this might be easier; should go close.

RSIS

Ran on strongly when 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Flemington and facing a weaker group of contenders. Craig Williams is in form for this stable. Strong contender.

5On DisplayScratched7––––

Career

20: 3-1-5

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 2-0-3

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    6: 0-0-4

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    7: 1-1-3

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    15: 2-1-5

Last starts

  1. 8Flemington1600m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.66L
  2. 4Caulfield1600m10 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD35L
  3. 3Flemington1400m12 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD30.21L
  4. 9Gosford1600m9 May 2026 · 3-4yo · GOOD43.5L
  5. 9Morphettville1600m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.9L
  6. 13Caulfield1600m11 Apr 2026 · ANNIV VASE · SOFT710.2L
  7. 5Caulfield1600m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.1L
  8. 3Flemington1400m7 Mar 2026 · GROUP 3 HCP · GOOD32.5L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -54% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Started $17 when safely held in Open company at Flemington. Should get a nice run from the draw. Could spring a surprise.

ILB

Jumped at $17.00 and subpar when 8th last run at Flemington but lining up against easier rivals.

RP

Close up behind Astral Flame when eighth 21 days ago at Flemington in a Group 2; has done all her winning at a lower level and performance slacked off wearing this headgear last twice; might find this company a little easier but easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Was 16/1 and ordinary when 8th last run at Flemington but taking on easier opposition.

6Astral FlameScratched10––––

Career

15: 4-4-2

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Caulfield

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-2-0

  • Going Good

    11: 3-4-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Flemington1600m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.25L
  2. 6Caulfield1600m10 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD35.9L
  3. 4Caulfield1600m11 Apr 2026 · ANNIV VASE · SOFT73.2L
  4. 2Caulfield1600m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42L
  5. 1Flemington1600m28 Feb 2026 · BM84 · GOOD4-0.8
  6. 1Cranbourne1600m13 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD3-0.8
  7. 10Pakenham1600m13 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M BM78 · GOOD46.8L
  8. 2Cranbourne1500m22 Nov 2025 · CL3 · GOOD30.2L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

Comments

AAP

Made the pace but got a stitch late Crystal Mile at Flemington when second-up. On pacer. New to Sandown-Hillside. Stripping fitter, could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Started $17.00 and lost momentum when 4th last run at Flemington and facing a weaker grade.

RP

Record shows she knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 4-15) but has never won a race of this value; not disgraced when fourth of 11 over 1m at Flemington (Group 2) three weeks ago; hard enough to fancy despite this looking a little easier than last time.

RSIS

Was 16/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 4th last start at Flemington and stepping down to a lower level.

7TerileeJ: Billy Egan·T: M C Kent756kg1 5 3 2 412: 4-2-2$12.00$3.60

Career

12: 4-2-2

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    6: 1-2-0

  • Going Good

    7: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-1-2

Last starts

  1. 4Flemington1400m3 Nov 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD44.42L
  2. 2Caulfield1400m17 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD42.75L
  3. 3Mornington1200m26 Sept 2026 · 4UP MARES BM78 HCP · SOFT50.45L
  4. 5Morphettville1600m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.2L
  5. 1Caulfield1600m4 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M BM78 · GOOD3-1
  6. 1Sandown1400m25 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M BM74 HCP · SOFT5-1.8
  7. 4Pakenham1400m23 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · GOOD33.15L
  8. 3Caulfield1200m12 Nov 2025 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · SOFT60.5L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Billy Egan 48% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Billy Egan winning at 32% POT in last 100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    2 time winner here at Sandown

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent out $5.50 when battled home to finish 4th at Flemington. Awkwardly drawn. Place preferred.

ILB

At $5.50 ran 4th last start at Flemington. Jockey Billy Egan and trainer Michael Kent link up well. Competitive type.

RP

Sent off 9-2 but could only finish fourth at Flemington over 7f (Group 3) 11 days ago; recent form has a decent look to it; can be a player at this level; she knows the task at hand and could be in the mix.

RSIS

Odds of 9/2 and finished 4th last start at Flemington. Jockey Billy Egan is in top form for this stable. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

8BetwitcheryScratched11––––

Career

25: 5-2-4

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Flemington

    3: 0-0-2

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    15: 4-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 8Flemington1400m3 Nov 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD47.63L
  2. 10Caulfield1400m17 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD49.11L
  3. 3Flemington1400m3 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · HEAVY91.21L
  4. 9Caulfield1400m19 Sept 2026 · BM84 · GOOD32.93L
  5. 10Caulfield1200m29 Aug 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT68L
  6. 8Caulfield Heath1200m8 Aug 2026 · BM88 · SOFT64L
  7. 3Flemington1200m18 July 2026 · BM88 · SOFT60.6L
  8. 1Caulfield1400m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Safely held but not totally disgraced (wide draw) at Flemington at cricket score odds. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Came in 8th last time at Flemington.

RP

Finished eighth, beaten a fair way at Flemington over 7f (Group 3) last week; track has proven suitable before; has done all her winning at a lower level; facing a testing assignment and passed over.

9DavidaScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Let-up (77-days). Prominent and went down fighting in choppy conditions in the Benchmark 78 company at Caulfield. Can lead or take a sit. Harder test now.

ILB

Resumes after a break. Big effort to place 3rd beaten by 1/2L last start at Caulfield and will appreciate a good draw. Rising in class.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Grabbed towards the finish when 3rd last time at Caulfield and has the ideal draw. Facing formidable rivals. Gets some weight relief.

10SavitriJ: John Allen·T: Mitchell Freedman356kg6 4 4 1 29: 4-2-0$8.00$2.80

Career

9: 4-2-0

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 2-2-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Caulfield1600m10 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD32L
  2. 1Mornington1500m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · SOFT5-3.25
  3. 4Sandown1400m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.27L
  4. 4Bendigo800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)1.3L
  5. 6Morphettville2000m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD45.2L
  6. 1Caulfield1700m4 Apr 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD3-1.5
  7. 1Caulfield Heath1500m18 Mar 2026 · 3Y BM66 · GOOD4-1
  8. 5Sandown1300m25 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT53.6L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    John Allen current POT is 48% below Career Avg.

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 48% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 35 days

Comments

AAP

5 weeks since last run. Made the running, just had no answer when challenged last time by the up & coming Surfin Bird when second at Caulfield. Must be considered again.

ILB

Put together a strong on-speed performance when 2nd beaten by 2L last run at Caulfield. 2 wins from 4 starts have come on soft ground. Watch betting.

RP

Minor honours in a Group 3 35 days ago (5-2, Caulfield, had two of these rivals behind); strong claims.

RSIS

Faded in the late stages of the race when 2nd last time at Caulfield. Will relish the track conditions. In fine form since resuming from a break. Watch betting.

11Tomato ToastieJ: Blake Shinn·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott156kg5 5 5 8 210: 2-2-1$7.50$2.70

Career

10: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Doomben

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 1-2-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 2Flemington1400m3 Nov 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD44.25L
  2. 8Caulfield1200m10 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD34.06L
  3. 5Randwick1050m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.5L
  4. 5Randwick742m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2L
  5. 5Doomben1600m23 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.4L
  6. 2Gold Coast1400m9 May 2026 · LISTED F&M · GOOD41L
  7. 8Randwick1400m18 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD43.4L
  8. 3Randwick1200m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT70.5L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Blake Shinn 23% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Winner was too strong but ran on nicely to grab 2nd at Flemington second-up. Can again fill the minors here.

ILB

Finished strongly when 2nd beaten by 4 1/4L last start at Flemington and gets the perfect gate. Blake Shinn and Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott must be respected together. Respect the betting.

RP

Had a couple of these behind her when second at Flemington over 7f (Group 3) last week; wins have come at a lower level.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd last time at Flemington and will appreciate a good stall. Blake Shinn and Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott make a formidable team. Could be in the mix.

12SuperfabulisticJ: Ben Melham·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott256kg5 1 2 3 110: 4-3-2$5.50$2.25

Career

10: 4-3-2

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 3-0-1

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    7: 3-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 1Flemington1600m7 Nov 2026 · 4UP BM84 · GOOD4-3.5
  2. 3Warwick Farm1600m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD40.91L
  3. 2Randwick Kensington1400m7 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · SOFT60.68L
  4. 1Randwick1200m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-8.2
  5. 5Randwick1050m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.5L
  6. 8Randwick742m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)7.4L
  7. 1Warwick Farm1600m20 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-1.9
  8. 1Warwick Farm1600m6 May 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -66% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Racing Solidly

    Positive

    In peak form

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly after being triumphant at Flemington last start. Racing in fine fashion and is worth a look again.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Comprehensive victory when winning by 3 1/2L last time at Flemington and gets a favourable alley. Should muster plenty of early toe. Not dismissing.

RP

Won in good style over 1m at Flemington (handicap) last week; resume shows that she is a proven winner (seeking a fifth career win) but has gained all her wins at a lower level; facing a tougher assignment than last time, one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Shot away to win by 3 1/2L last time at Flemington and drawn nicely. Should muster plenty of early pace.

13NaraghiJ: Alana Kelly·T: Liam Howley456kg15 4 2 1 911: 2-1-3$81.00$15.00

Career

11: 2-1-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Flemington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1440m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1590m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 2-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 9Flemington1600m5 Nov 2026 · BM 80 HCP · GOOD45.36L
  2. 1Horsham1400m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.15
  3. 2Caulfield Heath1000m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.3L
  4. 4Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.8L
  5. 15Morphettville2000m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD410L
  6. 3Morphettville1800m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT64.3L
  7. 2Caulfield Heath1500m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
  8. 5Flemington1600m7 Mar 2026 · 3yo · GOOD39L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

In touch but couldn't find anything when pressured at Flemington second-up. New to Sandown-Hillside. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Odds of $21.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last run at Flemington and up against a higher level of opposition. Can't have today.

RP

Well held in the Melbourne Cup at Flemington a week ago; has done all her winning at a lower level; others more persuasive given likely tougher test.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and didn't find the line when 9th last run at Flemington and facing a stronger group of contenders.

14Russian ChoiceScratched13––––

Career

9: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Stawell

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    7: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 1Geelong1400m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD4-3
  2. 7Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.78L
  3. 10Ballarat1200m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD45.58L
  4. 3Ballarat1400m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32L
  5. 3Sandown1500m25 Feb 2026 · 3Y BM64 · SOFT50.5L
  6. 2Sandown1400m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L
  7. 4Flemington1400m17 Jan 2026 · 3Y BM70 · GOOD32.9L
  8. 1Stawell1300m4 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.8

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Led and in control from go to whoa at Geelong. Awkwardly drawn here and rises significantly in class.

ILB

Made every post a winner when winning by a margin of 3L last start at Geelong but taking on stronger opponents.

RP

Successful by 3l at Geelong last month in a handicap; faces a tougher assignment this time so only limited appeal.

RSIS

Led from start to finish to win by a margin of 3L last run at Geelong but matched against a stronger field.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Wed 9 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races
  • Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races
  • Wed 2 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races