Shortest win price
Waverley (4)
3.40
Ipswich hosts a tricky 1666m sprint on soft ground at 5:13 pm AEDT. The track is rated a SOFT7, and overcast skies hang over the Fabrications Services Group Handicap. It's a restricted 0–58 contest, and the win market is tightest at the top. Waverley heads the order, with Rockrata and Pass The Peak sitting tight behind him. Azuki completes the quartet of shorter-priced runners.
Rockrata jumps out straight away with form credentials. The gelding won at Gatton last time out on the back of a speed display, and the comment suggests stepping up in distance suits. Adin Thompson is in hot recent form, and that pace profile figures to suit a track where early sectionals point to a slower tempo. Azuki opened a win last start at this track over 1350m on a SOFT5, and the Jake Molloy and J Dann combination is performing 80 per cent above market expectation. The barrier one spot suits a horse with leadership intent. Pass The Peak rates a real chance as well — Emma Fouchard and Brandon Lerena's combo sits at plus 88 per cent, and the recent form at Doomben came with a solid showing in a small field.
Waverley is the shortest but can't shake the suspicion he's hard to love. The G A Thornton and Dylan Turner pairing is roaring, though — up 138 per cent — and he acquitted himself well at Gold Coast second-up in a CL4. Up front, both Azuki and Rockrata will battle for the lead. The numbers suggest our best value leans toward the pair fighting tempo, especially if the early pace plays softer than expected. Blueprint and Damiani sit in the off-pace lane and may struggle against the pressure those leaders will exert.
Shortest win price
Waverley (4)
3.40
Most career wins
Maple Door
5-4-10 from 58 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Azuki · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 80%
Pass The Peak · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 88%
Waverley · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 138%
Maple Door · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Career
24: 4-5-4
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Ipswich
6: 1-2-0
Track CurrentTrack
6: 1-2-0
Track Toowoomba
8: 0-2-4
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
4: 0-1-1
Going Good
16: 4-2-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-3-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 80%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 6kg now
AAP
Early pace was too much for him and weakened at Toowoomba. Could get into the placings.
ILB
Was $4.20 and peaked on the run when 4th last time at Toowoomba on a heavy surface and has the ideal draw. Has to carry more weight this time. Expect a forward showing.
RP
Possesses winning form at this track; useful in this grade; out of the frame (beaten just over 3l in fourth) at Toowoomba over 6½f (handicap) last month; plenty of appeal as he knows how to get the job done.
RSIS
Started at 10/3 and lost momentum late when 4th last time at Toowoomba on a heavy surface and has the ideal draw. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Commands respect.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 128%
Key Jockey
Positive
Adin Thompson winning at 0% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Ipswich
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
No threat to winner but ran on for the minors at Dalby. This is more demanding.
ILB
Amongst the placegetters when 2nd last run at Dalby and gets a favourable draw. The large claim from Adin Thompson should help.
RSIS
Did well to run into 2nd last start at Dalby and can find a nice position from the draw. The large claim from Adin Thompson should help.
Career
8: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1615m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 88%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fresh. Gave good sight at Doomben 12 Sep. Ordinary performance in small field at Gold Coast. Expecting a stronger showing.
ILB
Started $2.50 and tailed off to finish 4th last start at Gold Coast. Overlooking the last run. Brandon Lerena and Emma Fouchard deserve serious consideration as a team. Will go close.
RP
Producing solid form figures; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; not disgraced when fourth of six over 1m1f at Gold Coast (handicap) 35 days ago; can figure given there is limited recent form on offer in this race and has proved he knows how to win.
RSIS
Started at 6/4 and weakened to finish 4th last start at Gold Coast. Can make a comeback. Likely to be well placed early. Gets a solid chance here.
Career
35: 3-4-5
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1900m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2020m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
12: 1-1-2
Going Good
18: 1-3-2
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 138%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 8.5kg more than LS
AAP
Out of the placings but still acquitted himself well at Gold Coast second-up. Hard to warm to.
ILB
Was $5.50 and crept into 5th last start at Gold Coast but will have to carry more weight. Will be hitting the line strongly. Winning chance.
RP
Has been consistent of late; finished fifth last month albeit only beaten 1½l over 7f (handicap, Gold Coast); could be interesting if building on last performance.
RSIS
Started 9/2 and improved late to finish 5th last run at Gold Coast but will have to carry extra weight. Has very good closing pace. Should give this a shake.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
In touch but couldn't find anything when pressured at Eagle Farm. Can fill the minors here.
ILB
Didn't threaten when 9th last start at Eagle Farm on a heavy track but challenged by weaker competitors.
RSIS
Didn't attack the line when 9th last run at Eagle Farm on a heavy track but facing a weaker group of contenders.
Career
58: 5-4-10
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
7: 0-0-1
Second-up
6: 1-0-1
Third-up
6: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
6: 1-0-2
Track Doomben
7: 0-0-4
Track Gold Coast
3: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
11: 1-2-3
Distance 1600m
8: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
6: 2-0-0
Distance 1666m
5: 0-1-3
Going Good
31: 2-2-5
Going Heavy
6: 0-2-1
Going Soft
20: 3-0-4
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Ridden cold and never in the picture at Gold Coast Poly. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Started at $14.00 and ran 7th last time at Gold Coast Poly. Always seems to find the line well. Tom Orr takes a large claim. Respect the betting.
RP
Held when seventh of 11 over 7½f at Gold Coast (handicap, not far behind Damiani) last month; has winning track form; not the most consistent of horses lately; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Started 13/1 and came in 7th last run at Gold Coast Poly. Will be motoring home late. Tom Orr takes a large claim. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Rating · IRD
20
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
AAP
Now 5 weeks between runs. Quickened from turn and kept finding at Gold Coast when second-up. Form sound at this course and journey. One for multiples.
ILB
Charged home to win last run at Gold Coast.
RSIS
Was eating up the ground late to win last run at Gold Coast.
Career
19: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
5: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
6: 1-1-2
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1840m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2040m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2070m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
18: 1-1-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 200%
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Raced in back half and never likely this course. Untried in the wet. Remains unplaced from 7 starts here. Needs to recapture form.
ILB
Jumped at $13.00 and below expectations when 6th last time around here. Prefer to watch.
RP
Managed just one success in his career to date; behind Glenray's Mate when beaten 9l (sixth of nine) last week; easy enough to take on.
RSIS
At 12/1 just average when 6th last run at the track.
Career
16: 2-0-3
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1540m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1660m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-1
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Had all before her at turn and went home tamely at Gold Coast Poly. Better suited back on turf. Outside place prospect at best.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Started at $14.00 and came in 4th last time at Sunshine Coast but has drawn the rails. Bit of extra work to do with more weight.
RP
Beaten 6l (eighth) at Gold Coast over 7½f (handicap) last week; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; capable if in the mood so needs considering; was due to run at Sunshine Coast Friday.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Started 13/1 and ran 4th last start at Sunshine Coast but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.
Career
36: 2-4-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Kilcoy
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
2: 0-1-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1625m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
10: 1-1-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 75%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 52% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Failed to flatter at Eagle Farm off extended spell. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Started at $101.00 and disappointing display when 10th last run at Eagle Farm but competing at a lower level of competition. Going up in weight. Entitled to be a big price.
RP
Last of ten over 6½f at Eagle Farm (handicap) last month; has won at this course; passed over.
RSIS
At 100/1 performed below standard when 10th last run at Eagle Farm but back in an easier grade. Goes up in weight.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (49-days). All honours in the small field at Gold Coast. Stiffer task now but don't undersell.
ILB
Back from a freshen up. Flew home to win last run at Gold Coast and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races.
RSIS
Let up. Finished well when winning last run at Gold Coast and showing improvement in recent outings.
Career
22: 2-0-2
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
3: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1666m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 1-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 56% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 60% in L100 rides
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Settled back and didn't come on at Sunshine Coast for new trainer. Looks up against it.
ILB
Jumped at $6.50 and below par performance when 8th last run at Sunshine Coast. Can go through the gears. Keep safe.
RP
Been generally quiet since successful in a handicap at Gold Coast in April; was held in eighth over 1m1f at Sunshine Coast (handicap) on her first start for this trainer last week; Jack Bruce's runners are going great guns at the moment; easy to oppose.
RSIS
Started 11/2 and was nothing special when 8th last time at Sunshine Coast. Has a great burst of pace late. Watch the betting.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Found a spot back off the pace but went backwards when the whips were cracking at Gatton. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Was $5.50 and finished 4th last time at Gatton.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Started 9/2 and ran 4th last start at Gatton.
Career
42: 3-7-4
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
4: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
10: 0-1-3
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1110m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
12: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
28: 2-5-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Hot Jockey
Positive
Adin Thompson in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 13%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Triumphant on speed display at Gatton. Has speed. Should appreciate stepping up in distance. Shapes as a major player again.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Winner by 2L last time at Gatton and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Got the job done by 2l at Gatton over 7f (handicap) last week; despite that Gatton success, there are better alternatives here.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Won by 2L last time at Gatton and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Will be positive in the run early. Betting is the best guide.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Ex Kristie Clark-Peoples in QLD. Last win was 15 Nov. Settled midfield, no meaningful impression at Gatton.
ILB
Odds of $5.00 and folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Gatton. Racing for a new trainer.
RSIS
At 4/1 folded up in the straight when 8th last run at Gatton. First race for a new trainer. Has struggled so far lately.
Career
48: 4-10-4
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
12: 1-2-0
Second-up
9: 0-2-2
Third-up
8: 1-3-0
Fourth-up
7: 0-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
7: 0-2-3
Distance 1640m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1850m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 0-1-2
Going Soft
11: 0-1-2
Going Synthetic
19: 4-8-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Well back and made some minor headway but passing mainly tired rivals at Gold Coast Poly. Remains unplaced from 4 starts here. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
At $71.00 kept chasing when 4th last time at Gold Coast Poly and has a positive draw. Facing a difficult task today.
RP
Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Gold Coast (beaten 4½l) over 7½f (handicap) last month; quite a while since she tasted success and shown all winning form at Gold Coast (four successes); hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Was 70/1 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last run at Gold Coast Poly and will try to take advantage of the stall.
Career
33: 2-1-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
8: 1-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
8: 1-0-1
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2450m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
9: 1-1-0
Going Good
14: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Settled close, couldn't match winner but ran on for third this course. Prefers better than heavy. Outsider and rightly so.
ILB
Did well when 3rd last start at the track. Might have to make up considerable ground. Much prefer the look of others in this race.
RP
Hard to crab his most recent performance (third of nine) back down to this distance last week; has scored over C&D.
RSIS
Tidy run when 3rd last start here. Likely to settle back in the field.