Shortest win price
Cause She Can (3)
2.50
Tab (BM65) three-year-old handicap at Ipswich over 1100m kicks off at 2:09 pm AEDT on a heavy track under overcast skies. Compel heads the market, with Cause She Can and My Utopia next shortest. The win market is tightly bunched, so form and track fitness will separate them. Two leaders will dictate early tempo — Cause She Can from barrier six and Compel from barrier three — setting up a tactical affair on the heavy going.
Cause She Can won last start at Toowoomba by a narrow margin and rates among the genuine dangers. The K R Kemp–trained mare has early speed and a massive tick from this circuit; her record shows form at first-up, so she should be competitive fresh. Compel is the shortest price despite a map concern at this track — her narrow defeat last start at Doomben was only two lengths, and she's a debut winner stripping fitter after 63 days out. The Munce stable is firing, which counts in her favour, though the form suggests she gave ground late when leading. My Utopia has the fastest finishing splits last start and boasts a jockey-trainer combination outperforming market odds by 345 per cent, a number that jumps off the page. Fresh from a trial win and stepping into metro company second-up, the Thornton runner could be sharper than punters expect.
Zia Maria brings interesting credentials — not beaten far in maiden company at Ipswich first-up last prep, and the Barry Lockwood and Emma-Jane Vincent combination is outperforming market expectations by 57 per cent. She's back after 20 weeks and maps from barrier two in an offpace role, so she'll need the lead runners to set a genuine tempo. Hidden Whisper has risen in class and carries 5kg more, factors worth noting on a heavy track where weight penalties bite harder. The speedGroups show two leaders will dominate early tempo, favouring runners with early pace or strong finishing sectionals on this heavy going.
Shortest win price
Cause She Can (3)
2.50
Most career wins
Cause She Can and Zia Maria
2 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Offpace
Leader
Cause She Can · Positive
Early Splits
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Zia Maria · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 57%
Sling · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Compel · Positive
Stable In Form
Stable going well. Out performing market by 35%
Career
9: 2-0-3
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 1-0-2
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-0-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
AAP
Highly competitive lately. In trailing position but couldn't quicken enough at Doomben. Back to provincial level. Can challenge.
ILB
Odds of $19.00 and finished 5th last run at Doomben but challenged by weaker competitors. Looking sharp on the track since coming back from a spell but dropping in distance.
RP
Fair effort when beaten 3l, finishing fifth of nine over 6½f at Doomben (handicap) two weeks ago; this is competitive and unlikely to do better than a supporting role; also engaged in race 5 at Doomben.
RSIS
Started 18/1 and ran 5th last time at Doomben but will appreciate the drop in grade. Looking sharp on the track since resuming from a break but back in trip.
Career
6: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
6: 1-1-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 1-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 187%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Second campaign (25-weeks). Further matured. Placed at Gold Coast on debut last campaign while warmed up with an impressive trial. Awkwardly drawn and up in weight for return. Can fill the minors here fresh.
ILB
First up and was amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by just short of 6L first up last preparation at Gold Coast. Facing weaker opposition.
RP
Finished tenth of 12 over 5f at Gold Coast (conditions race) six months ago; others more likely given this looks a decent race.
RSIS
Resuming and came on strongly when 3rd resuming last preparation at Gold Coast. Facing a weaker group of contenders.
Career
5: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-1-0
Track Toowoomba
4: 2-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1110m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4kg more than LS
AAP
Brave display holding on at Toowoomba. Leads, handy. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Among the dangers again.
ILB
Was much too speedy in front to win by a margin of a short half head last run at Toowoomba and good career start. Should race on the speed. Will go very close.
RP
Landed a narrow success in a handicap at Toowoomba last month; should figure.
RSIS
Dictated the tempo when winning by a short half head last run at Toowoomba and good career start. Should race on the pace. Producing consistent results recently. Tough competitor.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
AAP
Toughed it out on the pace at Gold Coast when second-up at $3.50. On pacer, perfect gate. Warrants attention.
ILB
Took charge of the race to win by a margin of 1L last start at Gold Coast and can find a nice position from the draw.
RSIS
Was much too pacey in front when winning by a margin of 1L last run at Gold Coast and drawn nicely.
Career
4: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 1-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 2-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 57%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back for second campaign (20-weeks). Not beaten far Maiden company at Ipswich first-up last preparation. Meets a stronger bunch.
ILB
First run back from a break. Picked up nicely to win last run at Sunshine Coast and drawn nicely. Jockey Brandon Lerena is currently in strong form for this stable. Prefer others.
RP
Winner of two of her four career starts and seeking a hat-trick today; scored narrowly in a handicap with Sling and Hide The Pierata behind at Sunshine Coast in June; warrants plenty of respect.
RSIS
Fresh from a break. Picked up nicely to win last run at Sunshine Coast and will try to take advantage of the stall. Going up in weight.
Career
6: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1000m
5: 1-1-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (19-weeks). Ex S W Kendrick in QLD. Lone career win was over 1000m at Sunshine Coast in last campaign. Looks up against it.
ILB
First up from a break. Odds of $61.00 and below expectations when 12th last run at Sunshine Coast. Placed 2nd in a trial at Sunshine Coast@inner Track on Oct 13th. Hard to warm to at present.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 13 over 5f at Sunshine Coast (handicap) in July; makes limited appeal as this is a fairly competitive event.
RSIS
Resumes after a break. Started 60/1 and average at best when 12th last start at Sunshine Coast. Placed 2nd in a trial at Sunshine Coast@inner Track on Oct 13th.
Career
2: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 35%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (63-days). Debut winner at Doomben 26 Aug. Led, gave away final stages at Doomben at second outing. Stripping fitter, will take stopping in this company.
ILB
First up from a break of 9 weeks and assumed control from the start to win by 1 1/2L first up last preparation at Doomben. Should be going forward early. Tough competitor.
RP
Fair effort (beaten 2l) at Doomben in September; unexposed in handicaps with this her second start in this company; one to consider if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.
RSIS
Resuming and led from start to finish when winning by 1 1/2L resuming last preparation at Doomben. Should muster plenty of early toe. Matched against less formidable competition. Strong chance.
Career
3: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-1
Track Gold Coast
1: 1-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 345%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Adin Thompson winning at 0% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (18-weeks). Raced in metro company last prep. Recent trial win at Gold Coast Poly suggests ready to go. Shapes as a rough place prospect fresh.
ILB
Back from a break. Ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Doomben and putting a tidy record together so far. Coming back in distance. Nice price for the value seekers.
RP
Went down by less than a length (Doomben) in July upped to 6½f; is not ruled out.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Zipped home into 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Doomben and solid career start. Back to a shorter distance. Will be around the mark at good odds.
Career
4: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 1-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5kg more than LS
AAP
Fresh. Started $51 when safely held in Class 1 company in rain affected going at Sunshine Coast. Keener on others.
ILB
Started $51.00 and struggled with the pace when 5th last run at Sunshine Coast on a heavy rated track and will have to carry more weight. Facing a difficult task.
RP
Came home fifth, beaten 6l, over 5f at Sunshine Coast (handicap) last month; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
At 50/1 couldn't stay in touch when 5th last time at Sunshine Coast on a heavy surface and will have to carry extra weight.
Career
4: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 56% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -65% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 60% in L100 rides
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back for second campaign (18-weeks). Competing in stronger races last prep. Two quiet trials for return. Testing first-up assignment.
ILB
First up and was eating up the ground late to win first up last preparation at Toowoomba. Has not placed in multiple barrier trials. Will be down in distance. Others are better.
RP
Behind My Utopia over 6½f at Doomben (handicap) when last of eight four months ago; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Resuming and charged home to win resuming last preparation at Toowoomba. Unplaced in multiple trials but has a nice advantage with a good draw. Dropping back to a shorter trip.