Illawarra Grange (NSW) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 4:06 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Illawarra Grange (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 14 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 14 NovIllawarra Grange (NSW)Change

Race 6 — Your Next Stop Wests Illawarra Provincial (Bm64) 1400m · jumps Sat 14 Nov, 4:30 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Illawarra Grange for race six on the card, the Your Next Stop Wests Illawarra Provincial (Bm64) over 1400m on a soft5 track under overcast skies. The win market order has Sabi Storm sitting right at the top of the list, followed closely by Tequisoda, Fitzclarence, and Cap D'Ail rounding out the front end of betting. The numbers say this 1400m test will give punters plenty to chew on, so let's dive straight into the form and find some value on a cracking afternoon of racing!

Looking at the form behind those shorter prices, Sabi Storm jumps off the page with Matt Kirk steering for trainer Mark Sues from barrier four, boasting a sharp last-start win at Newcastle over 1300m in a Class 1 where it rated very well in front. Tequisoda sits next in the market order for Brad Widdup, drawing barrier one for Leeshelle Small while resuming from a twenty-week break off two barrier trials, having previously opened a last prep with a win right here at Illawarra Grange. Cap D'Ail is another model of consistency for trainer Ms D Poidevin-Laine, coming off a fighting second over 1600m at Kembla Grange in Benchmark 64 grade and looking like a runner that warrants plenty of attention coming back slightly in distance.

Adding further angles from the pack, Tequisoda brings early speed which is a massive advantage on this circuit, especially with the inside draw to help dictate terms early. Meanwhile, Fitzclarence maps on pace alongside Sabi Storm, and Super Jaie also features in that on-pace speed group, setting up a cracking battle up front. For those chasing value further down the win market order, runners like All Machiavellian recorded the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start and could flash home late if the leaders go too hard. All in all, Sabi Storm rates a real chance to back up that latest win, but it is a wide-open affair where a few different formlines converge nicely.

Race notes

Benchmark 64,PROV BM64,PROV BM64 HCP
SOFT5
Overcast
9 runners

Shortest win price

Tequisoda (3)

3.30

Most career wins

All Machiavellian

5-10-5 from 58 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

6All Machiavellian

Midfield

5Flying Grey

Offpace

2Cap D'Ail
3Tequisoda
8Bang On Time

Onpace

4Fitzclarence
1Sabi Storm
12Super Jaie

Leader

7Lady Yarrow

Sabi Storm · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 9155%
Cap D'Ail · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Tequisoda · Positive
Early Splits
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Flying Grey · Negative
Slow Early LS
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Sabi StormJ: Matt Kirk·T: Mark Sues462kg6 8 6 7 18: 2-0-1$4.00$1.40

Career

8: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
2: 1-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1732m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1

Last starts

1Newcastle1300m31 Oct 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD4-1.92
7Newcastle1250m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.37L
6Hawkesbury800m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3L
8Sale1732m8 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD34.6L
6Pakenham1400m12 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L
8Flemington1800m4 Oct 2025 · 3yo · GOOD31.9L
11Flemington1400m13 Sept 2025 · 3yo · GOOD45.5L
1Sandown1600m6 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.2

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 9155%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 63%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 48% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 6kg now

Comments

AAP

Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Well rated in front and kept on to win at Newcastle when second-up. All the better, can show up again at fair odds.

ILB

Set the tempo to win by 2L last time at Newcastle. Should come to hand quickly. Large claim helps. Could feature here.

Back in the winners' enclosure over 6½f at Newcastle (handicap) when springing 66-1 surprise last month; one to take seriously.

RSIS

Led from start to finish to win by a margin of 2L last run at Newcastle. Should race on the pace. Large claim helps. Could be in the mix.

2Cap D'AilJ: Jon Grisedale·T: Ms D Poidevin-Laine961kg1 4 1 5 28: 2-2-1$6.50$2.10

Career

8: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
8: 2-2-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-1-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Kembla Grange1600m3 Nov 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT61.8L
5Kembla Grange1600m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP COND BM68 HCP · GOOD44.9L
1Kembla Grange1600m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
4Kembla Grange1400m26 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.9L
1Kembla Grange1400m12 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
2Kembla Grange1200m29 Aug 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
3Kembla Grange1200m15 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.4L
3Illawarra Grange800m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%
Key Jockey
Positive
Jon Grisedale winning at 6% POT in last 100 rides
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here

Comments

AAP

Model of consistency. Fought bravely to the wire in the (Bm64) at Kembla Grange. Coming back in distance and warrants attention.

ILB

Placed 2nd last time at Kembla Grange. Racing consistently this campaign. Watch betting.

Gave good account to finish second over 1m at Kembla Grange (handicap) last week; major player.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd last start at Kembla Grange. In a purple patch of form since returning from a break. Watch for a sign in the market.

3TequisodaJ: Leeshelle Small·T: Brad Widdup161kg3 9 6 2 610: 2-3-2$3.30$1.34

Career

10: 2-3-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1850m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-2-0
Going Good
5: 2-1-1

Last starts

6Hawkesbury800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)28.3L
2Newcastle1850m27 June 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT70.3L
6Kembla Grange2000m20 June 2026 · BM64 · SOFT55.5L
9Randwick2000m6 June 2026 · 3Y BM72 · SOFT56.2L
3Warwick Farm1600m20 May 2026 · 3yo · HEAVY81.6L
1Illawarra Grange1400m5 May 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD4-0.1
3Wyong1000m24 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.7L
6Gosford800m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.8L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (20-weeks). Solid form at this level last campaign. Opened last prep with a win at Illawarra Grange while trialling 2 times ahead of return. Expecting a prominent showing fresh.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Just missed last time at Newcastle and drawn beautifully. Finished 5th in a barrier trial at Rosehill Gardens on Nov 4th. Very tidy performer.

Went down by a neck over 1m1f at Newcastle (handicap) five months ago; a winner over C&D; layoff to overcome; on the shortlist.

RSIS

Back from a break. Narrowly denied a win last time at Newcastle and has the ideal stall. Finished 5th in a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Nov 4th. Can go close.

4FitzclarenceJ: Rory Hutchings·T: Jason Attard358kg2 1 6 8 55: 1-1-0$6.00$2.00

Career

5: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
3: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0

Last starts

5Hawkesbury1400m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM64 HCP · GOOD44.01L
8Kembla Grange1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.4L
6Hawkesbury800m24 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)8.6L
1Hawkesbury1300m21 May 2026 · 3Y MDN · HEAVY8-0.7
2Kembla Grange1200m29 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD41.3L
7Hawkesbury1100m14 Apr 2026 · Maiden · GOOD46.07L
1Hawkesbury800m23 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial-2.9
6Hawkesbury800m15 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial2.4L

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression at Hawkesbury second-up. All the better but an outside place prospect at best.

ILB

Jumped at $4.80 and ran past a few when 5th last time at Hawkesbury. Will be positive in the run early. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Not disgraced when fifth at Hawkesbury two weeks ago; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Started at 4/1 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last start at Hawkesbury. Expecting to settle positively.

5Flying GreyJ: Christian Reith·T: Brad Widdup257.5kg4 1 5 10 78: 2-0-1$17.00$3.60

Career

8: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
2: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Hawkesbury1000m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.7L
10Newcastle2200m14 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT527.9L
5Kembla Grange2000m20 June 2026 · BM64 · SOFT55.3L
1Wyong1625m7 June 2026 · CL1 · SOFT5-0.8
4Hawkesbury1600m21 May 2026 · Class 1 · HEAVY83.8L
1Wyong1350m30 Apr 2026 · Maiden · GOOD4-0.3
4Gosford1000m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L
8Hawkesbury800m23 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.9L

Insights

Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (17-weeks). Fresh winner at Wyong last campaign while tuned with 2 trials. Usually gets back. One for multiples fresh.

ILB

First up and ran on hard when winning first up last preparation at Wyong. Yet to place in multiple trials but drawn nicely. Down in distance. Rough hope.

Beaten a long way over 1m3f at Newcastle (handicap) four months ago; returns from a layoff; she knows the task at hand and entitled to respect.

RSIS

Resuming and romped home to win resuming last preparation at Wyong. Finished 7th in a trial at Hawkesbury on Oct 20th but has a good draw. Dropping in distance.

6All MachiavellianJ: Chad Lever·T: R & L Price656.5kg3 9 8 6 358: 5-10-5$13.00$3.20

Career

58: 5-10-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
10: 0-2-1
Second-up
9: 2-1-0
Third-up
9: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
9: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
7: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
8: 1-2-0
Distance 1400m
21: 2-1-1
Going Good
32: 3-6-3
Going Heavy
10: 0-0-0
Going Soft
16: 2-4-2

Last starts

3Kembla Grange1000m5 Nov 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.1L
6Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.9L
8Kembla Grange1400m8 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD411.8L
9Illawarra Grange1400m30 July 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD42.8L
3Kembla Grange1600m20 June 2026 · BM68 · SOFT51.7L
7Rosehill1200m13 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.4L
2Illawarra Grange1200m30 May 2026 · BM64 HCP · SOFT60.2L
4Illawarra Grange1300m5 May 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (14-weeks). Tuned up with a couple of trials and has figured first-up but this isn't easy. Watch betting.

ILB

First up. Started $3.90 and unimpressive effort when 8th last run at Kembla Grange. Likely to get back in the field. Place claims at best.

Has lacked consistency of late and not seen the winners' enclosure for a while now (last win in 2024); finished eighth, beaten a fair way (Kembla Grange) in August; this is competitive and only limited appeal.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Odds of 3/1 and clearly outclassed when 8th last time at Kembla Grange. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

7Lady YarrowJ: Jess Taylor·T: Ms T Bateup756.5kg3 2 8 2 819: 2-6-3$21.00$3.80

Career

19: 2-6-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-1-0
Track Moruya
4: 0-2-0
Track Sapphire Coast
5: 2-1-1
Distance 1400m
6: 1-0-2
Distance 1500m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 2-2-2
Going Good
7: 0-3-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Kembla Grange1500m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP PROV BM64 HCP · GOOD44.4L
2Hawkesbury1300m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.08L
8Moruya1300m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP SWP · SOFT72.6L
2Moruya1210m15 Sept 2026 · BM74 · SOFT72.3L
3Sapphire Coast1400m30 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT71.3L
7Hawkesbury1400m7 Mar 2026 · Class 5 · SOFT57.7L
4Nowra1400m22 Feb 2026 · BM66 · SOFT51.9L
6Canterbury1250m13 Feb 2026 · 4UP MARES BM64 HCP · GOOD44.5L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Theresa Bateup striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -59%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 65%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 65% Profit on Turnover
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

Comments

AAP

Just missed at Hawkesbury 15 Oct. On pace but folded up quickly at Kembla Grange. First time around Illawarra Grange. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Faded away to finish 8th last run at Kembla Grange. Has plenty of early speed. Jess Taylor rates highly. Could be in the mix.

Not the most consistent of horses lately; not disgraced in eighth over 7½f at Kembla Grange (handicap) last month; this line-up contains some strong opposition so not one to rely on.

RSIS

Folded up in the straight when 8th last run at Kembla Grange. Jess Taylor is a key engagement. Should muster plenty of early pace. Not at all out of this race.

8Bang On TimeJ: Lee Magorrian·T: K J Parker556kg1 4 4 3 56: 1-1-1$8.00$2.40

Career

6: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-1

Last starts

5Hawkesbury1500m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76.74L
3Illawarra Grange1300m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.1L
4Illawarra Grange1200m17 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD44.6L
4Kembla Grange1300m29 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.2L
1Newcastle1250m11 Apr 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.1
2Kembla Grange1200m3 Mar 2026 · Maiden · HEAVY91.3L
1Kembla Grange800m2 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial-0.1

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Lee Magorrian current POT is 44% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 54%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 51% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Settled back and passed a few late in the 3yo+ Provincial Hcp (C1) at Hawkesbury. Has placed this track. Can play a role.

ILB

Jumped at $3.40 and was making up some late ground when 5th last start at Hawkesbury but matched against a stronger field. Strong chance.

Out of the frame when fifth over 7½f at Hawkesbury (handicap) last month; this line-up contains some strong opposition so others more appealing.

RSIS

Started 12/5 and got going late when 5th last time at Hawkesbury but competing in a higher grade. Solid chance.

9Coco DiorScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Insights

Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple

Comments

AAP

Useful type who put in some big strides late at Nowra. Harder now but stays in the mix.

ILB

Came on strongly when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at Nowra but competing in a higher grade.

RSIS

Ran on strongly when 2nd last start at Nowra but challenged by more formidable competitors.

10ElivinaScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Nowra. Strips fitter. Good draw and under less weight. Not out of this.

ILB

Started $11.00 and gave away some ground when 6th last start at Nowra but has a positive barrier. Matched against tougher rivals. Suited by the weight drop.

RSIS

Was 10/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last time at Nowra but gets a favourable stall. Challenged by a tougher grade. Dropping weight.

11All Too WildScratched9––––

Career

26: 2-5-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
6: 0-2-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-1
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-2-0
Going Good
16: 1-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
9: 1-2-0

Last starts

6Hawkesbury1300m7 Nov 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD43.06L
6Port Macquarie1200m25 Oct 2026 · CL2 · SOFT64.76L
9Port Macquarie1100m9 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD43.48L
7Newcastle1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.4L
6Wyong1000m10 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.5L
6Kembla Grange1200m16 May 2026 · Benchmark 68 · SOFT54.7L
8Wyong1200m16 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD44.2L
7Gosford1200m9 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD43.8L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Last win was 22 Sep 2025. Performance just fair at Hawkesbury at $12. Can't enthuse.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Odds of $12.00 and not in contention when 6th last run at Hawkesbury.

Not a frequent winner and generally struggled of late; not disgraced when sixth over 6½f at Hawkesbury (handicap) last Saturday; a few rivals look in good form so hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

On a short back up. At 11/1 mediocre attempt when 6th last run at Hawkesbury.

12Super JaieJ: Poppie Gorton·T: Donna Grisedale855kg3 5 8 6 1129: 4-1-5$34.00$4.60

Career

29: 4-1-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
3: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1010m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
6: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 1-1-0
Going Good
14: 3-0-4

Last starts

11Rosehill1300m7 Nov 2026 · 3UP MIDWAY BM72 HCP · GOOD45.03L
6Nowra1200m18 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD43.8L
8Grafton1435m6 June 2026 · BM58 HCP · SOFT64.4L
5Inverell1400m22 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD45.3L
3Grafton1400m19 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD31.17L
1Port Macquarie1512m28 Mar 2026 · BM50 · SOFT5-0.5
2Port Macquarie1500m24 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT60.2L
11Taree1600m3 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT66.1L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Donna Grisedale striking at just 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 58%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 30%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Went home tamely at Rosehill second-up at $201. On pacer. All the better and can be more competitive at this level if he gets the breaks.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Started $201.00 and didn't attack the line when 11th last run at Rosehill but will find this grade easier. Should race on the speed. Looks too tough.

Towards the rear of 13 over 6½f at Rosehill (handicap) a week ago; generally modest form since handicap success at Port Macquarie in March; others appeal more as meeting a number of horses who are in good form.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started 200/1 and tailed off to finish 11th last run at Rosehill but going down in class. Will be positive in the run early.

Odds correct as at Sat 14 Nov, 4:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 1 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races