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Geelong (VIC) horses tips & previews

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Meeting — Fri 13 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 13 NovGeelong (VIC)Change

Race 6 — Auswide Plumbing And Civil (Bm62) 1535m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Geelong for race six on the card, the Auswide Plumbing And Civil (Bm62) over 1535m. The track is rated a good four with overcast skies above, and the win market has Skydream sitting at the head of affairs, closely followed by Positivo, Lygon Street Luigi, and Grandpa Neil in the early betting order.

The numbers say Skydream rates a real chance here after showing plenty of early dash previously. Dean Yendall takes the steer from barrier six, and the stable runner comes into this off a Kilmore run where things got tough late after leading. Positivo jumps off the page as another major threat for Saab Hasan and Michael Dee, carrying strong recent form all the way from Wangaratta where this backmarker reeled in the leaders to salute in fine style.

Looking deeper into the field, Grandpa Neil brings a big tick from a recent Warrnambool victory where Teodore Nugent was aboard, and that hot jockey and trainer combination is outperforming market expectations significantly. Skydream is marked as fast early alongside Frosty Night, so expect them to roll forward from their respective gates and make a genuine contest of it over the 1535m journey.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM62,BM62 HCP,Benchmark 62
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Skydream (7)

2.80

Most career wins

Frosty Night

4-2-8 from 44 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 3Positivo

Offmidfield

  • 10Tipsy Gypsy

Midfield

  • 6Burning Sensation

Offpace

  • 9Frosty Night
  • 2Lygon Street Luigi
  • 5Grandpa Neil
  • 4Albanian I Am

Leader

  • 7Skydream

  • Lygon Street Luigi · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 2%

  • Positivo · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Albanian I Am · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.

  • Grandpa Neil · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1HabitualScratched5––––

Career

12: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    4: 1-1-1

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1856m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    7: 2-1-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Swan Hill1600m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD4-0.5
  2. 6Kyneton1856m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT56.25L
  3. 4Swan Hill1600m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.1L
  4. 1Warracknabeal1600m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-5
  5. 7Seymour1200m7 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT75.8L
  6. 9Ballarat1400m6 Dec 2025 · 3-5yo · SOFT65.3L
  7. 6Geelong1314m26 Nov 2025 · 3-5yo · GOOD33.9L
  8. 3Pakenham Synthetic1600m7 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.6L

Insights

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Game win from just off the pace at Swan Hill. Stays in this company with more weight but can go back to back.

ILB

Charged home to win last run at Swan Hill.

RP

Narrow success in a handicap dropped back in distance (Swan Hill) two weeks ago; warrants respect.

2Lygon Street LuigiJ: Holly Durnan·T: Denis Pagan859.5kg3 2 5 4 323: 1-9-6$4.80$1.55

Career

23: 1-9-6

Rating · IRD

95

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    4: 0-2-1

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1325m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1430m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    12: 0-4-4

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-5-1

Last starts

  1. 3Ballarat1400m2 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY84.5L
  2. 4Cranbourne1400m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.25L
  3. 5Bendigo1300m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · SOFT63.45L
  4. 2Yarra Valley1514m29 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD40.8L
  5. 3Geelong1430m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD33L
  6. 2Pakenham1400m21 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT60.1L
  7. 6Kyneton1203m5 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83.6L
  8. 3Sandown1300m20 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 2%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 80%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 85% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

Comments

AAP

Long losing streak. Fair way from the winner but battled home into third at Ballarat. This looks a deeper race.

ILB

Ran 3rd last time at Ballarat on a heavy rated track and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Major chance.

RP

Out of the frame (beaten 4½l in third) at Ballarat over 7f (handicap) last week; has been fairly consistent of late; generally struggled with a record of 1-31; passed over as hits the crossbar all too often.

RSIS

Ran well when 3rd last run at Ballarat and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Winning potential.

3PositivoJ: Michael Dee·T: Saab Hasan259kg3 10 5 2 127: 3-4-4$5.00$1.60

Career

27: 3-4-4

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-2-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Echuca

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    21: 3-4-3

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Wangaratta1590m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD4-0.35
  2. 2Bendigo1600m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD30.02L
  3. 5Tatura1450m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.27L
  4. 10Geelong1300m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.6L
  5. 3Bendigo800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)3L
  6. 4Deniliquin1600m25 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 665.81L
  7. 3Swan Hill1600m12 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD32.5L
  8. 2Bendigo1600m27 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD45.5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 31% lower than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 34% in L100 rides

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

Comments

AAP

Reeled in leaders to salute at Wangaratta. Will take stopping in this company.

ILB

Was eating up the ground late when winning last run at Wangaratta and can find a nice position from the draw. Will be hitting the line strongly. Must be considered here.

RP

Scored by a slim margin in a handicap at Wangaratta two weeks ago; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role despite that win at Wangaratta.

RSIS

Ran on hard when winning last run at Wangaratta and drawn nicely. Can go through the gears. On an upward trajectory in recent races. Taking on stronger opponents. Definite claims.

4Albanian I AmJ: Neil Farley·T: P Koumis558.5kg3 4 4 10 647: 3-7-4$5.50$1.70

Career

47: 3-7-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Track Morphettville

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1511m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    9: 0-1-3

  • Distance 1800m

    7: 1-1-1

  • Going Good

    25: 2-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    9: 1-3-1

  • Going Soft

    11: 0-2-2

Last starts

  1. 6Morphettville1511m31 Oct 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD43.35L
  2. 10Geelong1500m21 Oct 2026 · BM 78 HCP · GOOD45.71L
  3. 4Warrnambool1400m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY92.75L
  4. 4Seymour800m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.8L
  5. 3Morphettville1600m25 July 2026 · 4UP 0-64 · SOFT72.2L
  6. 2Geelong1760m10 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY82.8L
  7. 10Sandown1600m1 July 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY911L
  8. 6Ballarat2036m12 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY86.8L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Neil Farley 49% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 63%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Neil Farley winning at 33% POT in last 100 rides

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Winless Prep

    Negative

    Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Last success was 27 Apr 2024. Back to country level and locally trained. Could give some cheek.

ILB

Jumped at $9.00 and came in 6th last time at Morphettville. Expected to rebound. Has the ratings to win this.

RP

Fair effort when beaten 3½l, finishing sixth of 12 at Morphettville 13 days ago; some claims if replicating best previous efforts.

RSIS

At 8/1 finished 6th last start at Morphettville. Happy to forgive that run. Very tidy performer.

5Grandpa NeilJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Jason Warren358.5kg7 2 5 4 14: 1-0-0$9.00$2.40

Career

4: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Donald

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Warrnambool1400m29 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.1
  2. 4Swan Hill1300m5 June 2026 · 2yo · SOFT61.8L
  3. 5Mornington1200m25 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT55.4L
  4. 2Caulfield Heath1000m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
  5. 7Donald1200m2 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD35.2L
  6. 4Caulfield Heath850m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L
  7. 2Tatura850m24 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial2L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 72%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 51% POT in L100 Runners

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Reeled in leaders late to salute in a rich maiden at Warrnambool off spell. Teodore Nugent on again. Could pay to follow.

ILB

Picked up late to win last time at Warrnambool and showing improvement in recent outings. Potential to run into a place.

RP

Narrow scorer in a maiden at Warrnambool when getting off the mark at the fourth time of asking last month; respected.

RSIS

Charged home to win last time at Warrnambool and displaying improvement over the past few runs.

6Burning SensationJ: Patrick Moloney·T: Saab Hasan456.5kg11 1 3 5 417: 2-0-1$31.00$4.00

Career

17: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1454m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 2-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Echuca1400m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.55L
  2. 5Tatura850m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.8L
  3. 3Wagga1800m23 May 2026 · BM50 · SOFT64L
  4. 1Leeton1600m9 May 2026 · CL1-SW-0.2
  5. 11Wangaratta1590m3 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY817.4L
  6. 4Deniliquin1400m25 Apr 2026 · CL22L
  7. 10Swan Hill1300m12 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD39.6L
  8. 11Tatura1600m22 Nov 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD311.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Patrick Moloney 20% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran on okay without troubling at Echuca. Not fancied.

ILB

At $9.00 improved late to finish 4th last time at Echuca but competing at a higher grade. Have to look elsewhere.

RP

Fair effort when beaten 1½l over 7f at Echuca (handicap) three weeks ago; a few rivals look in good form so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.

RSIS

Started at 8/1 and got going late when 4th last time at Echuca but up against stronger rivals.

7SkydreamJ: Dean Yendall·T: Mitchell Freedman656.5kg2 2 6 1 410: 1-2-1$2.80$1.28

Career

10: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1606m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    7: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · GOOD44.5L
  2. 1Kilmore1450m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-3.75
  3. 6Echuca1400m30 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT75.5L
  4. 2Bendigo1300m12 Aug 2026 · F&M MDN SW · HEAVY90.3L
  5. 2Terang1606m17 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT60.1L
  6. 4Pakenham1600m19 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.1L
  7. 3Geelong1440m26 Jan 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD43L
  8. 7Sandown1400m8 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.15L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 17% in Last 100 Rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Led them up but melted under pressure at Kilmore. Can make her presence felt.

ILB

At $1.40 lost momentum late when 4th last time at Kilmore but facing a stronger grade. Will appreciate the drop in weight. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Only finished fourth of nine despite odds of 2-5 over 7f at Kilmore (handicap) last month; shown recent signs of improvement; this just her second run in a handicap; facing a testing assignment and looks an unlikely winner.

RSIS

Started at 2/5 and didn't finish off when 4th last run at Kilmore but facing formidable opponents. Gets some weight taken off. Watch betting.

8Who I Think I AmScratched10––––

Career

8: 1-3-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-2-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Kyneton1856m4 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY105.75L
  2. 1Warrnambool1700m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
  3. 2Tatura1600m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41L
  4. 4Newcastle1900m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.1L
  5. 2Goulburn1500m3 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD44.1L
  6. 2Goulburn1500m17 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT60.2L
  7. 5Gosford1200m18 June 2026 · 3Y MDN · HEAVY88.5L
  8. 6Newcastle800m3 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.6L

Insights

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

Comments

AAP

Sent out $10 when unable to threaten in testing conditions at Kyneton over longer test. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Jumped at $10.00 and gave away some ground when 6th last run at Kyneton. Likely to be well placed early.

RP

Was held in sixth over 1m1f at Kyneton (handicap) last Wednesday; has found improvement of late; winner two starts ago and should not be ruled out.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and gave away some ground when 6th last start at Kyneton. Has plenty of early pace.

9Frosty NightJ: Amy Herrmann·T: Jamie Barry756kg5 4 1 12 444: 4-2-8$23.00$3.80

Career

44: 4-2-8

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Track Hamilton

    7: 1-0-3

  • Track Mount Gambier

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2040m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1114m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    21: 2-0-4

  • Going Heavy

    9: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 1-0-3

Last starts

  1. 4Warrnambool1400m6 Nov 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42.35L
  2. 12Warrnambool1400m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.54L
  3. 1Hamilton1400m10 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT5-0.4
  4. 4Coleraine1600m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD30.87L
  5. 5Hamilton1400m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT64.7L
  6. 10Warrnambool1400m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY826L
  7. 6Warrnambool1100m20 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY108.5L
  8. 9Mount Gambier1200m7 Aug 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY1011.8L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 59%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 41% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Modest performance at Warrnambool at longer odds. Fit from racing, one for multiples.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Started at $21.00 and ran 4th last run at Warrnambool. Should race on the speed. Most likely not today.

RP

Fourth, not beaten that far (20-1) over 7f at Warrnambool (handicap) last week; meeting some horses in good form and only limited appeal.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Started at 20/1 and ran 4th last start at Warrnambool. Shows good early pace.

10Tipsy GypsyJ: Sarah Field·T: E W Ewert155kg5 6 4 6 710: 1-1-2$13.00$3.00

Career

10: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1170m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-0-2

Last starts

  1. 7Geelong1318m7 Nov 2026 · 0 - 62 · SOFT63.85L
  2. 6Wangaratta1300m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD44.02L
  3. 4Ballarat1100m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.25L
  4. 6Ballarat1200m24 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.7L
  5. 5Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 56 · SOFT53.5L
  6. 4Wangaratta1170m22 Dec 2025 · BM56 · SOFT53.1L
  7. 3Pakenham1200m21 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT63.2L
  8. 2Ballarat1200m3 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY0.46L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 37%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Beyond midfield, under pump turn and plugged home in soft going this course. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Odds of $19.00 and finished 7th last time at the track but can save some energy from the barrier. Finishes off strongly. Has some claims.

RP

Not disgraced when seventh of 13 over 6½f here (handicap) last Saturday; meeting some horses in good form and one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Odds of 18/1 and finished 7th last time here but gets the perfect draw. Has some claims.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Wed 7 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Wed 23 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 11 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races