Geelong (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 3:58 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Geelong (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 13 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 13 NovGeelong (VIC)Change

Race 1 — Ladbrokes Top 2/3/4 Betting Hwt (Bm78) 3800m · jumps Fri 13 Nov, 12:40 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Geelong for race one on the card, featuring the Ladbrokes Top 2/3/4 Betting Hwt (Bm78) over the marathon 3800m trip on a Good 4 track under overcast skies. The action jumps off at 12:40 pm AEDT, and the win market order sees The Cunning Fox heading up calculations followed closely by Federer, Diwali, and Genrichero as the early elect.

The form behind the market leaders highlights some serious contenders. The Cunning Fox comes into this off a game win on the speed at Echuca over 3200m and rates a real chance as a major threat while going great guns for Patrick Payne. Federer was not disgraced at Flemington over 2000m when finishing seventh at a handy price, though the extended trip poses a query, while Diwali was freshened after settling back and not figuring at Caulfield over 2400m and can improve up in trip.

Further down the order, tracking the speed will be crucial over this extreme distance. Eye For An Eye and Haiiro share the leader speed group role and map well to suit the track, while Genrichero backs up quickly after a third at Warrnambool over 2350m and a third at Mornington over 3080m, though the rise to 3800m presents a brand new challenge. The numbers say it is an open jumping test, and keeping multiple options safe in your calculations looks like a smart play.

Race notes

3yo+,BM78,BM78 HCP,Benchmark 78
GOOD4
Overcast
10 runners

Shortest win price

The Cunning Fox (4)

2.40

Most career wins

The Cunning Fox

14-4-3 from 46 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

1Farag
2Diwali

Midfield

3Federer
4The Cunning Fox

Offpace

11Phoenician
7Genrichero
9Topspin
10Benbulben

Leader

5Eye For An Eye
8Haiiro

Farag · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 59%
Diwali · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Federer · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
The Cunning Fox · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1FaragJ: William Mc Carthy·T: Aaron Purcell471.5kg15 12 6 10 1448: 10-4-5$12.00$2.75

Career

48: 10-4-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-2
Track CurrentTrack
3: 2-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 1-0-0
Track Hamilton
3: 0-1-1
Distance 2100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 2400m
7: 1-0-2
Distance 2520m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
11: 1-3-1
Going Soft
17: 5-1-2
Going Good
20: 4-0-2

Last starts

14Flemington2800m3 Nov 2026 · BM96 · GOOD410.71L
10Caulfield2400m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD413.28L
6Mount Gambier3150m20 Sept 2026 · BM75 · SOFT52.42L
12Sandown2400m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT515.1L
15Caulfield2000m15 Aug 2026 · BM78 · SOFT619.4L
8Flemington2000m1 Aug 2026 · BM100 · GOOD319.9L
1Warrnambool4600m30 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM90-HWGT · SOFT6-1.5
1Geelong3762m14 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD4-0.5

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 59%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Out Of Form
Negative
Needs to try and find some form

Comments

AAP

Ridden cold and never in the picture at Flemington. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Lacklustre showing when 14th last time at Flemington but competing in a lower grade. William Mccarthy and Aaron Purcell enjoy a high success rate together. Should get going late. Not at all out of this race.

Beaten 11l at Flemington last Tuesday upped to 1m6f; has won here; can make his presence felt.

RSIS

Below standard effort when 14th last time at Flemington but competing at a lower class. William Mccarthy and Aaron Purcell are consistently competitive when paired. Will be motoring home late. Not at all out of this race.

2DiwaliJ: Darryl Horner·T: Gavin Bedggood668.5kg6 8 9 7 827: 4-2-1$6.00$1.85

Career

27: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
6: 1-2-0
Track Moe
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2200m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 2800m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 3000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 4-2-1

Last starts

8Caulfield2400m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.53L
7Mount Gambier3150m20 Sept 2026 · BM75 · SOFT53.94L
9Sandown2400m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT511.2L
8Sandown2400m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP HCP · HEAVY87.8L
6Caulfield2000m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.7L
7Caulfield2400m31 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.4L
6Flemington2800m31 Dec 2025 · BAGOT HCP · GOOD31.9L
9Pakenham2500m13 Dec 2025 · LISTED HCP · GOOD45.9L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Darryl Horner 30% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 50%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 32% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Settled back and didn't figure at Caulfield. Can improve up in trip.

ILB

Average at best when 8th last time at Caulfield but facing a weaker group of contenders. Shows very good finishing speed. Going up in distance. Win will not surprise.

Beaten 7l into eighth over 1m4f at Caulfield (handicap, split Federer and Farag) four weeks ago; grade looks suitable; should not be far away.

RSIS

Below par when 8th last run at Caulfield but facing a weaker grade. Has a nice turn of foot. Rising in distance. Forward showing expected.

3FedererJ: Steven Pateman·T: C Maher868kg4 3 13 2 717: 3-2-3$3.70$1.34

Career

17: 3-2-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-1
Track Caulfield
6: 0-1-0
Track Sandown
3: 1-0-2
Distance 1800m
5: 0-0-2
Distance 2000m
5: 1-1-0
Distance 2400m
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
8: 0-0-3
Going Good
9: 3-2-0

Last starts

7Flemington2000m3 Nov 2026 · BM80 · GOOD43.72L
2Caulfield2400m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L
13Mornington2000m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · SOFT513.26L
3Sandown1800m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.3L
4Caulfield1800m29 Aug 2026 · BM78 · SOFT62.5L
8Caulfield2000m15 Aug 2026 · BM78 · SOFT62.4L
3Sandown1600m22 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT61L
8Caulfield2400m15 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM84 HCP · GOOD45.1L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced at Flemington at $13. Query at the extended trip but in leading camp. Keep safe.

ILB

Jumped at $13.00 and lost momentum when 7th last time at Flemington and has been racing in stronger company. Steven Pateman is a pivotal booking. Gets a solid chance here.

He meets the required standard ability wise; not beaten too far when seventh at Flemington when dropped to 1m2f last week; possibilities as shown promise on occasion.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and was getting tired late when 7th last time at Flemington and matched against less formidable competition. More confidence with jockey Steven Pateman guiding the horse. Will attract plenty of interest.

4The Cunning FoxJ: Tom Ryan·T: Patrick Payne1065kg1 1 8 5 146: 14-4-3$2.40$1.22

Career

46: 14-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 2-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 1-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 1-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2250m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2400m
5: 0-1-1
Distance 2500m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
22: 4-4-1
Going Heavy
7: 3-0-0
Going Soft
17: 7-0-2

Last starts

1Echuca3200m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT5-0.4
5Geelong2400m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD43.5L
8Seymour2000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT510.12L
1Ballarat3250m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP JJ HDLE SW+P · HEAVY9-1
1Hamilton3400m12 July 2026 · HDLE-SWP · HEAVY10-7
15Sandown2125m8 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.9L
1Traralgon2800m2 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-2
8Caulfield2000m27 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Game win on the speed at Echuca. Going great guns and stays as a major threat.

ILB

Dashed home to win last time at Echuca and form has been improving over recent runs. Tom Ryan does know the horse very well. Very capable of taking this out.

First success for some time scoring narrowly at Echuca last week upped to 2m; proven that he knows how to get his head in front (seeking a 15th career win); looks likely to be involved.

RSIS

Ran home strongly to win last run at Echuca and form has been improving over recent runs. Jockey Tom Ryan has a high strike rate on board. Should put in a decent effort.

5Eye For An EyeJ: Luca Remondet·T: Andrea Leek365kg6 5 10 6 1228: 5-2-3$16.00$3.40

Career

28: 5-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
4: 0-0-1
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1715m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2040m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
11: 2-1-3

Last starts

12Ararat4000m8 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD454.88L
6Mornington2400m1 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.4L
10Cranbourne2025m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.89L
5Pakenham Synthetic2200m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SYNTHETIC7.65L
6Mornington1500m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.53L
1Hamilton3200m7 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-1.3
1Pakenham2550m2 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD4-0.4
5Cranbourne2025m27 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT65.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Failed to threaten at Ararat. Capable but needs to turn it around quickly.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Jumped at $7.50 and clearly outclassed when 12th last run at Ararat. Should come to hand quickly. Can show up in this at odds.

Tailed off over 2m4f at Ararat (handicap) at the weekend (saddle slipped); track has proven suitable before; subpar since successful in a handicap at Pakenham in April; makes limited appeal with several rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Started 13/2 and was ordinary when 12th last run at Ararat. Displays good tactical pace.

6Roaring EngineScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Insights

Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Found enough to place in small field at Echuca. Suited by the longer assignment now. Not out of this.

ILB

Honest race when 3rd last start at Echuca.

RSIS

Tidy run when 3rd last time at Echuca.

7GenricheroJ: Arron Lynch·T: Shane Jackson765kg6 5 3 3 336: 4-5-8$8.00$2.30

Career

36: 4-5-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
2: 0-0-1
Distance 2445m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2500m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
23: 3-2-6
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
10: 1-2-2

Last starts

3Warrnambool2350m6 Nov 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.15L
3Mornington3080m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.25L
3Morphettville2500m29 Aug 2026 · BM78 · SOFT70.6L
5Geelong2435m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.8L
6Sandown2400m22 July 2026 · 0 - 66 · SOFT63.9L
12Geelong2440m19 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY927L
5Sandown2100m31 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT79.7L
9Pakenham2000m15 May 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT55L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Rise to 3800m a new challenge. Well into preparation now, again one for multiples.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Couldn't maintain the momentum throughout when 3rd last run at Warrnambool and stepping up in distance. Should be rolling forward early from the wide gate. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Minor honours in a handicap last week (13-8) when back to 1m3½f (Warrnambool) on debut for this trainer; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so not easy to fancy.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Big effort to finish 3rd last start at Warrnambool and rising in trip. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall.

8HaiiroJ: Micheal Casey·T: Shane Jackson965kg3 11 10 9 510: 2-2-2$26.00$3.90

Career

10: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 1-0-0
Track Warrnambool
3: 1-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2700m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 2-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Warrnambool2350m6 Nov 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD42.9L
9Avoca1860m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD324.5L
10Warrnambool1700m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY99.26L
11Flemington2800m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD326.6L
3Stawell2700m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.2L
3Terang2156m17 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT65.3L
1Kilmore1600m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM56 HWGT HCP · GOOD4-1.3
1Warrnambool2000m30 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD3-1.8

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Got the wobbles late after leading at Warrnambool. First try at 3800m. One for exotics.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Odds of $15.00 and couldn't finish off when 5th last start at Warrnambool and facing an increased distance. Has the speed to overcome the wide gate. Will need to elevate.

Form has an up and down look to it; close up behind Genrichero when fifth at Warrnambool over 1m3½f (handicap) last Friday; meeting some horses in good form and not one to rely on.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Was 14/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 5th last start at Warrnambool and racing over more ground.

9TopspinJ: Jordan Hart·T: Joanne Mugavin265kg1 7 4 8 634: 3-5-5$21.00$3.80

Career

34: 3-5-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Terang
2: 0-0-1
Track Horsham
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
6: 0-2-1
Going Soft
15: 2-2-3

Last starts

6Ararat4000m8 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.86L
8St Arnaud2000m24 Oct 2026 · HCP · GOOD311.45L
4Hamilton3200m7 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY87.3L
7Pakenham2500m19 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT53.7L
1Hamilton2800m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-2
1Pakenham2500m5 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD4-1.25
1Warrnambool2800m26 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-5
7Horsham2100m24 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD33.8L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -55%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Form 3rd Up
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when third up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. One of a few dropping back in trip for this assignment. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

On a quick back up. Was $26.00 and finished 6th last start at Ararat but drawn nicely. Appears tested.

Held in sixth at Ararat on Sunday upped to 2m4f; others more likely given many of his rivals are in good form.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started 25/1 and ran 6th last time at Ararat but will try to take advantage of the stall.

10BenbulbenJ: Bradley Shane Rantall·T: Jessica Pateman165kg11 2 3 4 718: 1-1-5$126.00$12.00

Career

18: 1-1-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Armidale
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
2: 1-0-1
Distance 2220m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 3150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-3
Going Soft
11: 1-1-2

Last starts

7Echuca3200m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT513.95L
4Mount Gambier3150m20 Sept 2026 · BM75 · SOFT51.19L
3Ballarat3250m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM120 CHASE · HEAVY96.3L
2Traralgon2800m5 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)8L
11Geelong2400m31 July 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT721.02L
4Coleraine2800m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)11.5L
4Casterton3500m11 Aug 2024 · Prize money contribution totalling 4% will be directed to jockey · SOFT612L
6Swan Hill2400m2 Aug 2024 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD49.05L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 50%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression at Echuca. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Was $31.00 and tailed off to finish 7th last start at Echuca but can save some energy from the barrier. Others are more appealing.

Last of seven over 2m at Echuca (handicap) when behind The Cunning Fox last Tuesday; others more likely given the strong opposition here.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and was well beaten when 7th last run at Echuca but has a nice advantage with a good draw.

11PhoenicianJ: Cillin Leonard·T: E W Ewert565kg3 8 2 6 234: 1-9-7$101.00$9.00

Career

34: 1-9-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Echuca
2: 0-1-0
Track Kilmore
3: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2226m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2440m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
23: 1-7-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Wangaratta2000m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD42L
6Echuca2100m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.37L
2Bairnsdale2200m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD30.5L
8Kilmore1600m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD47.4L
3Casterton1400m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT54.8L
7Kilmore2000m4 May 2026 · 0-56 · HEAVY99.7L
3Moe2400m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.4L
4Kilmore2000m18 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.2L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Must be a query at this trip and sterner task awaits. Prefer others.

ILB

Did well to run 2nd beaten by 2L last time at Wangaratta and going up in trip. Performing impressively this campaign. Looks too tough.

Finishing runner-up was a good effort last month at Wangaratta over 1m2f (handicap); achieved only a sole win; others more likely as hits the crossbar all too often.

RSIS

Attacked the line when 2nd beaten by 2L last start at Wangaratta and stepping up in trip. Been in the money frequently of late.

Odds correct as at Fri 13 Nov, 12:51 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
Wed 7 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Wed 23 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 11 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races