Shortest win price
Make Me Great (4)
1.10
Toowoomba is lining up a competitive 1000m maiden handicap on a soft 5 surface with showers about for the meeting. The win market has Make Me Great heading the board early, followed closely by Choceclair, Luminous Girl, and Coolazcanbe rounding out the top markers in the betting order. It is a sharp sprint where early speed maps will play a vital role, especially with runners like Make Me Great and Luminous Girl designated as leaders in the speed groups ready to push forward from their barriers.
Taking a look at the form behind those shorter prices, Make Me Great returns for a second campaign here after a nineteen-week break for trainer Pat W Webster, having drawn down low in barrier two with Karl Zechner steering. The stable is ticking along nicely, and that low draw certainly looks a big tick. Choceclair resumes here off a thirty-one-week spell for Ms S Croxford, bringing solid sound form from the previous campaign alongside a quiet trial at Toowoomba, making this runner rate a real chance fresh from barrier one with Aidan Keeley taking the ride.
Further down the order, Luminous Girl steps out for trainer Ravyn Warzecha from barrier seven with Stephanie Tierney aboard, bringing an on-pace profile that saw a courageous effort at Warwick last time out. Coolazcanbe maps well for this track and teams up with a hot combination in Nick Keal's stable, outperforming market expectations. The numbers say this pair could give backers a sight at odds if the leaders cop pressure up front in the going.
Shortest win price
Make Me Great (4)
1.10
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Interactive · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Make Me Great · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Imagoodsort · Negative
1st Up
May need this run
Jelaila · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Went home just tamely at Bundaberg at $2.40. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Disappointing display when 11th last time at Sunshine Coast and going up in weight.
RP
11th of 12 at Sunshine Coast yesterday in a maiden; easy enough to take on; was entered at Sunshine Coast Friday.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Was nothing special when 11th last run at Sunshine Coast and going up in weight.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1190m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ex A J Edmonds. Two runs to date have been lacklustre. Prefer to see.
ILB
Freshened for this. Odds of $8.50 and mediocre performance when 8th last run at Grafton. Coming to a new trainer. Very tidy performer.
RP
Eighth of ten beaten 7l over 6f at Grafton (handicap) two months ago; starts out for new stable; easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Back from a let up. Started 15/2 and disappointing outing when 8th last time at Grafton. Coming to a new trainer. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Forward showing expected.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 36 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Ex Chris Anderson. Prominent to 400m but threw the towel in quickly at Sunshine Coast over this distance. Big watch under new trainer.
ILB
Odds of $7.00 and faded to finish 6th last time at Sunshine Coast. First race for a new trainer. Producing consistent results this campaign.
RSIS
At 6/1 struggled with the pace when 6th last start at Sunshine Coast. Racing for a new trainer. In the placings regularly recently.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Returns for second campaign (19-weeks). Failed to stamp himself on the race at Sunshine Coast debut 4 Jul. Better for it.
ILB
Fresh from a spell. At $9.50 couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run at Sunshine Coast. Happy to forgive that run and having second career run. Good tough competitor that can be supported.
RP
Never landed a blow on his debut when eighth of 13 over this trip at Sunshine Coast at 17-2 in July; open to improvement; layoff to overcome; also engaged in race 1 at Ipswich.
RSIS
Back from a break. At 17/2 tailed off to finish 8th last run at Sunshine Coast. Giving another chance here and was a debutant last start. Up against weaker rivals. Should put in a decent effort.
Career
4: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Toowoomba
3: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-1-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-1
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Glenn Richardson striking at just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kept working to line behind dominant winner at Gatton off spell. Better conditioned. Went close only other go this course and trip.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Nice run when 3rd last start at Gatton.
RP
Winless in four starts but has shown promise with second his top showing; well held third of ten at Gatton over 4½f (maiden) a week ago; should give it a bold bid given there's a paucity of good recent form on offer in this contest; also engaged in race 1 at Ipswich.
RSIS
On a quick back up. In the money when 3rd last start at Gatton.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Went close at Warwick 10 Oct. Off pace, left in tearaway winner's wake but ran on doggedly this course. Place preferred option.
ILB
Finished well when 3rd beaten by more than 5L last start around here. Producing consistent results since returning from a break.
RSIS
Did well to run 3rd beaten by just over 5L last run around here. In good racing form since returning from a break.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
2: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1014m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 56% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 60% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Warmed up nicely late in choppy conditions at Coffs Harbour last start. Positive last start but needs to build further on that effort.
ILB
Was $6.50 and hit the line well when 4th last run at Coffs Harbour.
RP
Finished fourth 14 days ago albeit only beaten just under 2l (Coffs Harbour) in a maiden; was entered at Ballina Friday; also engaged in race 1 at Ipswich.
RSIS
Was 11/2 and made ground when closing off to finish 4th last start at Coffs Harbour.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (14-weeks). Will want to improve.
ILB
Resuming after a break. Started $8.50 and average at best when 7th last run at Nanango.
RSIS
Fresh after a break. At 15/2 unsatisfactory performance when 7th last time at Nanango.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Fresh. Dropped out to last and never sighted at Gatton. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
Couldn't stay in touch when 11th last run at Gatton. Very competitive this campaign.
RSIS
Folded up in the straight when 11th last start at Gatton. Displaying good ability since coming back from a break.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 2731%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back for second campaign (21-weeks). Disappointing debut performance at Doomben 17 Jun. Better for race exposure.
ILB
Fresh today after a break. Started at $20.00 and was well beaten when 7th last start at Doomben but was on debut last time. Will appreciate the drop in weight.
RSIS
Resuming. At 19/1 weakened under pressure when 7th last start at Doomben but having second career run. Gets some weight relief.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Set for second campaign (24-weeks). Strengthened up. Ex Holly Williams. Trained here now. Not fancied.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. Was $91.00 and looked flat when 8th last time at Gunnedah. Racing for a new trainer. Interesting gear change of winkers on first time. This will pose a challenge.
RP
Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Gunnedah (beaten just under 5l) six months ago; fitted with first-time cheekpieces; has had some time off; should be in the mix.
RSIS
Fresh today. At 90/1 below par when 8th last start at Gunnedah. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces on first time. Racing for a new trainer.
Career
8: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-1-1
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Goondiwindi
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 870m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 51%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (14-weeks). Form a mixed bag. In the minors at Toowoomba first-up last campaign while brought on by a single Toowoomba Inner trial.
ILB
First up from a break of 14 weeks and honest race when 3rd first up last preparation at this venue. Coming back in trip. Could feature here.
RP
Yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at eight and not the most consistent of horses lately; not beaten too far when sixth at Warwick over 6½f (handicap) in August; others appeal more.
RSIS
Resuming and competitive effort when 3rd resuming last preparation here. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall. Coming back in distance. Watch betting.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 870m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 91%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Steps out for third run new stable/region. Yet to get seriously involved and has plenty to find. Ridden back and never a factor at Gatton when second-up. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Backs up quickly. At $18.00 only fair when 7th last time at Gatton. Blinkers go off for the first time. Will be facing a challenge.
RP
Came home seventh, beaten 8l, over 4½f at Gatton (maiden) last Friday, behind Concerned; yard going well a plus; much respected as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest.
RSIS
On a short back up. Odds of 17/1 and ordinary performance when 7th last run at Gatton. Blinkers go off for the first time.
Career
10: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1000m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 368%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ex Jack Bruce in QLD. On pace and courageous in defeat at Warwick. Looks more a place prospect.
ILB
Back from a break. At $3.40 weakened under pressure when 7th last run at Warwick. Capable of a strong comeback and dropping weight. Change in trainer. Has every chance.
RP
Has proven competitive in a race of this nature and normally pretty consistent; left punters frustrated after going off favourite when seventh in a maiden at Warwick two months ago; first start for yard.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Started at 12/5 and looked outclassed when 7th last run at Warwick. Happy to forgive that run and goes down in weight. Expected to be competitive.
Career
12: 0-2-2
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-2-2
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilcoy
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 0-1-1
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Aidan Keeley 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 67%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Aidan Keeley in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 38%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (31-weeks). Form sound last campaign. Had a quiet trial at Toowoomba Inner. Among the dangers fresh.
ILB
Resumes from a spell of 31 weeks. At $8.00 finished 5th last time here but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Looks like solid value.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten just under 4l in fifth) over 6f here (maiden) in April; proving a little expensive to follow but has displayed improved form on last two starts; returns from a break here.
RSIS
First run back from a break of 31 weeks. Started 7/1 and ran 5th last run at the track but has minimal work to do from the draw. One that represents value at a decent price.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Clifton
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 65%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 65%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 49% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Started $101 when safely held in Maiden company this course when second-up. Drops to shorter trip.
ILB
Started $101.00 and weakened to finish 6th last run at this track and back to a shorter trip. Likely to get back in the run. Looking elsewhere.
RP
Beaten sixth of eight in a maiden two weeks ago upped to 6f.
RSIS
At 100/1 was well beaten when 6th last start at the track and dropping back to a shorter trip. Likely to settle back in the field.
Career
6: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Has generally struggled to make an impression. Finished a long way from the action 2yo+ Mdn this track. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Jumped at $13.00 and fairly underwhelming when 11th last run at this track. The large claim from Colleen Krahnen should help. Facing a difficult task today.
RP
Last of 11 in a maiden last week upped to this distance.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and subpar when 11th last time around here. The large claim from Colleen Krahnen helps.
Career
14: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goondiwindi
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
12: 0-0-2
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-2
Trainer SR
Negative
Joe Gleeson striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -50% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 51%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 679 day break (> 300 days)
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Resuming after a (97-weeks) spell. Ex Daryll Leggatt. Trained here now. Usually gets back. Needs to see a betting push at stable debut.
ILB
First up from a break of 97 weeks. Jumped at $151.00 and not up to scratch when 11th last time at this venue. First start for a new trainer. Peak required to upset this field.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 13 here over 5½f (handicap) last January; not seen for some time now; first run for trainer.
RSIS
Back after a 97 week break. Started at 150/1 and performed below standard when 11th last time here. First appearance for a new trainer.