Toowoomba (QLD) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 3:57 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Toowoomba (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 14 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 14 NovToowoomba (QLD)Change

Race 4 — Dollar Curtains & Blinds (Bm62) 1625m · jumps Sat 14 Nov, 8:16 pm AEDT

Race preview

Toowoomba hosts a Benchmark 62 over 1625m in showers on a Soft 5 track at 8:16 pm AEDT. Fire And Light heads the market, with Straight Blast and Turf Gazette next shortest. The form picture is competitive across the board, but a few runners stand out when you dig into the data. Fire And Light rates a real chance — Sophie Potter is 32% above market expected in her last 100 rides, and the stable itself has posted an 11% profit on turnover across recent runners. The mare was beaten 14 lengths at Doomben last time but won at this track over 1300m on Soft 5 two runs back, suggesting the conditions and venue suit.

Straight Blast looms as genuine opposition. Jake Molloy's mount profiles particularly well here — the comment notes it went close at Toowoomba 26 September and is now looking for this exact trip. Despite a recent heavy-ground failure at Eagle Farm, Straight Blast is rated 93 and showed enough second-up form to suggest third-up over 1625m is the right call. Turf Gazette, third in the market, has delivered impressive form lately. The gelding was only a nose behind over 1640m at this track two runs back and backed that with a solid Class 1 effort at Ipswich. The jockey-trainer combo with Aidan Keeley and Michael Nolan are performing 77% above market expectation, a significant edge.

On pace, Nightstick drawn barrier 2 has early speed on a circuit that rewards it, and the form is turning around with the last couple. Mockridge knows Toowoomba well and boasts the fastest overall finishing sectionals from last start, although draw 11 will test that late strike. The midfield battle shapes as critical — Fire And Light, Araminta, Change The Deel, and Kneze all settle there, while Ambassadors leads from the front. Our opinion rates Fire And Light and Turf Gazette as the standouts, though Straight Blast's track-and-trip profile deserves respect in the exotics.

Race notes

BM62,BM62 HCP,Benchmark 62
SOFT5
Showers
12 runners

Shortest win price

Fire And Light (1)

2.45

Most career wins

Kneze

9-8-13 from 82 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

4Mockridge

Offmidfield

3Don't Diss Around

Midfield

1Fire And Light
15Kneze
11Araminta
12Change The Deel

Offpace

6Michifuku
13Turf Gazette

Onpace

8Straight Blast
5Nightstick
14Devil Rider

Leader

10Ambassadors

Fire And Light · Positive
Key Rider
Sophie Potter 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Don't Diss Around · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Mockridge · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Nightstick · Positive
Drawn In
Suited drawn down low

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Fire And LightJ: Sophie Potter·T: Pat W Webster762.5kg5 3 4 1 936: 5-6-6$2.45$1.28

Career

36: 5-6-6

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Ipswich
4: 0-1-1
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2040m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2150m
2: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
22: 4-4-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Doomben1615m31 Oct 2026 · BM70 · SOFT514.24L
1Toowoomba1300m17 Oct 2026 · BM65 · SOFT5-1.13
4Toowoomba1300m26 Sept 2026 · 0 - 65 · GOOD42.65L
3Toowoomba925m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L
5Toowoomba1890m16 May 2026 · BM60 · GOOD42L
1Toowoomba1890m25 Apr 2026 · CL3 · GOOD4-0.1
5Doomben1615m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.6L
1Roma1640m28 Mar 2026 · BM60 · GOOD-7

Insights

Key Rider
Positive
Sophie Potter 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now

Comments

AAP

Finished out the back at Doomben when subject of plunge. Respect on previous sound form.

ILB

At $11.00 struggled with the pace when 9th last run at Doomben. Looking past the last run and up against a less challenging field. Good chance and definitely has claims.

Could not manage better than ninth two weeks ago at Doomben upped to this distance; has winning track form; easy enough to take on with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

Started at 10/1 and struggled with the pace when 9th last run at Doomben. Expecting improvement and matched against a less competitive field. Should go close.

2TuhingaScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Kayla Barker 23% above market expected in L100 Rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 8.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Super run coming from back half in Open company at Dalby at $6. Strikes a harder race.

ILB

Narrowly beaten last time at Dalby and up against weaker rivals. Large claim helps.

RSIS

Just shy of the win last run at Dalby and taking on easier opposition. Large claim helps.

3Don't Diss AroundJ: Jaden Lloyd·T: J A Hanna1262kg3 8 5 6 640: 5-8-8$23.00$4.00

Career

40: 5-8-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
7: 1-2-2
Second-up
6: 0-1-1
Third-up
6: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Toowoomba
22: 4-4-4
Track CurrentTrack
22: 4-4-4
Track Gatton
7: 1-3-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
13: 3-3-2
Distance 1300m
6: 1-1-1
Going Good
23: 3-5-6
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
15: 2-2-1

Last starts

6Toowoomba1640m17 Oct 2026 · BM60 · SOFT54.75L
6Toowoomba1625m26 Sept 2026 · BM85 · GOOD44.6L
5Toowoomba1300m29 Aug 2026 · BM75 · GOOD42.2L
8Toowoomba1890m27 Mar 2026 · BM70 · GOOD47.9L
3Toowoomba1625m14 Mar 2026 · BM65 · GOOD43.1L
2Toowoomba1625m21 Feb 2026 · BM70 · GOOD40.3L
8Toowoomba1300m7 Feb 2026 · BM70 · GOOD46.1L
11Doomben2070m12 Dec 2025 · BM68 · SOFT59.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Had all before him at turn and went home tamely this track. Usually gets back. Capable but will need to lift sharply from that run.

ILB

Started $7.00 and not in contention when 6th last time here. Likely to settle back in the field. Not at all out of this race.

Can boast winning form over this C&D; form has an uneven look to it; not disgraced when sixth of eight last month; others more appealing as meeting a number of horses who are in good form.

RSIS

At 6/1 lacked competitiveness when 6th last time at the track. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Can't leave out of your calculations.

4MockridgeJ: Gary Geran·T: Corey & Kylie Geran1161kg12 3 6 4 314: 2-0-3$15.00$3.60

Career

14: 2-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-2
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 1-0-1
Going Good
6: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Toowoomba1640m31 Oct 2026 · CL3 · SOFT54.26L
4Sunshine Coast1400m16 Oct 2026 · CL2 · HEAVY104L
6Toowoomba925m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)12.8L
3Wangaratta1590m14 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY105.8L
12Geelong1400m22 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT58.01L
11Sandown1400m26 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD46.2L
6Cranbourne1300m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.4L
1Wagga1600m10 Aug 2025 · CL1-SW · SOFT6-1.4

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Third run now in new stable/region. Fair way from the winner but battled home into third this venue second-up. Needs to lift again here.

ILB

Was competitive when 3rd last run around here. Always seems to find the line well. Good prospects.

Not disgraced when third of six upped to this trip two weeks ago; knocking at the door recently; should not be far away; was due to run at Sunshine Coast Friday.

RSIS

Came in 3rd last run around here. Expected to be flashing home. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

5NightstickJ: Mitch Goring·T: Sidney Curtain259.5kg7 9 7 4 244: 6-8-5$18.00$3.80

Career

44: 6-8-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
8: 1-1-1
Second-up
7: 0-3-2
Third-up
7: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-1-1
Track Kumbia
1: 0-1-0
Track Sunshine Coast Poly Track
6: 2-1-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
5: 0-1-1
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
18: 4-4-2
Going Soft
9: 1-1-0
Going Synthetic
13: 2-4-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Kumbia1400m3 Nov 2026 · HCP · SOFT51.44L
4Toowoomba1300m17 Oct 2026 · BM65 · SOFT53.33L
7Eidsvold1350m3 Oct 2026 · HCP5.12L
9Sunshine Coast1400m6 Sept 2026 · BM70 · GOOD43.5L
7Gold Coast Poly1540m15 Aug 2026 · BM65 · SYNTHETIC4.87L
7Rockhampton1400m31 July 2026 · BM65 · GOOD43.6L
4Rockhampton1300m19 June 2026 · BM70 · SOFT53.4L
4Sunshine Coast Poly Track1400m29 May 2026 · BM68 · SYNTHETIC6.1L

Insights

Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 6.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Sound performance in small field at Kumbia. Stiffer opposition here.

ILB

Tidy run when 2nd last run at Kumbia and competing in an easier class. The large claim from Mitch Goring helps and has a good draw. Has definite claims.

Producing consistent form; gave good account to finish second over 7f at Kumbia (handicap) 11 days ago; major player as recent effort was encouraging; also engaged in race 5 at Gold Coast.

RSIS

Ran 2nd last time at Kumbia and matched against less formidable competition. Mitch Goring provides some weight relief and drawn nicely. Displaying improvement over the past few runs. Definite winning chance.

6MichifukuJ: Brandon Lerena·T: William Kropp859kg3 10 3 5 1014: 2-1-0$7.50$2.40

Career

14: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilcoy
1: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1890m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 2170m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

10Eagle Farm1500m7 Nov 2026 · 0 - 65 · GOOD49.38L
5Ipswich1350m15 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD44.95L
3Deagon1050m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1L
10Dalby2000m18 June 2026 · BM65 · GOOD499.9L
3Toowoomba925m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2.3L
12Toowoomba1890m16 May 2026 · BM60 · GOOD465.1L
2Toowoomba1890m25 Apr 2026 · CL3 · GOOD40.1L
11Ipswich2170m6 Apr 2026 · BM65 · GOOD46.7L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Eagle Farm when second-up. One for exotics.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Started $101.00 and subpar when 10th last start at Eagle Farm but up against a less competitive field. Will be a tough ask.

No impression when tenth of 11 over 7½f at Eagle Farm (handicap) a week ago; has won at this course; largely disappointing since successful in a handicap at Kilcoy in March; this looks a fair heat so has questions to answer.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Started 100/1 and was ordinary when 10th last start at Eagle Farm but will appreciate the drop in class.

7StandleeScratched17––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form

Comments

AAP

Came home with a wet sail to grab second (Bm62) at Dalby at odds of $6.50. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

Flashed home late into 2nd last run at Dalby. Showing good ability this preparation.

RSIS

Hit the line well when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run at Dalby. Displaying good ability recently.

8Straight BlastJ: Jake Molloy·T: Stephen Kirkwood459kg1 1 4 2 89: 2-1-1$3.40$1.45

Career

9: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-1-0
Track Dalby
2: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 2-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Eagle Farm1300m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 65 · HEAVY107.95L
2Toowoomba1300m26 Sept 2026 · 0 - 65 · GOOD40.39L
4Beaudesert1200m21 Aug 2026 · CL2 · GOOD47.3L
1Dalby1200m11 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD4-1.6
1Dalby800m14 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-2.4
5Dalby1200m30 Jan 2026 · 3Y BM60 · GOOD33.5L
10Doomben1350m14 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD44.3L
3Beaudesert1400m31 Dec 2025 · 3Y BM65 HCP · GOOD36.9L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 39% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -66% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 54% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Toowoomba
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Went close at Toowoomba 26 Sep. Failed to threaten (outside alley) in the slosh at Eagle Farm. Looking for this trip now. Profiles well.

ILB

Started at $11.00 and folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Eagle Farm on a heavy track but facing less formidable opponents. Very tidy performer.

Was eighth of ten, beaten 8l, over 6½f at Eagle Farm (handicap) 21 days ago; a previous winner here; useful in this grade; knows how to win so has a chance.

RSIS

Started at 10/1 and weakened to finish 8th last run at Eagle Farm on a heavy surface but facing weaker opposition. Should muster plenty of early pace. Solid chance.

9AzukiScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance

Comments

AAP

Early pace was too much for him and weakened this venue. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Started $4.20 and peaked on the run when 4th last run around here on a heavy surface but hoping that the added weight won't hurt.

RSIS

Was 10/3 and found wanting late when 4th last start at this track on a heavy rated track but rising in weight.

10AmbassadorsJ: Anthony Allen·T: B J Richardson1057.5kg6 5 9 8 942: 4-6-6$26.00$4.60

Career

42: 4-6-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
8: 1-1-0
Second-up
7: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 2-0-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-2
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Barcaldine
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1300m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1350m
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
21: 3-1-2
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-2
Going Soft
13: 1-2-2

Last starts

9Gatton1400m6 Nov 2026 · CG&E 0 - 58 · GOOD46.59L
8Toowoomba1200m24 Oct 2026 · BM60 · HEAVY97L
9Alpha1700m27 June 2026 · BM559.9L
5Longreach1600m15 June 2026 · BM60 · GOOD2.6L
6Barcaldine1300m19 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.5L
2Gold Coast Poly1540m28 Mar 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC1.8L
2Sunshine Coast1400m6 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 60 · HEAVY101.8L
6Doomben1600m21 Feb 2026 · 0 - 68 · GOOD44.4L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Brendan Richardson striking at just 10%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Long time since last saluted. Started $31 when safely held in Restricted 58 company at Gatton second-up. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Started $31.00 and disappointing run when 9th last time at Gatton. Interesting to see the tongue tie go off for the first time. Considering others.

Not far behind Change The Deel when last at Gatton over 7f (handicap) a week ago; makes limited appeal given the strong opposition here.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started 30/1 and disappointing run when 9th last time at Gatton. Interesting gear change of tongue strap off first time.

11AramintaJ: Kenji Yoshida·T: Corey & Kylie Geran157.5kg5 3 10 3 139: 5-2-12$34.00$5.50

Career

39: 5-2-12

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
4: 0-1-2
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Toowoomba
6: 1-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
6: 1-0-1
Track Dalby
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
12: 2-1-5
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
18: 0-0-6
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
15: 5-2-3

Last starts

1Toowoomba1640m17 Oct 2026 · BM60 · SOFT5-0.01
3Sunshine Coast1600m2 Oct 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD41.09L
10Toowoomba1650m12 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD413.4L
3Warra1400m29 Aug 2026 · BM605.6L
5Toowoomba1300m22 Aug 2026 · BM62 · GOOD43.3L
10Eagle Farm1400m29 July 2026 · BM70 · GOOD47.08L
3Goondiwindi1400m18 July 2026 · BM550.6L
3Goondiwindi1200m5 July 2026 · BM582.4L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 28 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a tight rein and mowed them down late in (Bm60) this course. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Finished with purpose when winning last start here and can save some energy from the gate. Putting up notable efforts since returning from a spell. Prefer in something weaker.

Had several of these behind when springing a surprise to win at 14-1 28 days ago; hard enough to fancy despite the last time out success.

RSIS

Was eating up the ground late when winning last time at this venue and gets the perfect stall. Racing consistently lately and form has been improving over recent runs.

12Change The DeelJ: Karl Zechner·T: P J Minter357.5kg3 5 10 1 840: 5-4-5$23.00$4.20

Career

40: 5-4-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 2-2-0
Second-up
5: 1-1-2
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Rockhampton
2: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
10: 1-1-2
Track Gatton
4: 2-0-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
19: 3-0-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
12: 2-1-1

Last starts

8Gatton1400m6 Nov 2026 · CG&E 0 - 58 · GOOD45.86L
1Gatton1400m16 Oct 2026 · 0 - 55 · SOFT5-0.96
10Kilcoy1200m6 Oct 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD48.99L
5Ipswich1350m27 Aug 2026 · C · SOFT52.2L
3Toowoomba1300m8 Aug 2026 · CL4 · GOOD41.4L
1Toowoomba1200m18 July 2026 · BM60 · SOFT5-0.3
10Ipswich2150m10 Jan 2026 · BM62 · GOOD410.5L
7Kilcoy1900m2 Jan 2026 · BM60 · SOFT56.3L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at Gatton. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Odds of $7.00 and ordinary performance when 8th last start at Gatton. This will be a test.

Finished eighth, beaten 6l, over 7f at Gatton (handicap) last Friday; track has proven suitable before; useful in this grade.

RSIS

On a short back up. At 6/1 mediocre display when 8th last run at Gatton.

13Turf GazetteJ: Aidan Keeley·T: Michael Nolan656.5kg6 4 1 2 48: 1-1-1$8.50$2.65

Career

8: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-1-1
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1640m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

4Ipswich1690m30 Oct 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.76L
2Toowoomba1640m17 Oct 2026 · BM60 · SOFT50.01L
1Toowoomba1300m3 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD4-0.73
4Beaudesert1100m17 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD33.59L
6Gatton1400m10 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD47.3L
5Toowoomba1625m27 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.27L
6Toowoomba1100m7 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.5L
3Toowoomba1050m14 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY106.7L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 77%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 51%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 34% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Aidan Keeley winning at 33% POT in last 100 rides
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Latest form hard to fault. Solid showing here two back over 1640m. Didn't quite finish it off the last bit in Class 1 company at Ipswich. Commands attention here.

ILB

Started $7.00 and lost ground late when 4th last run at Ipswich. Betting is the best guide.

Respectable effort over 1m½f at Ipswich (handicap) last month; produced a string of consistent efforts and useful at this level.

RSIS

Started 6/1 and peaked in the closing stages of the race when 4th last start at Ipswich. Betting is the best guide.

14Devil RiderJ: Stephanie Tierney·T: Kym Afford555.5kg10 7 5 8 325: 3-0-2$51.00$7.00

Career

25: 3-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Orange
1: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
3: 0-0-1
Track Gatton
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Gatton2000m16 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT51.63L
8Gatton2000m1 Oct 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD44.18L
5Bundaberg1380m5 Sept 2026 · BM608.2L
7Gympie1470m22 Aug 2026 · HCP · GOOD16.8L
10Narrandera2100m12 July 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT717.2L
9Wagga2000m21 June 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1016.9L
4Nowra2200m24 May 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY98.5L
4Goulburn1500m7 May 2026 · BM66 · GOOD41.8L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Handy, knuckled down with purpose at Gatton at longer odds. This looks more demanding.

ILB

Hit the line well when 3rd last time at Gatton but back to a shorter trip. Capable type.

Finished third when beaten 1½l over 1m2f at Gatton (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Gatton but down in trip. Good chance in this.

15KnezeJ: Amy Graham·T: Amanda Park954.5kg9 5 12 12 882: 9-8-13$126.00$15.00

Career

82: 9-8-13

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
7: 1-0-2
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
6: 0-0-2
Distance 1740m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
53: 6-2-6
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
22: 2-6-6

Last starts

8Warwick1500m24 Sept 2026 · BM62 · GOOD310.96L
12Warwick1350m10 Sept 2026 · CG&E 0 - 58 · GOOD313.6L
12Kilcoy1900m22 May 2026 · BM55 · SOFT621.4L
5Burrandowan1740m9 May 2026 · Benchmark 555.9L
9Ipswich1690m16 Apr 2026 · BM65 · GOOD411.8L
6Nanango1600m4 Apr 2026 · BM604.9L
6Gold Coast1400m21 Mar 2026 · HCP · GOOD410.5L
9Dalby1100m3 Mar 2026 · BM60 · GOOD49.9L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 76%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Veteran who has seen better days. Failed to threaten at Warwick second-up at cricket score odds. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Let up. At $151.00 faded away to finish 8th last time at Warwick. Appears tested in this.

Likes it here (five wins); came home eighth, beaten 11l, over 7½f at Warwick (handicap) 51 days ago.

RSIS

Back from a let up. Started 150/1 and tailed off to finish 8th last time at Warwick.

16Narrow OpeningsScratched8––––

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Toowoomba
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1640m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Toowoomba1640m31 Oct 2026 · MDN · SOFT5-1.34
6Toowoomba1300m24 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY98.43L
2Toowoomba925m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)1.9L
4Toowoomba925m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.2L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Impressive come-from-behind win this course at second appearance. Among the dangers again.

ILB

Finished well when winning last start at the track. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

Came out on top by 1½l when registering his first success at the second time of asking two weeks ago upped to this trip; this just his second run in a handicap.

RSIS

Charged home to win last run around here. Likely to settle back in the field.

17Little VainScratched15––––

Career

29: 3-4-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Stanthorpe
1: 0-1-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 1-0-0
Track Toowoomba
7: 0-1-0
Distance 800m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1400m
4: 1-2-0
Going Good
20: 2-3-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-1-0

Last starts

4Toowoomba1900m24 Oct 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY97.28L
5Toowoomba1640m17 Oct 2026 · BM60 · SOFT51.95L
2Warwick1350m10 Oct 2026 · BM62 · SOFT51.38L
5Warwick1200m24 Sept 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD33.43L
1Beaudesert1400m17 Sept 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD3-0.39
5Warwick1100m10 Sept 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD34.1L
8Warwick800m4 Aug 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.2L
5Toowoomba1890m27 Mar 2026 · BM70 · GOOD44.7L

Insights

Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field in sloppy conditions this course. Drops to shorter trip. Outside place prospect at best.

ILB

Was $11.00 and picked up some late ground when 4th last time at this track on a heavy track. Prefer to watch.

No impression when fourth of six last month upped to 1m1½f.

RSIS

Odds of 10/1 and made up ground when 4th last start at the track on a heavy track.

Odds correct as at Sat 14 Nov, 8:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races
Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races
Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races