Shortest win price
The Deputy (1)
3.30
Welcome to Toowoomba for race two on the card, featuring the 1Equine - For The Equine Athlete (Bm70) over 1300m on a Soft 5 track with showers about. The win market has The Deputy sitting at the head of affairs, closely followed by Kingsland, Better Sweet, and Treporti in the early betting order. It is shaping up as a cracking betting race under the lights with plenty of depth across the field.
Taking a look at the form behind those shorter prices, The Deputy jumps off the page after running a cracking race when just edged out in testing conditions at this venue over 1300m. Trained by Dale Groves and ridden by Sophie Potter from barrier eight, this backmarker showed a fast finishing burst last start and rates a real chance. Kingsland is another one with solid claims from barrier four for trainer Troy Pascoe, coming off a fourth at this track over 1200m where he led before feeling the pinch late, though his overall consistency keeps him right in the mix.
Digging deeper into the stats, Treporti maps on pace from barrier one for trainer H R Richardson and jockey Kayla Barker, coming off a fair third at Toowoomba over 1110m that should have him peaking here third-up from a spell. Over on the speed map, Aolani takes up the running from out wide, while backmarkers like The Deputy and Four Ace will be looking to unleash late. The numbers suggest it will pay to keep an eye on how the race is run, but The Deputy certainly holds strong claims.
Shortest win price
The Deputy (1)
3.30
Most career wins
The Deputy and Aolani
7 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
The Deputy · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Treporti · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Aolani · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 2731%
Four Ace · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Career
38: 7-9-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 2-1-0
Second-up
5: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1447m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
14: 2-3-1
Going Good
22: 5-5-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 44%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
AAP
Ran a cracking race when just edged out in testing conditions this venue 24 Oct. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Warrants attention.
ILB
Just missed last start at the track on a heavy rated track and getting better in recent performances. Displays very good closing speed. Should feature prominently.
RP
Just touched off last month; six-time C&D winner and admirably consistent.
RSIS
Just short of the win last time around here and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Has a nice turn of foot. Expect support.
Career
44: 4-7-8
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
10: 0-2-4
Second-up
7: 1-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-1-0
Track Eagle Farm
8: 1-0-1
Track Doomben
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
7: 0-2-0
Distance 1350m
8: 0-2-1
Going Good
34: 4-7-6
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Kayla Barker 23% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
AAP
Fair way from the winner but battled home into third this course off long break. Better for the outing and gets the benefit of a 3kg claim. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
Honest run on the speed before fading to finish 3rd beaten by nearly 4L last run at this venue and has minimal work to do from the alley. Strong claims.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten just under 4l in third) over 5½f here (handicap) last month; others more persuasive as poor record running for the second time after an absence.
RSIS
Gave a strong sight when 3rd last run here and drawn by the rails. Kayla Barker takes a large claim. Serious contender.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (19-weeks). Competing in stronger races last prep. Generally competitive fresh. Bold first-up showing anticipated.
ILB
On a short back up. Started at $10.00 and uncompetitive when 9th last start at Sunshine Coast but suited at this trip in the past.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. At 9/1 looked flat when 9th last run at Sunshine Coast but have to respect the form at the trip.
Career
31: 7-4-6
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 2-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-2
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
2: 0-0-0
Track Goondiwindi
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
9: 2-2-1
Distance 1218m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
7: 1-1-1
Going Good
17: 3-2-5
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
11: 2-2-1
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
AAP
Comfortably beaten in testing conditions this course off extended spell. Strips in better shape. Can play a role.
ILB
Finished 5th last run at this venue.
RP
Can boast winning form over this C&D; held when fifth beaten 6l (behind The Deputy) last month; passed over as a few rivals look in good form; also engaged in race 4 at Ipswich.
RSIS
Came in 5th last time at this track.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Started $101 when safely held in Open company at Doomben after lengthy absence. Leads, handy.
ILB
Gave away some ground when 9th last start at Doomben but will appreciate the drop in class. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt.
RSIS
Didn't find the line when 9th last time at Doomben but matched against a less competitive field. Will have to carry extra weight.
Career
25: 7-1-3
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 3-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Ingham
1: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1200m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 2-0-1
Going Firm
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
14: 4-1-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 2731%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Made all and held on bravely in a thrilling finish this track 31 Oct. Outer barrier but has good gate speed. Form sound this level without winning.
ILB
Dictated terms in front to win by a margin of a short half head last run around here. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Form will be tested here.
RP
Has achieved seven wins from 25 career runs; not fancied in the betting (16-1) when a narrow winner last month, ending losing run; needs to be respected.
RSIS
Led and controlled the pace to win by a margin of a short half head last time at this venue. Should be going forward early.
Career
22: 5-1-3
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 3-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
1: 0-1-0
Track Doomben
3: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1540m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
13: 3-0-2
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Aidan Keeley 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Aidan Keeley in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 38%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track And Dist
Positive
Excels at this track and trip
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Didn't finish it off over 1300m (Bm65) this track. Smoky place prospect at best.
ILB
Was $13.00 and lost ground in the run home when 6th last run here but hard to fault at this trip. Likely to settle back in the field. Needs a mighty effort to win this.
RP
Could not compete with Aolani when sixth two weeks ago; brings winning C&D form to the table; this is his grade; his best form stacks up so he's an attractive contender.
RSIS
Started at 12/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last start at the track but suited at this trip in the past. Likely to get back in the field.
Career
67: 4-8-11
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
9: 2-1-2
Second-up
7: 1-2-0
Third-up
7: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
6: 0-0-1
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Moonee Valley
7: 1-2-1
Distance 1170m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
34: 2-6-5
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5kg more than LS
AAP
Got back and wasn't totally disgraced in soft going at Dalby. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Started at $21.00 and mediocre attempt when 6th last run at Dalby. Likely to get back. Not likely to pull off the victory.
RP
Not beaten too far when sixth of eight over 6f at Dalby (handicap) last month; facing a testing assignment and hard to recommend.
RSIS
Was 20/1 and had difficulty when 6th last run at Dalby. Gets back and needs luck.
Career
32: 5-6-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 1-3-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Ipswich
6: 2-2-0
Track Toowoomba
3: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
7: 1-1-1
Distance 1600m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1630m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 3-3-0
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
10: 1-3-1
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 5.5kg from LS run
AAP
Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at Gold Coast Poly. Locally trained but has a tricky draw. Has work to do on recent figures.
ILB
Started $81.00 and came in 7th last start at Gold Coast Poly but gets a reduction in weight. Looking elsewhere today.
RP
Missed the frame (beaten 6l into seventh) at Gold Coast over 5f (handicap) three weeks ago; useful in this grade; a big player.
RSIS
At 80/1 ran 7th last start at Gold Coast Poly but carrying less weight this time.
Career
19: 3-2-7
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-2
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-2
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
3: 0-1-1
Track Warwick
3: 1-0-1
Distance 870m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-2
Going Good
12: 2-2-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 1-0-3
Jockey Booking
Negative
Jaden Lloyd current POT is 28% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 34% in L100 rides
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 5.5kg from LS run
AAP
Led, gave away final stages this track. Form sound this level without winning. Useful form this track. This looks very achievable.
ILB
At $3.70 tired late when 4th last time at this track but taking on stronger opponents. In fine form since resuming from a break and gets some weight taken off. Definite claims.
RP
Has scored over C&D; far from disgraced (beaten 2½l) here over 6f (handicap) dropped back in distance last month; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so has questions to answer.
RSIS
Started 11/4 and lost ground late when 4th last time at the track but matched against a stronger field. Tracking very well of late and suited by the weight drop. Chance and can measure up.
Career
20: 4-2-1
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 2-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
7: 3-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 3-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
7: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 2-0-0
Going Good
13: 3-2-1
Going Soft
7: 1-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Not disgraced on a soft deck at Dalby. Two of her wins were this distance. Could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Jumped at $7.50 and made ground when closing off to finish 4th last run at Dalby. Not at all out of this race.
RP
A winner over this C&D; has struggled to factor since winning a handicap at Toowoomba in August; finished fourth but only beaten just under 2l at Dalby over 6f (handicap) with Mamaragan just behind last month; hard enough to fancy as this could be a hot race.
RSIS
Started 13/2 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last start at Dalby. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 7.5kg from LS run
AAP
Failed to threaten at Charleville when supported. Not fancied.
ILB
Started $5.50 and ran 6th last run at Charleville but will appreciate the drop in weight. Racing against tougher rivals.
RSIS
Was 9/2 and came in 6th last run at Charleville and racing in stronger company. Gets some weight taken off.
Career
15: 2-1-3
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 2-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
4: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
7: 2-1-1
Track Toowoomba
4: 0-0-1
Distance 800m
3: 2-1-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-2
Distance 1015m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 2-1-3
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Michael G Nolan in good form, out performing market 51%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 34% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Went home tamely at Ipswich at $14. Drawn to get a soft run. Deep into her campaign, capable of making an impact.
ILB
At $14.00 couldn't stay in touch when 8th last run at Ipswich but can find a nice position from the draw. Can figure in the finish.
RP
This is her grade; fair effort when beaten just under 5l, finishing eighth of ten (Ipswich) upped to this trip last month.
RSIS
At 13/1 didn't attack the line when 8th last run at Ipswich but has a positive draw. Hard to see finishing out of the placings.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 8.5kg from LS run
AAP
Found enough to place in small field at Barcaldine. Punching higher now. Stiffer opposition here.
ILB
Did well when 2nd last time at Barcaldine but rising in grade. Has run into the money multiple times this campaign and will benefit with the weight drop.
RSIS
Tidy effort when 2nd last time at Barcaldine and will benefit with the weight drop. Looking sharp on the track in recent runs but stepping up to a higher level.