Shortest win price
Dr Hook (7)
1.60
Scone hosts the Emirates Park Country Boosted Maiden Plate over 900m on Good 4 going in fine conditions at 3:44 pm AEDT. Dr Hook sits shortest in the market, with Tennessee River next and Gidgea Tree third. The debutant has a trial win to her name at Muswellbrook over 800m and draws perfectly in barrier one—that early gallop could prove handy on a track where speed has room to work.
Dr Hook resumed 25 weeks ago with a narrow second at Scone over 1100m, and earlier form in black-type races backs that up. He knows the track well and Mitchell Bell gets a leg up. That said, first-up records can be patchy, and Scone's wide-open nature over 900m doesn't automatically suit a backmarker pattern. Tennessee River showed promise at this track second-up, fought hard late from an off-pace draw, and now steps down to 900m where handiness matters more. Alysha Collett takes the ride and the form around Scone gives the raw form suggestion real merit.
Toke ran on hard last time at Tamworth and rates a real chance at a winning distance after bigger-track runs. The map position suits here—outperforming market expectations by 12%—and Mikayla Weir combines well in the saddle. Gidgea Tree's barrier one and maiden-race experience from her trial are the standout angles for a debutant, while Morpeth and Gabrielle Johnston make a solid booking worth monitoring; the jockey is 27% above market-expected in recent rides and the horse has shown glimpses in midfield spots.
Shortest win price
Dr Hook (7)
1.60
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Envisioned · Negative
Trainer SR
Stephen Gleeson striking at just 4%
Gidgea Tree · Positive
Draw Suits
Well drawn inside
Hot Chestnut · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Morpeth · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 15% better than Career Avg.
Career
7: 0-0-1
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Quirindi
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Stephen Gleeson striking at just 4%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Daniel A Northey 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (26-weeks). Others with stronger claims.
RP
Without a win in seven attempts although has finished third; tenth of 12 at Tuncurry over 1m (maiden) six months ago; returns from a break today; passed over.
Speed map
Firststart
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Trials (1:0-1-0). Encouraging performance in most recent barrier trial. Gets a soft draw. Can make a winning debut.
RP
Gelded already; this son of Calyx makes first rules appearance; must be considered.
Career
22: 0-0-0
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
8: 0-0-0
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-0-0
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
10: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 27%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
AAP
Has struggled, despite plenty of racing. Off pace, only battled home at Muswellbrook at wide odds. Unproven this trip. Others more persuasive.
RP
Been out of sorts of late and still winless and defeats stacking up (22 on the bounce); beaten 9l into eighth over 6½f at Muswellbrook (maiden) ten days ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
Career
10: 0-0-1
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Armidale
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
4: 0-0-1
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 15% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Gabrielle Johnston 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Gabrielle Johnston winning at 16% POT in last 100 rides
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Unable to make an impression at Muswellbrook for new stable. Leaning towards others here.
RP
Yet to open his account after nine starts; fair effort when beaten 5l, finishing fifth of seven in a handicap (Muswellbrook, dropped back to this distance) on first run for his current trainer 23 days ago; others more likely.
Career
12: 0-1-3
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
5: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-1
Track Taree
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1262m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-2
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (19-weeks). Expect will need this.
RP
Finished fifth but only beaten 2l over 7f at Tamworth (maiden) in June; signs of improvement on last two runs but yet to open his account after 12 starts; layoff to overcome.
Speed map
Leader
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Second campaign (15-weeks). Gave a sight on debut at Muswellbrook at double-figure odds 26 Jul. Looks a safer place proposition.
Career
6: 0-2-0
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-2-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (25-weeks). Earlier run in black-type holds up. Bold first-up showing anticipated.
RP
Second here when evens in May in a handicap; has kicked on in his last couple of races; layoff to overcome; been struggling to get his head in front recently so only limited appeal.
AAP
Great run at Muswellbrook 5 Oct. Started $19 when safely held in Maiden company this venue when second-up. Reverts to slightly shorter trip. Looks up against it.
Speed map
Firststart
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). Makes debut after a tepid trial performance at Scone. Awkward alley but market watch advised.
RP
First start under rules for this daughter of Admire Mars; in with a big shout as some good aspects to her profile.
AAP
Ridden cold and never in the picture at Coonabarabran for new stable. Not fancied.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
John W Ramsey striking at just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 55% Profit on Turnover
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Well down the track this track on debut when firmed from $14 into $10. Since trialled at Muswellbrook 21 Oct. Looking elsewhere at this stage.
RP
Never landed a blow on her debut when last of nine over 5½f here at 9-1 in September; improvement possible; should benefit for having a run under her belt.
Career
2: 0-1-0
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Scone
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Reece Jones current POT is 26% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 26% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
AAP
Shown some promise. Sent forward, outgunned late but boxed on this track at second outing. Switching to 900m. Can have a major say.
RP
Finished second when 8-15 over 5f here (maiden) last month; lightly raced with this just her third appearance; should be on the premises.