Shortest win price
Ocean Tsunami (3)
1.24
Scone hosts the Magic Millions Benchmark 74 over 1700 metres in fine conditions on a Good 4 track at 2:35 pm AEDT. Ocean Tsunami sits shortest in the win market, with Alabama Blitz, Disco Prince, and Grandini next in line. The race shapes as a genuine contest across the card. Ocean Tsunami brings a leader's profile and won two from the last three. The gelding showed real class at Randwick when winning over 1600 metres on Good 4 going, snaring victory in the final stride from just off the leaders. That form looks major here. Alabama Blitz rates a real chance despite a shocker at Newcastle last time out when finishing a long way down the track. He came second here over 1400 metres on Good 4 going at his previous outing and the numbers say his rider is outperforming her career average by 21 over her last 100 rides. His stable is also 31 per cent above market expectations.
Disco Prince sits third-up in the market with form that says stepping up to 1700 metres could suit. He ran second at Muswellbrook over 1500 metres and the comment rates him as a game effort who should appreciate the distance stretch. His jockey-trainer combo is performing 112 per cent above market expectations, which jumps off the page. Grandini drew the car park at barrier one and the insight says that inside draw suits. The form shows an ordinary display second-up over 1600 metres here on Soft 5 going, though he usually races back and the comment suggests he's sharper now and can play a role from that well position. First-up, Grandini's records show two starts for no wins, so this distance and track pairing at second-up rates worth monitoring.
Speed maps reveal Ocean Tsunami will lead, Alabama Blitz on pace, and both Disco Prince and Frenchburg sitting off pace. Grandini shapes as a backmarker. Frenchburg's trainer is running at a solid 21 per cent POT over the last 100 runners and the jockey-trainer combo is 126 per cent above market expectations, which is worth noting. The form depth across this field is competitive, and the pace scenario suggests Ocean Tsunami will control affairs early. That said, the on-pace and offpace runners have arrows pointing at being competitive in the finish.
Shortest win price
Ocean Tsunami (3)
1.24
Most career wins
Ocean Tsunami and Grandini
4 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Ocean Tsunami · Negative
Jockey Booking
Jasmine Urquhart-Warren current POT is 6% below Career Avg.
Disco Prince · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Grandini · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Alabama Blitz · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Closed off late from the tail at Dubbo for new stable. Usually gets back. Looks up against it.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Came in 4th last time at Warren and goes up in weight.
RSIS
On a short back up. Ran 4th last time at Warren and has to cope with a weight increase.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Holding form. Bided his time at the back and let down smartly at Muswellbrook. Distance increase suits.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Started $12.00 and finished 6th last time at Hawkesbury and challenged by more formidable competitors. Andrew Gibbons has a high strike rate on board.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Started 11/1 and ran 6th last run at Hawkesbury and facing stiffer opposition. Has won 3 from 6 attempts of late.
Career
11: 4-4-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 1-0-0
Track Scone
5: 2-2-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 3-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-3-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Jasmine Urquhart-Warren current POT is 6% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Won two from last three. Responded well from just off leaders to snare a final bound win at Randwick. Useful form this track. Major player.
ILB
Charged home to win last start at Randwick. Should muster plenty of early toe. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Very hard to beat.
RP
C&D has proven suitable before; narrow success in a handicap at Randwick last month; leading contender.
RSIS
Bold effort when winning last time at Randwick. Has shown early pace in races to date. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Solid win bet.
Career
12: 3-3-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Mudgee
1: 1-0-0
Track Tamworth
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-3-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 112%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Game effort at Muswellbrook when second-up. Should appreciate stepping up in distance. Can challenge again.
ILB
Just missed last run at Muswellbrook but racing in stronger company. Prefer in something a lot easier.
RP
A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 3-12; good runner-up at 28-1 over 7½f at Muswellbrook (handicap) last month; a likely player.
RSIS
Narrowly denied victory last start at Muswellbrook but challenged by more formidable competitors.
Career
27: 3-5-4
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 0-2-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-1
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
5: 2-0-0
Distance 1615m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-2-0
Going Good
18: 2-4-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 1-1-1
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (25-weeks). Ex Matthew Dale. Tends to race well first-up without winning while having an easy trial in readiness. Big watch under new trainer.
ILB
Fresh today after a break. Came in 8th last run around here. Racing for a new trainer.
RP
Not beaten too far when eighth here over 1m (handicap) in May; first run for trainer; back from an absence here; may have to settle for supporting role.
RSIS
First run back after break. Ran 8th last run at this track. Racing for a new trainer.
Career
27: 4-7-4
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-2-0
Second-up
4: 1-1-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Scone
7: 0-3-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-3-0
Track Bathurst
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1750m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 2-4-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
10: 2-2-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5kg weight here
AAP
Ordinary performance in small field this venue second-up. Usually gets back. Sharper now, can play a role.
ILB
Jumped at $10.00 and advanced late into 5th last time at this venue and has drawn the rails. Has a great burst of speed late. Large claim helps. Absolutely right in this.
RP
Has struggled to factor since winning a handicap at Wyong in April; not beaten too far when fifth of seven three weeks ago upped to 1m; others appeal more.
RSIS
At 9/1 made ground when closing off to finish 5th last start here and drawn by the rails. Has a nice turn of foot. Anna Weatherlake takes a large claim. Strong claims.
Career
19: 3-2-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Coonabarabran
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1514m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1890m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
11: 2-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 31%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Alysha Collett winning at 9% POT in last 100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
In touch but ran out of petrol quickly and finished a long way down the track at Newcastle. Handles all conditions.
ILB
Odds of $3.70 and weakened under pressure when 9th last start at Newcastle but drawn nicely. Interesting gear change of winkers on first time. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Finished last of nine over 7½f at Newcastle (handicap) last month; useful in this grade; has to be respected.
RSIS
Started 11/4 and folded up in the straight when 9th last start at Newcastle but has a positive draw. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces on first time. Watch for a sign in the market.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Long time since last saluted. On pace but found little at the business end at Dubbo over longer assignment. Leads, handy. Keener on others.
ILB
Finished 4th last run at Dubbo and back in trip. Matched against a stronger field.
RSIS
Finished 4th last run at Dubbo and competing in a higher grade. Will be facing a significant drop in distance.
Career
29: 2-1-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1410m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-3
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 126%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Made late rally from the back at Beaumont. Shapes as a rough place prospect.
ILB
Odds of $91.00 and showed some merit late when 5th last time at Newcastle. Will need its best to find a place.
RP
Solid effort when beaten just under 2l to finish fifth over 6½f at Beaumont (handicap) two weeks ago.
RSIS
Started 90/1 and overtook some late when 5th last run at Newcastle.