Shortest win price
Gruelling (6)
2.50
Welcome to Balaklava for a cracking 1600m clash in the Geoff Deeprose Happy 70Th (Rs0ly) on a fine Good 3 track, where the numbers jump right off the page! Looking at the early win market order, Gruelling leads the way as the shortest runner, followed closely by Fiorona, Oui Oui Ma Cherie, and Think Lu Bella rounding out the leading quartet. Up ya go, let's dive straight into the data to find some winners!
The early market favourite Gruelling comes in with a solid rating of 100 and has been racing consistently in town, making it a serious player stepping up to the mile here for trainers G & N Searle & Callanan with Jason Holder in the saddle from barrier 2. Meanwhile, Fiorona sits right behind in the betting for G Richards & D Moyle with Teagan Voorham steering from barrier 6, bringing a massive hot trainer stat and a strong recent second at Morphettville over 1500m that suggests this runner is primed for the 1600m trip.
Digging deeper into the pack, Oui Oui Ma Cherie catches the eye with the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start after just getting edged out at Murray Bridge, and looks well suited by the extra distance here from barrier 5 with Caitlin Jones. Over in the speed maps, we have Stolen Kiss, Gruelling, and Fiorona looking to dictate terms up on the pace as leaders, so expect a truly run mile where the fit horses staying the trip will rate a real chance.
Shortest win price
Gruelling (6)
2.50
Most career wins
Flash Feeling
6-2-7 from 57 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Flash Feeling · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 690%
Stolen Kiss · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Gruelling · Negative
Trainer SR
G, N & B Searle & Callanan striking at just 4%
Oui Oui Ma Cherie · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Career
57: 6-2-7
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
8: 1-0-0
Second-up
7: 1-0-1
Third-up
7: 2-1-2
Fourth-up
7: 0-1-2
Track Flemington
17: 3-0-2
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Lincoln
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1325m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
30: 3-2-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
24: 3-0-3
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 690%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Got back and wasn't totally disgraced on a soft deck at Port Lincoln. First time around Balaklava. Good draw but place best.
ILB
Jumped at $19.00 and ran 7th last time at Port Lincoln but gets the perfect draw. Struggling this campaign with no placings from 10 attempts. Rough chance.
RP
This is his grade; close up behind Stolen Kiss when seventh over 6½f at Port Lincoln (handicap) last month; a big player.
RSIS
Was 18/1 and came in 7th last time at Port Lincoln but has minimal work to do from the draw. Struggling lately.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Third run now in new stable/region. Got back and hit line with a full head of steam at Morphettville. Super fit from racing. Both totes.
ILB
Was strong late when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last time at Morphettville and on an upward trajectory in recent races.
RSIS
Finished with intent when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last time at Morphettville and displaying improvement over the past few runs.
Career
31: 3-3-4
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
15: 0-1-3
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 1-1-1
Going Good
14: 1-2-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
15: 2-1-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Todd Pannell 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Todd Pannell winning at 18% POT in last 100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Reasonable effort without seriously threatening in soft going at Port Lincoln. Winner at track and distance. Has some claims.
ILB
Jumped at $4.00 and came in 6th last start at Port Lincoln. Todd Pannell takes the reins today. Won't be far away during the run. Could feature here.
RP
Has winning form over this course and distance on the CV; out of the money, beaten just under 3l, when sixth at Port Lincoln over 6½f (handicap) last month; facing a testing assignment and looks risky.
RSIS
Started 3/1 and finished 6th last time at Port Lincoln. Should come to hand quickly. Todd Pannell is a key booking. Could feature here.
Career
41: 6-6-5
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Werribee
1: 1-0-0
Track Pooncarie
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
5: 0-2-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1479m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
22: 4-3-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-2
Trainer SR
Negative
Heidi Smith striking at just 2%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 467%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 75%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 75% Profit on Turnover
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Finished within striking distance Balranald Cup. Decent gate and 3kg claim but place prospect.
ILB
Started $6.00 and mediocre attempt when 6th last run at Balranald. The large claim from Jemma Gutte should help.
RP
This is her level; respectable effort when sixth at Balranald over 7f (handicap) two weeks ago; capable if in the mood so likely to be involved.
RSIS
Odds of 5/1 and tailed off when 6th last run at Balranald. Large claim helps.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Positive ride but emptied late at Morphettville. Pace influence. Hard fit, not out of this.
ILB
Started $17.00 and weakened under pressure when 7th last run at Morphettville.
RSIS
Odds of 16/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last start at Morphettville.
Career
33: 5-5-5
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Murray Bridge
9: 1-0-1
Track Gawler
5: 1-1-1
Track Balaklava
8: 2-3-0
Distance 1200m
11: 1-1-1
Distance 1500m
3: 1-1-1
Distance 1511m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
28: 4-5-5
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
G, N & B Searle & Callanan striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -23%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 55%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Been racing consistently in town and looks a serious player going to a mile here.
ILB
Worked hard to finish 3rd last time at Morphettville and will try to take advantage of the draw. Displays good tactical speed. Winning potential.
RP
Close up third over 7½f at Morphettville (handicap) last month; likes this combination of C&D; not been able to get his head in front lately so others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Put together a strong on-pace performance when 3rd last time at Morphettville and will try to take advantage of the stall. Shows good early pace. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
Career
15: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
10: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
4: 1-1-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-2-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ran a cracking race when just edged out at Murray Bridge Gh 28 Oct. Suited by the longer assignment now and not out of this.
ILB
Right in contention last run at Murray Bridge. Strong chance to be considered.
RP
Favourite and just came up short over 7f at Murray Bridge Gh (handicap) last month; generally struggled with a record of 1-15.
RSIS
Just short of the win last run at Murray Bridge. Will attract plenty of interest.
Career
14: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1511m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-1-0
Going Good
7: 2-1-1
Going Soft
7: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 147%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 33% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Went home tamely at Morphettville at $8.50. Winner at track and distance. Each way here.
ILB
Started at $8.50 and folded up in the straight when 11th last run at Morphettville. Jockey Will Price and trainer Jon O'Connor must be respected as a team.
RP
Finished 11th of 12 at Morphettville over 7½f (handicap) last month; C&D has proven suitable before; struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Balaklava in April; this is competitive and has questions to answer.
RSIS
Was 15/2 and well beaten when 11th last run at Morphettville. Will Price and Jon O'Connor are a duo to watch closely.
Career
39: 4-3-6
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
7: 1-1-1
Second-up
6: 1-1-1
Third-up
6: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
6: 1-0-1
Track Narrandera
1: 1-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
5: 2-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
11: 2-0-2
Distance 1706m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
6: 0-1-1
Going Soft
20: 4-1-3
Going Good
13: 0-1-2
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Backing up quickly. Battled home okay at Gawler. Form solid this distance. Super fit from racing, could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Jumped at $8.00 and moved through the field into 4th last run at Gawler. Could be in the mix.
RP
Recent efforts have generally been solid; this is her level; not beaten too far when fourth of ten over 1m½f at Gawler (handicap) a week ago; has possibilities as shown she can be competitive fairly recently.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Started 7/1 and pushed past some when 4th last run at Gawler. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
5: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Balaklava
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Oakbank
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 77%
Hot Trainer
Positive
G & D Richards & Moyle in good form, out performing market 89%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 65% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Broke maiden at Balaklava 14 Oct. Prominent and went down fighting in the Class 1 company at Morphettville second-up. Ready for the mile now. Big show.
ILB
Competitive effort when 2nd last start at Morphettville. Should come to hand quickly. Been in the money each start this campaign. Will be a difficult test.
RP
Has won here previously; has displayed improved form on last two starts; favourite and just beaten over 7½f at Morphettville (handicap) two weeks ago; running in a handicap for just the second time; likely to be a threat.
RSIS
Honest race when 2nd last run at Morphettville. Displays good tactical pace. Has run into the money all attempts recently.
Career
8: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
4: 0-1-2
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Tala Hutchinson current POT is 48% below Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 45% in L100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fair performance without threatening at Morphettville first up at $16. Fitter second-up and gets a 1.5kg allowance here. Worth some thought from the handy draw.
ILB
Started at $16.00 and edged past some when finishing 4th last time at Morphettville. Has a nice turn of foot. Has some claims.
RP
Close up behind Fiorona when fourth over 7½f at Morphettville (handicap) last month; passed over given this looks a decent race.
RSIS
Started 15/1 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last time at Morphettville. Has a great burst of pace late. Watch the betting.
Career
15: 1-5-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-1-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-1-0
Track Balaklava
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
5: 1-1-0
Going Soft
8: 1-2-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-2-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
AAP
Let-up (42-days). Ex Shae Norton in SA. Sent out $11 when unable to threaten this track over this distance. At best, a place hope.
ILB
Back from a freshen up. Started $11.00 and average at best when 6th last run at this venue. Racing for a new trainer. Limited possibility.
RP
Beaten 6l into sixth 42 days ago; first start for current trainer; this line-up contains some strong opposition so looks opposable.
RSIS
Let up. Odds of 10/1 and fairly underwhelming when 6th last run at the track. First start for a new trainer.