Balaklava (SA) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 3:58 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Balaklava (SA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovBalaklava (SA)Change

Race 1 — Sportsbet Race Replays Mdn Plate 1600m · jumps Wed 11 Nov, 3:20 pm AEDT

Race preview

Up ya go, race fans! Balaklava is hosting the Sportsbet Race Replays Mdn Plate over the 1600m on a Good 4 track under fine skies, with the action jumping at 3:20 pm AEDT. Looking at the early win market order, Ludina sits right at the top of betting, closely followed by Tassoro, Fabulous One, and Booma Bay rounding out the front end of the market.

The numbers jump off the page for the market leader Ludina, partnered by Connor Murtagh for trainer Hazel Fertier. This combination boasts a hot trainer and jockey pairing that outperforms market expectations by a massive 883 percent. Ludina comes off a terrific effort when just shaded at Murray Bridge over 1400m, strips fitter second run back, and looks well-suited over the longer trip here. Tassoro is next in line from the ace barrier one with Todd Pannell steering, looking to bounce back after going to the line tamely at Murray Bridge.

Digging deeper into the pack, we find a few extra angles to help sort out the chances. Fabulous One maps as the leader for trainer Raharna Mcdonald, whose stable is going well and outperforming the market by 29 percent. Down the order, Booma Bay is marked as a backmarker and showed enough merit when battling home into fourth at Gawler to consider for exotics. Ludina rates a real chance in this company and the numbers say the form checks out nicely.

Race notes

3UP MDN SW,3UP MDN-SW,3yo+,Maiden
GOOD4
Fine
7 runners

Shortest win price

Ludina (6)

1.24

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

1Booma Bay

Offmidfield

2Hood Rat

Offpace

6Ludina
3St Dominic
7My Iva

Onpace

4Tassoro

Leader

5Fabulous One

Booma Bay · Negative
Jockey Booking
Teagan Voorham current POT is 37% below Career Avg.
Hood Rat · Negative
Trainer SR
Judy Virgin striking at just 1%
St Dominic · Negative
Tricky Map
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Tassoro · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Booma BayJ: Teagan Voorham·T: Robert Atkinson558kg10 5 9 7 411: 0-0-1$14.00$3.60

Career

11: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Clare
2: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Gawler1500m23 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.82L
7Murray Bridge1400m2 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.1L
9Morphettville1250m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT79.4L
5Balaklava1050m26 July 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT78.9L
10Gawler1508m11 Feb 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD412.6L
3Morphettville1550m26 Dec 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD34.1L
8Strathalbyn2050m10 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.9L
6Clare1800m23 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.8L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Teagan Voorham current POT is 37% below Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Robert Atkinson striking at just 1%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 68%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 42% in L100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early

Comments

AAP

Battled home okay into 4th at Gawler. Last run had enough merit to consider for exotics.

ILB

Jumped at $21.00 and finished 4th last run at Gawler. Likely to get back in the run. Much prefer the look of others in this race.

Out of the frame (beaten just under 4l in fourth) at Gawler over 7½f (maiden) three weeks ago; has shown some ability on occasion and ought to be of interest.

RSIS

Started at 20/1 and ran 4th last start at Gawler. Likely to get back.

2Hood RatJ: S H Sit·T: Ms J Virgin658kg10 5 6 7 530: 0-1-1$34.00$5.00

Career

30: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
5: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
2: 0-0-0
Track Oakbank
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-1-0
Going Good
19: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Strathalbyn1200m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT59.06L
7Gawler1100m5 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.45L
6Morphettville800m28 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8L
5Gawler1200m27 May 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · HEAVY103.1L
10Bordertown1200m1 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD34.9L
9Oakbank1400m6 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT512.7L
4Oakbank1400m18 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY85.9L
10Balaklava1050m4 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.69L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Judy Virgin striking at just 1%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 55%
Hot Jockey
Positive
S H Sit in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 4%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track

Comments

AAP

Last on turn, beat tired horses home at Strathalbyn when second-up. Usually gets back. Quickly up in trip. Seldom figures but a rough place prospect in this shallow affair.

ILB

Started $71.00 and hit the line well when 5th last time at Strathalbyn and back over extra ground. A 30 start maiden. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Chances are slim.

Came home fifth, beaten 9l, over 6f at Strathalbyn (maiden) last month; gone 30 races without a win; passed over.

RSIS

At 70/1 picked up some ground to run 5th last run at Strathalbyn and stepping back up in trip. Yet to break through after 30 runs.

3St DominicJ: Andrew Stead·T: Kylie Schulz258kg5 3 13 4 1214: 0-1-1$14.00$3.70

Career

14: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-1-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-1-1

Last starts

12Murray Bridge1400m28 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.86L
4Cranbourne2540m20 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD311L
13Warrnambool2350m9 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD437.7L
3Werribee2720m17 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45L
5Pakenham2500m5 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD411.3L
2Pakenham2500m16 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42L
4Hanging Rock1800m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.3L
11Horsham1400m21 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT711.3L

Insights

Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Murray Bridge Gh for new trainer at wide odds first-up. New to Balaklava. Weak race but prefer to see some improvement first.

ILB

Started at $81.00 and looked outclassed when 12th last start at Murray Bridge but can find a nice position from the draw. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 14 starts. Unlikely to feature.

Without a win after 14 runs; towards the rear of 13 at Murray Bridge Gh over 7f (maiden) last month dropped back in distance on debut for this trainer; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Odds of 80/1 and weakened under pressure when 12th last start at Murray Bridge but has a positive stall. A 14 start maiden.

4TassoroJ: Todd Pannell·T: Mick Kluske158kg2 5 4 6 810: 0-2-0$7.00$2.35

Career

10: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Murray Bridge1400m28 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.2L
6Halidon1200m11 Oct 2026 · 3UP CG&E MDN-SW · GOOD33.73L
4Murray Bridge1400m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · HEAVY83.9L
5Murray Bridge1400m5 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT52.3L
2Murray Bridge1400m22 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT53L
4Morphettville1600m8 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT73.7L
5Bordertown1300m28 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY84.6L
2Gawler1200m27 May 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · HEAVY100.8L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 53%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely at Murray Bridge Gh. Gets all the favours from ace draw and good enough to play a key role here.

ILB

At $19.00 struggled with the pace when 8th last time at Murray Bridge. Expecting improvement here and drawn well. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Attracts support.

Came home eighth, beaten just over 5l, at Murray Bridge Gh over 7f (maiden) 14 days ago; in with a big shout as shown he can be competitive fairly recently.

RSIS

Odds of 18/1 and was well beaten when 8th last start at Murray Bridge. May see an upturn in form and can save some energy from the stall. Strong chance today.

5Fabulous OneJ: Stacey Metcalfe·T: Raharna Mcdonald756kg5 8 5 44: 0-0-0$21.00$4.20

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Mildura1100m3 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.5L
5Tamworth1000m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.78L
8Dubbo1000m7 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45.3L
5Ballarat Synthetic1000m19 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.2L

Insights

Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 29%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field at Mildura for new stable. Could spring a surprise.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Started $6.00 and basic showing when 4th last run at Mildura but racing over more ground. Should jump out and bowl along. Sound chance.

Few miles on the clock with this her fifth race; fair effort when beaten 4½l, finishing fourth of six over 5½f at Mildura (maiden) on debut for new trainer last week; could figure.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Started at 5/1 and underwhelming when 4th last start at Mildura but facing an increased distance. Should muster plenty of early pace.

6LudinaJ: Connor Murtagh·T: Hazel Fertier356kg10 3 2 8 210: 0-4-1$1.24$1.04

Career

10: 0-4-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
4: 0-1-1
Track Balaklava
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 0-4-0

Last starts

2Murray Bridge1400m28 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.19L
8Murray Bridge2000m5 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT55.9L
2Mildura2000m17 July 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.1L
3Murray Bridge1800m4 July 2026 · 3Y BM70 HCP · SOFT71.7L
10Balaklava1600m14 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT713.4L
8Morphettville1400m16 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT53.3L
4Murray Bridge1000m7 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.5L
4Balaklava1000m16 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.8L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 883%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs

Comments

AAP

Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Terrific effort when just shaded at Murray Bridge Gh 28 Oct. Strips fitter second run back and suited over the longer trip. Meets a weak maiden and dominates the market.

ILB

Threw down a serious challenge last start at Murray Bridge. Strong claims and hard to beat.

Finished ahead of two of these rivals over 7f at Murray Bridge Gh (maiden) dropped back in distance last month when not beaten far; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs but proving a little expensive to follow.

RSIS

Close up last time at Murray Bridge. Strongly fancied.

7My IvaJ: Alyssa Webb·T: W F Francis & G Kent456kg9 12 8 8 128: 0-0-0$21.00$4.20

Career

8: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

12Gawler1200m5 Nov 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.8L
8Strathalbyn1200m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT510.9L
8Gawler1100m5 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.72L
12Strathalbyn1200m25 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD412.8L
9Balaklava1050m4 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.16L
9Strathalbyn1200m18 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD410.3L
4Strathalbyn1200m1 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.9L
5Murray Bridge1000m19 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial9.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Had Chances
Negative
Still in maiden grade after several runs
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Raced in back half and never likely at Gawler. Usually gets back. Others with more appeal.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Started at $101.00 and faded to finish 12th last time at Gawler but facing a rise in trip. Yet to make an impression in 8 runs. Facing a difficult task today.

Finished towards the rear of 14 at Gawler over 6f (maiden) last week; largely been out of sorts; stepping up in trip and not one to rely on.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Was 100/1 and folded up in the straight when 12th last time at Gawler but rising in distance.

Odds correct as at Wed 11 Nov, 3:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Wed 30 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races