Ararat (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 3:51 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ararat (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 8 NovArarat (VIC)Change

Race 6 — Bet365 Ararat Gold Cup 2200m · jumps Sun 8 Nov, 4:15 pm AEDT

Race preview

The Bet365 Ararat Gold Cup runs 2200m on GOOD4 going under fine skies at 4:15 pm AEDT. This is a 3yo+ handicap over the open class. Aftermath sits shortest in the market, with Cable Dancer next, then Slane and Nothingelsematters pressing close behind. The field is bunched at the top, which suggests form and map work will cut through.

Aftermath won at Mortlake and St Arnaud on the trot, posting the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start and cruising clear in front. The form reads strong for a 2200m assignment. The trainer's runners are clocking 61% profit on turnover from the last 100, which rates a real tick. From barrier 8 Linda Meech will need to navigate the midfield pack smartly, but the record and recent wins point to genuine winning chances. Nothingelsematters wore them down late at Mornington for victory and sits super fit from racing. That jockey and trainer combo are outperforming market expectations by 70 per cent, and the rating of 77 suggests a genuine chance fresh off two wins in the last three starts. Cable Dancer is a winner at track and distance but has run seventh twice lately and looks there to fill the minors rather than lead the market.

Slane leads from barrier 7 and was shaded late over this exact trip at Sale in the BM66, refusing to give in when pushed. The map position suits a horse trying to control the tempo, and the recent Sale effort over 2200m is the right form line for this race. Tikemyson rates well for map position at Ararat, outperforming market expectations by 25 per cent, and the trainer is cashing in at 40 per cent profit on turnover. Form and data say Aftermath rates a real chance to take this out.

Race notes

3yo+,HCP,Open
GOOD4
Fine
12 runners

Shortest win price

Cable Dancer (10)

3.30

Most career wins

Affluential

10-8-4 from 37 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

7Unseen Ruler

Offmidfield

10Cable Dancer
8Male Model

Midfield

1Aftermath
5Affluential
12Budjik Boy
2Thedoctoroflove
4Raging Bull

Offpace

9Nothingelsematters
13Saveadateforme

Onpace

6Tikemyson

Leader

11Slane

Aftermath · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Thedoctoroflove · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Raging Bull · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 973%
Affluential · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 155%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1AftermathJ: Linda Meech·T: P A Preusker859kg5 5 2 1 141: 6-2-3$3.50$1.55

Career

41: 6-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Te Aroha
2: 0-0-1
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Mortlake
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 3200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 2-1-1
Going Heavy
6: 0-1-0
Going Soft
21: 4-0-2

Last starts

1Mortlake2000m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-4.75
1St Arnaud2000m24 Oct 2026 · HCP · GOOD3-2.25
2Horsham2100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.25L
5Hamilton2200m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.5L
5Coleraine1800m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP HCP · GOOD32.05L
9Ballarat1600m18 Sept 2026 · GOLD NUGGET · GOOD46.94L
8Caulfield2000m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65.4L
6Caulfield2000m11 July 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · SOFT75.5L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 61% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Holding form. Cruised in front and went right on with it in the 3yo+ (Bm78) at Mortlake. Should press forward. Can win.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Went to the front and never looked back when winning by a margin of 4 3/4L last start at Mortlake. Expecting a strong showing.

On a hat-trick; ready success at Mortlake over 1m2f (handicap) defeating Budjik Boy, Tikemyson and Unseen Ruler last Saturday; despite that Mortlake success, others make more appeal.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Dictated terms in front to win by a margin of 4 3/4L last run at Mortlake. Keeping a perfect win record the last 2 attempts. Solid chance.

2ThedoctorofloveJ: Zac Spain·T: T Busuttin & N Young1259kg5 6 11 13 717: 2-2-1$26.00$4.80

Career

17: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-1
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1717m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-1-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

7Hamilton2200m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.71L
13Sandown1600m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT79.2L
11Flemington2000m18 July 2026 · BM100 · SOFT67.5L
6Caulfield2000m27 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT78L
5Sandown1800m13 June 2026 · HCP · HEAVY84.5L
4Flemington1600m16 May 2026 · BM100 · GOOD41.7L
12Flemington2800m4 Nov 2025 · BM96 · SOFT510.9L
12Caulfield2000m15 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.7L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -57% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 50%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Struggling
Negative
Doesn’t look to be going well

Comments

AAP

Long winless run. Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at Hamilton over this journey. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Odds of $10.00 and finished 7th last run at Hamilton. Should be in the finish.

Beaten a fair way when seventh at Hamilton four weeks ago, finishing well behind reopposing Raging Bull upped to this trip; if replicating best previous efforts poses a threat.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and ran 7th last start at Hamilton. Capable type.

3Any LuckScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Horsham at healthy odds. Pace influence. Suited wet, though never won second-up and others preferred.

ILB

Didn't attack the line when 8th last start at Horsham. Ms Kate Walters has been successful previously.

Several of these rivals finished ahead of her over 1m2½f at Horsham (handicap) when beaten 8l (eighth of nine) last month; a big player based on the pick of her form.

RSIS

Looked outclassed when 8th last run at Horsham. Ms Kate Walters has multiple wins aboard.

4Raging BullJ: Eoin Walsh·T: A G Pace1157.5kg5 4 10 1 752: 4-2-8$9.00$2.90

Career

52: 4-2-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
9: 1-0-3
Second-up
8: 1-0-1
Third-up
7: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
6: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
10: 1-1-2
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-1
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
3: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
10: 0-0-1
Going Soft
20: 3-0-4
Going Good
22: 1-2-3

Last starts

7Bendigo2400m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.57L
1Hamilton2200m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.2
10Mornington2000m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · SOFT57.56L
4Sandown1800m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.8L
5Bendigo1600m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY87.5L
7Caulfield2000m27 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT78.1L
6Flemington1600m6 June 2026 · BM78 · HEAVY81.3L
3Seymour1600m26 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT54.7L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 973%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Bendigo at $101. Well into preparation now, could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Started at $101.00 and finished 7th last start at Bendigo but lining up against easier rivals. Has to cope with a weight increase. Cannot have in this race.

Well beaten in the Bendigo Cup at Bendigo last month; makes limited appeal despite dropping in class.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and finished 7th last start at Bendigo but competing at a lower class. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt.

5AffluentialJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Andrea Leek255.5kg1 2 10 3 1137: 10-8-4$34.00$6.00

Career

37: 10-8-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-2-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-1
Track Werribee
1: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 1-0-0
Distance 3600m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 4200m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1950m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
19: 3-4-2
Going Heavy
4: 1-1-1
Going Soft
14: 6-3-1

Last starts

11Caulfield2000m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.76L
3Hamilton2400m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3L
10Pakenham1600m13 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD418.4L
2Sandown4200m3 Aug 2025 · GN HDLE · SOFT55L
1Hamilton3400m20 July 2025 · MDN CHASE · HEAVY10-16
2Traralgon2800m10 July 2025 · Barrier Trial10L
3Bendigo3600m26 June 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY88.2L
3Sandown3900m1 June 2025 · AUST HDLE · GOOD42.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 155%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Failed to flatter at Caulfield for new trainer. Will be fitter second-up. Handles all conditions. Big show.

ILB

Jumped at $151.00 and weakened under pressure when 11th last time at Caulfield but has a good draw. Teodore Nugent and Andrea Leek must be respected together. Potential to run into a place.

Finished towards the rear of 13 over 1m2f at Caulfield (handicap) three weeks ago on debut for this trainer; admirable career strike-rate (ten from 29 to date); could go well.

RSIS

Started 150/1 and tailed off to finish 11th last run at Caulfield but gets a favourable draw. Teodore Nugent and Andrea Leek enjoy a high success rate together.

6TikemysonJ: Tom Madden·T: Symon Wilde954.5kg1 8 9 1 540: 7-6-3$23.00$4.40

Career

40: 7-6-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-2-1
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Otaki
5: 2-0-1
Track Sandown
4: 0-0-0
Track Awapuni Synthetic
3: 1-1-1
Distance 1340m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
8: 1-1-1
Distance 1700m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
16: 1-2-1
Going Synthetic
3: 1-1-1

Last starts

5Mortlake2000m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58.2L
1Avoca1860m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.5
9Hamilton2200m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT59.21L
8Coleraine1800m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP HCP · GOOD33.82L
1Warracknabeal2000m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.8
7Murtoa2050m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT75.3L
13Sandown2125m8 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.2L
14Caulfield1700m27 June 2026 · BM78 · SOFT711.8L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 40% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Avoca winner two back. Off pace, only battled home at Mortlake after a market ease. Hard fit, not out of this.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Started at $12.00 and ran 5th last time at Mortlake. Hard to warm to.

Behind Aftermath when fifth last week over 1m2f (handicap) at Mortlake; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role given the strong opposition here.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Started at 11/1 and came in 5th last start at Mortlake.

7Unseen RulerJ: Dean Yendall·T: M J Williams1054.5kg5 6 3 4 645: 7-4-7$12.00$3.50

Career

45: 7-4-7

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
7: 1-0-1
Second-up
6: 1-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
4: 1-0-2
Distance 2350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1620m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
26: 5-4-3
Going Heavy
5: 2-0-1
Going Soft
14: 0-0-3

Last starts

6Mortlake2000m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT59.45L
4Hamilton1600m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.9L
3Swan Hill2400m7 June 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT54.3L
6Sandown2400m23 May 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · SOFT75.3L
5Warrnambool2350m7 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY102.7L
3Terang2150m12 Apr 2026 · 3UP HCP · HEAVY102.6L
2Stawell2000m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31L
1Mount Gambier2050m22 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 74 · GOOD4-0.2

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Mortlake second-up. One for exotics.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Was $6.50 and sub-standard effort when 6th last start at Mortlake. Should bounce back and goes down in weight. Solid claims.

Behind Aftermath when sixth last Saturday (Mortlake) upped to 1m2f; probably unlikely to trouble the principals with a few rivals in good form.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. At 11/2 fairly underwhelming when 6th last run at Mortlake. Has the ability to turn things around and gets some weight taken off. Definite claims for punters.

8Male ModelJ: Christine Puls·T: John Thom154kg9 7 10 3 1330: 5-6-4$31.00$5.50

Career

30: 5-6-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 2-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-1-0
Track Warrnambool
3: 1-2-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1230m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1240m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 2-2-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
11: 2-3-1

Last starts

13Bendigo2400m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD412.77L
3Horsham2100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.65L
10Caulfield1800m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD38.15L
7Morphettville1950m5 Sept 2026 · BM74 · SOFT614L
9Sandown1600m22 Aug 2026 · BM84 · HEAVY84.8L
1Mildura2000m17 July 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD4-0.1
5Sandown1500m8 July 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY83.3L
1Ballarat Synthetic1400m24 June 2026 · BM66 · SYNTHETIC-0.1

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Christine Puls current POT is 64% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 81%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 75% in L100 rides
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Dropped out to last and never sighted at Bendigo. Usually gets back. Not fancied.

ILB

At $151.00 fairly underwhelming when 13th last run at Bendigo but facing weaker opposition. Does take a while to get into stride. Has drawn the rails. Needs significant improvement.

Finished last in the Bendigo Cup at Bendigo (behind Raging Bull) last week upped to 1m4f; dropping in class but one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

At 150/1 disappointing run when 13th last start at Bendigo but will appreciate the drop in class. Likely to get back in the run.

9NothingelsemattersJ: Luke Cartwright·T: Ms N Burke554kg3 5 1 4 126: 5-1-4$9.00$2.90

Career

26: 5-1-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
4: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-1
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 2400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
13: 2-0-3

Last starts

1Mornington2000m1 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.46
4Horsham2100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.15L
1Pakenham Synthetic2200m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SYNTHETIC-0.15
5Mornington2000m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · SOFT52.45L
3Morphettville2250m5 Sept 2026 · 0-64 · SOFT61L
4Pakenham Synthetic2200m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SYNTHETIC2.6L
2Pakenham Synthetic2200m3 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC1L
9Sandown2125m8 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY85.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 64% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 70%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Won two from last three. Wore them down late at Mornington. Super fit from racing, right in the mix again.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Picked up late to win last start at Mornington but competing in a more challenging class. Will appreciate the drop in weight. Considering others.

Narrow scorer in a handicap (Mornington) seven days ago; needs considering.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Ran over the top of them when winning last time at Mornington but challenged by more formidable competitors. Will benefit with the weight drop.

10Cable DancerJ: Declan Bates·T: Charlotte Littlefield454kg6 2 3 7 744: 6-6-10$3.30$1.50

Career

44: 6-6-10

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed60%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-0
Track Mornington
4: 1-0-2
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 2000m
10: 1-1-2
Distance 2040m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
31: 6-2-8
Going Soft
9: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
4: 0-3-1

Last starts

7Mornington2000m1 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.84L
7Seymour2000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.57L
3Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.75L
2Sandown3000m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.8L
6Caulfield2400m4 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD32.7L
4Caulfield2400m21 Mar 2026 · BM78 · GOOD42L
5Stony Creek2100m8 Mar 2026 · Open · SOFT65.3L
9Caulfield Heath1600m18 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.3L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 154%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 31%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Okay at latest when settled back. Winner at track and distance. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Jumped at $6.50 and mediocre attempt when 7th last start at Mornington and competing at a higher level of competition. Dropping weight. Can run into the placings.

Likes this combination of C&D; form is hit and miss; just under 2l behind the winner, Nothingelsematters, at Mornington over 1m2f (handicap) a week ago; he can be taken on given many of his rivals are in good form.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Started 11/2 and uncompetitive when 7th last run at Mornington but goes down in weight. Might be ridden for luck.

11SlaneJ: Carleen Hefel·T: E Jusufovic754kg8 11 8 8 231: 5-5-5$8.50$2.75

Career

31: 5-5-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-2-1
Track Pakenham
2: 1-0-1
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2060m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1717m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1429m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
20: 3-3-2
Going Heavy
3: 1-1-1
Going Soft
8: 1-1-2

Last starts

2Sale2200m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY100.46L
8Caulfield1800m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD35.85L
8Sandown1800m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.6L
11Caulfield Heath1500m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT612.7L
8Wangaratta2000m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.8L
7Caulfield2000m7 Feb 2026 · 3UP · GOOD411.5L
4Caulfield1700m24 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · GOOD32.8L
10Flemington1600m10 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.9L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Enver Jusufovic striking at just 7%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 42%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 50% Profit on Turnover
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Led, dug deep into his reserves but shaded late over 2200m in the 3yo+ (Bm66) at Sale over this trip. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Threw down a serious challenge last run at Sale on a heavy surface but up against a more competitive field. Displays good tactical speed. Gets some weight relief. Not in this.

Beaten narrowly at Sale upped to this trip two weeks ago.

RSIS

Right in contention last start at Sale but facing a stronger grade. Displays good tactical pace. Carrying less weight this time.

12Budjik BoyJ: Shayleigh Ingelse·T: P A Preusker354kg9 1 3 5 430: 5-4-7$17.00$4.00

Career

30: 5-4-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-3
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Murtoa
1: 0-0-1
Track Mortlake
1: 0-0-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-1-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
8: 1-2-3
Going Good
10: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
5: 2-1-2
Going Soft
15: 2-2-4

Last starts

4Mortlake2000m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.2L
5Horsham2100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.9L
3Hamilton1600m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.15L
1Warrnambool1400m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY8-1.5
9Mildura2000m17 July 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD44.3L
8Murray Bridge1800m4 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT713L
2Murray Bridge1600m13 June 2026 · BM68 · SOFT60.9L
12Swan Hill1300m7 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT55.7L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 75% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse 109% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 117%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 61% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse winning at 77% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Well back and made limited headway at Mortlake. Wet tracks certainly don't pose a problem. Deep into his campaign, has some claims.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Was $15.00 and picked up some late ground when 4th last time at Mortlake. Could feature here.

Was behind Aftermath at Mortlake last Saturday over 1m2f (handicap) when beaten 6l (fourth of nine); this looks a decent race so hard to recommend.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Started at 14/1 and got going late when 4th last start at Mortlake. Watch betting.

13SaveadateformeJ: Jett Stanley·T: Charlotte Littlefield654kg10 8 6 1 242: 7-7-6$23.00$4.60

Career

42: 7-7-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 1-0-0
Track St Arnaud
1: 0-1-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1540m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1650m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2000m
3: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
10: 3-4-1
Going Good
17: 3-2-2
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-1

Last starts

2St Arnaud2000m24 Oct 2026 · HCP · GOOD32.25L
1Mornington2050m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.06
6Pakenham Synthetic2200m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SYNTHETIC4.2L
8Seymour2000m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT77.4L
10Sandown1800m15 July 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY98.5L
7Pakenham Synthetic1600m29 June 2026 · BM70 · SYNTHETIC3.7L
8Sandown1400m31 May 2026 · BM70 · SOFT77.4L
7Caulfield Heath1400m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Adept stayer. No match but still very brave in defeat in Open Hcp at St Arnaud. Hard fit, warrants attention.

ILB

Zipped home into 2nd last run at St Arnaud. Jockey Jett Stanley riding for trainer Charlotte Littlefield command respect. Betting is the best guide.

Behind Aftermath over 1m2f at St Arnaud (handicap) when on the premises, finishing runner-up at 17-2 two weeks ago.

RSIS

Ran on strongly when 2nd last start at St Arnaud. Jockey Jett Stanley and trainer Charlotte Littlefield link up well. Could feature here.

Odds correct as at Sun 8 Nov, 4:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.