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Ararat (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ararat (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 8 NovArarat (VIC)Change

Race 4 — Midland Irrigation (Bm66) 1100m · jumps

Race preview

Ararat hosts a Benchmark 66 handicap over 1100 metres in fine conditions on a Good 4 track at 3:10 pm AEDT. Restless Wind is shortest in the win market, with Bold Bordeaux and Southern Crescent next in line. Superliv, Midnight Devil and Masked Marauder complete the order. The race shapes as a genuine battle across the midfield, with Restless Wind and Bold Bordeaux set to share that territory while Midnight Devil looks to lead from barrier one. Southern Crescent will be back in the pack hunting a strong finish.

Restless Wind brings genuine credentials at shortest odds. She's won two from five career starts, including a win at Murray Bridge over this exact distance on a Soft 7. Last prep she was competitive in stiffer Benchmark 64 company at Caulfield, finishing third over 1100m. The form note flags she's had seventeen weeks since last start, but her record fresh is a tick — one win and a minor from two first-up runs. Bold Bordeaux rates a real chance just behind the market favourite. Dean Yendall's riding at 28 per cent above expected return in his last hundred rides, a massive edge. Bordeaux won twice from six career starts and has hit the line well in a midfield role, though her Geelong run over this trip last time out showed she couldn't find another gear when it counted.

Southern Crescent jumps off the page as the form horse in the race. Her rating of 100 sits well clear of rivals, and Jack Hill's riding 24 per cent above average. She was strong late to grab the minors at Hamilton over 1100m on a Soft 5 just recently, and the data shows she carries the fastest finishing sectionals in the field. The note flags her terrific record on wet tracks — that wet-track edge could be key if conditions soften. Superliv won at Pakenham on the synthetic last time and led into the final furlong at Geelong over this distance, but the jockey-trainer combo is running at minus 53 per cent return. She'll need luck to find her way home.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM66,BM66 HCP,Benchmark 66
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 6 runners

Shortest win price

Restless Wind (5)

2.25

Most career wins

Southern Crescent

5-2-5 from 21 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 3Southern Crescent

Midfield

  • 2Masked Marauder
  • 1Bold Bordeaux
  • 5Restless Wind

Onpace

  • 7Superliv

Leader

  • 4Midnight Devil

  • Bold Bordeaux · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides

  • Masked Marauder · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 39% better than Career Avg.

  • Southern Crescent · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Midnight Devil · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Carleen Hefel current POT is 25% below Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Bold BordeauxJ: Dean Yendall·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes560.5kg4 5 1 4 96: 2-0-0$5.00$2.30

Career

6: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Geelong1100m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42.13L
  2. 4Ballarat1000m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44L
  3. 1Sale1006m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.2
  4. 5Bendigo800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)6.1L
  5. 4Sale1206m11 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD42.3L
  6. 5Sandown1200m10 Dec 2025 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD42.7L
  7. 1Kyneton1215m18 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.3

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Dean Yendall 28% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 36%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 23% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Midfield, failed to find another gear but not disgraced at Geelong over this trip. Warrants attention.

ILB

Odds of $8.50 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last start at Geelong. Giving another chance here. Suited against these.

RP

Respectable ninth when close behind Superliv (Geelong) two weeks ago; should prove competitive as is no stranger to the winners' enclosure.

RSIS

Started 15/2 and looked outclassed when 9th last time at Geelong. Expecting improvement. Well respected contender.

2Masked MarauderJ: Dean Parker·T: Tom Dabernig260kg3 9 1 7 218: 4-1-3$16.00$4.20

Career

18: 4-1-3

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 2-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Warrnambool

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Bendigo

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1125m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    10: 2-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Colac800m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
  2. 7Bendigo1100m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.86L
  3. 1Ballarat Synthetic1000m18 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-0.1
  4. 9Ballarat Synthetic1200m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.6L
  5. 3Ballarat Synthetic1000m2 July 2026 · BM70 · SYNTHETIC0.9L
  6. 8Caulfield Heath1200m18 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.9L
  7. 6Sandown1300m21 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD499L
  8. 3Terang1125m2 Jan 2026 · BM78 · GOOD32L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 39% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Dean Parker 36% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Dean Parker in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 36%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

Comments

AAP

Closed off late from the tail at Bendigo over this trip. Since trialled at Colac 22 Oct. Can make his presence felt fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up after 9 weeks and flashed home late into 3rd beaten by 1L first up last preparation Ballarat Synthetic. Will try to take advantage of the alley. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Proven that he knows how to get his head in front (seeking a fifth career win); respectable effort to finish seventh, beaten just under 3l at Bendigo in September; Tom Dabernig's runners are going great guns at the moment; a lot on his plate here and looks opposable.

RSIS

Resuming and showed a good turn of foot when 3rd resuming last preparation Ballarat Synthetic. Ran 2nd in a trial at Bet365 Colac on Oct 22nd. Betting is the best guide.

3Southern CrescentJ: Jack Hill·T: Aaron Purcell360kg3 3 1 8 321: 5-2-5$4.80$2.25

Career

21: 5-2-5

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Hamilton

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1425m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 3-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-0-2

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 3Hamilton1100m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.45L
  2. 8Caulfield1200m30 May 2026 · 2UP F&M BM78 HCP · HEAVY86.2L
  3. 1Casterton1200m17 May 2026 · BM70 · SOFT6-0.8
  4. 3Warrnambool1100m7 May 2026 · BM78 · HEAVY100.8L
  5. 3Geelong1125m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
  6. 5Ballarat1200m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.9L
  7. 2Caulfield Heath1100m4 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.2L
  8. 1Pakenham1200m12 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD4-0.15

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ridden in back half, strong late to fill the minors 3yo+ (Bm70) at Hamilton off spell. Has terrific record on wet tracks. Among the dangers again.

ILB

Came on strongly when 3rd last run at Hamilton. Should be swooping on the field late. Strong chance today.

RP

Proven that she knows how to get her head in front (seeking a sixth career win); good effort when 1½l third (Hamilton) last month.

RSIS

Kept chasing when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Hamilton. Will be trying to topple them late. Will go close.

4Midnight DevilJ: Carleen Hefel·T: E Jusufovic158.5kg2 10 2 3 328: 4-6-3$7.50$3.00

Career

28: 4-6-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-3-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Camperdown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1009m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1112m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-2-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Warrnambool1000m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.22L
  2. 3Pakenham Synthetic1000m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.35L
  3. 2Moe1000m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.06L
  4. 10Sale1200m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.3L
  5. 2Sale1000m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT63.8L
  6. 9Sale1013m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.2L
  7. 4Seymour1000m18 Dec 2025 · BM66 · GOOD43.75L
  8. 8Geelong1214m26 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD39.6L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Carleen Hefel current POT is 25% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 42%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 50% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 29% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Racing consistently. Looked likely but had a real fight on his hands and just missed at Warrnambool. Worth a look.

ILB

Narrowly beaten last start at Warrnambool and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Will be positive in the run early. Running with confidence this campaign. Place chance.

RP

Ran well when beaten a head at Warrnambool over 5f (handicap) last month; series of good efforts to his name.

RSIS

Close to claiming the win last time at Warrnambool and will appreciate a good draw. Should muster plenty of early toe. Producing consistent results lately.

5Restless WindJ: Linda Meech·T: Andrew Bobbin458.5kg2 1 3 1 35: 2-1-2$2.25$1.30

Career

5: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Murray Bridge

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Stawell

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 2-1-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-2

Last starts

  1. 3Caulfield1100m11 July 2026 · 3YF HCP · SOFT72L
  2. 1Murray Bridge1100m4 July 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT7-0.6
  3. 3Swan Hill1200m7 June 2026 · 3Y BM64 HCP · SOFT51.5L
  4. 1Mildura1100m24 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-2
  5. 2Stawell1100m13 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41L

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 12% POT in L100 Runners

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • 1st Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when resuming

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Consistent

    Positive

    Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

First-up (17-weeks). Won at Mildura when fresh last campaign and remained consistent throughout the prep. Raced in stiffer company last prep.

ILB

First up after a break. Solid effort to run into 3rd beaten by 2L last time at Caulfield and back in an easier grade. Suited at this trip historically. Value runner at good odds.

RP

Not disgraced when third at 14-1 (Caulfield) four months ago; returns from a layoff; a likely player.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Good performance to run into 3rd last start at Caulfield and dropping in class. Will be well suited at the trip. Good career start. Definite claims.

6Edges DiamondScratched6––––

Career

12: 2-0-2

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ararat

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    5: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 2-0-2

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Horsham1100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.8L
  2. 5Hamilton1100m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.72L
  3. 7Geelong1100m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46L
  4. 9Bendigo1000m30 July 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT65.4L
  5. 6Terang1125m2 Jan 2026 · BM78 · GOOD36.7L
  6. 3Terang1200m16 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD31.4L
  7. 8Werribee1100m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42.9L
  8. 9Ararat1300m9 Nov 2025 · 3UP HCP · GOOD38.7L

Insights

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    1 time winner here at Ararat

Comments

AAP

Showed a fine turn of hoof from the back at Horsham over this trip. Tackling stronger line-up.

ILB

Finished strongly when 3rd last time at Horsham.

RP

Ran well to finish third (beaten just under 2l, Horsham) last month; has won previously at this course; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so is passed over.

RSIS

Attacked the line when 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last run at Horsham.

7SuperlivJ: Teodore Nugent·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin657.5kg2 4 9 1 312: 2-2-3$6.00$2.60

Career

12: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1009m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1125m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-2-2

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Geelong1100m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD40.52L
  2. 1Pakenham Synthetic1000m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-1
  3. 9Mornington1000m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT55.5L
  4. 4Mornington1000m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
  5. 2Geelong1100m1 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L
  6. 9Flemington1100m28 Feb 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD49.5L
  7. 3Cranbourne1000m6 Feb 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD33.7L
  8. 1Geelong1125m20 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.1

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -53% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Led, dug deep into her reserves but shaded late over 1100m in the 3yo+ (Bm66) at Geelong over this distance. Needs the breaks.

ILB

Started off strong but faded towards the end when 3rd beaten by 1/2L last time at Geelong. Should come to hand quickly. Sound chance.

RP

Missed out by half a length at Geelong where just ahead of Bold Bordeaux last month.

RSIS

Was in the race for a long way when 3rd beaten by 1/2L last time at Geelong. Should be going forward early. Displaying good ability in recent runs.

8BrazengaScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed20%

Insights

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (19-weeks). Expect will need this.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Finished 3rd last start at Warrnambool.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Ran well when 3rd last run at Warrnambool.

9Chasing RainbowsScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 18% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (28-weeks). Furnished with time and will take benefit from recent trials. Should take plenty of beating fresh.

ILB

On a quick back up. Started at $2.20 and was ordinary when 7th last time at Geelong but showing consistent performance in races.

RP

A poor result at a short price when seventh at Geelong yesterday; every chance; was due to run at Geelong Saturday.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Was 6/5 and nothing special when 7th last time at Geelong but solid career start.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.