UpYaGo logo

Ararat (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ararat (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 8 NovArarat (VIC)Change

Race 5 — AME Systems Mdn Plate 1600m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Ararat for the Ame Systems Mdn Plate over 1600m on a good 4 surface with fine weather overhead. The win market order has Vulcana sitting right at the top of calculations, followed closely by Nialah, Almorina, and Selita's Fury as the main fancies in early betting. Let us dive into the data and find a winner on this 3yo+ maiden card at 3:45 pm AEDT.

Vulcana leads the charge for trainer C Maher and jockey Jett Stanley from barrier 2, sporting a tidy career record of two runner-up finishes from two starts including a tough effort at Ballarat over 1400m where this progressive three-year-old rallied hard in the straight. Nialah is right there in the market from barrier 6 with Jabez Johnstone steering, coming off a fourth at Ballarat over 1400m after leading them up and now stepping right out to the mile. Almorina jumps from barrier 8 with Linda Meech aboard for Symon Wilde, catching the eye last start with the fastest overall finishing sectionals when running second at Mortlake over 1600m. Selita's Fury rounds out the early market leaders from barrier 5 with Declan Bates riding, having put in an excellent debut performance when just nabbed at Echuca over 1400m.

Further down the line, Roll With It brings early speed from barrier 10 for B R Crofts, which could prove an advantage on this tight circuit with speed groups showing leaders like Helichrysum and Roll With It pushing forward alongside onpace runners like Selita's Fury and Nialah. The numbers say Vulcana and Almorina rate a real chance based on their strong closing sectionals and recent placings, making this a fascinating maiden to dissect. Check the live odds trackside and jump on if you fancy a play in race five.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 12 runners

Shortest win price

Vulcana (14)

2.05

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 7Almorina

Midfield

  • 1All Chips In
  • 4Power Of Hindsight
  • 6Trigger Warning
  • 9Imminent Touch

Offpace

  • 3Pneuma
  • 10Paycheck
  • 14Vulcana

Onpace

  • 5Selita's Fury
  • 13Nialah

Leader

  • 8Helichrysum
  • 11Roll With It

  • All Chips In · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

  • Pneuma · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.

  • Power Of Hindsight · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.

  • Selita's Fury · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1All Chips InJ: Jack Martin·T: Patrick Payne1259.5kg7 9 11 5 95: 0-0-0$91.00$8.00

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Albury

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Wagga

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Corowa

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Colac1200m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.1L
  2. 5Tatura1100m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
  3. 11Albury1600m19 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.8L
  4. 9Wagga1600m11 Jan 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD49.3L
  5. 7Corowa1200m30 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD39.1L
  6. 9Albury1400m13 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.4L
  7. 7Albury1175m24 Nov 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD47L
  8. 4Corowa900m3 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial2.4L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jack Martin 33% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (41-weeks). Ex R P Wellington in NSW. Unplaced in all 5 runs to date. Readied with two soft trials.

ILB

First run back from a break of 41 weeks. At $151.00 didn't find the line when 11th last time at Albury and hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Can't back with any confidence.

RP

Yet to get off the mark in five attempts (seventh his best finish); finished last of 11 at Albury in January; form of the stable is a plus; returns from a layoff; headgear now needed to spark a revival, not one to rely on.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a 41 week break. Started at 150/1 and faded away to finish 11th last time at Albury and will have to carry extra weight.

2BrighthillScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (24-weeks). Looks a safer place proposition.

ILB

Back after a break. Jumped at $4.60 and came in 5th last time at Pakenham. Large claim helps.

RSIS

Back from a break. Started 7/2 and finished 5th last run at Pakenham. Liana Wood takes a large claim.

3PneumaJ: Neil Farley·T: Peter Jaques759.5kg6 5 2 64: 0-1-0$12.00$2.75

Career

4: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1125m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1247m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Ballarat1600m2 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY813.5L
  2. 2Moe1600m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.5L
  3. 5Geelong1247m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.57L
  4. 6Geelong1125m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.45L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Neil Farley 24% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 919%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 28% POT in L100 Runners

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Well back and never sighted at Ballarat over this trip when pushed out in the market. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Jumped at $18.00 and came in 6th last time at Ballarat. Interesting gear change of winkers off first time. Significant improvement required.

RP

Was sixth of ten, beaten 14l, at Ballarat a week ago; four-race maiden though does have a second place to his name; others appeal more.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Started at 17/1 and came in 6th last start at Ballarat. Cheekpieces go off for the first time.

4Power Of HindsightJ: Melissa Julius·T: Aaron Peterson159.5kg11 4 9 7 911: 0-0-0$101.00$8.50

Career

11: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Casterton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Avoca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Avoca1860m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD310.56L
  2. 7Bendigo1500m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT66.75L
  3. 9Hamilton1100m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT66.4L
  4. 4Cranbourne2520m3 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD314.5L
  5. 11Warrnambool2000m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD37.5L
  6. 5Colac2000m20 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD38.1L
  7. 7Pakenham1600m28 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT58L
  8. 8Swan Hill1600m28 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.4L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Limited

    Negative

    Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Limited

    Negative

    Yet to break through after 11 starts

Comments

AAP

Unplaced in all 11 runs to date. Failed to threaten at Avoca as an outsider. Switching to 1600m. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Was $61.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last start at Avoca but has a nice advantage with a good draw. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Pass.

RP

Winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 11; finished ninth, beaten a fair way at Avoca over 1m1f (maiden) last month; facing a testing assignment and one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Was 60/1 and well beaten when 9th last run at Avoca but drawn nicely. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Yet to place in 11 runs.

5Selita's FuryJ: Declan Bates·T: Michael Jones558kg4 21: 0-1-0$12.00$2.75

Career

1: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Echuca1400m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.06L
  2. 4Tatura1100m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.5L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Excellent debut performance when just nabbed at Echuca at $31. Has scope. Primed to go one better.

ILB

Just missed last time at Echuca and was a debutant last start. Winkers go on for the first time. Should muster plenty of early speed. Can run into the placings.

RP

Ran respectably on his debut at Echuca at 28-1 last month; if building on promise shown first time out no surprise to see him go well.

RSIS

Just missed last run at Echuca and having second career run. Interesting to see the cheekpieces go on for the first time. Has shown early pace in races to date.

6Trigger WarningJ: Zac Moore·T: Ann-Jeanette Tindale458kg7 5 5 9 210: 0-1-0$21.00$3.70

Career

10: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Ballarat1600m2 Nov 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY85L
  2. 9Warrnambool1400m29 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.16L
  3. 5Bendigo1600m17 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD34.2L
  4. 5Hamilton1400m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.52L
  5. 7Coleraine1600m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD35.81L
  6. 11Geelong1100m11 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.5L
  7. 4Ballarat Synthetic1100m31 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC5.8L
  8. 8Ballarat Synthetic1200m25 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC9.1L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fair way from the winner but battled home into second at Ballarat over this trip. Looks up against it.

ILB

On a quick back up. Competitive effort when 2nd last start at Ballarat on a heavy track. A 10 start maiden. Zac Moore takes a large claim. Would need to step up.

RP

Was on the premises (finished second of seven) at Ballarat last week; has shown some recent improvement but still winless and defeats stacking up (ten on the bounce).

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Ran well when 2nd last run at Ballarat. Still in maiden grade after 10 runs. The large claim from Zac Moore should help.

7AlmorinaJ: Linda Meech·T: Symon Wilde857.5kg9 22: 0-1-0$6.50$1.95

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mortlake

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Mortlake1600m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.75L
  2. 9Warrnambool1300m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.02L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 40% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Got back and hit line with a full head of steam at Mortlake. Better effort latest but needs to keep improving.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Made some ground late when 2nd last time at Mortlake. Winkers go on for the first time. Will be hitting the line strongly. Has claims.

RP

Went close when runner-up upped to this trip at Mortlake last month; wears first-time cheekpieces.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Came on strongly when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last start at Mortlake. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces on first time. Expecting a strong showing.

8HelichrysumJ: Jade Smith·T: P A Krelle1157.5kg9 7 6 5 410: 0-0-0$101.00$8.50

Career

10: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Donald

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1620m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Warrnambool2000m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD42L
  2. 5Horsham2100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.92L
  3. 6Donald1620m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.6L
  4. 7Mildura1408m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65.8L
  5. 9Ballarat Synthetic1200m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC8.4L
  6. 10Ballarat Synthetic1200m18 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.5L
  7. 9Avoca1300m29 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD310.8L
  8. 9Terang1206m17 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT612.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%

  • Limited

    Negative

    Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Not Trustworthy

    Negative

    May be competing at this level for some time

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 10kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Form modest reading. Big weight took its toll at Warrnambool over longer test. Pace influence. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Jumped at $21.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 4th last start at Warrnambool but will be facing a significant drop in distance. Best to watch only.

RP

Creditable effort to finish fourth, beaten 2l over 1m2f at Warrnambool (maiden) last Thursday; still winless and defeats stacking up (ten on the bounce); a lot on her plate here and others make more appeal.

RSIS

Was 20/1 and outmuscled in the final stages of the race when 4th last run at Warrnambool but dropping in distance.

9Imminent TouchJ: Toby Atkinson·T: Deanne Taylor957.5kg8 8 64: 0-0-0$126.00$12.00

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Great Western

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Mortlake1600m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT59.46L
  2. 8Warrnambool1200m1 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · HEAVY914L
  3. 8Great Western1200m24 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT522L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 2%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Prominent to 400m but threw the towel in quickly at Mortlake second-up. Needs a substantial turnaround.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Started at $151.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last start at Mortlake. Not interested today.

RP

Behind Almorina at Mortlake upped to this trip when beaten 9l (sixth of ten) a week ago; others more appealing.

RSIS

On a quick back up. At 150/1 couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last run at Mortlake.

10PaycheckJ: Shayleigh Ingelse·T: P A Preusker357.5kg8 4 10 44: 0-0-0$34.00$4.60

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Naracoorte

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Horsham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1430m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Naracoorte1430m1 Nov 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.75L
  2. 10Terang1200m2 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD39.4L
  3. 4Horsham1100m21 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT77.1L
  4. 8Donald1350m16 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD310.9L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 75% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Shayleigh Ingelse 109% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 117%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 77%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 61% POT in L100 Runners

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Shayleigh Ingelse in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 109%

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Handily placed and worked home soundly at Naracoorte. Strips fitter. Only for the minors here.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Odds of $7.50 and outmuscled in the late stages when 4th last start at Naracoorte. Rough hope.

RP

Respectable effort when fourth at Naracoorte over 7f (maiden) last Sunday; has posted some fair efforts in defeat and warrants plenty of respect.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Odds of 13/2 and didn't find the line when 4th last run at Naracoorte.

11Roll With ItJ: Amy Herrmann·T: B R Crofts1057.5kg7 4 8 4 810: 0-0-0$101.00$9.00

Career

10: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Ballarat1600m2 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY816L
  2. 4Bendigo1500m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT63.5L
  3. 8Kilmore1450m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD313.4L
  4. 4Mount Gambier1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT53.77L
  5. 7Ballarat Synthetic1500m11 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC10.7L
  6. 6Ballarat Synthetic1400m2 July 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC6.9L
  7. 10Wangaratta2000m2 May 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD410.8L
  8. 6Kilmore2000m17 Apr 2025 · Maiden · GOOD44.71L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Limited

    Negative

    Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Limited

    Negative

    Yet to break through after 10 starts

Comments

AAP

Record doesn't inspire. In touch but ran out of petrol quickly and finished a long way down the track at Ballarat over this trip.

ILB

On a short turnaround. At $101.00 below par performance when 8th last time at Ballarat. Has the speed to overcome the wide draw. Hasn't placed in 10 starts. Prefer in something a lot easier.

RP

Still winless and defeats stacking up (ten on the bounce); close up behind Pneuma when eighth at Ballarat last Monday; facing a testing assignment and others make more appeal.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. At 100/1 lacklustre showing when 8th last time at Ballarat. Has the necessary pace to mitistall the wide draw.

12High YieldScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Disappointing debut performance at Kyneton 20 Oct. Wiser for it. Only for the minors here.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Started $14.00 and well beaten when 7th last time at Albury.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. At 13/1 unsatisfactory performance when 7th last time at Albury.

13NialahJ: Jabez Johnstone·T: C Maher656kg3 6 8 3 45: 0-0-2$3.20$1.32

Career

5: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Wyong

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 4Ballarat1400m23 Oct 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD44.3L
  2. 3Bendigo1300m4 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT60.9L
  3. 8Caulfield Heath1100m16 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD46.36L
  4. 6Flemington1400m25 Apr 2026 · 2yo · GOOD34.8L
  5. 3Wyong1200m28 Mar 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT55.3L
  6. 3Randwick1050m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.7L
  7. 3Randwick740m30 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial3.7L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Ciaron Maher striking at just 8%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Led them up but melted under pressure at Ballarat. Has gate speed. Looking for a mile now. High on the shortlist.

ILB

Started $3.40 and was outsprinted late when 4th last run at Ballarat. Interesting to see the tongue tie go on for the first time. Displays good tactical speed. Strong prospects.

RP

Only finished fourth of 11 despite odds of 12-5 over 7f at Ballarat (maiden) 16 days ago when just behind Vulcana; stepped up on her last two starts; needs considering.

RSIS

Odds of 12/5 and was found wanting late when 4th last start at Ballarat. Tongue strap go on for the first time. Should be going forward early. Chance and can measure up.

14VulcanaJ: Jett Stanley·T: C Maher256kg2 22: 0-2-0$2.05$1.16

Career

2: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Ballarat1400m23 Oct 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD44L
  2. 2Warrnambool1200m1 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY90.46L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Ciaron Maher striking at just 8%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Promising 3yo and been in the market each outing. Rallied hard in straight to place at Ballarat at second outing. Progressive type. Key contender.

ILB

Attacked the line when 2nd beaten by 4L last start at Ballarat and will try to take advantage of the draw. Top rated selection.

RP

Respectable effort to finish runner-up over 7f at Ballarat (maiden), finished ahead of Nialah last month; first-time cheekpieces now; likely player.

RSIS

Came on strongly to finish 2nd when beaten by 4L last start at Ballarat and has a positive stall. Cheekpieces go on for the first time. Has the figures to win.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.