Ararat (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:47 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ararat (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 8 NovArarat (VIC)Change

Race 8 — Mixx FM (Bm66) 1600m · jumps Sun 8 Nov, 5:25 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Ararat for race 8 on the card, where we are looking at the Mixx Fm (Bm66) over 1600m on a good 4 surface under fine skies with the action jumping at 5:25 pm AEDT. Looking at the win market order, Bold Strike sits at the top of the board, closely followed by Cat Noir, My Uncle Did It, and Just Call Me Jonny rounding out the early fancies in this competitive 3yo+ benchmark 66 handicap event.

The numbers say Bold Strike rates a real chance despite a moderate recent stable strike rate, coming off a run at Geelong where it went home tamely before stripping fitter here from barrier 5 with Zac Moore taking the mount. My Uncle Did It represents the Symon Wilde yard from barrier 2, resuming here after a twenty-week break with fresh form that suggests it could get into the placings in this lineup with Jack Hill in the saddle. Meanwhile, Just Call Me Jonny kicks off a fresh campaign for a new stable from barrier 6 with Jack Martin taking over steering duties.

Taking a look at the speed map and further angles, Razzo Rosso and Cat Noir are expected to head forward from their barriers to lead the field, while Sound Of Jura and Littlebitcheeky settle midfield. With a good mix of styles across the 1600m trip, the numbers say it pays to keep an eye on how the speed unfolds out of the gates as this field sorts out its positions.

Race notes

3yo+,BM66,BM66 HCP,Benchmark 66
GOOD4
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

Bold Strike (1)

2.70

Most career wins

Sound Of Jura and Cat Noir

5 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

2Just Call Me Jonny

Midfield

4Sound Of Jura
11Littlebitcheeky

Offpace

6Don Rubio
1Bold Strike

Onpace

7My Uncle Did It

Leader

3Razzo Rosso
8Cat Noir

Bold Strike · Negative
Trainer SR
Ciaron Maher striking at just 8%
Just Call Me Jonny · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Razzo Rosso · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Sound Of Jura · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 39% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Bold StrikeJ: Zac Moore·T: C Maher561.5kg1 1 3 6 517: 3-3-2$2.70$1.22

Career

17: 3-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-2-0
Track Ararat
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-2-0
Going Good
12: 3-3-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Geelong1300m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD44.35L
6Caulfield2000m30 May 2026 · BM84 · HEAVY82.8L
3Caulfield2000m9 May 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT73.5L
1Ballarat2000m30 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-2.8
1Ballarat2000m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.1
2Cranbourne1600m20 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD31.5L
6Caulfield Heath1500m4 Mar 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD44.5L
4Sandown1400m28 Jan 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD41.5L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Ciaron Maher striking at just 8%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 44% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Geelong first run back at $12. Strips fitter and takes a 3kg claim. Won only other time at Ararat.

ILB

Was $12.00 and moved through the field into 5th last run at Geelong. The large claim from Zac Moore should help. Has claims.

Grade looks suitable; has won previously at this course; fair effort when beaten 4½l, finishing fifth of eight over 6½f at Geelong (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Started 11/1 and hit the line well when 5th last start at Geelong. The large claim from Zac Moore should help. Chance and can measure up.

2Just Call Me JonnyJ: Jack Martin·T: Patrick Payne661kg10 1 4 5 922: 3-4-2$8.00$2.15

Career

22: 3-4-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Matamata
3: 0-0-0
Track Taupo
1: 0-1-0
Track Tauranga
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1560m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
6: 1-2-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 1-2-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 2-2-0

Last starts

9Ellerslie2100m18 Apr 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT56.52L
5Ellerslie2200m4 Apr 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT54.35L
4Tauranga2100m14 Mar 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · HEAVY810.72L
1Te Rapa2100m7 Feb 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT5-0.56
10Ellerslie1600m11 Jan 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · GOOD42.64L
5Te Aroha1600m11 Nov 2025 · Rating 70 HCP · SOFT61.9L
8Tauranga1600m1 Nov 2025 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT53.7L
1Tauranga1400m1 Oct 2025 · Rating 65 Benchmark* · SOFT7-0.5

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jack Martin 33% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jack Martin in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 33%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (29-weeks). First run across the ditch for new stable. Opened last prep with a win at Tauranga while brought back with a Colac trial. Big watch.

ILB

Resuming after a spell of 29 weeks. Odds of $11.00 and gave away some ground when 9th last run at Ellerslie but goes down in grade. Definite claims for punters.

Was held in ninth over 1m2½f at Ellerslie (handicap) in April; form of the trainer is a plus; returns from a break here; passed over.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break of 29 weeks. Started 10/1 and weakened to finish 9th last start at Ellerslie but matched against a less competitive field. Down in trip. Definitely worth considering.

3Razzo RossoJ: Brad Rawiller·T: Shawn Mathrick160.5kg9 5 1 9 710: 3-0-0$12.00$2.70

Career

10: 3-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1230m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 2-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Bendigo1300m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.4L
9Horsham1200m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD325.67L
1Mildura1200m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
5Bendigo1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.75L
9Mildura1408m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT69.6L
1Ballarat Synthetic1200m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC-1.3
9Albury1175m19 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD48.2L
3Corowa900m30 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial1.2L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Every chance but compounded at Bendigo. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Jumped at $41.00 and struggled with the pace when 7th last run at Bendigo but can find a nice position from the draw. Should race on the speed. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.

Held when seventh beaten 7l over 6½f at Bendigo (handicap) last month; record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 3-10); one to take seriously.

RSIS

Started 40/1 and was well beaten when 7th last time at Bendigo but will try to take advantage of the stall. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.

4Sound Of JuraJ: Eoin Walsh·T: Ms A Yates360.5kg5 2 6 1 820: 5-0-3$19.00$3.40

Career

20: 5-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
4: 4-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 3-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-2

Last starts

8Kyneton1887m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.46L
1Swan Hill1600m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.75
6Seymour1600m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.3L
2Bendigo1300m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)1.3L
5Kerang1800m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.3L
5Swan Hill1600m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.1L
1Albury1600m23 Feb 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY8-0.1
8Seymour1429m3 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD37.6L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 39% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Kyneton. Switching to 1600m.

ILB

Was $12.00 and faded away to finish 8th last run at Kyneton but suited at this trip historically. Very capable of taking this out.

Beaten 6l at Kyneton over 1m1½f (handicap) three weeks ago; record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 5-20); if excused last run, interesting based on success two runs back; should prove competitive.

RSIS

Started 11/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last start at Kyneton but have to respect the form at this trip. Serious contender.

5Miss CastelvecchioScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

100

Comments

AAP

Been racing well. Good placing 3yo+ F&M (Bm70) Mornington 26 Sep. Pretty good effort in defeat at Cranbourne over today's trip. Big show if things pan out.

ILB

Amongst the placegetters when 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Cranbourne. Should be rolling forward early from the wide alley. Exhibiting good form since coming back from a break.

RSIS

Came on strongly when 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Cranbourne. Exhibiting good form since returning from a break. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall.

6Don RubioJ: Dean Yendall·T: M J Williams859.5kg1 2 1 8 115: 2-1-0$15.00$3.20

Career

5: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
2: 2-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1330m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

11Geelong1400m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD411.01L
8Rosehill1030m9 May 2025 · Barrier Trial9.4L
1Ballarat2000m12 May 2024 · BenchMark 64 · SOFT6-0.75
2Mornington2020m29 Apr 2024 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD40.15L
1Ballarat1600m16 Apr 2024 · Maiden · GOOD40L
5Geelong1330m26 Mar 2024 · Maiden · GOOD48.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Geelong for new stable at wide odds. Has an adverse draw. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Odds of $61.00 and faded to finish 11th last run at Geelong. Hard to entertain.

Finished last of 11 over 7f at Geelong (handicap) on first run for this trainer two weeks ago; may still have more to offer with few miles on the clock; strong claims if excused most recent run as achieved handicap success two runs back.

RSIS

Started at 60/1 and tailed off to finish 11th last time at Geelong.

7My Uncle Did ItJ: Jack Hill·T: Symon Wilde258kg10 2 3 10 417: 3-6-1$5.00$1.55

Career

17: 3-6-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
3: 0-0-0
Track Donald
2: 0-2-0
Distance 2400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1620m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1700m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-6-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 2-0-1

Last starts

4Colac1000m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L
10Morphettville2500m20 June 2026 · BM78 · HEAVY1017.9L
3Swan Hill2400m5 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT60.5L
2Werribee2720m14 May 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD40.3L
10Warrnambool2350m5 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.6L
2Donald2200m14 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD41.3L
1Ararat2206m30 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD3-2.5
1Terang2156m17 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT6-4.5

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 60%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 40% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (20-weeks). Saluted at Hamilton first-up last prep while given some soft trial work for return. Could get into the placings fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up and finished with purpose when winning first up last preparation at Hamilton. Should muster plenty of early speed. Likes the cut in the ground. Rates as one of the key chances.

Has won previously at this course; last of ten over 1m4½f at Morphettville (handicap) in June; back from an absence here; others more persuasive.

RSIS

Resuming and charged home to win resuming last preparation at Hamilton. Should muster plenty of early toe. Prefers the sting out of the ground. Must be considered here.

8Cat NoirJ: Zac Spain·T: Jamie Edwards457kg2 2 4 5 632: 5-6-4$3.00$1.26

Career

32: 5-6-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1347m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 1-1-1
Going Good
22: 4-3-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-2-1

Last starts

6Horsham1400m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.86L
5Caulfield Heath1600m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM74 HCP · SOFT64.1L
4Flemington1600m18 July 2026 · Benchmark 78 · SOFT64.3L
2Sandown1600m1 July 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY90.5L
2Mornington1600m8 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT72.3L
3Sandown1600m31 May 2026 · 0-66 · SOFT73.3L
9Warrnambool1700m5 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY83.9L
3Terang1600m12 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY104L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Zac Spain current POT is 27% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Made late rally from the back at Horsham. Has some claims.

ILB

Was $17.00 and ran 6th last start at Horsham. Will be positive in the run early. Marginal prospect.

Not disgraced when sixth over 7f at Horsham (handicap) last month.

RSIS

At 16/1 finished 6th last run at Horsham. Likely to be well placed early.

9Sinister SauceScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Toughed it out on the pace at Kilmore when second-up at $9. Primed to give another strong account.

ILB

Ran home strongly to win last start at Kilmore but facing formidable opponents. Expecting to settle positively. Gets some weight taken off. Forward showing expected.

RSIS

Stormed home to win last run at Kilmore but facing a stronger group of contenders. Should race on the pace. Suited by the weight drop. Expecting a solid performance.

10Carnival RichesScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Insights

Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Knuckled down strongly from back half to salute in the 3yo+ Hcp (56) Restricted 56 1600m at Bendigo. Harder now but in winning form and can give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Bold effort when winning last start at Bendigo and has a nice advantage with a good gate. Matched against tougher rivals. Good chance and definitely has claims.

RSIS

Picked up nicely to win last time at Bendigo and drawn by the rails. Racing in stronger company. Solid prospects.

11LittlebitcheekyJ: Sarah Field·T: Andrew Bobbin754kg9 1 6 5 818: 3-0-1$51.00$5.00

Career

18: 3-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Colac
2: 0-0-0
Track Great Western
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1620m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 2-0-1
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

8Horsham2100m24 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD33.9L
5Terang2156m20 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD45.9L
6Colac2000m6 Feb 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD46.1L
1Great Western1950m24 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT5-0.2
9Camperdown2200m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD312.1L
10Stawell2000m4 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.2L
5Nhill2100m26 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD33.3L
8Stawell2000m13 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD46.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -68% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (36-weeks). Close in Benchmark 66 company at Bordertown first-up last campaign. Hard to make a case off the long break.

ILB

Resuming after a 36 week spell. Started $12.00 and weakened to finish 8th last time at Horsham and dropping in distance. Facing a stronger group of contenders. Place chance.

Finished eighth but wasn't beaten too far (just under 4l) over 1m2½f at Horsham (handicap) in February; returns from a break here; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 36 weeks. Started 11/1 and didn't find the line when 8th last time at Horsham and down in distance. Up against a more competitive field.

Odds correct as at Sun 8 Nov, 5:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.