Shortest win price
Niccy's Affair (2)
2.00
Welcome to Albany for race five, the Tabtouch Regional Championship Heat - The Road To Ascot over 1240m on a good four surface under overcast skies. The win market has Niccy's Affair holding the shortest price at the top of the board, followed closely by Diablo Lad, Kamakazi Shooter, and Capricious Ruler rounding out the leading quartet in the early order. The numbers jump off the page for this competitive regional clash where speed and tactical maps will play a massive role over the twelve-hundred-and-forty-metre trip.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Niccy's Affair comes in for trainer Roy Rogers and jockey Amy Jo Hayes from barrier two, boasting an imperious victory at this course over 1100m in soft conditions prior to a barrier trial win, and looks very well placed to get an economic trail from the map. Meanwhile, Diablo Lad draws ideally from gate one for trainer Samantha Faithfull and jockey Natasha Faithfull, having battled home solidly into second over 1100m here when resuming from a long spell, suggesting improvement second-up.
Further down the win market, Capricious Ruler maps on pace from barrier six with Zephen Johnston-Porter in the saddle, coming off a fourth over 1230m at this track where the runner led before feeling the pressure, and should strip fitter now. Kamakazi Shooter also holds claims from barrier eight after a sound third over 1230m here. Overall, Niccy's Affair rates a real chance to dictate terms out in front from the leader speed group, making this a fascinating contest for punters looking for a strong trend-based play.
Shortest win price
Niccy's Affair (2)
2.00
Most career wins
Makin Prophets
7-2-7 from 42 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Makin Prophets · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 154%
Niccy's Affair · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 63%
Shooting Spirit · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Jellybean Jones · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 54% lower than Career Avg.
Career
42: 7-2-7
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 2-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-2
Track Belmont
10: 0-0-2
Track Kalgoorlie
4: 1-0-1
Track Northam
3: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1230m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
26: 3-2-4
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-1
Going Soft
14: 3-0-2
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 154%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (28-weeks). Delivered some solid performances last time in. Close-up at Ascot 11 Apr. Among the dangers fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Resumes from a spell of 28 weeks. Odds of $5.50 and overtook some late when 5th last start at this venue. Will be hitting the line strongly. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Season-ticket holder here with five wins and consistent lately; far from disgraced (beaten 2½l) here over 7½f (handicap) in April; back from an absence here; must go on the shortlist.
RSIS
Fresh after break of 28 weeks. At 9/2 picked up some late ground when 5th last run around here. Expected to be flashing home.
Career
25: 5-4-2
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1230m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1240m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
16: 2-1-2
Going Soft
9: 3-3-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 63%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 55%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 33% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Imperious victory this course off extended spell in choppy conditions. Drawn to get an economic trail. Very well placed for a repeat.
ILB
Blitzed its rivals when winning by 4 1/4L last run at the track and gets a favourable alley. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Goes up in weight. Winning chance.
RP
Knows how to win here; had a couple of these behind here over 5½f (handicap) when scoring with a bit in hand two weeks ago; can have a big say.
RSIS
Bolted in when winning by 4 1/4L last start at this track and has a good draw. Won't be far away during the run. Rises in weight. Should go close.
Career
29: 3-2-4
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 2-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra Scarpside
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
6: 1-1-0
Track Pinjarra
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1240m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
22: 3-2-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 5%
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Long winless run. Ordinary performance in small field in choppy conditions this venue off extended spell. Steep class rise. Keener on others.
ILB
Jumped at $15.00 and made up ground when 5th last start at this venue. Likely to settle back in the field. Not in this.
RP
Useful in this grade; was fifth of seven, beaten 10l, over 5½f here (handicap) two weeks ago.
RSIS
Odds of 14/1 and chased well when 5th last start at this track. Might be ridden for luck.
Career
15: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Albany
8: 2-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
8: 2-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1230m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 54% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 41% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 73% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Finished well down the track in 3yo+ Hcp (C2) this track last outing. Fitter and capable of better second-up. Has some claims.
ILB
Was $3.90 and weakened to finish 7th last start at this track and stepping up to a higher level. Potential to run into a place.
RP
Finished seventh, beaten 12l, 12 days ago; a few rivals look in good form so may have to settle for supporting role at best.
RSIS
Was 3/1 and weakened under pressure when 7th last run at this venue and competing at a higher level of competition.
Career
26: 2-4-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Albany
9: 0-2-2
Track CurrentTrack
9: 0-2-2
Track Bunbury
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1230m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1232m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 2-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
10: 0-2-1
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fair way from the winner but battled home into second this course off long spell. Will be fitter second-up. Maps well. Warrants attention.
ILB
Did well to run into 2nd last run around here and will appreciate a good draw. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Strong chance today.
RP
A long time since his last win; solid runner-up over 5½f here (handicap) behind Niccy's Affair 12 days ago.
RSIS
Came on strongly to finish 2nd when beaten by 4 1/4L last start at the track and drawn beautifully. Should jump out and bowl along. Strong chance.
Career
12: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Albany
9: 2-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
9: 2-1-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1230m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1232m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 2-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 54% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Zephen Johnston-Porter 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -47% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 55%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 33% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Led, gave away under pressure this course off extended spell. Strips fitter. Usually prominent. Worth a look.
ILB
At $4.40 didn't stay in touch when 4th last run at the track but up against a more competitive field. Won't be far away during the run. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Not beaten that far in fourth (just under 4l) when separating a number of reopposing rivals two weeks ago; capable if in the mood so expected to be in the thick of things.
RSIS
Odds of 10/3 and was found wanting late when 4th last time at this venue but facing a stronger grade. Has shown early pace in races to date.
Career
10: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track Albany
7: 1-1-1
Distance 1230m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1240m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Key Rider
Positive
Chanel Cooper 44% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 41% Profit on Turnover
Hot Jockey
Positive
Chanel Cooper in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 44%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
AAP
Rearward and made minor headway in the strung out finish this venue first up. Looks up against it.
ILB
Was $17.00 and pushed past some when 5th last time at the track but taking on stronger opponents. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
Held in fifth when separating a number of reopposing rivals 12 days ago; facing a testing assignment and others make more appeal.
RSIS
Started 16/1 and made up ground when 5th last start around here but rising in class.
Career
33: 2-7-8
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-1-2
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Bunbury
7: 0-2-2
Track Narrogin
1: 0-0-1
Track Mount Barker
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
4: 1-1-1
Distance 1190m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
6: 0-0-2
Going Soft
11: 1-2-1
Going Good
20: 1-4-7
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 14%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Sound effort without troubling winner this track off long break. Has a tricky draw. Hard to warm to.
ILB
Ran home into 3rd last start at this venue but competing in a higher grade. Do not dismiss.
RP
Wins infrequently; had a number of these behind him back down to this distance when 3½l third 12 days ago.
RSIS
Managed to run into 3rd last time around here but matched against tougher rivals.