Shortest win price
Tasman Jewel (6)
2.05
Welcome to Albany for the Wellington and Reeves Mdn over 1240m on a good four surface with overcast skies and a 5:25 pm AEDT jump. The win market order has Tasman Jewel heading the quotes, closely followed by Luz Del Sol, Twisted Trickster, and Zesty Zoom right through the early betting lines. Let us dive straight into the numbers and see how this maiden shapes up for punters.
The market leader Tasman Jewel brings a fifteen start career with two minor placings and comes off a solid effort when runner up at Albany over 1230m on a soft track where she raced on the pace. Natasha Faithfull takes the mount from barrier one, and the map suits nicely with runners from that trailing position showing a positive edge. Another key player near the top of calculations is Luz Del Sol from the Roy Rogers stable, who draws barrier two for Amy Jo Hayes. This runner had a fair hit out over 1000m here recently following a barrier trial win and should appreciate the better conditioning.
Looking further down the speed maps, we have several runners wanting to push forward including No Comebacks, Token King, and I Love Lucy A Lot, while Luz Del Sol maps as the sole leader from the inside alley. Zesty Zoom is also engaged from gate eight for T M Wolfe but cops an unfavourable barrier draw following a battling effort at this venue last time out. Tasman Jewel rates a real chance with the inside draw and suitable map conditions, making her a solid prospect for backers looking for value in a competitive maiden field.
Shortest win price
Tasman Jewel (6)
2.05
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Twisted Trickster · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
No Comebacks · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 44% in Last 100 Rides
Token King · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 85% better than Career Avg.
Menomonee Brave · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 54% in Last 100 Rides
Career
10: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Albany
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1230m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 55%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 33% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (46-days). Prominent to 400m but threw the towel in quickly at Bunbury. Home track advantage but has an adverse draw. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Back from a let up. Started at $4.00 and didn't attack the line when 10th last run at Bunbury. Not at all out of this race.
RP
11th attempt to get off the mark; finished tenth, beaten 11l, at Bunbury over 7f (maiden) 46 days ago; passed over.
RSIS
Freshened for this. Started 3/1 and gave away some ground when 10th last time at Bunbury. Watch betting.
Career
8: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Track Albany
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 44% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Chanel Cooper 45% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 41% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Finished out the back this track first up when drifting in the betting. Fitter second-up. Key contender.
ILB
Was $14.00 and mediocre display when 9th last start here. Considering others.
RP
Was ninth of 11, beaten 16l, when he was behind several of these rivals two weeks ago; is passed over.
RSIS
Was 13/1 and ordinary performance when 9th last run here.
Career
10: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
4: 0-0-0
Track York
1: 0-0-0
Track Geraldton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 85% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Jessica Gray 88% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jessica Gray in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 88%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Had Chances
Negative
Still in maiden grade after several runs
AAP
Record doesn't inspire. No threat as a $61 chance in 3yo+ Mdn this venue. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Jumped at $61.00 and was well beaten when 8th last time around here. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Hasn't placed in 9 runs. Cannot have under these circumstances.
RP
Recent form nothing to write home about and still seeking a first success after ten starts; held when eighth beaten 13l on debut for this trainer 12 days ago; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Started 60/1 and folded up in the straight when 8th last run around here. Likely to be well placed early. Unplaced in career.
Career
6: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Albany
6: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
6: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1230m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 54% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Steve Wolfe striking at just 6%
Key Rider
Positive
Zephen Johnston-Porter 44% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 41% Profit on Turnover
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
AAP
Got back, never a serious danger but not disgraced this course. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Was $51.00 and underwhelming when 7th last start at the track. Prefer others.
RP
Not beaten that far over 5f here (maiden) when not far behind Luz Del Sol two weeks ago; chance with so many of these having something to prove.
RSIS
At 50/1 uncompetitive when 7th last start at this venue.
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (3:0-0-1). Asked for little in lead-up trials. J Whiting sticks for debut. Odds may prove best guide here.
ILB
Initial race appearance 4yo by Jimmy Choux for Ashleigh Woollett. Fitter for a barrier trial here on Oct 20th. Keep your eye on the market.
RP
Already a gelding; first start under rules for this son of Jimmy Choux; is of interest.
RSIS
4yo first starter sired by Jimmy Choux for trainer Ashleigh Woollett. Ran 3rd in a trial at the track on Oct 20th.
Career
15: 0-2-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Pinjarra
3: 0-0-0
Track York
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 0-2-2
Jockey Booking
Positive
Natasha Faithfull 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Alertly away to lead, stuck on solidly 3yo+ Mdn in rain affected going this track off spell. Better conditioned. Maps to get a sweet run. Hope for exotics only.
ILB
Was found wanting late when 2nd beaten by 5 3/4L last start around here and gets a favourable gate. Will not be far away.
RP
Shown recent signs of improvement; had several of these rivals behind her when well held runner-up 12 days ago; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as looks more likely to place than win.
RSIS
Couldn't keep the momentum going throughout when 2nd beaten by 5 3/4L last time at this track and can find a nice position from the draw. Very capable of taking this out.
Career
15: 0-0-4
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-1
Track Albany
8: 0-0-2
Distance 1240m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-2
Going Soft
8: 0-0-2
Jockey Booking
Negative
Brayden Gaerth current POT is 24% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 41% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 49% in L100 rides
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
AAP
In touch, winner cleared out but she kept fighting on this track off long spell. Better for the outing. Not out of it.
ILB
Honest race when 3rd last start here. Slim chance.
RP
Improved form the last twice; well held when third (dropped back to this trip) 12 days ago.
RSIS
Claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd last start around here.
Career
9: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 63%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Roy Rogers in good form, out performing market 55%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 33% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
AAP
Performance just fair in choppy conditions this course off long break at $8. Better conditioned. Drawn to get a conservative run. Commands respect here.
ILB
Started $8.00 and lost ground in the run home when 6th last run at this venue. Has the potential to improve sharply. Has shown early pace in races to date. Definite claims for punters.
RP
Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (just over 3l) over 5f here (maiden) two weeks ago; gone nine races without a win; passed over.
RSIS
Odds of 7/1 and weakened to finish 6th last start at the track. Should improve here. Should race on the pace. Expecting a strong showing.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Albany
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1230m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
AAP
Patiently handled and only battled to wire this venue last start. Has a tricky draw and rising in weight. Others more persuasive.
ILB
Started at $11.00 and closed off nicely when 5th last start at this venue. Will be trying to topple them late. Respect the betting.
RP
Lightly raced (this just her fourth race); beaten 9l in fifth two weeks ago.
RSIS
At 10/1 ran past a few when 5th last run here. Will be hitting the line strongly. Respect the betting.
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 109%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (3:0-0-1). Quietly prepared at the trials. Bailey Webster stays aboard for debut. Betting may provide a clearer picture.
ILB
Racing as a debutant 3yo by Maschino for trainer Paul Hunter. Ran 3rd in a trial at this venue on Oct 20th. Bailey Webster provides some weight relief. Watch the betting.
RP
Sire's progeny have shown a preference for softer goings; first public outing; plenty of appeal as some good aspects to her profile.
RSIS
Paul Hunter 3yo by Maschino having first start. Finished 3rd in a trial here on Oct 20th. The large claim from Bailey Webster should help.
Career
8: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1230m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 31% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Jessica Gray 34% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Not Trustworthy
Negative
May be competing at this level for some time
AAP
Settled back and didn't come on this track first up. Poor career figures and facing another uphill task.
ILB
Ran 7th last run at the track but has the ideal alley. Likely to get back in the run.
RP
Beaten seventh of 11 two weeks ago.
RSIS
Came in 7th last start here but drawn beautifully. Expected to settle towards the rear.