Shortest win price
Farnciful (3)
2.60
Welcome to Quirindi for the Gowings Toyota (Bm58) over 1000m on a Good 4 track with fine weather, set to jump at 3:25 pm AEDT. The win market order has Farnciful leading the betting line, closely followed by Blue Dane, Rubinsky, and Diva Rouge rounding out the top quartet of the market. The numbers say this 1000m sprint for the fillies and mares will provide an absolute cracker, with speed maps showing Blue Dane and Bally Isle looking to dictate terms up front alongside on-pace runners like Diva Rouge and Rubinsky.
Taking a look at the form behind those shorter prices, Farnciful jumps off the page resuming after a 28-week break for trainer J C Deamer with Clayton Gallagher in the saddle from barrier 4, boasting consistent form around the mark last prep and solid trial conditioning. Blue Dane draws barrier 3 for Braith Nock and S Harvey, arriving here primed to strike after a couple of strong minor placings at Muswellbrook over this exact trip. Rubinsky is another that rates a real chance from barrier 6 for trainer Jake Hull and rider Shannen Llewellyn, coming off a determined last-start win at Port Macquarie over the 1000m journey.
Further down the win market order, runners like Our Astute Lass from barrier 8 and Bally Isle from barrier 7 bring interesting speed angles as potential leaders, while La Pelago maps off pace from the inside alley. The stats suggest respect needs to be given to runners like Rubinsky who handle this trip well, while fresh contenders like Farnciful add plenty of intrigue to an open contest. Check out the odds and back your numbers with confidence.
Shortest win price
Farnciful (3)
2.60
Most career wins
La Pelago
3-3-1 from 28 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Diva Rouge · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Blue Dane · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Farnciful · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 110%
Rubinsky · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Career
7: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Armidale
2: 1-1-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-1
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (25-weeks). Capable of figuring fresh whilst has looked forward enough in latest trials. Could get into the placings fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Back from a break. Jumped at $2.90 and struggled with the pace when 7th last run at Port Macquarie. Looks a nice proposition.
RP
Disappointed when seventh of nine at Port Macquarie over 6f (handicap) in May; returns from a break today; leading claims given she won a handicap two runs back.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. At 15/8 folded up in the straight when 7th last run at Port Macquarie on a heavy track. Forward showing expected.
Career
18: 2-4-3
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Quirindi
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
4: 0-0-2
Distance 1262m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 0-4-1
Going Soft
8: 1-1-2
Going Good
8: 0-3-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4.5kg weight here
AAP
Primed to strike. On speed, had enough in the tank for the minors at Muswellbrook over this trip. Form sound this level without winning. Well placed to make an impact.
ILB
Competitive effort when 2nd last start at Muswellbrook but will have to carry more weight. Expecting to settle positively. Has not missed the money this campaign in 4 attempts. One that represents value at a decent price.
RP
Finishing second was a good effort 11 days ago at Muswellbrook; may have to settle for supporting role as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Came in 2nd last time at Muswellbrook but has to cope with a weight increase. Should be going forward early. Has run into the money 4 from 4 attempts lately. One that represents value at a decent price.
Career
5: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-1
Track Taree
1: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-1-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-1-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 110%
Key Jockey
Positive
Clayton Gallagher winning at 4% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (28-weeks). Consistently around the mark last prep. Just collared in Maiden company at Taree first-up last campaign while trialling 2 times ahead of return. Looms large first-up.
ILB
First up from a break of 28 weeks and competed in a tight contest first up last preparation at Taree. Putting a tidy record together so far. Up in weight. Very capable of taking this out.
RP
Not beaten too far when sixth at Gosford in April; returns from a layoff here; needs considering as shown she can win fairly recently.
RSIS
Resuming and close to claiming the win resuming last preparation at Taree. Has very good closing pace. Fitter for a trial at Beaumont Newcastle on Sept 23rd. Definite winning chance.
Career
9: 1-3-3
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-2-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
2: 0-1-1
Track Port Macquarie
1: 1-0-0
Track Armidale
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 1-2-1
Going Soft
4: 0-1-2
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 33 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
AAP
Freshened. Genuine campaigner. Off midfield when flew home to score at Port Macquarie over this journey. Good stats this trip. Right in this.
ILB
Finished with purpose when winning last run at Port Macquarie but will have to carry extra weight. Genuine claims.
RP
Has raised her game the last twice; off the mark at the ninth time of asking (Port Macquarie) last month when winning by less than a length in a maiden; hard enough to fancy despite that win last time; also engaged in race 7 at Port Macquarie.
RSIS
Dashed home to win last time at Port Macquarie but will have to carry more weight. Jockey Shannen Llewellyn and trainer Jake Hull command respect as a team. Should go very close.
Career
7: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-2-1
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 1-1-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 66%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (48-days). Midfield, failed to find another gear but not disgraced at Scone off long spell. Placed only other time here. Can challenge.
ILB
Let up. Ran 6th last start at Scone. Shows good early pace. Place claims at best.
RP
Not many miles on the clock; creditable effort (went off 25-1) to finish sixth at Scone over 4½f (handicap) 48 days ago; prospects as shown she can get her head in front.
RSIS
Back from a freshen up. Ran 6th last time at Scone. Will be positive in the run early.
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Offpace
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here
AAP
Raced in back half and never landed a blow at Newcastle. First time around Quirindi. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Gave away some ground when 8th last run at Newcastle but will appreciate the drop in grade. Has to carry more weight this time.
RSIS
Didn't find the line when 8th last start at Newcastle but matched against less formidable competition. Bit of extra work to do with more weight.
Career
16: 1-4-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Quirindi
2: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-1-0
Distance 900m
8: 0-3-1
Distance 1000m
7: 1-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Going Good
10: 1-3-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Quirindi
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (16-weeks). Broke her maiden this t/d last prep. Among the dangers fresh in this company.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. Started $15.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last time at Gunnedah but can find a nice position from the draw. Rising in weight. Pass at this stage.
RP
Likes this combination of C&D; finished last of seven at Gunnedah in July; this line-up contains some strong opposition so hard to recommend.
RSIS
Back from a break. Started at 14/1 and struggled with the pace when 7th last time at Gunnedah but can find a nice position from the draw.
Career
28: 3-3-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Orange
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
3: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1006m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1007m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
8: 0-1-1
Going Good
20: 2-3-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 405%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 30% Profit on Turnover
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS
AAP
Long winless run. Picked off late at Canberra over this journey. Leads, handy. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Couldn't maintain the pace throughout when 4th last time at Canberra and will appreciate a good alley. Jockey Jack Baker and trainer Damien Lane form a proven partnership. Marginal prospect.
RP
Fourth, not beaten that far (25-1) at Canberra last month; not been able to get her head in front lately so others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Was found wanting late when 4th last run at Canberra and gets a favourable stall. Jack Baker and Damien Lane command respect as a team.
Career
4: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
2: 1-0-1
Track Scone
1: 0-0-1
Track Armidale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-2
Jockey Booking
Negative
Jasmine Urquhart-Warren current POT is 6% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 27%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 14%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
AAP
Freshened. Terrific from the wide gate at Muswellbrook over this trip. Leads, handy. Worth a look.
ILB
Made every post a winner to win by a short half head last start at Muswellbrook and promising career start. Should muster plenty of early toe. Not out of this.
RP
Narrow scorer in a maiden at Muswellbrook when getting off the mark at the fourth time of asking 38 days ago; has to be taken seriously.
RSIS
Made all to win by a short half head last run at Muswellbrook and promising career start. Expecting to settle positively. Been in the top three each attempt lately. Can feature today.