Shortest win price
Flamboyant Lad (1)
2.45
Welcome to Quirindi for the Gowings Toyota Country Boosted (Bm66) over 1600m on a good 3 track with fine weather. The win market order has Flamboyant Lad heading the betting lines, closely followed by Zou Big Boy, Mellencamp, and Big Short rounding out the early fancies.
Taking a look at the form, the numbers jump off the page for Flamboyant Lad prepared by Liam Ruddy from barrier 8 with Braith Nock steering, boasting a rating of 92 and showing consistent efforts including a solid run home in a Randwick Highway. Zou Big Boy rates a real chance for trainer Ms L Selby from barrier 7 with Jacob Stiff aboard, looking to bounce back quickly after being caught deep in testing conditions at Kempsey last time out.
The stats feed points to some intriguing matchup edges across the field. Flamboyant Lad maps well with early speed suited to this circuit, while Big Short comes in with the fastest overall finishing sectionals from last start at Tamworth over this journey. Mellencamp also merits respect after knuckling down with purpose at Beaumont, making for an open contest where momentum and tracking play a massive part.
Shortest win price
Flamboyant Lad (1)
2.45
Most career wins
Red Beryl
11-6-5 from 86 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Flamboyant Lad · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%
Red Beryl · Negative
Trainer SR
Jane Clement striking at just 9%
Wanda River · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Zou Big Boy · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 146%
Career
15: 3-1-2
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 2-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
3: 1-0-1
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 0-1-1
Going Good
11: 3-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Racing consistently. Handily placed and worked home soundly in Randwick Highway. Generally around the mark in this grade. Danger.
ILB
Couldn't maintain the pace throughout when 5th last start at Randwick and up against a less competitive field. Has plenty of early speed. Carrying more weight than last time. Strong chance to be considered.
RP
Has been consistent of late; wasn't beaten that far when fifth (beaten 3l) over 7f at Randwick (handicap) last month; knows how to win so in the mix.
RSIS
Peaked on the run when 5th last time at Randwick and matched against a less competitive field. Should jump out and bowl along. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Right in this.
Career
86: 11-6-5
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Forbes
1: 1-0-0
Track Quirindi
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1108m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1375m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
11: 0-2-1
Going Soft
24: 3-1-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Jane Clement striking at just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4.5kg weight here
AAP
Seasoned performer. Sent back to last and safely held in the small field at Scone. Usually gets back. One for multiples.
ILB
Was $81.00 and nothing special when 7th last run at Scone but facing a weaker grade. Gets back and needs luck. Drawn beautifully. Going up in weight. Won't find this easy.
RP
Finished last of seven at Scone last month; this is competitive and has some questions to answer.
RSIS
Started 80/1 and lacklustre showing when 7th last run at Scone but back in an easier grade. Prefers to settle towards the tail.
Career
34: 4-5-6
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 2-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Moree
2: 0-0-1
Track Quirindi
1: 1-0-0
Track Coonabarabran
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
11: 2-1-3
Distance 1300m
6: 1-0-2
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 2-2-1
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 2-3-5
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%
Key Jockey
Positive
Gabrielle Johnston winning at 24% POT in last 100 rides
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Snagged back and worked home okay in (Bm66) at Moree. Won only other time at Quirindi. Fit from racing, could get into the placings.
ILB
Was $12.00 and made ground when closing off to finish 5th last run at Moree and stepping back up in distance. Finishes off strongly. Definite claims.
RP
Has won here previously; out of the frame (beaten just under 4l in fifth) over 6f at Moree (handicap) two weeks ago; this looks a fair heat so makes little appeal.
RSIS
Started at 11/1 and inched into 5th last time at Moree and stepping back up in distance. Has a great burst of pace late. Has claims.
Career
31: 4-5-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Grafton
3: 0-1-1
Track Kempsey
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1615m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1660m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 1-2-2
Going Good
13: 0-3-1
Going Heavy
7: 3-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 146%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Backing up quickly. Unable to make an impression when caught deep in wet at Kempsey over longer assignment. Can find a few lengths here.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Started $5.50 and couldn't maintain the pace when 5th last start at Kempsey on a heavy rated track. Looking past the last run. Will go very close.
RP
Finished fifth, beaten a fair way over 1m1½f at Kempsey (handicap) on Friday; can be a player at this level; should be in the mix if replicating the best of his form.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Started 9/2 and didn't threaten when 5th last run at Kempsey on a heavy rated track. Can make a comeback. Worth a lot of thought in this race.
Career
49: 6-3-9
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
8: 0-1-1
Second-up
6: 0-0-0
Third-up
6: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-1-1
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Quirindi
2: 1-0-1
Track Newcastle
9: 1-1-1
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
24: 2-2-5
Going Heavy
6: 0-0-1
Going Soft
19: 4-1-3
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Handy, knuckled down with purpose at Beaumont. Fitter second-up and placed under similar conditions here three back. Include.
ILB
Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last run at Newcastle and returns to a rise in trip. Watch betting.
RP
Not beaten far when third over 6f at Beaumont (handicap) two weeks ago; a C&D winner; one to consider as recent performance was encouraging.
RSIS
Picked up late ground when 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last start at Newcastle and back over extra ground.
Career
14: 3-1-1
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-1
Going Soft
6: 2-1-0
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Led and held sway to win at Moree. Drawn to get a conservative run and the blinkers come off. Going great guns and stays as a major threat.
ILB
Gave them all something to chase when winning by 1/2L last start at Moree. Mikayla Weir takes the reins today. In strong racing shape this campaign.
RP
Got home in front by a neck at Moree over 7f (handicap) seeing off three of these rivals last month; admirable career strike-rate (three from 14 to date); every chance.
RSIS
Took charge of the race when winning by 1/2L last time at Moree. Mikayla Weir takes the reins today. In the top three multiple times lately.
Career
51: 6-8-5
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
7: 2-0-1
Second-up
6: 0-2-1
Third-up
6: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track Doomben
4: 0-1-1
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-1
Track Quirindi
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
9: 0-2-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
16: 2-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 24%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
AAP
Responded strongly to score in small field at Tamworth over this journey. A few runs under his belt this campaign, can make his presence felt again.
ILB
Spaced the field to win by nearly 3 1/2L last time at Tamworth but competing in a higher grade. Expected to settle towards the tail. Not dismissing.
RP
Had two of these in arrears when winning with a bit in hand at Tamworth last Tuesday; despite that Tamworth success, may be vulnerable.
RSIS
Thrashed the field when winning by a margin of just short of 3 1/2L last run at Tamworth and showing improvement in recent outings. Facing a stronger group of contenders.
Career
22: 2-5-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 0-2-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Coonamble
2: 0-1-0
Track Mudgee
1: 0-1-0
Track Coonabarabran
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 2-5-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 65%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
AAP
Got back and hit line with a full head of steam at Coonabarabran. Void of early speed and needs the breaks to fall her way but won only other time at Quirindi. Keep safe.
ILB
Was agonizingly close last start at Coonabarabran. Likely to get back.
RP
Close up runner-up at Coonabarabran two weeks ago; possesses winning form at this track; not won for some time now.
RSIS
Right in contention last start at Coonabarabran. Does take a while to get into stride.
Career
61: 5-6-9
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Pakenham Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1217m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
3: 1-0-1
Going Good
34: 1-4-5
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 47%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 28% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
AAP
Refused to shirk task in Country Boosted (Bm58) at Moree. Hard fit, can make his presence felt.
ILB
Close to a win last start at Moree. Likely to get back in the run. The large claim from Anna Weatherlake helps. Suggest watching.
RP
Behind Think Back last month at Moree when close second upped to 7f; not been able to get his head in front lately so looks risky.
RSIS
Just missed last time at Moree. Likely to get back. Anna Weatherlake takes a large claim.
Career
24: 4-1-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mungindi
1: 0-0-0
Track Warialda
2: 1-0-0
Track Quirindi
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
10: 1-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
6: 2-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 1%
Key Rider
Positive
Billy Cray 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 82%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 69% Profit on Turnover
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Ordinary performance in small field on a soft deck at Tamworth over this trip. Has the ability but lift needed on last effort.
ILB
Odds of $12.00 and disappointing display when 6th last time at Tamworth but will try to take advantage of the gate. Testing ability against stronger contenders. Much prefer the look of others in this race.
RP
Behind Big Short when finishing sixth at Tamworth last week; meeting some horses in good form and others make more appeal.
RSIS
Started at 11/1 and disappointing display when 6th last run at Tamworth but drawn nicely. Matched against a stronger field.
Career
43: 4-5-6
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Home Hill
1: 1-0-0
Track Bundarra
1: 0-0-0
Track Ewan
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1700m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1750m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1900m
4: 0-0-2
Going Good
16: 1-3-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
19: 3-0-4
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Long time since last saluted. Unable to make an impression in soft going at Tamworth over today's trip. First time around Quirindi. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Came in 4th last time at Tamworth and taking on stronger competition.
RP
Held at Tamworth last week by Big Short when beaten 6l (fourth of seven); recent form has a decent look to it; others appeal more as running in what looks to be a hot race.
RSIS
Ran 4th last start at Tamworth and facing a stronger grade.