Shortest win price
Reckless Jewel (13)
2.80
Welcome to the Quirindi Boxing Day Races Mdn Plate over the 1000m trip on a Good 4 track with fine weather, jumping at 2:45 pm AEDT. The win market order has Reckless Jewel heading the list, closely followed by Frog Rock, Nordic Star, and Clarry's Run holding down the early market interest.
Taking a look at the form behind those shorter prices, Reckless Jewel jumps from barrier one for trainer S I Singleton and jockey Mikayla Weir, coming off two steady educational trials and showing out of an unraced half-sister to Group Two winner Written Tycoon. Frog Rock is prepared by Ms J Bowen, ridden by Gabrielle Johnston, and rates a real chance after just missing at Muswellbrook before going home tamely at Scone. Nordic Star steps out for James Harding with Braith Nock in the saddle, returning fresh after some solid barrier trials that suggest she can run a bold race.
Diving into further angles from the pack, Clarry's Run brings a handy trial profile on debut from barrier ten for trainer T S Howlett and jockey Jack Baker. Speed maps show an on-pace presence with runners like Cosmic Craig, Ruairi, Frog Rock, Nordic Star, and Sto Patoma likely to find themselves prominent early, while Street Legend tackles the 1000m from the front. The numbers say keep an eye on how the debutants handle the conditions in an open maiden contest.
Shortest win price
Reckless Jewel (13)
2.80
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Firststart
Leader
Clarry's Run · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Cosmic Craig · Negative
Trainer SR
Damien Smith striking at just 2%
Ruairi · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Street Legend · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (2:0-1-1). Dam a city winner. Making debut after two handy lead-up trials. Drawn deep but market may offer more insight.
ILB
Todd Howlett trained 4yo debutant by Saxon Warrior. Placed in all barrier trials. Watch the betting.
RP
Gelded already; first rules outing for this four-year-old son of Saxon Warrior; rates a likely contender.
RSIS
Todd Howlett trained 4yo by Saxon Warrior having first start. Fitter for placing in all trials.
Career
1: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Firststart
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Wauchope
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Damien Smith striking at just 2%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 70%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 75% Profit on Turnover
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Put up a sound performance in the slosh at Wauchope on debut. Stiffer opposition here.
ILB
Amongst the placegetters when 3rd last time at Wauchope and was a debutant last start. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Can take this out.
RP
Far from disgraced (beaten 1l) on his debut over this trip at Wauchope at 9-2 last month; progress needed on this second career run; also engaged in race 5 at Port Macquarie.
RSIS
Placed 3rd last run at Wauchope and having second career run. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. One of the punters top hopes.
Career
12: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 415%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 40%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (45-days). Finished out the back at Tamworth at healthy odds. Others carry more punch.
ILB
Freshened up. Couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last start at Tamworth. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Will be positive in the run early. Very tidy performer.
RP
Last of nine at Tamworth 45 days ago in a handicap; still winless and defeats stacking up (12 on the bounce); may have to settle for supporting role.
RSIS
Let up. Didn't threaten when 9th last start at Tamworth. Should be going forward early. Tongue strap go on for the first time. The large claim from Juliet Partridge helps. Capable type.
Career
6: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 114%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 47%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (14-weeks). Ex Andrew Noblet in Victoria. Form spaced and boasts just a 4th from a handful of runs. Failed to make any headway in early form.
ILB
Fresh after a spell. Was $26.00 and weakened under pressure when 11th last time Ballarat Synthetic and will be down in distance. First race for a new trainer. Hard to have.
RP
Still searching for first win after six tries; last of 11 at Ballarat over 7½f (maiden) three months ago; first run for trainer; passed over.
RSIS
First run back today. At 25/1 didn't find the line when 11th last run Ballarat Synthetic and will be down in distance. Racing for a new trainer.
Career
5: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
2: 0-1-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Gabrielle Johnston 34% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 165%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Gabrielle Johnston in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 34%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Just missed at Muswellbrook 5 Oct. Went home tamely at Scone when second-up at $19. Can find a few lengths in this line-up.
ILB
Jumped at $19.00 and didn't find the line when 10th last run at Scone. Keep safe.
RP
Came home tenth, beaten 7l, at Scone last month; seems to be improving based on last two runs; passed over.
RSIS
Started 18/1 and didn't attack the line when 10th last time at Scone. Respect the betting.
Career
10: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-1-0
Track Kempsey
2: 0-1-0
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
6: 0-2-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-2-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 17% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Jay Hopkins striking at just 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Had all before her at turn and went home tamely at Newcastle. Open to improvement here.
ILB
Started at $71.00 and unsatisfactory performance when 7th last time at Newcastle. Interesting to see the ear muffs go on for the first time. Still a maiden after 10 runs. Chances are slim.
RP
Was held in seventh at Newcastle over 4½f (maiden) last month; yet to open her account after ten starts; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Started 70/1 and was nothing special when 7th last start at Newcastle. Interesting gear change of hood on first time. Yet to break maiden status after 10 runs.
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 70%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 75% Profit on Turnover
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-1). Dam unraced. Trialled once and gets a soft draw. Stern debut test but appears capable. Market watch.
ILB
First start at the races 5yo by Danerich for Damien Smith. Interesting gear change of tongue tie on first time. Keep your eye on the market.
RP
Having first race; related to multiple race winner Holly's Star (1m2f-1m4f); clear chance as some good aspects to her profile; also engaged in race 5 at Port Macquarie.
RSIS
5yo first starter by Danerich for trainer Damien Smith. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (35-weeks). Ex Nathan Doyle in NSW. Lightly raced 5-year-old who has only managed a 4th from 4 runs to date but two solid trials have brought her on nicely. Betting.
ILB
Fresh today after a 35 week break. Odds of $3.90 and was well beaten when 5th last time at Taree and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Right in the mix.
RP
Best she's managed so far is fourth from four career starts; not beaten too far when fifth at Taree in a handicap in March; back from an absence here; first run for stable; others have more pressing claims; also engaged in race 5 at Port Macquarie.
RSIS
Back from a 35 week break. Started 3/1 and faded to finish 5th last start at Taree and back to a shorter trip. First race for a new trainer. Genuine claims.
Career
11: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
2: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
5: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
First-up (16-weeks). Fairly consistent without winning last campaign. Can lead or take a sit. Not out of it fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. At $11.00 finished 4th last time at Gunnedah.
RP
Still winless and defeats stacking up (11 on the bounce); behind Dream A Little at Gunnedah when not disgraced in July; passed over.
RSIS
First run back. Was 10/1 and ran 4th last run at Gunnedah.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (24-weeks). Ex G Ryan & S Alexiou in NSW. Supported in early runs. Had two subsequent trials, latest at Tamworth 23 Sep.
ILB
First up after a break. Was $4.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at Canberra. Can make a comeback and gets a favourable gate. Genuine claims.
RP
Was held in ninth at Canberra Acton six months ago in a handicap; this just her third race; returns from a layoff; first run for stable; passed over.
RSIS
Fresh after a break. Started 3/1 and was well beaten when 9th last run at Canberra. Capable of bouncing back and has a good draw. Coming to a new trainer. Strong claims in this.
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Firststart
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). Dam won a maiden. Won only trial in a breeze at Beaumont. Awkward alley but shown the right signs and big watch on debut.
ILB
3yo by Profiteer having first start for trainer Jake Hull. Betting as a guide.
RP
First start under rules for this three-year-old; shortlisted as some good aspects to her profile.
RSIS
Jake Hull 3yo by Profiteer having first race appearance.
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). Out of a winning mare. Heads into debut off a very modest trial performance. Might be one to watch at this stage.
ILB
Initial appearance 3yo by North Pacific for trainer Rodney Ollerton. Finished 7th in a barrier trial at Beaumont Newcastle on Nov 6th. Follow the money.
RP
First start under rules for this three-year-old; shouldn't be far away.
RSIS
3yo first starter sired by North Pacific for trainer Rodney Ollerton. Ran 7th in a trial at Beaumont Newcastle on Nov 6th.
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Firststart
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-0). Out of an unraced half-sister to G2 winner Written Tycoon. Makes debut after two steady educational trials. Nice gate. Warrants some attention on debut.
ILB
3yo by Wild Ruler racing as a debutant for Scott Singleton and has minimal work to do from the gate. Yet to place in all barrier trials. Watch the market moves.
RP
Yard has fine record with newcomers at this distance; whether she'll be sufficiently clued up remains to be seen so requires market confidence to make her of interest.
RSIS
Initial appearance 3yo by Wild Ruler for trainer Scott Singleton and can save some energy from the stall. Finished 4th in a trial at Muswellbrook on July 15th. Watch the betting.