Shortest win price
Rockbarton Beach (7)
2.80
Port Macquarie hosts the Tacking Point Tavern Maiden Handicap over 1000 metres at 4:20 pm AEDT on a soft track rated 6 in fine conditions. The win market has Rockbarton Beach shortest, followed by Got Here, Sasqua, and Plume. It's a maiden handicap with genuine depth across the field, and the track conditions will test staying power over the sprint trip.
Sasqua rates a real chance at single-figure odds. The mare jumps from barrier 10 with Ben Looker aboard, and the jockey is running 29 per cent above market expected in his last 100 rides—a big tick for timing. Sasqua has kicked off a second campaign after 29 weeks away and wasn't beaten far in recent starts, including a close second at Hawkesbury in a barrier trial. The form suggests improvement is coming. Plume shapes as the other serious contender in the market. This on-pacer runs for trainer R N Godbolt and jockey Daniel Smith from barrier 9, and ran down the field after leading early at Port Macquarie over this exact journey last start in class one. The comment suggests Plume gave a kick from on pace and was run down in the shadows—sound claims for a track and distance mapper.
Got Here opens from barrier 1 as an early favourite and finished fastest on debut at Muswellbrook over this distance. The form suggests a decent impression was left at double-figure odds, and the rating of 78 backs the notion that better is to come with race experience. Rockbarton Beach leads the market and trialled well, winning at Gosford on a soft 6, with a nice barrier draw in 3. Watch how the market moves on that one—if support comes in, it may be worth following. The speed makeup splits into on-pace runners Sasqua, Acharnee, and Plume, with plenty of first-starters looking to make their mark.
Shortest win price
Rockbarton Beach (7)
2.80
Back left · leaders right
Onpace
Firststart
Backmarker
Offpace
Leader
Sasqua · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Acharnee · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Clandestine · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Got Here · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Career
1: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Wauchope
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
AAP
Beaten but by no means disgraced in Wauchope career opener. Stiffer opposition here but has several key gear changes and plenty of scope.
ILB
Competitive effort when 3rd last start at Wauchope and was on debut last time.
RP
Far from disgraced, finishing third, on his debut at Wauchope at 9-2 last month; hard to see him getting off the mark second time up; also engaged in race 2 at Quirindi.
RSIS
Ran 3rd last start at Wauchope on a heavy rated track and was a debutant last start.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Ben Looker 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (29-weeks). Not beaten far in three runs and showing enough in recent trials. More improvement to come.
ILB
First up from a break of 29 weeks and ran 3rd first up last preparation here. Ben Looker and Jake Hull work well together. Will be down in distance. Will go close today.
RP
Not yet off the mark in three attempts although has finished third; not disgraced when fourth in a maiden at Grafton in April; returns from a break here.
RSIS
Resuming and ran well when 3rd resuming last preparation here. Ben Looker and Jake Hull are a strong duo. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall. Suited against these.
Career
7: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-2-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Freshened. Ex Reece Goodwin in Victoria. Settled midfield, ran on fairly without threatening at Warrnambool over this distance. Blinkers and tongue tie come off. Place preferred option.
ILB
Started at $13.00 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last run at Warrnambool. First appearance for a new trainer. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Good prospects.
RP
Finished fourth but wasn't beaten too far (3½l) in a maiden at Warrnambool last month; some promise; closest she has come to winning after seven starts was a second; first start for new stable; passed over as this could be a hot race.
RSIS
Odds of 12/1 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last time at Warrnambool. First race for a new trainer. Definite winning chance.
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Firststart
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (4:0-0-0). $30k purchase. Out of a full sister to G1 winner Age of Fire. Well held in all trials. Prefer to see on debut.
ILB
Samantha Mcguren 3yo by Captivant having first race appearance. Has not placed in multiple trials. Watch the market moves.
RP
Related to Riverplate (winner from 6½f up to 1m1f); already gelded; running for the first time; prospects with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Racing as a debutant 3yo by Captivant for Samantha Mcguren. Unplaced in all trials.
Career
1: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Back for second campaign (13-weeks). Left a decent impression on debut at Muswellbrook at double-figure odds 9 Aug. Better for race exposure. Expecting a prominent showing fresh.
ILB
First up today. Came on strongly when 3rd last run at Muswellbrook and was a debutant last start. Might have to make up considerable ground. Could be in the mix.
RP
Not beaten far on his debut over this trip at Muswellbrook at 20-1 in August; might be better for the experience although not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at Muswellbrook and was on debut last time. Might be ridden for luck. Could feature here.
Career
8: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 34% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Neil Godbolt striking at just 9%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 40% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Run down in the shadows after a giving a kick from on pace in the Hcp (C1) this venue over this journey. On pacer. Sound claims.
ILB
Was agonizingly close last time at the track. The wide gate shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Good chance in this.
RP
Ran well when beaten a neck two weeks ago; has taken a step forward the last twice but yet to open her account after eight starts.
RSIS
Missed by a narrow margin last time at the track. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw. Solid chance.
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Firststart
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (2:1-1-0). Dam unraced. It's all systems go now for this gelding after latest trial win on a soft 6 at Gosford. Nice gate. Betting may provide a clearer picture.
ILB
Debutant 3yo by Sandbar for trainer David Atkins. Winner in a barrier trial at Gosford on Oct 28th. Great to see jockey Aaron Bullock taking the ride. Watch the betting.
RP
Gelded already; first competitive racecourse experience; from the same family as Rockbarton Flash, a winner over 7½f; should be on the premises.
RSIS
3yo debutant by Sandbar for trainer David Atkins. Winner in a trial at Gosford on Oct 28th. Jockey Aaron Bullock is highly regarded.
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Luke Rolls 37% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (2:0-1-0). Dam won a country maiden. Latest trial solid at Gosford. Watch markets.
ILB
3yo by Sandbar on debut for David Atkins. Finished 2nd in a barrier trial at Gosford on Oct 28th. Market as guide.
RP
Already a gelding; this son of Sandbar is having his first start under rules; others look more obvious on paper; probably best watched.
RSIS
Career debut 3yo by Sandbar for trainer David Atkins. Placed 2nd in a trial at Gosford on Oct 28th.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer SR
Negative
Damien Smith striking at just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -75% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 70%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 75% Profit on Turnover
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-1). Out of an unraced NZ mare. In respected stable and took benefit from lone trial placing on the Beaumont. Watch betting.
ILB
5yo debutant sired by Danerich for Damien Smith. Betting as a guide.
RP
Related to Holly's Star, winning form over 1m2f-1m4f; market confidence needed to make her of interest as she may come unstuck against experienced rivals; also engaged in race 2 at Quirindi.
RSIS
5yo first starter by Danerich for trainer Damien Smith.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -46% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (4:1-0-2). Dam won twice. Was an earlier trial winner on the Scone track. Drawn well. Looks a forward type and warrants attention.
ILB
Initial race appearance 4yo by Tassort for trainer Todd Howlett. Won a barrier trial at Scone on Mar 11th. Watch the market.
RP
First start under rules for this four-year-old; likely to be a contender.
RSIS
First race appearance 4yo by Tassort for Todd Howlett. Won a trial at Scone on Mar 11th. Watch the betting.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (31-weeks). Found the debut assignment beyond him at Wyong 4 Apr. Trial was pleasing but still prefer to see.
ILB
Resuming after a spell of 31 weeks. Was $15.00 and below expectations when 5th last start at Wyong but having second race start.
RP
Never posed a significant threat on her debut at Wyong at 14-1 in April; returns from a layoff; could improve from first run although a leap forward required to win this.
RSIS
Back after break of 31 weeks. Started 14/1 and ordinary performance when 5th last start at Wyong but having second career run.
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-0). Dam won three races. Soft trial work but wasn't far off them at latest on a soft 6. A Gibbons stays aboard for debut. Odds may prove best guide here.
ILB
3yo by Snitzel having first race appearance for trainer Kim Waugh. Ran 5th in a trial at Gosford on Oct 28th. Watch early betting.
RP
There's hope from the sire that she has some ability; related to 6f winner Populism; should not be far away.
RSIS
3yo debutant sired by Snitzel for Kim Waugh. Finished 5th in a trial at Gosford on Oct 28th.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 54% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jenny Duggan 65% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 190%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jenny Duggan in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 65%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Finished out the back at Wyong at second start at huge odds. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Odds of $101.00 and just average when 10th last time at Wyong but gets a favourable gate. Appears tested.
RP
Finished last of ten at Wyong last month; runs for only the second time in a handicap; others more likely.
RSIS
Was 100/1 and unimpressive effort when 10th last time at Wyong but has a good draw.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
AAP
Finished well held midfield at Scone at second start under market support. Fitter. Needs luck but has scope.
ILB
At $4.40 finished 6th last run at Scone.
RP
Not beaten that far in sixth (4l) in a maiden at Scone last month; easy to oppose.
RSIS
At 10/3 finished 6th last start at Scone.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (35-weeks). Ex Nathan Doyle in NSW. Lightly raced runner whose best effort remains a from 4 career appearances. Tuned up nicely with a couple solid trials.
ILB
First up from a break of 35 weeks. Started at $3.90 and faded away to finish 5th last start at Taree and will be facing a significant drop in distance.
RP
Not disgraced when fifth in March at Taree in a handicap; returns from a break today; first start for new trainer; also engaged in race 2 at Quirindi.
RSIS
Back from a 35 week break. Started 3/1 and was well beaten when 5th last start at Taree and back to a shorter distance. Racing for a new trainer.
Career
17: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Wyong
2: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
2: 0-0-1
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
8: 0-1-1
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 37%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 23% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Threw the anchor out late after leading at Beaumont over longer test. Leads, handy. Coming back in distance. Only for the minors here.
ILB
Started at $20.00 and overrun in the final stages when 5th last run at Newcastle but coming back in distance. Should come to hand quickly. Betting is the best guide.
RP
This is his grade; finished fifth but wasn't beaten too far (4½l) over 6½f at Beaumont (handicap) last month.
RSIS
At 19/1 was found wanting late when 5th last start at Newcastle but will be dropping in distance. Should race on the pace. Watch for a sign in the market.