Shortest win price
Autumn Heir (2)
1.90
Port Macquarie plays host to the Hastings Hotel benchmark race over 2000 metres on a soft six track under fine conditions at 2:25 pm AEDT. Autumn Heir leads the win market from D'Oro Choice and Purple Kitty, with Farraige next. The Lees-trained Autumn Heir is the shortest price and brings a rating of 100 with form that reads strongly — a close second at Muswellbrook second-up over 1750 metres and a return to 2000 metres should suit. The Bullock partnership shows respect from the market, though the stable has been underperforming by 39 per cent recently. D'Oro Choice sits on a rating of 77 and the Bannister camp's form suggests a major player is on offer here — the comment notes a strong minor showing at Dubbo, back to weaker company, and the 2000 metre trip is a suit after struggling at longer distances.
Form details paint a split picture between the top three. D'Oro Choice's last ten shows consistency with four placings in recent runs, though the Bannister-Fergusson Smith combination are losing 100 per cent profit on turnover across their last hundred races — a red flag worth noting. Purple Kitty, who sits third, comes off a quick back-up from Kempsey where the form comment notes a strong finish through heavy going; Jenny Duggan's booking is a genuine edge here, the jockey running 65 per cent above market expected in the last hundred rides. Farraige, further down the order, has won twice at this distance and Ben Looker is firing at 21 per cent above career average ROI, which rates a tick despite two modest efforts back-up.
Early pace shapes as a tactical battleground with Purple Kitty leading from Autumn Heir, In Iso and Dancing Tilda pressing onpace, while Ghayoor and D'Oro Choice sit midfield. Dundee Tales shows the fastest finishing sectionals from last start but operates in a stable running just 4 per cent strike rate lately. Autumn Heir's proven form from second-up, combined with the rating advantage and the Lees-Bullock partnership's respect in the market, rates a real chance at the top of the order.
Shortest win price
Autumn Heir (2)
1.90
Most career wins
D'Oro Choice and Farraige
4 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
D'Oro Choice · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Autumn Heir · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Farraige · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Purple Kitty · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 54% in Last 100 Rides
Career
42: 4-6-7
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
5: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
5: 1-1-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-1
Track Mackay
4: 0-1-1
Track Rockhampton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1410m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1418m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
28: 2-4-5
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-1
Going Soft
12: 1-2-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 19%
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 6kg now
AAP
Winner too strong but ran on for the minors at Dubbo. Back to weaker company. Switching back to 2000m should suit. Shapes as a major player.
ILB
Kept coming when 2nd last time at Dubbo and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. In a purple patch of form since resuming from a spell. Low-key chance.
RP
Respectable effort to finish second at Dubbo over 1m3f (handicap) last month; producing solid form figures; difficult to oppose.
RSIS
Attacked the line when 2nd beaten by 4 1/4L last start at Dubbo and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. In good shape since coming back from a break.
Career
22: 2-3-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
8: 2-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Strong late at Muswellbrook second-up. Likes some juice in the track. Suited by the longer assignment now. Respect Lees/ Bullock combination. Take stopping.
ILB
Finished 2nd last start at Muswellbrook. Aaron Bullock adds value. Great chance.
RP
Missed out by half a length over 1m½f at Muswellbrook (handicap) last Tuesday; not ruled out as recent performance was encouraging.
RSIS
Honest race when 2nd last time at Muswellbrook. Jockey Aaron Bullock is a bonus. Beautifully placed.
Career
66: 4-11-11
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
6: 0-0-1
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Armidale
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1610m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1880m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
28: 0-6-0
Going Heavy
14: 2-1-5
Going Soft
23: 2-4-5
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Key Rider
Positive
Ben Looker 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 19%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
AAP
On a quick back-up. Modest performance at Goulburn. Two of his wins were this distance. A few runs under his belt this campaign, can play a role.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Jumped at $11.00 and picked up some ground to run 4th last start at Goulburn and gets a favourable barrier. Win will not surprise.
RP
Has won here before; not beaten too far when fourth at Goulburn over 1m (handicap) at the weekend; meeting some horses in good form and not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
On a short back up. Odds of 10/1 and edged past some when finishing 4th last time at Goulburn and has a good draw. Good prospects.
Career
40: 3-4-6
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Armidale
3: 0-0-0
Track Taree
17: 2-3-3
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1007m
3: 0-0-2
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
15: 2-2-2
Going Heavy
6: 0-1-3
Going Soft
19: 1-1-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 54% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Jenny Duggan 65% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 160%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 20%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jenny Duggan in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 65%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
AAP
On a quick back-up. Finished it off well in the Country Boosted (Bm58) when up to its hocks in mud at Kempsey. Not a regular winner but can't rule out.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Zipped home into 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last time at Kempsey and returning to a rise in trip. Should come to hand quickly. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Has won here before; not beaten far when third over 7f at Kempsey (handicap) on Friday; recent effort was creditable so looks a contender.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Ran home into 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last run at Kempsey and coming back up in distance. Respect the betting.
Career
45: 2-2-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-2
Track Kempsey
2: 0-0-1
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1007m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
16: 2-1-2
Going Good
20: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
9: 0-1-3
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 62%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Last win was 22 Jul 2025. Ordinary performance in small field at Newcastle. Easier this level but needs to lift to figure. On trust.
ILB
At $31.00 couldn't stay in touch when 7th last run at Newcastle but dropping in class. Has more weight to carry. Looking elsewhere.
RP
Not a frequent winner; finished last of seven at Newcastle over 1m1½f (handicap) last month; others more likely as a few rivals look in good form.
RSIS
Was 30/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last time at Newcastle but matched against less formidable competition. Will have to carry extra weight.
Career
23: 1-4-3
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Grafton
6: 1-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-1
Track Coffs Harbour
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1715m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1725m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 0-4-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -30%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 42%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 19%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Solid finish from the tail at Coffs Harbour over this distance. Fit from racing and right in the mix again.
ILB
On a quick back up. Came on strongly when 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Coffs Harbour and drawn the rails. This is a tough race.
RP
Finished runner-up when beaten 1½l eight days ago at Coffs Harbour in a conditions race; achieved only a sole win; others more likely as looks more likely to place than win.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Caught the eye when 2nd last run at Coffs Harbour and drawn nicely. Expected to settle towards the rear.
Career
7: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
2: 1-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1262m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Coffs Harbour. First real test of stamina here. Only for multiples.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Was $11.00 and weakened under pressure when 5th last run at Coffs Harbour. Outside chance.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten 5l in fifth) over 1m at Coffs Harbour (handicap) last week; cannot be ignored.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Odds of 10/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 5th last run at Coffs Harbour.
Career
16: 1-0-5
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Port Macquarie
3: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-1
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1205m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1310m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-2
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
6: 1-0-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Restrained, ran into the minors late at Coffs Harbour in rain affected going. First real test of stamina here and tackling stronger line-up.
ILB
Managed to run into 3rd beaten by close to 3L last time at Coffs Harbour and gets some weight taken off. Looking at others.
RP
Low strike-rate of 1-16; respectable effort when third at Coffs Harbour over 1m (handicap) last month; stamina to prove at this trip so others appeal more.
RSIS
Managed to place 3rd beaten by close to 3L last time at Coffs Harbour and dropping weight.
Career
48: 1-2-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Tuncurry
3: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
12: 0-0-0
Track Taree
16: 1-1-0
Distance 2245m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
10: 1-0-2
Going Soft
18: 0-2-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Teighan Worsnop current POT is 54% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Peter Cheers in good form, out performing market 20%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 79% in L100 rides
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Unable to make an impression in soft going this venue. Hard to enthuse.
ILB
Odds of $16.00 and uncompetitive when 5th last start here but gets some weight relief. Might be ridden for luck. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.
RP
Poor strike-rate; behind Dundee Tales in a conditions race beaten 4½l two weeks ago; hard enough to fancy as running in what looks to be a hot race.
RSIS
Was 15/1 and not up to standard when 5th last time at this venue but goes down in weight. Likely to get back in the field.