Pakenham Synthetic (VIC) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham Synthetic (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Friday 2 October 2026

Race 8 — Ladbrokes More On Tote Win (Bm66) 1200m · jumps 9:45 pm AEST

Race notes

3yo+,BM66,Benchmark 66
GOOD3
Showers
7 runners

Shortest win price

The Volta (10)

3.00

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

10The Volta

Midfield

4Rich On Bubbles
5Attachments
6Express Class

Onpace

3King West
8Persian Caviar

Leader

11Shystar

King West · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Rich On Bubbles · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides
Attachments · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 45% in Last 100 Rides
Express Class · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Electric ElvisScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

5 weeks since last run. Holding form. Found enough to place in small field at Bendigo. Take stopping despite hefty weight.

ILB

Hit the line well when 2nd last run at Bendigo on a heavy rated track. Showing good ability since coming back from a spell.

RSIS

Made some ground late when 2nd last run at Bendigo. In a purple patch of form since returning from a break.

2Wolf Twenty OneScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

First-up (14-weeks). Consistent through last prep. Form solid this distance. Capable of making an impact fresh in this company.

ILB

First up and finished with purpose when winning first up last preparation at Cranbourne. Proven runner at this trip.

RSIS

Resuming and picked up nicely to win resuming last preparation at Cranbourne. Suited at this trip historically.

3King WestJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: E Jusufovic660.5kg2 4 3 4 111: 3-2-111.003.80

Career

11: 3-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
2: 1-1-0
Track Sale
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1017m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Moe1208m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-2
4Sale1000m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.8L
3Sale1200m8 Jan 2026 · BM62 · GOOD31.5L
4Cranbourne1000m19 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD42.2L
2Cranbourne955m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD31L
8Cranbourne1200m31 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD414L
6Hamilton1100m11 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT59.7L
4Sale1210m9 Oct 2024 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD40.19L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 216%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Broke clear to win impressively at Moe when second-up. Has early speed. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Dashed home to win last start at Moe on a heavy rated track and have to respect the form at the trip. Has shown early pace in races to date. Can win.

RSIS

Rocketed home when winning last run at Moe and strong form at the trip. Won't be far away during the run. The large claim from Caitlin Hollowood helps. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

4Rich On BubblesJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes560.5kg1 13 5 6 98: 3-0-07.503.20

Career

8: 3-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 3-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Flemington1400m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD33.1L
6Caulfield1200m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo · SOFT64.61L
5Caulfield Heath1200m8 Aug 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT61L
13Randwick1400m4 Apr 2026 · 2yo · SOFT728.6L
1Caulfield1200m21 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD4-1.8
1Murray Bridge1100m7 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD4-4.1
1Pakenham1000m12 Feb 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.2
10Flemington1000m4 Oct 2025 · 2yo · GOOD38.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes striking at just 8%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Nadia Daniels 52% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 134%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Key Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels winning at 39% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Off pace and comfortably beaten at Flemington. Drops to shorter trip. Not out of this.

ILB

Jumped at $51.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last start at Flemington but going down in class. Large claim helps. Considering others.

RSIS

Started at 50/1 and struggled with the pace when 9th last start at Flemington but challenged by less formidable competitors. Nadia Daniels provides some weight relief.

5AttachmentsJ: Holly Durnan·T: Archie Alexander1460kg1 4 2 6 310: 3-2-14.202.05

Career

10: 3-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-1
Second-up
2: 2-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
9: 3-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 2-2-1
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

3Caulfield Heath1200m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.2L
6Cranbourne1200m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42.9L
2Sandown1300m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
4Sandown1200m8 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.6L
1Kilmore1200m23 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT7-2.3
2Mornington1200m2 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD0.1L
10Caulfield1200m28 June 2025 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · SOFT623.3L
1Cranbourne1200m9 May 2025 · 2UP F&M BM64 HCP · GOOD4-1.3

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 45% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 288%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
2nd Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 2 when second up

Comments

AAP

Stationed around midfield, positive response gaining late ground at Caulfield Heath after lengthy absence. Unbeaten second-up and takes a 3kg claim. Can play a role with even breaks.

ILB

Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Caulfield Heath. Ms Holly Durnan and Archie Alexander are an imposing duo. Strong claims.

RSIS

Hit the line well when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Caulfield Heath. Jockey Ms Holly Durnan and trainer Archie Alexander have enjoyed a lot of success together. Good chance in this.

6Express ClassJ: Patrick Moloney·T: G M Moloney960kg7 7 8 8 510: 1-0-17.003.00

Career

10: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1

Last starts

5Caulfield Heath1200m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.65L
8Bendigo1300m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY98.16L
8Caulfield1100m25 July 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT64.3L
7Flemington1600m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD42.8L
7Flemington1400m14 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD43.7L
6Caulfield1200m24 Jan 2026 · 3yo · GOOD31.7L
9Flemington1000m10 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.6L
6Caulfield1200m30 Aug 2025 · 3yo · SOFT56.6L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

Comments

AAP

Kept finding the line without threatening at Caulfield Heath over this trip. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

At $11.00 faded in the late stages of the race when 5th last time at Caulfield Heath. Forward showing expected.

RSIS

At 10/1 was getting tired late when 5th last time at Caulfield Heath. Capable of winning this.

7FehmarnScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Won a 1000m Benchmark 66 at Bendigo two back. Big weight took its toll at Sandown-Hillside. Usually prominent. Worth a look.

ILB

Was $5.50 and ran 4th last time at Sandown but solid career start. Has been a model of consistency this campaign.

RSIS

Was 9/2 and came in 4th last start at Sandown but promising career start.

8Persian CaviarJ: Luke Nolen·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman1159kg1 2 3 1 85: 2-1-15.502.50

Career

5: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
2: 1-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-1-1
Going Good
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1

Last starts

8Caulfield1100m9 May 2026 · Benchmark 78 · SOFT78.8L
1Sandown1200m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.8
3Sandown1200m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.3L
2Ballarat1200m19 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.2L
1Wangaratta1100m23 Dec 2024 · Maiden · GOOD4-2.5

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 48% Profit on Turnover
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (20-weeks). Placed at Sandown-Lakeside first-up last campaign. Back to weaker company. Can make her presence felt fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up and good effort to run 3rd first up last preparation at Sandown. Likely to be well placed early. Competing in a less challenging grade. Should go very close.

RSIS

Resuming and made some ground late when 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L resuming last preparation at Sandown. Expecting to settle positively. Facing weaker opposition. Good career start. Up in weight. Has claims.

9Legacy BayScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Resuming (20-weeks). Form honest through last campaign. Placed at Caulfield first-up last campaign. Each way.

ILB

Resuming. At $6.00 finished 9th last start at Caulfield but drops back to a suitable class. Up in weight.

RSIS

First run back today. Odds of 5/1 and came in 9th last run at Caulfield but stepping down to a lower level. Carrying more weight than last time.

10The VoltaJ: Logan Bates·T: J F Moloney1358.5kg2 5 3 5 611: 2-3-13.001.65

Career

11: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-1-0
Track Sale
1: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-3-1

Last starts

6Caulfield Heath1200m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.65L
5Sandown1400m23 May 2026 · 3Y FILLIES BM78 HCP · SOFT73.1L
3Flemington1400m16 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD42.5L
5Bendigo1400m2 May 2026 · 3yo · GOOD32L
2Mornington1200m18 Apr 2026 · 3YF HCP · GOOD40.1L
3Traralgon950m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.5L
2Flemington1400m17 Jan 2026 · 3Y BM70 · GOOD31.8L
2Cranbourne1400m27 Dec 2025 · 3Y BM70 · GOOD31.3L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Logan Bates current POT is 15% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
2nd Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when second up

Comments

AAP

Made late rally from the back at Caulfield Heath first up. Strips fitter and takes a 1.5kg claim. Ticks the track and distance win box. Warrants attention.

ILB

Was $3.90 and ran 6th last time at Caulfield Heath. Should improve. Has a nice turn of foot. Winning potential.

RSIS

Was 3/1 and finished 6th last start at Caulfield Heath. Likely to bounce back. Has a great burst of pace late. Will go close here.

11ShystarJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes258kg5 11 3 7 910: 2-0-26.002.65

Career

10: 2-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-2

Last starts

9Murray Bridge1200m13 June 2026 · 3Y SW+P · SOFT613.5L
7Morphettville1200m30 May 2026 · CL2 · SOFT73.3L
3Morphettville1300m16 May 2026 · BM74 · SOFT51L
11Bendigo1100m2 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD35.2L
5Mornington1200m18 Apr 2026 · 3YF HCP · GOOD43.4L
3Caulfield Heath800m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3L
1Ballarat1400m6 Dec 2025 · 3-5yo · SOFT6-0.2
1Geelong1207m14 Nov 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD-0.15

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (15-weeks). Won the 3,4&5yo Hcp (C3) Ballarat 6 Dec. Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this company.

ILB

First run back after break. Odds of $11.00 and folded up in the straight when 9th last start at Murray Bridge but drawn nicely. Lachlan Neindorf is a plus. Has some claims.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Was 10/1 and faded away to finish 9th last start at Murray Bridge but gets a favourable stall. Should muster plenty of early toe. Watch the betting.

12One Day At A TimeScratched16––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Gallant display at Caulfield Heath over today's trip. Can challenge again.

ILB

Made some ground late when 2nd last run at Caulfield Heath.

RSIS

Managed to place 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Caulfield Heath.

13Blue BanditScratched15––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Let-up (51-days). Ex J Leek Jnr in Victoria. Failed to threaten in heavy ground at Bendigo over longer assignment. Happy to watch.

ILB

Back from a let up. Was $6.50 and faded away to finish 13th last start at Bendigo and down in distance. Change in trainer.

RSIS

Back from a let up. Odds of 11/2 and gave away some ground when 13th last start at Bendigo and will be down in distance. Racing for a new trainer.

14KarrenScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Debut winner at Sandown-Lakeside 10 Dec. Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong at Geelong at second outing. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Was agonizingly close last time at Geelong.

RSIS

Right in contention last run at Geelong.

15BalanceScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Terrific winning the 4yo+ Mdn Plate over 1100m at Geelong at $1.65. Has claims for a repeat.

ILB

Strong effort to the line to win last run at Geelong but facing a stronger group of contenders. Form has been improving over recent runs.

RSIS

Strong effort to the line to win last run at Geelong but racing against tougher rivals. Demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races.

16PurgatorioScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Off midfield when flew home to score at Ballarat second-up. This will ask more.

ILB

Charged home to win last run at Ballarat and drawn beautifully. Promising career start. Challenged by more formidable competitors.

RSIS

Bold effort when winning last start at Ballarat and has a nice advantage with a good draw. Solid career start. Up against a more competitive field.

Odds correct as at 12:00 pm AEST. Odds can change.