Pakenham Synthetic (VIC) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham Synthetic (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Friday 2 October 2026

Race 2 — Ladbrokes Tote Win +10% In October Mdn Plate 1000m · jumps 6:45 pm AEST

Race notes

3Y MDN-SW,3yo,Maiden
GOOD3
Showers
11 runners

Shortest win price

Resonant (3)

3.00

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

6Divine Dame
9Mardaloop
10Miss Home Body
12Teddy's Trotter

Backmarker

7Gimonnet
16Inside Word

Midfield

3Resonant
13Senza Nome

Onpace

2Mr Sapphire
11Model Gigi

Leader

15Nautique

Mr Sapphire · Negative
Class Rise
Racing in stronger company
Resonant · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 35% better than Career Avg.
Divine Dame · Negative
Jockey Booking
Ben Allen current POT is 35% below Career Avg.
Gimonnet · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Keen ObserverScratched16––––

Rating · IRD

100

Comments

AAP

In the market all runs. Forwardly placed, continued to stick on at Ballarat. Drops to shorter trip. Sound claims.

ILB

Attacked the line when 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Ballarat and putting a tidy record together so far. Been in the money 4 from 4 attempts this campaign.

RSIS

Zipped home into 3rd beaten by 1L last time at Ballarat and good career start. Been in the placings each start recently.

2Mr SapphireJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: J F Moloney558kg3 62: 0-0-114.003.60

Career

2: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

6Ballarat1000m18 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.32L
3Pakenham1000m1 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.6L

Insights

Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Latest attempt this journey when reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Ballarat. Only for the minors here.

ILB

At $8.50 was well beaten when 6th last time at Ballarat. Should be going forward early. Watch for a sign in the market.

RSIS

Started at 15/2 and gave away some ground when 6th last time at Ballarat. Has plenty of early pace. Can't leave out of your calculations.

3ResonantJ: Ethan Brown·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes1058kg1 2 7 63: 0-1-03.001.38

Career

3: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Flemington1100m6 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY83.9L
7Flemington1400m16 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD46.3L
2Bendigo1100m2 May 2026 · 2Y SW · GOOD30.5L
1Caulfield Heath850m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 35% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes striking at just 8%
Key Rider
Positive
Ethan Brown 59% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 52%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Ethan Brown in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 59%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (16-weeks). In the minors at Bendigo on debut last campaign. 2nd & 1st at latest jump-outs. Among the main chances.

ILB

First up from a break of 16 weeks and was strong late when 2nd first up last preparation at Bendigo. Competing in a less challenging grade. Smart type.

RSIS

Resuming and ran on when 2nd resuming last preparation at Bendigo. Dropping in grade. Solid chance to come away with the spoils.

4ValarosoScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Just beaten in the 3yo C&G Mdn Plate at Caulfield Heath at his second race start. Coming back slightly in distance. Looks an improver and rates strongly.

ILB

Just shy of the win last run at Caulfield Heath.

RSIS

Narrowly beaten last start at Caulfield Heath.

5Call Me LaterScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Cost $120K. Introducing a 3yo filly out of the Rubick mare Bright Rubick. Recent win of a Pakenham jump-out. Nice gate. Look to market for a further guide.

ILB

Katherine Coleman & Peter G Moody 3yo by Too Darn Hot having first race start and drawn the rails. Respect the betting.

RSIS

Katherine Coleman & Peter G Moody trained 3yo first starter by Too Darn Hot and drawn the rails.

6Divine DameJ: Ben Allen·T: Charlotte Littlefield1456kg–7.502.50

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Ben Allen current POT is 35% below Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 43% in L100 rides
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Cosy $80K. 3yo filly a half-sister to Elonia heading to the races for the first time. Won past couple of jump-outs. Follow any betting leads.

ILB

3yo debutant by Tagaloa for Charlotte Littlefield. Market as guide.

RSIS

Charlotte Littlefield trained 3yo by Tagaloa having first start.

7GimonnetJ: Craig Williams·T: A & S Freedman1256kg6 62: 0-0-03.901.65

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Morphettville1200m25 Apr 2026 · 2yo · GOOD418.1L
6Morphettville1050m11 Apr 2026 · 2Y LISTED SW · SOFT63.9L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (22-weeks). Appears more developed now and has had a 1st & 3rd at latest jump-outs. Craig Williams rides. Watch out for any betting push.

ILB

First up after a break. Odds of $16.00 and folded up in the straight when 6th last time at Morphettville. Expecting improvement and will appreciate the drop in grade. Good chance in this.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break. At 15/1 faded away to finish 6th last start at Morphettville. Happy to forgive that run and goes down in grade. Has definite claims.

8Kiss Me In ParisScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Resuming for second prep (40-weeks). Upside off spell. A long way off them at Caulfield Heath on debut when in the market. Recent jump-out success. Big watch.

ILB

Resuming after a 40 week spell. Odds of $5.00 and faded to finish 9th last run at Caulfield Heath but was a debutant last start.

RSIS

Resumes from a break of 40 weeks. Started 4/1 and faded to finish 9th last time at Caulfield Heath but having second career run. Competing at a lower grade.

9MardaloopJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Vincent Hall756kg–17.003.90

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 48% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 227%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Vincent Hall in good form, out performing market 106%
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

3yo filly making her debut and out of the Nadeem mare Our Harmony. Won a Mornington jump-out 16/9. Market watch advised.

ILB

First appearance at the races 3yo by Blue Point for trainer Vincent Hall. Watch betting.

RSIS

First start at the races 3yo by Blue Point for trainer Vincent Hall.

10Miss Home BodyJ: Luke Nolen·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman656kg–11.003.30

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
P & K Moody & Coleman striking at just 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Cost $210K. Unraced 3yo filly out of the listed winning mare Sheiswhatsheis. 4th & 5th at latest jump-outs. Look out for any stable confidence.

ILB

3yo by Stay Inside on debut for Katherine Coleman & Peter G Moody. Follow the money.

RSIS

3yo by Stay Inside having first start for trainer Katherine Coleman & Peter G Moody.

11Model GigiJ: Jamie Mott·T: John Mcardle256kg6 22: 0-1-08.002.65

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Pakenham1100m15 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT50.4L
6Pakenham1000m23 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN SW · GOOD43.3L

Insights

Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (20-weeks). Drawn to get a soft run. Right in the mix again fresh in this affair.

ILB

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Just missed last run at Pakenham and gets a favourable draw. Likely to be well placed early. Watch the betting.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Just missed last run at Pakenham and has a good draw. Won't be far away during the run. Betting is the best guide.

12Teddy's TrotterJ: Damien Thornton·T: Mitchell Leek1556kg–15.003.80

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Cost $7,500. 3yo filly out of the 2-time winning mare Spotty Socks. Won past couple of jump-outs. Draw could be an issue but betting could prove decisive.

ILB

Mitchell Leek trained 3yo runner on debut by Headwater. Betting is the best guide.

RSIS

Racing as a debutant 3yo by Headwater for trainer Mitchell Leek.

13Senza NomeJ: Thomas Stockdale·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr858kg2 9 6 33: 0-0-117.003.90

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Caulfield Heath1000m20 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT61.4L
6Terang1000m12 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY107.1L
9Caulfield1000m15 Oct 2025 · 2yo · GOOD46.8L
2Caulfield800m2 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial0.1L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Key Rider
Positive
Thomas Stockdale 39% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Resuming (19-weeks). Solid 2nd in a jump-out here 21/9. May warrant a place ticket.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. Displayed good finishing speed when 3rd last run at Caulfield Heath and taking on a lower class of opponents. Has plenty of early speed. Prefer in something weaker.

RSIS

Resumes from a break. Rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Caulfield Heath and challenged by weaker competitors. Should race on the pace.

14Boy From ZadarScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Gave solid chase in a good effort at Ballarat at his second race start when firmed from $26 into $19. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Jumped at $19.00 and pushed past some when 5th last run at Ballarat.

RSIS

Started at 18/1 and was making up some late ground when 5th last start at Ballarat.

15NautiqueJ: Jye Mcneil·T: Charlotte Littlefield956kg–17.003.90

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 39% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (18-weeks). Well down the track at Pakenham on debut. Expect will need this run.

ILB

Racing fresh after a break. Started $13.00 and looked outclassed when 7th last run at Pakenham on a heavy track but was on debut last time. Tough ask.

RSIS

First run back. Started 12/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last time at Pakenham but having second race start.

16Inside WordJ: Holly Durnan·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin1358kg–34.005.50

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 45% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Holly Durnan 44% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (53-days). Well beaten in two runs to date. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Freshened for this. Odds of $41.00 and average performance when 8th last start at this venue. Might be ridden for luck. Needs significant improvement.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Started 40/1 and underperformed when 8th last run around here. Likely to settle back in the field.

Odds correct as at 12:00 pm AEST. Odds can change.