Pakenham Synthetic (VIC) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham Synthetic (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Friday 2 October 2026

Race 1 — The Valley @ Southside Pakenham Mdn Plate 1200m · jumps 6:15 pm AEST

Race notes

3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
SYNTHETIC
Showers
8 runners

Shortest win price

Ektifire (10)

3.30

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

5Sihaya

Backmarker

1Beast Fighter

Midfield

10Ektifire
6Armorware

Offpace

8Home And A Bay

Onpace

9Chapel Belle

Leader

2Hansard
3Acharnee

Beast Fighter · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Hansard · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Acharnee · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Sihaya · Negative
Trainer SR
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes striking at just 8%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Beast FighterJ: Damien Thornton·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes459.5kg41: 0-0-03.801.40

Career

1: 0-0-0

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Seymour1300m3 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD32.7L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -84% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 44%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (34-weeks). Gave a sight on debut at Seymour behind Clevor Trevor. 3rd & 2nd at recent jump-outs. Warrants plenty of attention fresh in this company.

ILB

Back from a 34 week break. Was $5.00 and ran on into 4th last run at Seymour and was a debutant last start. Likely to get back. Low-key chance.

RSIS

Back after a 34 week break. Started at 4/1 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last start at Seymour and was a debutant last start.

2HansardJ: Teodore Nugent·T: I M Pankhurst359.5kg7 5 63: 0-0-051.006.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Pakenham1400m8 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY825L
5Pakenham1400m23 Apr 2026 · 3Y C&G MDN SW · GOOD46.5L
7Ararat1206m30 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD312.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Ian Pankhurst in good form, out performing market 38%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 22% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Teodore Nugent in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 7%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (21-weeks). Needs to show more.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. Started at $71.00 and faded to finish 6th last start at Pakenham on a heavy surface. Will be positive in the run early. Looks highly doubtful.

RSIS

Fresh today. Was 70/1 and didn't find the line when 6th last start at Pakenham on a heavy surface. Should be going forward early.

3AcharneeJ: Michael Dee·T: Reece Goodwin157.5kg3 8 2 4 95: 0-2-09.002.50

Career

5: 0-2-0

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
4: 0-2-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-2-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

9Mornington1200m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.97L
4Gosford1200m6 Aug 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.8L
2Gosford1200m18 July 2026 · Maiden · HEAVY90.5L
8Rosehill900m10 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)7.5L
3Rosehill900m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)9.9L
6Gosford1200m31 Dec 2025 · Maiden · GOOD45.9L
2Gosford1200m18 Dec 2025 · Maiden · GOOD41.3L
3Randwick Kensington850m9 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial1.8L

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First run for new trainer was a reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Mornington. Look for further improvement here.

ILB

Jumped at $9.50 and basic showing when 9th last start at Mornington but drawn well. Has shown early pace in races to date. Competitive type.

RSIS

At 17/2 appeared lacklustre when 9th last time at Mornington but drawn by the rails. Should muster plenty of early pace. Capable of winning this.

4In A TizzyScratched6––––

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (23-weeks). Not too far off the mark in her first preparation. Recent jump-out winner here. Looks dangerous first-up.

ILB

First up from a break. Came in 4th last start at Canterbury.

RSIS

Resumes from a break. Finished 4th last run at Canterbury.

5SihayaJ: Luke Currie·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes557.5kg–5.501.85

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes striking at just 8%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 44%
On Debut
Positive
First race start
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

4yo mare a half-sister to Oak Hill makes debut for the Ben, Will & Jd Hayes stable. Won latest Flemington jump-out. Markets may prove best guide here.

ILB

First race appearance 4yo by Per Incanto for Will Ben & Jd Hayes. Respect the betting.

RSIS

Per Incanto 4yo having first race start for trainer Will Ben & Jd Hayes. Follow the money.

6ArmorwareJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: M M Laurie857kg21: 0-1-04.001.45

Career

1: 0-1-0

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Mornington1000m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Encouraging debut performance at Mornington 17 Sep. Wiser for experience. Only for the minors here.

ILB

Finished strongly when 2nd last start at Mornington and was on debut last time. Worth a lot of thought in this race.

RSIS

Ran on when 2nd last run at Mornington and was on debut last time. Strong chance.

7Civic SquareScratched12––––

Comments

AAP

Let-up (79-days). Beaten but by no means disgraced at career opener. Since trialled 2nd at here 14/9. Can play a role fresh in this company if he gets the breaks.

ILB

Back from a break. Started at $10.00 and struggled with the pace when 5th last start at Sandown on a heavy track but having second race start.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a break. At 9/1 folded up in the straight when 5th last run at Sandown on a heavy rated track but fitter for debut run.

8Home And A BayJ: Ben Allen·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin1057kg41: 0-0-010.002.65

Career

1: 0-0-0

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Geelong1100m11 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.9L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 35% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 43% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Left a decent impression on debut at Geelong 11 Sep. Better for the run. Awkwardly drawn. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Jumped at $6.00 and moved through the field into 4th last run at Geelong and was on debut last time. Commands respect.

RSIS

Started at 5/1 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last run at Geelong and having second race start. Good prospects.

9Chapel BelleJ: Luke Cartwright·T: J F Moloney755kg11 7 43: 0-0-018.003.70

Career

3: 0-0-0

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Mornington1000m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.75L
7Sandown1000m2 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT53.2L
11Pakenham1000m23 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN SW · GOOD47.5L

Insights

Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Prominent before fading late at Mornington. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Started $26.00 and peaked towards the finish when 4th last start at Mornington. Much prefer the look of others in this race.

RSIS

Odds of 25/1 and outsprinted late when 4th last start at Mornington.

10EktifireJ: Craig Williams·T: A & S Freedman255kg2 5 6 5 34: 0-0-13.301.34

Career

4: 0-0-1

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Bendigo1100m6 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT55L
5Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT62.6L
6Rosehill1200m14 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD46L
5Canterbury1100m27 Feb 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT62L
2Randwick740m19 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial1.2L
5Canterbury899m6 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial4.3L
6Randwick740m15 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial5.3L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Made all, no answer to winner but showed some fight in the 3yo F Mdn Plate at Bendigo second-up. Among the dangers again.

ILB

Although fading at the finish still placed 3rd last run at Bendigo and drawn nicely. Demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Can win.

RSIS

Put together a strong on-pace performance when 3rd last time at Bendigo and gets a favourable stall. Displaying improvement over the past few runs. Good chance and definitely has claims.

11MasochisticScratched11––––

Comments

AAP

Let-up (42-days). Wasn't all that far from the action on debut at Sale when fancied 21 Aug. Wiser for experience. Place preferred option.

ILB

Let up. Started $2.80 and closed off nicely when 4th last start at Sale and was on debut last time.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Started at 9/5 and kept chasing when 4th last time at Sale and fitter for debut run.

12Swift StarScratched9––––

Comments

AAP

Encouraging debut performance at Caulfield Heath 16 Sep. Better for race exposure. Can challenge again.

ILB

Finished amongst the placegetters when 2nd last run at Caulfield Heath and having second career run.

RSIS

Improved to place when 2nd beaten by 2 1/2L last run at Caulfield Heath and having second career run.

Odds correct as at 11:00 am AEST. Odds can change.