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Morphettville (SA) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Morphettville (SA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 14 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 14 NovMorphettville (SA)Change

Race 5 — Greenway Turf Solutions Hcp (64) 1572m · jumps

Race notes

  • 0-64,0-64 HCP,Restricted 64
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Bargain Boy (3) and Flossing (4)

4.40

Most career wins

Cork Harbour

9-3-6 from 89 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 5Imposing Suspect

Offmidfield

  • 4Flossing
  • 10Rousing Refrain

Midfield

  • 7Camooweal Girl

Offpace

  • 12Hubristic
  • 3Bargain Boy
  • 11Cork Harbour

Onpace

  • 1Safe Bet

Leader

  • 8Frontpoint
  • 2Flaming Navy
  • Safe Bet · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.

  • Flaming Navy · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Bargain Boy · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Phillip & Tommy Stokes striking at just 8%

  • Flossing · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Safe BetJ: Connor Murtagh·T: Hazel Fertier1160kg1 7 10 8 118: 3-3-3$21.00$3.90

Career

18: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    10: 1-3-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    10: 1-3-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    12: 2-3-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Murray Bridge1400m28 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD4-0.07
  2. 8Penola1400m16 Oct 2026 · BM68 · SOFT53.95L
  3. 10Murray Bridge1200m26 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD46.03L
  4. 7Morphettville1600m30 May 2026 · 3Y BM68 HCP · SOFT78L
  5. 1Balaklava1400m20 May 2026 · CL1 · SOFT5-0.1
  6. 4Murray Bridge1000m7 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2L
  7. 4Balaklava1000m16 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.6L
  8. 11Morphettville1550m21 Mar 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD48.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.

  • Form Trainer

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectation by 15%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 146%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Started $8.50 when toughed it out in Class 2 company at Murray Bridge Gh. Can make his presence felt again with even luck.

ILB

Stormed home to win last start at Murray Bridge. Hazel Fertier stable are running hot lately. Has the speed to overcome the wide barrier. Serious contender.

RP

Has won here before; got home in front by a nose at Murray Bridge Gh over 7f (handicap) last month; the Hazel Fertier operation is running hot currently; can figure.

RSIS

Finished with purpose when winning last time at Murray Bridge. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall. Have to respect the recent Hazel Fertier form. Solid prospects.

2Flaming NavyJ: Taylor Johnstone·T: Travis Doudle459.5kg5 10 7 8 1113: 3-1-1$14.00$3.50

Career

13: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gawler

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Balaklava

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    6: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1507m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    10: 3-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Morphettville1400m7 Nov 2026 · BM70 · GOOD35.48L
  2. 8Mount Gambier1400m7 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD48.1L
  3. 7Morphettville1000m28 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.2L
  4. 10Morphettville1561m1 Aug 2026 · BM68 · SOFT617.7L
  5. 5Morphettville1400m11 July 2026 · 4UP BM66 · HEAVY106.9L
  6. 3Gawler1507m3 Jan 2026 · BM68 · GOOD41.3L
  7. 1Gawler1700m13 Dec 2025 · BM64 · GOOD3-1.8
  8. 2Morphettville1800m22 Nov 2025 · 0MWLY HCP · SOFT74.7L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Started $41 when safely held in Benchmark 70 company this track. Needs to up his game.

ILB

On a quick back up. Didn't threaten when 11th last start around here. Can make a comeback. Has shown early pace in races to date. Rates as one of the key chances.

RP

Finished 11th of 12 here over 7f (handicap) last Saturday; track has proven suitable before; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; likely to go well if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Faded to finish 11th last run around here. Has the potential to improve sharply. Will be positive in the run early. Chance and can measure up.

3Bargain BoyJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes659kg7 2 2 3 513: 2-1-2$4.40$1.70

Career

13: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    8: 1-1-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    8: 1-1-2

  • Track Strathalbyn

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 2-1-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Morphettville1600m24 Oct 2026 · 0-62 · SOFT51.51L
  2. 3Morphettville1522m10 Oct 2026 · 0-64 · GOOD31.7L
  3. 2Morphettville1400m19 Sept 2026 · CG&E 0-64 · GOOD41.31L
  4. 2Halidon1000m27 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.4L
  5. 7Morphettville1800m2 May 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT73.1L
  6. 6Morphettville1800m11 Apr 2026 · 3Y LISTED SW · SOFT64.1L
  7. 1Morphettville1550m21 Mar 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD4-0.3
  8. 3Morphettville1550m28 Feb 2026 · BM62 · SOFT51.1L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Phillip & Tommy Stokes striking at just 8%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 243%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 52% Profit on Turnover

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Form useful. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Morphettville. Profiles well.

ILB

Odds of $6.50 and closed off nicely when 5th last run here. Showing great form since coming back from a spell. Strong prospects.

RP

Has won here; has maintained his consistent level of form; his best form stacks up so could be in the shake up.

RSIS

Was 11/2 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last run here. Putting up notable efforts lately. Good potential.

4FlossingJ: Tala Hutchinson·T: Garret Lynch259kg4 3 5 3 262: 7-5-11$4.40$1.70

Career

62: 7-5-11

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    6: 2-0-3

  • Third-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    6: 1-1-1

  • Track Moonee Valley

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Dunkeld

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    6: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1614m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1950m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2040m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Firm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    21: 2-2-4

Last starts

  1. 2Morphettville1511m31 Oct 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD40.56L
  2. 3Morphettville1600m24 Oct 2026 · 0-62 · SOFT51.24L
  3. 5Devonport Synthetic1650m9 Sept 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC3.8L
  4. 3Devonport Synthetic1650m2 Sept 2026 · BM68 · SYNTHETIC3.4L
  5. 4Hobart1600m19 Aug 2026 · OPEN HCP · SOFT51.5L
  6. 9Hobart1600m5 Aug 2026 · BM60 · SOFT76.1L
  7. 6Hobart1600m19 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT57L
  8. 8Hobart1410m5 July 2026 · BM68 · SOFT53.52L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 40% lower than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -62% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Winless Prep

    Negative

    Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Racing well for new stable. Good effort here two back over 1600m. Got back and hit line with a full head of steam at Morphettville. Very fit, right in the mix again.

ILB

Made considerable ground when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last start here and drawn nicely. Expected to be flashing home. Large claim helps and getting better in recent performances. Strong prospects in this race.

RP

Went down by half a length here over 7½f (handicap) last month (had two of these rivals behind); has won here before; a long time since his last win; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Did well to run into 2nd last start at this track and drawn nicely. Expected to be flashing home. Large claim helps and getting better in recent performances. Solid chance.

5Imposing SuspectJ: Kayla Crowther·T: Sarah Rutten758.5kg8 4 7 6 951: 7-4-6$26.00$4.40

Career

51: 7-4-6

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    6: 1-0-3

  • Third-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Track Strathalbyn

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    8: 2-0-0

  • Track Gawler

    6: 3-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1504m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    28: 3-3-4

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    20: 4-1-2

Last starts

  1. 9Morphettville1550m18 July 2026 · 4UP 0-68 · SOFT67.3L
  2. 6Murray Bridge1600m4 July 2026 · 4UP 0-68 · SOFT75.1L
  3. 7Murray Bridge1400m13 June 2026 · BM76 · SOFT66L
  4. 4Morphettville1000m28 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2L
  5. 8Murray Bridge1800m7 Mar 2026 · BM68 · GOOD47.3L
  6. 6Morphettville1966m28 Feb 2026 · BM72 · SOFT53.2L
  7. 4Naracoorte2000m8 Feb 2026 · BM78 HCP · GOOD43.73L
  8. 3Penola2000m16 Jan 2026 · Benchmark 74 · GOOD42.8L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (17-weeks). Not knocked around in recent tickover trial at Murray Bridge Gh. Wait until he shows something.

ILB

First up after a break. At $13.00 faded away to finish 9th last run around here. Might be ridden for luck. Cannot be tipped.

RP

Hasn't really fired since his success in a handicap at Bordertown 12 months ago; finished ninth of 12 four months ago; others more appealing as this looks a fair heat.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Started 12/1 and gave away some ground when 9th last time at the track. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

6CielaoScratched6––––

Career

15: 5-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    8: 2-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    8: 2-0-0

  • Track Strathalbyn

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    8: 3-2-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 4-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 13Morphettville1200m31 Oct 2026 · BM70 · GOOD45.3L
  2. 8Murray Bridge1400m3 Oct 2026 · BM72 · SOFT74.22L
  3. 10Morphettville1400m15 Aug 2026 · 0-72 · HEAVY84L
  4. 10Morphettville1400m1 Aug 2026 · BM82 · SOFT65.9L
  5. 5Morphettville1250m18 July 2026 · BM72 · SOFT66.9L
  6. 1Morphettville1400m31 Jan 2026 · BM72 · GOOD4-1.9
  7. 2Murray Bridge1400m10 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.2L
  8. 1Gawler1500m13 Dec 2025 · 0-64 · GOOD3-0.2

Insights

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

Comments

AAP

Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Morphettville. Has to lift considerably.

ILB

Lacklustre showing when 13th last time at this venue.

RP

Towards the rear of 15 over 6f here (handicap) 14 days ago; has won here before; every chance if replicating the best of her form.

RSIS

Not up to scratch when 13th last run around here.

7Camooweal GirlJ: Rochelle Milnes·T: Kristi Evans157kg4 7 5 5 110: 2-1-0$5.50$2.05

Career

10: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    5: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Gawler1506m5 Nov 2026 · BM56 · GOOD4-1.87
  2. 5Gawler1200m23 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.8L
  3. 5Morphettville1000m28 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.6L
  4. 7Morphettville1600m20 June 2026 · 3Y BM68 HCP · HEAVY106.6L
  5. 4Murray Bridge1200m13 June 2026 · 3Y SW+P · SOFT65.6L
  6. 5Morphettville1550m16 May 2026 · 3Y BM66 HCP · SOFT54L
  7. 1Murray Bridge1400m6 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.1
  8. 4Murray Bridge1200m22 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 53%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Responded with raking strides to win at Gawler second-up. Drawn favourably. Stays under strong notice for this.

ILB

Bold effort when winning last start at Gawler and has drawn to do little work. Showing improvement in recent outings. Challenged by more formidable competitors. Great chance.

RP

Won by just under 2l at Gawler last Thursday upped to 7½f; despite that Gawler success, hard to recommend.

RSIS

Dashed home to win last start at Gawler and gets a favourable stall. Matched against a stronger field. Displaying improvement over the past few runs. Great chance.

8FrontpointJ: Jason Holder·T: Jarrod Lynch557kg5 1 4 8 127: 3-1-3$5.50$2.05

Career

27: 3-1-3

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    7: 1-0-0

  • Track Strathalbyn

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    11: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    9: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1250m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 2-0-1

  • Going Soft

    13: 1-1-1

  • Going Unknown

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Morphettville1600m3 Nov 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD4-1.99
  2. 8Murray Bridge1400m28 Oct 2026 · BM58 · GOOD45.93L
  3. 4Strathalbyn1350m21 Oct 2026 · BM56 · SOFT51.3L
  4. 1Strathalbyn1350m27 Sept 2026 · BM56 · SOFT5-5.5
  5. 5Balaklava1400m16 Sept 2026 · 4UP 0-56 · GOOD46.67L
  6. 4Murray Bridge1400m2 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT52.1L
  7. 3Quorn1400m15 Aug 2026 · 0-524L
  8. 5Roxby Downs1000m1 Aug 2026 · BM5417.1L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Great win from the deep gate at Morphettville. Has early speed. Well into preparation now, can challenge again.

ILB

Gave them all something to chase to win by a margin of 2L last time here but facing stiffer opposition. Will need a big effort to win this.

RP

Successful by 2l last week; others appeal more despite that win last time.

RSIS

Assumed control from the start when winning by 2L last time at this track but facing stiffer opposition.

9Lunar VistaScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

20

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer50%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed50%

Comments

AAP

Ranged up but punctured late at Morphettville. Can go forward.

ILB

At $17.00 didn't find the line when 7th last start at this venue.

RSIS

At 16/1 couldn't stay in touch when 7th last time at this track.

10Rousing RefrainJ: Will Price·T: Jon O'Connor956.5kg6 6 7 5 1114: 2-1-1$23.00$4.20

Career

14: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Morphettville

    8: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    8: 0-0-0

  • Track Strathalbyn

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1511m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    7: 2-1-1

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Morphettville1511m31 Oct 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD44.89L
  2. 5Morphettville1200m17 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD36.03L
  3. 7Murray Bridge1100m3 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT73.68L
  4. 6Morphettville1800m9 May 2026 · 0-68 · SOFT64.4L
  5. 6Morphettville1800m2 May 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT73.1L
  6. 7Morphettville1800m11 Apr 2026 · 3Y LISTED SW · SOFT65.7L
  7. 1Balaklava1600m1 Apr 2026 · 0-58 · GOOD4-0.8
  8. 2Strathalbyn1000m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 142%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 32% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Sent out $8.50 when unable to threaten at Morphettville. Awkwardly drawn. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Odds of $8.50 and weakened under pressure when 11th last time at this venue. Might have to make up considerable ground. Entitled to be a big price.

RP

Largely disappointing since successful in a handicap at Balaklava in April; 11th of 12 last month upped to 7½f; passed over with a few rivals in good form.

RSIS

Was 15/2 and didn't find the line when 11th last run around here. Does take a while to get into stride.

11Cork HarbourJ: Alysha Warren·T: D C Saxon1055.5kg11 4 10 11 789: 9-3-6$34.00$5.00

Career

89: 9-3-6

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Balaklava

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Morphettville

    39: 3-2-4

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    12: 2-2-2

  • Distance 1550m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    67: 8-1-3

  • Going Soft

    22: 1-2-3

Last starts

  1. 7Morphettville1600m24 Oct 2026 · 0-62 · SOFT53.86L
  2. 11Morphettville1200m17 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD37.95L
  3. 10Coleraine1300m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD35.56L
  4. 4Morphettville1250m19 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD43.42L
  5. 11Morphettville1050m12 Sept 2026 · 4UP 0-64 · GOOD46.3L
  6. 7Morphettville1050m29 Aug 2026 · BM62 · SOFT75.9L
  7. 3Morphettville1250m18 July 2026 · 0-64 · SOFT60.5L
  8. 13Murray Bridge1200m13 June 2026 · CG&E 0-64 · SOFT67.9L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Veteran, just going through the motions lately. Performance just fair at Morphettville at $61. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Was $61.00 and tailed off to finish 7th last time at the track. Has to improve out of sight.

RP

Knows how to win here but hasn't shown much recently; fair effort when beaten just under 4l, finishing seventh of 12 upped to this trip last month; a few rivals look in good form so not easy to fancy.

RSIS

Started at 60/1 and struggled with the pace when 7th last time here.

12HubristicJ: Shayleigh Ingelse·T: Garret Lynch855kg1 2 5 1 421: 4-1-2$4.80$1.85

Career

21: 4-1-2

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Augusta

    4: 2-0-1

  • Track Roxby Downs

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 2-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Morphettville1511m31 Oct 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD40.88L
  2. 1Penola1600m16 Oct 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT5-3.12
  3. 5Port Augusta1396m23 Aug 2026 · BM56 · GOOD9L
  4. 2Roxby Downs1400m1 Aug 2026 · BM584.6L
  5. 1Port Augusta1498m19 July 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD-1
  6. 3Port Augusta1498m5 July 2026 · BM56 · GOOD7.1L
  7. 1Port Augusta1396m21 June 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD-0.6
  8. 8Mount Gambier2050m10 June 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY910.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 60% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Shayleigh Ingelse 89% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Shayleigh Ingelse winning at 62% POT in last 100 rides

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Gave good account Hcp (62) at Morphettville as a betting firmer. Not as well drawn this time. Likes the sting out. Deep into her campaign, not out of this.

ILB

Odds of $8.50 and pushed past some when 4th last run at the track. Shayleigh Ingelse takes a large claim. Respect the betting.

RP

A close fourth over 7½f here (handicap) last month; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as this looks a fair heat.

RSIS

Started 15/2 and crept into 4th last time at this venue. The large claim from Shayleigh Ingelse helps. Watch for a sign in the market.

13ShujinkoScratched3––––

Career

12: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Casterton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Naracoorte

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 1Naracoorte1430m1 Nov 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.24
  2. 4Horsham1400m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.5L
  3. 4Coleraine1400m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD31.1L
  4. 7Donald1620m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.1L
  5. 6Casterton1400m30 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT57.3L
  6. 3Murtoa1200m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY89.3L
  7. 5Warrnambool1100m23 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY104.9L
  8. 4Mildura1200m17 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD44L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 12%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 95%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 14%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let down strongly from midfield to score at Naracoorte for new trainer. New to Morphettville Parks. This will ask more.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Finished 7th last time at Bordertown and up against tougher opponents.

RP

Seventh beaten 9l (Bordertown) yesterday; held an entry at Bordertown Friday.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Finished 7th last start at Bordertown and facing a stronger group of contenders.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races
  • Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races
  • Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races